Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$77

Unrealized P&L

-$53

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

7,198 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$37.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-08 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Politics

65% 50% -$2,307

Other

33% 55% -$777

Tech

2% 71% -$25

Crypto

0% 0% -$47

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-849	-$11	6¢	$-52	-$41	04-30 08:07
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+114	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	06-30 11:44
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+6	$9	0¢	$0	-$9	07-06 15:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iraq by february 28	361	$2.6K	13,105	13,728	-624	Yes	+$100	03-03 20:03
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	46	$1.7K	2,466	2,445	+21	No	+$123	03-08 22:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	29	$979	906	737	+169	Yes	+$347	03-08 21:37
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	40	$977	1,606	709	+897	Yes	+$10	04-12 21:28
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	687	$919	20,750	20,750	+0	No	-$476	04-20 10:33
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	27	$704	1,100	1,074	+26	Yes	+$103	03-08 21:09
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	296	$664	638	638	+0	No	-$34	06-22 19:22
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	36	$646	4,156	3,559	+597	No	-$28	03-14 22:20
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	461	$582	47,977	47,977	+0	open	—	07-08 15:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	34	$542	13,665	13,665	+0	Yes	-$7	03-08 21:55
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	24	$502	613	544	+69	Yes	-$266	03-08 21:37
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	16	$494	306	256	+50	No	+$7	04-29 18:12
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	64	$465	734	603	+131	Yes	-$95	05-03 11:42
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	38	$421	10,994	10,994	+0	No	-$8	02-19 15:47
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	72	$419	685	658	+27	Yes	+$105	05-10 15:39
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$408	210	210	+0	No	+$8	04-16 00:25
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 6 2026	22	$344	568	252	+316	No	+$19	03-06 14:24
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	216	$331	30,038	30,038	+0	open	—	07-08 15:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$325	909	1,034	-125	No	+$1	04-20 10:33
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	236	$313	47,686	29,970	+17,716	No	-$248	04-23 15:06
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	22	$301	345	153	+192	No	-$2	04-02 17:59
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	15	$281	200	134	+66	Yes	+$2	03-08 19:09
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	12	$279	292	34	+258	Yes	+$26	03-22 17:44
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	6	$244	197	50	+147	No	+$2	04-10 01:12
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	14	$241	841	31	+810	No	-$184	03-06 12:56
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	49	$234	976	976	+0	No	+$6	04-20 10:33
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	77	$230	116	116	+0	open	—	07-08 15:55
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	29	$221	233	231	+2	No	+$17	04-20 18:36
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	116	$220	130	130	+0	No	-$24	06-26 09:24
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	221	$220	16,074	16,074	+0	open	—	07-08 15:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 15:56:35	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xf2e8c0…
07-08 15:56:32	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	464	0¢	$0	0x0b6e56…
07-08 15:56:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xf2342a…
07-08 15:56:29	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x31f6b2…
07-08 15:56:28	Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xf5052c…
07-08 15:56:25	Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xa6af74…
07-08 15:56:23	Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x9805e2…
07-08 15:56:22	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1e516b…
07-08 15:56:19	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb46b8e…
07-08 15:56:17	Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe4145c…
07-08 15:56:16	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x077f22…
07-08 15:56:13	Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb39171…
07-08 15:56:11	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	107	1¢	$1	0xf6c440…
07-08 15:56:08	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x226852…
07-08 15:56:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xd3c109…
07-08 15:56:05	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0b9938…
07-08 15:56:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x8f0fcd…
07-08 15:56:01	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x57d00f…
07-08 15:55:59	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4713f3…
07-08 15:55:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xfcfca0…
07-08 15:55:55	Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x250666…
07-08 15:55:53	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3a4ab0…
07-08 15:55:50	Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x86253e…
07-08 15:55:49	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x14b762…
07-08 15:55:47	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x713e53…
07-08 15:55:44	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x5b3409…
07-08 15:55:43	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0xed6740…
07-08 15:55:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0x1c3dde…
07-08 15:55:38	Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1598b5…
07-08 15:55:37	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x22391f…
07-08 15:55:35	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,475	0¢	$8	0x964d9e…
07-08 15:55:32	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,189	0¢	$13	0x81b3ac…
07-08 15:55:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x79c6b1…
07-08 15:55:28	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xece11c…
07-08 15:55:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xd639ae…
07-08 15:55:23	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	55	43¢	$24	0xdd5f3d…
07-08 15:55:22	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x91b56d…
07-08 15:55:20	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	11,998	0¢	$36	0xdadeaa…
07-08 15:55:17	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	77¢	$43	0x1880c1…
07-08 15:55:16	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	52	85¢	$44	0x2b913a…
07-08 15:55:14	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	13,636	0¢	$41	0xae5a72…
07-08 15:55:04	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	88	97¢	$86	0x0b2f81…
07-08 04:06:26	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	142	0¢	$1	0xd4af1a…
07-08 04:03:22	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	194	1¢	$2	0xb42f03…
07-08 03:30:04	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0xf7e484…
07-08 03:24:17	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x83b2f1…
07-08 03:10:53	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x9066f0…
07-08 01:12:29	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x2e3bf7…
07-07 23:33:01	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa2d0fa…
07-07 21:12:25	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x35bad4…
07-07 15:38:29	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdfdaa0…
07-07 15:38:28	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0d367e…
07-07 15:01:13	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x9ffd51…
07-07 11:40:20	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x20ea73…
07-06 21:49:44	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x794e56…
07-06 21:23:22	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xdee8b3…
07-06 17:28:43	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x3095f1…
07-06 17:25:02	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x3fd7ca…
07-06 17:25:01	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x9abf73…
07-06 17:24:58	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x61360a…
07-06 17:24:56	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x858d3a…
07-06 17:20:02	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x22488a…
07-06 17:20:01	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x76a12e…
07-06 16:56:37	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x00493b…
07-06 15:30:41	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0xeb0c81…
07-06 15:19:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x06c553…
07-06 15:19:53	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x15b523…
07-06 15:19:52	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x0c01cd…
07-06 15:19:50	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x1abb5f…
07-06 15:19:47	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$1	0xc5105e…
07-06 15:19:43	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x440cf3…
07-06 15:19:41	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xc35d4d…
07-06 15:19:40	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x94b321…
07-06 15:19:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x6bdba3…
07-06 15:19:37	Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa30fed…
07-06 15:19:35	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8e5b9f…
07-06 15:19:34	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xc5b8c8…
07-06 15:19:31	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xc32ae3…
07-06 15:19:31	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x781e4d…
07-06 15:19:29	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0x31bb94…
07-06 15:19:23	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0x6ee918…
07-06 15:19:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x49fb21…
07-06 15:19:19	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x3c29b8…
07-06 15:03:52	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0xc733d0…
07-06 14:49:56	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf0f8b8…
07-06 14:32:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa24639…
07-06 14:26:55	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0xb90fcf…
07-06 14:23:58	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x4aa44f…
07-06 14:23:56	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xe38b10…
07-06 05:03:34	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x0c6547…
07-06 04:04:02	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x3461a3…
07-06 03:39:02	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x981193…
07-06 02:48:02	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0xa759c7…
07-06 02:15:17	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x3c5699…
07-06 02:11:13	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x6f6aa3…
07-06 01:55:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xd9df0c…
07-06 01:40:28	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xef4f44…
07-06 00:56:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfd31de…
07-05 23:34:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xded427…
07-05 23:05:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x148c0d…