Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
open
Total volume
$7,211
Trades
178
Unique wallets
76
Liquidity
$17,970
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-06-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-11 23:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-20.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $127
vs crowd: 20% YES on $5.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $105 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $111 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $42 | $275 | $232 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $839 | $554 | +$286 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $127 | $127 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $12 | $647 | $635 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $71 | $114 | $44 |
| Median | 8 | $5 | $49 | $44 |
| Below median | 11 | $35 | $37 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $186 | $185 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $66 | $442 | $377 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $99 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| unranked | 28 | $625 | $879 | $254 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | +2,000 | $1,690 | $1,690 | 2 | 06-11 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf2…6751 | Yes | +1,340 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-11 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2dd…d9b8 | Yes | +1,246 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-11 18:23 |
| Fine-Statement 0x9877…13a8 | Yes | +870 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Occasional-Persimmon 0x98dc…9949 | Yes | +655 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-31 05:25 |
| Naive-Artist 0xdb54…f008 | No | +430 | $345 | $345 | 1 | 06-04 14:41 |
| Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | +337 | $260 | $260 | 2 | 05-31 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x94da…2bf1 | No | +300 | $262 | $262 | 1 | 06-09 06:00 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +200 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +200 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +200 | $172 | $172 | 4 | 06-11 18:23 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +149 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 06-11 00:35 |
| Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | No | +146 | $116 | $116 | 5 | 06-05 23:46 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +141 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 06-11 18:23 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +123 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-10 09:34 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +123 | $107 | $107 | 2 | 06-10 09:34 |
| Bad-Shakedown 0xea28…3a0b | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-04 14:41 |
| Bad-Shakedown 0xea28…3a0b | No | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +100 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 06-10 09:34 |
| Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | +94 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 06-11 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7994…aa73 | Yes | +69 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9010…336f | Yes | +55 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-30 19:50 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +46 | $7 | $32 | 7 | 06-06 20:29 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +46 | $38 | $189 | 19 | 06-10 20:38 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-06 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9abc…0053 | No | +33 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-31 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | +28 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-31 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4935…dfda | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-09 19:37 |
| Well-Off-Aim 0xd245…2318 | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Partial-Cultivator 0x3687…d8fc | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-06 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4530…c1c8 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 13:48 |
| Lonely-Lemonade-Cowboy 0x7a45…df70 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-10 13:48 |
| Narrow-Clipper 0x2801…9dfe | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-31 05:25 |
| Cheap-Bondsman 0x66a2…c5fb | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-01 08:10 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-11 00:35 |
| Rundown-Vehicle 0x0a6d…78f2 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 09:32 |
| Triangular-Quota 0xe91b…79ce | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 19:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1aeb…e6f6 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 23:43 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 14:41 |
| Criminal-Omission 0xfc54…db0e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 23:43 |
| Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 05:25 |
| Fruitful-Holiday 0x52a3…f3db | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 01:44 |
| Well-Documented-Export 0x840f…3133 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 15:40 |
| Quick-Witted-Commercial 0x20dd…bf9e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 14:25 |
| Little-Lining 0xaf19…dbdb | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 19:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x149b…d435 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-31 11:43 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 02:56 |
| Warmhearted-Vitamin 0x785e…106e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 06:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 23:43:10 | Criminal-Omission 0xfc54…db0e | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x5dd7eb… |
| 06-11 23:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x1aeb…e6f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5dd7eb… |
| 06-11 18:23:01 | (anonymous) 0xa2dd…d9b8 | Yes | BUY | 1,246 | 16¢ | $200 | 0xc8cca4… |
| 06-11 18:23:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xc8cca4… |
| 06-11 18:23:01 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 84¢ | $840 | 0xc8cca4… |
| 06-11 18:23:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 141 | 84¢ | $118 | 0xc8cca4… |
| 06-11 18:23:01 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 55 | 84¢ | $46 | 0xc8cca4… |
| 06-11 02:56:12 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x3f3c62… |
| 06-11 02:56:12 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x3f3c62… |
| 06-11 00:35:00 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 14¢ | $13 | 0x5302bc… |
| 06-11 00:35:00 | (anonymous) 0x0cf2…6751 | Yes | BUY | 1,340 | 15¢ | $200 | 0x5302bc… |
| 06-11 00:35:00 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x5302bc… |
| 06-11 00:35:00 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 149 | 85¢ | $127 | 0x5302bc… |
| 06-11 00:35:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x5302bc… |
| 06-11 00:35:00 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 39 | 85¢ | $33 | 0x5302bc… |
| 06-11 00:35:00 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 85¢ | $850 | 0x5302bc… |
| 06-10 20:38:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 86¢ | $39 | 0x5287be… |
| 06-10 20:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x5287be… |
| 06-10 20:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x7994…aa73 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x5287be… |
| 06-10 17:44:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x73f1f8… |
| 06-10 17:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x4f68…39a1 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x73f1f8… |
| 06-10 13:48:40 | Lonely-Lemonade-Cowboy 0x7a45…df70 | No | BUY | 16 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x2fd724… |
| 06-10 13:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x4530…c1c8 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x2fd724… |
| 06-10 09:34:03 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x684d55… |
| 06-10 09:34:03 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x684d55… |
| 06-10 09:34:01 | Unwieldy-Trooper 0xcaf0…08a1 | No | SELL | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0x9ba73d… |
| 06-10 09:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9ba73d… |
| 06-10 09:34:01 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x9ba73d… |
| 06-10 09:34:01 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9ba73d… |
| 06-10 09:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x02a9…c4c8 | No | SELL | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x9ba73d… |
| 06-10 09:34:01 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x9ba73d… |
| 06-10 09:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xa04a…6bf2 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 12¢ | $24 | 0x9ba73d… |
| 06-09 19:37:40 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x398616… |
| 06-09 19:37:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x398616… |
| 06-09 19:37:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x398616… |
| 06-09 19:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x4935…dfda | No | BUY | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x398616… |
| 06-09 19:37:40 | Unwieldy-Trooper 0xcaf0…08a1 | No | SELL | 99 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x398616… |
| 06-09 10:18:04 | (anonymous) 0x4935…dfda | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xffd75e… |
| 06-09 10:18:04 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xffd75e… |
| 06-09 06:00:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x250de0… |
| 06-09 06:00:57 | (anonymous) 0x94da…2bf1 | No | BUY | 300 | 88¢ | $262 | 0x250de0… |
| 06-09 06:00:57 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x488893… |
| 06-09 06:00:57 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 492 | 13¢ | $64 | 0x250de0… |
| 06-09 06:00:57 | Wrathful-Row 0x56c9…0d9e | No | SELL | 842 | 87¢ | $734 | 0x250de0… |
| 06-09 06:00:57 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x488893… |
| 06-09 03:10:04 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0ef165… |
| 06-09 03:10:04 | (anonymous) 0xa04a…6bf2 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x0ef165… |
| 06-08 23:58:19 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6d52bb… |
| 06-08 23:58:19 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6d52bb… |
| 06-08 10:47:42 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xf3483e… |
| 06-08 10:47:42 | Exciting-Bacon 0x8e38…1a4a | Yes | SELL | 39 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xf3483e… |
| 06-08 10:47:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 29 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xf3483e… |
| 06-08 10:46:57 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd92304… |
| 06-08 10:46:57 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xd92304… |
| 06-08 10:46:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xd92304… |
| 06-08 10:46:57 | Exciting-Bacon 0x8e38…1a4a | Yes | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xd92304… |
| 06-08 06:35:01 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x3909e9… |
| 06-08 06:35:01 | Gregarious-Jiffy 0xf3f6…bc90 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x3909e9… |
| 06-06 20:32:07 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x565ab8… |
| 06-06 20:32:07 | Partial-Cultivator 0x3687…d8fc | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x565ab8… |
| 06-06 20:32:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x565ab8… |
| 06-06 20:29:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xfa3f90… |
| 06-06 20:29:40 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0xfa3f90… |
| 06-06 20:29:39 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x5d7005… |
| 06-06 20:29:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x5d7005… |
| 06-06 20:29:39 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | SELL | 77 | 83¢ | $63 | 0x5d7005… |
| 06-06 20:29:39 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x5d7005… |
| 06-06 20:29:39 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x5d7005… |
| 06-06 20:29:39 | Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | SELL | 166 | 17¢ | $28 | 0x5d7005… |
| 06-06 20:00:16 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | SELL | 125 | 83¢ | $104 | 0x3585be… |
| 06-06 20:00:16 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 125 | 17¢ | $21 | 0x3585be… |
| 06-06 19:46:15 | Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | SELL | 437 | 20¢ | $86 | 0x230efb… |
| 06-06 19:46:15 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 312 | 20¢ | $61 | 0x230efb… |
| 06-06 19:46:15 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 125 | 20¢ | $24 | 0x230efb… |
| 06-06 18:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xb138…36ab | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xf81e98… |
| 06-06 18:05:57 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xf81e98… |
| 06-06 18:05:49 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xa04099… |
| 06-06 18:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | Yes | SELL | 41 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xa04099… |
| 06-06 18:05:45 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x119e6a… |
| 06-06 18:05:45 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x119e6a… |
| 06-06 18:04:45 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf2298f… |
| 06-06 18:04:45 | Narrow-Clipper 0x2801…9dfe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf2298f… |
| 06-06 18:04:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x2ad53f… |
| 06-06 18:04:40 | Steep-Treat 0xe694…7e7c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x2ad53f… |
| 06-06 18:04:40 | Legitimate-Worth 0x1c42…213b | Yes | SELL | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x0e2361… |
| 06-06 18:04:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x0e2361… |
| 06-06 18:04:39 | Late-Tool-Appeal 0x3dbd…1939 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xe363b1… |
| 06-06 18:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x22cf…1104 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xfe1d08… |
| 06-06 18:04:39 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xfe1d08… |
| 06-06 18:04:39 | Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0xa7b30e… |
| 06-06 18:04:39 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0xa7b30e… |
| 06-06 18:04:39 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xe363b1… |
| 06-06 18:04:39 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x3141e6… |
| 06-06 18:04:39 | Well-Off-Aim 0xd245…2318 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x3141e6… |
| 06-06 18:04:37 | Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x153883… |
| 06-06 18:04:37 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x153883… |
| 06-05 23:46:28 | Unwieldy-Trooper 0xcaf0…08a1 | No | BUY | 122 | 80¢ | $98 | 0x9ba9e1… |
| 06-05 23:46:28 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x9ba9e1… |
| 06-05 23:46:28 | Ringed-Grenade 0x2657…42e6 | Yes | BUY | 253 | 20¢ | $51 | 0x9ba9e1… |
| 06-05 23:46:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x9ba9e1… |