Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
open
Total volume
$15,952
Trades
521
Unique wallets
163
Liquidity
$17,970
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-06-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-03 00:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.5¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $484
vs crowd: 17% YES on $12.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $153 | $4.6K | $4.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $320 | $3.9K | $3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $336 | $1.2K | $842 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 87 | $1.3K | $718 | +$611 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $8 | $477 | $469 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $27 | $1.0K | $985 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $88 | $823 | $734 |
| Median | 14 | $202 | $51 | +$151 |
| Below median | 25 | $85 | $813 | $727 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $186 | $228 | $42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $85 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $110 | $3.3K | $3.2K |
| unranked | 73 | $1.3K | $1.8K | $415 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | +3,358 | $2,823 | $2,823 | 18 | 06-26 21:35 |
| Wide-Howard 0x6447…3aa3 | Yes | +2,090 | $360 | $360 | 3 | 06-15 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf2…6751 | Yes | +1,340 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-11 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | +1,258 | $979 | $1,577 | 20 | 06-26 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2dd…d9b8 | Yes | +1,246 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-11 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ed4…a408 | Yes | +1,000 | $150 | $150 | 8 | 06-22 20:04 |
| Fine-Statement 0x9877…13a8 | Yes | +870 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +690 | $583 | $645 | 5 | 06-26 21:35 |
| Occasional-Persimmon 0x98dc…9949 | Yes | +655 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-31 05:25 |
| Useful-Gravy 0x35e3…3d33 | Yes | +647 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 21:35 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +512 | $445 | $445 | 5 | 07-01 12:29 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | +450 | $387 | $387 | 8 | 07-03 00:15 |
| Naive-Artist 0xdb54…f008 | No | +430 | $345 | $345 | 1 | 06-04 14:41 |
| Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | +337 | $260 | $260 | 2 | 05-31 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x94da…2bf1 | No | +300 | $262 | $262 | 1 | 06-09 06:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +250 | $214 | $214 | 5 | 06-15 20:17 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +200 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +200 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 06-02 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd798…f8bc | Yes | +154 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 06-27 17:42 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +149 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 06-11 00:35 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +144 | $112 | $588 | 7 | 06-18 11:24 |
| Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 | No | +139 | $122 | $122 | 3 | 06-24 16:01 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +123 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-10 09:34 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +123 | $107 | $107 | 2 | 06-10 09:34 |
| High-Level-Drive 0xbe43…c5b1 | Yes | +121 | $16 | $16 | 5 | 07-02 20:13 |
| Bossy-Numeracy 0x5fbf…b0eb | Yes | +108 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-24 09:08 |
| Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | +105 | $50 | $1,196 | 9 | 06-18 20:45 |
| Wasteful-Baobab 0xd658…2525 | No | +105 | $88 | $88 | 2 | 06-21 12:53 |
| Bad-Shakedown 0xea28…3a0b | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-04 14:41 |
| Bad-Shakedown 0xea28…3a0b | No | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +100 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 06-10 09:34 |
| Worn-Control 0xfe04…9a42 | Yes | +88 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-16 14:54 |
| suvrajit112 0x9ed6…b7b4 | Yes | +75 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 06-22 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x7994…aa73 | Yes | +69 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 20:38 |
| True-Adaptation 0x0013…3c30 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 12:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9010…336f | Yes | +55 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-30 19:50 |
| Oily-Dock 0x9f76…fb8a | Yes | +54 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-03 00:15 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +52 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-16 05:32 |
| Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | +51 | $39 | $39 | 8 | 06-17 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4530…c1c8 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-23 12:24 |
| Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf…60f7 | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 07-01 15:09 |
| Spanish-Pinworm 0xaed7…1598 | No | +48 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-15 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb592…666b | Yes | +45 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 21:08 |
| Rundown-Vehicle 0x0a6d…78f2 | Yes | +36 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-23 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-02 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9abc…0053 | No | +33 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-31 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe89f…8413 | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-24 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-02 04:12 |
| Unselfish-Hometown 0x81e7…7389 | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-19 18:47 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +29 | $20 | $546 | 15 | 06-19 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | +28 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-31 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9146…6cb4 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 15:46 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +26 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 07-03 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +26 | $23 | $47 | 4 | 07-02 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4935…dfda | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-09 19:37 |
| Gleaming-Rambler 0x9180…1b65 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 07:07 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +22 | $19 | $165 | 14 | 06-26 18:34 |
| Well-Off-Aim 0xd245…2318 | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-02 10:47 |
| Partial-Cultivator 0x3687…d8fc | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-06 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a54…f101 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 17:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 00:15:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9ab669… |
| 07-03 00:15:37 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 48 | 86¢ | $41 | 0x9ab669… |
| 07-03 00:15:37 | Oily-Dock 0x9f76…fb8a | Yes | BUY | 54 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x9ab669… |
| 07-03 00:01:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x18ccee… |
| 07-03 00:01:52 | Lonely-Lemonade-Cowboy 0x7a45…df70 | No | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x18ccee… |
| 07-03 00:01:52 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x18ccee… |
| 07-03 00:01:52 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x18ccee… |
| 07-02 20:13:41 | High-Level-Drive 0xbe43…c5b1 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x1ebc8f… |
| 07-02 20:13:41 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 75 | 87¢ | $65 | 0x1ebc8f… |
| 07-02 16:25:22 | Ruddy-Simplification 0x7665…6451 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6ce235… |
| 07-02 16:25:22 | High-Level-Drive 0xbe43…c5b1 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6ce235… |
| 07-02 14:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x67f9…aa60 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x3db081… |
| 07-02 14:12:47 | High-Level-Drive 0xbe43…c5b1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x3db081… |
| 07-02 07:44:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf3b5b8… |
| 07-02 07:44:01 | (anonymous) 0x4089…dbd5 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf3b5b8… |
| 07-02 06:08:13 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xf795a4… |
| 07-02 06:08:13 | Webbed-Means 0xda4c…8ace | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xf795a4… |
| 07-02 04:12:31 | (anonymous) 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xace33d… |
| 07-02 04:12:31 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0xace33d… |
| 07-02 04:12:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0xace33d… |
| 07-02 02:44:34 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x198b4a… |
| 07-02 02:44:34 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x198b4a… |
| 07-02 02:44:10 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xaa6a77… |
| 07-02 02:44:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xaa6a77… |
| 07-02 02:44:10 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xaa6a77… |
| 07-02 02:04:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 72 | 88¢ | $63 | 0x71fb35… |
| 07-02 02:04:31 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x71fb35… |
| 07-02 02:04:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x71fb35… |
| 07-01 15:09:58 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xf3a23b… |
| 07-01 15:09:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xf3a23b… |
| 07-01 15:09:58 | Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf…60f7 | No | BUY | 45 | 86¢ | $39 | 0xf3a23b… |
| 07-01 14:19:25 | Vain-Schnitzel 0x6e36…5374 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x7be544… |
| 07-01 14:19:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x7be544… |
| 07-01 14:18:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x88cd19… |
| 07-01 14:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x9079…e5aa | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x88cd19… |
| 07-01 12:33:43 | Ill-Ultimatum 0x17cf…60f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xa5b950… |
| 07-01 12:33:43 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xa5b950… |
| 07-01 12:29:23 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x86f1b5… |
| 07-01 12:29:23 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x86f1b5… |
| 07-01 12:27:52 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $43 | 0x8240d4… |
| 07-01 12:27:52 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $43 | 0x8240d4… |
| 07-01 12:27:52 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | No | SELL | 146 | 85¢ | $124 | 0x8240d4… |
| 07-01 12:27:52 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 46 | 85¢ | $39 | 0x8240d4… |
| 06-30 22:31:26 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x3b2a8b… |
| 06-30 22:31:26 | (anonymous) 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x3b2a8b… |
| 06-30 19:42:40 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xf07244… |
| 06-30 19:42:40 | Good-Stimulation 0xc371…1bcb | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xf07244… |
| 06-30 17:42:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x6565cb… |
| 06-30 17:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x6565cb… |
| 06-30 17:42:01 | (anonymous) 0xc4e1…63dd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6565cb… |
| 06-30 14:41:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x257892… |
| 06-30 14:41:44 | Aromatic-Invasion-Everybody 0x3d60…6df2 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x257892… |
| 06-30 14:41:31 | Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x88fcb2… |
| 06-30 14:41:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xe33fcb… |
| 06-30 14:41:31 | Grave-Streetcar 0x3897…22bb | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xe33fcb… |
| 06-30 14:41:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x88fcb2… |
| 06-29 18:45:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0x5d5d01… |
| 06-29 18:45:16 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 190 | 85¢ | $162 | 0x5d5d01… |
| 06-29 18:45:16 | Unsteady-Loop 0xe2c9…b7c0 | No | SELL | 220 | 85¢ | $187 | 0x5d5d01… |
| 06-28 15:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x90aa…bb09 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x7d0449… |
| 06-28 15:52:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 86¢ | $39 | 0x7d0449… |
| 06-28 15:52:55 | High-Level-Drive 0xbe43…c5b1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x7d0449… |
| 06-28 11:12:28 | High-Level-Drive 0xbe43…c5b1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x877774… |
| 06-28 11:12:28 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x877774… |
| 06-27 17:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0x3e8dd2… |
| 06-27 17:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xd798…f8bc | Yes | BUY | 109 | 15¢ | $17 | 0x3e8dd2… |
| 06-27 17:42:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 90 | 85¢ | $76 | 0x3e8dd2… |
| 06-27 17:42:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 22 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x11835c… |
| 06-27 17:42:14 | (anonymous) 0xd798…f8bc | Yes | BUY | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x11835c… |
| 06-27 17:42:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 22 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x7878bc… |
| 06-27 17:42:04 | (anonymous) 0xd798…f8bc | Yes | BUY | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x7878bc… |
| 06-27 14:11:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x37408f… |
| 06-27 14:11:29 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x37408f… |
| 06-27 10:54:31 | Intentional-Pub 0x192b…17cd | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x616dc0… |
| 06-27 10:54:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x616dc0… |
| 06-27 10:54:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x616dc0… |
| 06-26 21:35:16 | Useful-Gravy 0x35e3…3d33 | Yes | BUY | 647 | 15¢ | $100 | 0xc30149… |
| 06-26 21:35:16 | Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xc30149… |
| 06-26 21:35:16 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 341 | 85¢ | $288 | 0xc30149… |
| 06-26 21:35:16 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 301 | 85¢ | $255 | 0xc30149… |
| 06-26 18:34:49 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xedc2e9… |
| 06-26 18:34:49 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xedc2e9… |
| 06-26 07:09:05 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x7a862b… |
| 06-26 07:09:05 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 34 | 91¢ | $31 | 0x7a862b… |
| 06-26 06:01:16 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0xbdd389… |
| 06-26 06:01:16 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xbdd389… |
| 06-26 04:40:05 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 91 | 90¢ | $82 | 0x9bd636… |
| 06-26 04:40:05 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 224 | 89¢ | $200 | 0x9bd636… |
| 06-26 04:40:05 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x9bd636… |
| 06-26 04:40:05 | Anchored-Petal 0x06e1…696e | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x9bd636… |
| 06-26 04:40:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x9bd636… |
| 06-26 04:40:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x9bd636… |
| 06-24 17:11:46 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x3603ec… |
| 06-24 17:11:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x3603ec… |
| 06-24 17:11:46 | (anonymous) 0x1a54…f101 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x3603ec… |
| 06-24 17:11:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x3603ec… |
| 06-24 16:13:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x8f5f07… |
| 06-24 16:13:14 | (anonymous) 0xe89f…8413 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x8f5f07… |
| 06-24 16:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x1de8…c148 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xfe4c9e… |
| 06-24 16:12:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0xfe4c9e… |