Realized P&L
+$124
Unrealized P&L
-$222
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
5,154
lifetime
Volume
$844.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$164
Open exposure
$15.7K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 21:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$124
Tech
17%
Sports
12% 50% $-9
Politics
9% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +2,670 $2,325 96¢ $2.6K +$252 07-14 15:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,150 $-2,054 96¢ $-2063 $-9 07-03 06:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +1,846 $1,754 97¢ $1.8K +$40 07-03 20:34
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No +1,691 $1,640 97¢ $1.6K +$6 07-15 13:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +1,508 $1,458 97¢ $1.5K +$10 07-09 21:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +1,501 $1,445 97¢ $1.5K +$16 07-09 21:55
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +868 $934 87¢ $757 $-176 07-21 15:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -700 $-618 94¢ $-662 $-44 06-11 02:29
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? No -434 $-422 97¢ $-420 +$2 07-08 15:42
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -440 $-405 93¢ $-409 $-4 07-22 03:08
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +677 $526 48¢ $328 $-197 07-17 14:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +320 $264 92¢ $296 +$32 07-20 07:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +287 $238 95¢ $273 +$35 07-10 19:05
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -289 $-265 94¢ $-273 $-7 06-11 21:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +510 $504 38¢ $196 $-308 07-16 04:26
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-192 96¢ $-191 +$1 07-21 20:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 92¢ $183 +$1 07-10 12:16
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -139 $-137 98¢ $-137 +$0 06-25 11:56
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -135 $-214 100¢ $-134 +$80 07-12 01:42
Will Trump resign before 2027? No +130 $123 96¢ $125 +$2 07-18 19:19
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +105 $50 91¢ $96 +$46 06-18 20:45
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -114 $-91 80¢ $-91 +$1 07-19 16:28
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -53 $-50 98¢ $-52 $-2 06-21 19:54
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes -511 $-36 $-36 +$0 07-21 05:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 06-01 12:24
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes -62 $-6 $-3 +$3 06-03 04:21