Realized P&L
+$124
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,076
lifetime
Volume
$699.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$14.1K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 03:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
67% 100% +$124
Tech
19%
Politics
11% 100% +$9
Sports
3% 50% $-9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +2,621 $2,526 99¢ $2.6K +$57 06-27 14:37
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +1,975 $1,668 94¢ $1.9K +$195 07-01 08:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +1,546 $1,469 95¢ $1.5K +$7 06-27 09:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +1,177 $1,133 96¢ $1.1K +$3 07-01 08:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,100 $-1,047 95¢ $-1047 +$0 06-30 08:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +1,074 $1,038 97¢ $1.0K +$2 07-01 08:12
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,065 $987 91¢ $969 $-18 06-30 21:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -700 $-618 92¢ $-640 $-22 06-11 02:29
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No +603 $583 97¢ $583 +$1 06-30 18:11
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,200 $791 45¢ $540 $-251 06-17 16:51
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +544 $492 90¢ $488 $-4 06-29 21:54
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +500 $380 82¢ $412 +$32 06-22 21:02
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +400 $351 94¢ $375 +$24 06-21 00:18
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -289 $-265 94¢ $-271 $-6 06-11 21:32
Trump out as President before 2027? No +184 $142 92¢ $168 +$26 07-01 03:12
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -139 $-137 97¢ $-135 +$2 06-25 11:56
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +196 $113 64¢ $125 +$12 06-29 07:22
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$0 06-29 21:54
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +105 $50 85¢ $90 +$40 06-18 20:45
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -53 $-50 95¢ $-51 $-0 06-21 19:54
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +69 $88 56¢ $39 $-49 06-17 19:50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 06-01 12:24
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes -62 $-6 $-4 +$1 06-03 04:21