Growing-Way — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,873

lifetime

Volume

$963.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$124

Tech

21% — —

Sports

10% 50% $-9

Politics

8% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	128	$45.1K	24,609	21,410	+3,198	open	—	04-15 02:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	286	$37.7K	21,518	17,690	+3,828	open	—	04-18 04:23
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	52	$24.7K	17,182	8,474	+8,709	open	—	03-18 18:01
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	75	$21.3K	11,700	10,714	+986	open	—	03-18 14:12
trump out as president by march 31	114	$20.9K	11,828	9,597	+2,231	open	—	03-19 22:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	62	$20.7K	15,728	6,512	+9,216	open	—	06-12 19:18
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	56	$20.5K	11,596	11,377	+220	open	—	08-11 13:21
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	76	$19.0K	11,021	9,112	+1,909	open	—	06-30 07:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	37	$17.2K	14,600	3,048	+11,552	open	—	06-12 19:17
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	89	$15.5K	12,735	12,105	+630	open	—	08-05 16:38
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	105	$13.9K	11,442	7,582	+3,860	open	—	08-11 07:36
will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	39	$13.8K	7,949	6,110	+1,839	open	—	07-19 21:36
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	39	$13.6K	7,577	7,841	-264	open	—	07-22 15:45
Fed rate hike in 2026?	55	$12.5K	9,161	9,102	+59	open	—	07-30 05:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	45	$12.5K	8,400	4,314	+4,086	open	—	04-23 21:37
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	44	$11.6K	8,379	4,069	+4,310	open	—	08-10 19:28
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	44	$11.0K	9,302	3,232	+6,070	open	—	08-10 22:25
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	28	$11.0K	6,554	4,664	+1,890	open	—	06-29 23:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	49	$11.0K	5,698	5,960	-263	open	—	08-09 07:35
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	64	$10.8K	7,102	3,966	+3,136	open	—	03-19 01:40
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	39	$10.7K	6,830	4,750	+2,080	open	—	06-12 19:19
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	33	$10.5K	6,743	3,894	+2,848	open	—	04-26 02:40
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	51	$10.4K	8,468	3,522	+4,947	open	—	08-10 22:47
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	66	$9.8K	4,796	5,252	-456	open	—	07-26 07:50
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	48	$9.6K	5,828	5,487	+341	open	—	01-09 01:53
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	79	$9.2K	8,159	2,043	+6,115	open	—	04-28 01:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	25	$9.2K	4,865	5,031	-166	open	—	06-12 19:16
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	71	$8.9K	6,024	3,969	+2,056	open	—	05-11 01:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	60	$8.7K	5,198	5,383	-185	open	—	06-12 18:50
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	114	$8.6K	3,899	4,758	-859	open	—	04-24 11:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 13:21:55	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	700	89¢	$623	0xc0e304…
08-11 10:46:48	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	197	73¢	$144	0x0509e4…
08-11 08:09:51	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xeb0d97…
08-11 07:56:09	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	No	BUY	537	96¢	$517	0xc2f45c…
08-11 07:55:34	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	128	89¢	$114	0x93e899…
08-11 07:55:31	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	468	88¢	$412	0xe75209…
08-11 07:52:18	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	124	70¢	$87	0x693690…
08-11 07:36:52	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc0b097…
08-11 07:36:24	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	942	85¢	$801	0x68fbdd…
08-11 06:38:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x344ad3…
08-11 06:26:06	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x3b4561…
08-11 06:25:58	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	53	82¢	$43	0x7fa8c0…
08-11 05:42:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	382	65¢	$248	0xcd70d6…
08-11 05:42:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	172	67¢	$115	0x243367…
08-11 05:42:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xc559a4…
08-11 03:22:49	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	136	84¢	$114	0xf19be1…
08-11 03:18:42	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	149	78¢	$116	0xf369ed…
08-11 02:48:22	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	SELL	202	98¢	$198	0x26842c…
08-11 02:45:13	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0x344f7f…
08-11 02:41:28	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	1,160	87¢	$1,009	0xe8ff69…
08-11 02:25:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x6f506c…
08-11 02:12:57	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xbd6616…
08-11 02:12:57	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	282	84¢	$237	0x528d5b…
08-11 02:12:54	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	347	84¢	$291	0x2c9496…
08-11 02:12:52	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xfee528…
08-11 02:12:52	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0x977837…
08-11 02:12:52	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	2,062	82¢	$1,690	0x709d5a…
08-11 02:11:06	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0xadafbb…
08-11 01:39:12	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	40	84¢	$33	0x385881…
08-11 01:30:48	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	SELL	1,648	97¢	$1,595	0x2ab1b0…
08-11 01:28:19	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	766	42¢	$322	0x3371cc…
08-11 01:28:06	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0xa97dcf…
08-11 01:27:55	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	SELL	795	97¢	$770	0xe54728…
08-11 01:27:55	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0a1fbb…
08-11 01:26:57	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xe7381e…
08-11 01:23:58	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	SELL	250	97¢	$243	0x9fbaad…
08-11 01:17:24	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	130	78¢	$101	0x0d226c…
08-11 01:16:42	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	SELL	270	98¢	$264	0x7add4f…
08-11 01:07:12	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	54¢	$21	0x97b1bb…
08-11 01:01:15	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	300	77¢	$231	0xba1cd3…
08-11 01:01:12	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	176	76¢	$134	0x47efd9…
08-11 01:01:01	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x2933bc…
08-11 01:01:00	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xb9fad2…
08-11 01:00:57	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x44bcfb…
08-11 01:00:57	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x33b101…
08-11 01:00:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x7d6cfc…
08-11 01:00:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x6a1aeb…
08-11 01:00:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	246	59¢	$145	0x4ef57b…
08-11 01:00:28	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9d0bc2…
08-11 01:00:28	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x8c7204…
08-11 00:35:31	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0xf284c8…
08-11 00:04:36	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x092752…
08-10 23:55:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdf0a3d…
08-10 23:54:40	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x845654…
08-10 23:52:58	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	38	60¢	$22	0xd7ca31…
08-10 23:27:13	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xe6e74a…
08-10 22:56:33	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x9b0d4a…
08-10 22:47:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x01844c…
08-10 22:25:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	738	87¢	$642	0xb7e545…
08-10 22:23:24	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4da100…
08-10 20:30:13	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x2b8d6f…
08-10 19:28:39	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	349	98¢	$343	0x89cf53…
08-10 19:04:52	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	14¢	$37	0x697c77…
08-10 18:52:25	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	126	80¢	$101	0xa2915e…
08-10 18:43:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	73	78¢	$57	0x731bf0…
08-10 18:08:13	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x65655f…
08-10 16:56:51	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0x8515fa…
08-10 16:05:40	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	600	72¢	$432	0x6122a1…
08-10 15:28:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	52	78¢	$41	0x844480…
08-10 15:26:54	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x3a4d39…
08-10 15:03:09	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x1978cf…
08-10 14:51:18	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x4a8d49…
08-10 14:45:45	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x3e69c4…
08-10 13:55:09	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x1e9b83…
08-10 13:08:19	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	800	96¢	$771	0xacd39a…
08-10 13:05:34	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0xf9a86c…
08-10 10:26:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x5e290d…
08-10 10:08:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	52	62¢	$32	0x3791af…
08-10 09:54:04	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0e83a8…
08-10 09:39:43	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7e386f…
08-10 06:58:45	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	53	88¢	$47	0x33ee79…
08-10 06:57:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0xfb9b98…
08-10 06:52:03	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x2eda0d…
08-10 06:23:45	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xe33d12…
08-10 06:22:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	38	58¢	$22	0x3bf5ab…
08-10 04:44:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	348	77¢	$268	0xd51826…
08-10 04:03:19	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xe600d8…
08-10 03:59:52	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xd89700…
08-10 03:22:31	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe4d545…
08-10 03:19:46	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xac13d3…
08-10 03:14:37	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa979b8…
08-10 01:13:27	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x01eafd…
08-10 00:39:21	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x65516e…
08-10 00:05:46	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	58	88¢	$51	0xac633f…
08-09 21:56:42	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	800	89¢	$712	0xfa0caf…
08-09 21:47:39	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xe5bbc7…
08-09 18:44:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	157	85¢	$133	0x202afe…
08-09 18:17:24	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	89¢	$74	0xbb53b9…
08-09 17:09:18	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x150ef6…
08-09 17:09:09	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	158	86¢	$135	0x30011c…