Fragrant-Firewall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$881

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$251.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-14 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 0% $-875

Other

32% 0% $-6

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	28	$16.5K	9,043	9,043	+0	open	—	04-22 06:54
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$15.4K	7,986	7,986	+0	open	—	03-01 01:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$13.5K	12,999	1,984	+11,014	open	—	03-02 00:21
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	12	$12.9K	6,639	6,639	+0	open	—	03-27 13:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	20	$10.7K	6,797	6,797	+0	open	—	03-09 08:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	22	$10.1K	5,885	5,591	+294	open	—	06-16 16:26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	8	$8.8K	2,842	6,463	-3,620	open	—	08-06 16:56
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	16	$7.6K	4,837	4,837	+0	open	—	06-17 14:52
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	6	$7.4K	3,764	3,764	+0	open	—	07-23 08:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$6.6K	4,000	4,000	-0	open	—	06-12 05:26
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	5	$6.6K	3,328	3,328	+0	open	—	02-25 10:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$5.4K	2,964	2,964	-0	open	—	08-08 15:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$4.9K	1,800	3,400	-1,600	open	—	07-01 07:25
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	43	$4.5K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	03-22 02:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$4.1K	0	4,246	-4,246	open	—	06-11 15:44
will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	7	$4.1K	2,102	2,102	+0	open	—	08-09 08:55
khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	3	$4.0K	2,013	2,013	+0	open	—	03-01 01:48
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	7	$4.0K	2,086	2,086	+0	open	—	08-11 19:22
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	4	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-17 01:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	17	$3.9K	4,582	4,582	+0	open	—	04-20 22:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$3.8K	2,648	1,324	+1,324	open	—	07-28 18:40
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	4	$3.8K	2,671	1,181	+1,490	open	—	07-27 17:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$3.7K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-05 06:29
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	8	$3.6K	2,632	2,632	+0	open	—	07-11 19:53
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?	1	$3.5K	3,483	0	+3,483	open	—	01-30 16:18
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	46	$3.5K	7,303	7,303	+0	open	—	06-17 06:39
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	5	$3.2K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	07-22 14:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	10	$3.0K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	04-21 00:47
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$2.6K	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	03-27 01:39
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	18	$2.4K	2,300	2,283	+17	open	—	06-01 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 08:35:00	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x7ffc8a…
08-13 22:05:00	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	410	54¢	$223	0xfa006d…
08-12 21:17:45	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	SELL	102	89¢	$91	0x353380…
08-11 22:17:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	59¢	$236	0xd26c62…
08-11 19:22:30	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	1,256	96¢	$1,202	0xffe8ee…
08-11 12:09:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	59¢	$236	0x76a19a…
08-11 06:39:00	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	SELL	797	88¢	$702	0x9ecac3…
08-09 08:55:31	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	No	SELL	525	99¢	$519	0x8a3783…
08-08 15:53:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,660	92¢	$1,527	0x25d013…
08-08 05:15:09	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Up	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x42836e…
08-08 05:13:19	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Up	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x1d9e9f…
08-08 05:12:57	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Up	SELL	69	42¢	$29	0x7c62a5…
08-08 05:10:36	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Up	SELL	31	42¢	$13	0x1ca903…
08-08 05:09:52	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Down	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0xc1894f…
08-08 05:08:33	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Down	BUY	91	54¢	$49	0x380455…
08-08 05:08:09	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf52f5a…
08-08 05:07:52	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x12f695…
08-08 05:04:33	btc updown 4h 1786161600	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x6a3e72…
08-06 19:12:08	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	No	SELL	525	98¢	$517	0x8bddbd…
08-06 16:56:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	641	96¢	$616	0x5608ca…
08-05 16:10:05	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	675	98¢	$662	0xfde0bf…
08-04 13:50:56	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x607964…
08-04 13:02:41	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	154	87¢	$134	0x4a0f93…
08-04 05:31:59	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xdc8d9d…
08-04 05:00:08	spy closes above 745 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x27478f…
08-04 02:23:45	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x40e5d8…
08-04 02:23:44	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x175a07…
08-04 02:02:42	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x19577a…
08-04 02:02:39	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3ad591…
08-04 02:02:29	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7b55df…
08-04 02:01:47	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3c0867…
08-04 01:59:15	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xc39159…
08-04 01:59:12	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xec20a3…
08-04 01:59:12	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2f5a8a…
08-04 01:59:12	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x07a88a…
08-04 01:57:20	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa1c756…
08-04 01:56:14	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x615272…
08-04 01:54:54	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa5236b…
08-04 01:54:53	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1ba756…
08-04 01:52:51	spy closes above 760 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe9a7a2…
08-04 01:17:57	spy closes above 740 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7f9526…
08-04 01:17:38	spy closes above 740 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb04b7c…
08-03 11:40:11	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,200	88¢	$1,056	0x87307c…
08-02 22:31:56	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x4ab6ed…
08-01 23:18:18	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	108	96¢	$104	0xdcb2d4…
08-01 18:58:38	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xe0aec8…
08-01 18:57:57	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x45ce74…
08-01 18:49:32	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	No	SELL	1,051	98¢	$1,028	0x3ff5b3…
07-28 18:40:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,324	95¢	$1,261	0x48cd56…
07-28 18:25:37	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xbca9c4…
07-28 18:23:11	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xe63aee…
07-28 18:22:25	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0x8b79ef…
07-28 18:00:35	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	No	BUY	49	89¢	$44	0x3daf96…
07-28 17:59:46	will trump say nobody like him during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556638	No	SELL	300	60¢	$181	0xc1fbd3…
07-28 17:48:13	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	352	74¢	$261	0x68674a…
07-28 17:47:28	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	48	74¢	$35	0x18be5c…
07-28 17:43:23	will trump say forever during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556646	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x93deab…
07-28 17:33:52	will trump say forever during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556646	Yes	BUY	53	64¢	$34	0x1bd6c8…
07-28 17:15:05	will trump say nobody like him during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556638	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x47b5ff…
07-28 17:04:35	will trump say security during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556649	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x6e02a7…
07-28 17:02:34	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	No	BUY	254	99¢	$252	0x3b615a…
07-28 16:56:02	will trump say security during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556649	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x863499…
07-28 16:52:47	will trump say patriot during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556643	Yes	SELL	300	69¢	$207	0x432b13…
07-28 16:47:07	will trump say patriot during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556643	Yes	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x891f1d…
07-28 16:45:41	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6763f4…
07-27 17:04:43	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x66d7b3…
07-27 17:04:28	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	87¢	$54	0x36373a…
07-27 17:04:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,304	91¢	$1,187	0x441c12…
07-24 13:24:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	500	48¢	$240	0x9ef6fc…
07-24 13:23:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	454	47¢	$213	0x89ba00…
07-24 13:14:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xba7588…
07-24 13:14:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0x1c2f4c…
07-24 09:58:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x90ceb3…
07-24 09:43:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	185	51¢	$94	0xfbc157…
07-24 09:42:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcdfbc2…
07-24 09:41:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	213	51¢	$109	0xafced9…
07-24 09:26:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	357	21¢	$75	0xf77ca0…
07-24 09:24:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x06b4f5…
07-24 09:23:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x978be7…
07-24 09:23:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xc853a0…
07-24 09:22:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	143	21¢	$30	0xc50736…
07-24 09:18:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	260	21¢	$55	0xb8148a…
07-24 09:03:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	800	21¢	$168	0xa72012…
07-23 11:17:15	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	No	BUY	999	97¢	$971	0x7ee660…
07-23 08:18:01	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	830	96¢	$800	0xb1fb9e…
07-23 08:17:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,630	92¢	$1,500	0x1b8964…
07-23 08:13:52	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	958	81¢	$776	0xc689e9…
07-23 08:13:36	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	SELL	3,764	98¢	$3,699	0x9bc889…
07-23 08:11:54	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	115	42¢	$48	0xed3309…
07-23 00:49:43	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	SELL	300	80¢	$240	0x98073a…
07-22 20:47:24	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	411	99¢	$408	0x065289…
07-22 20:47:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	641	96¢	$612	0x37a3d7…
07-22 20:46:36	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	450	96¢	$430	0xed86d1…
07-22 15:14:36	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	675	97¢	$652	0x052fa4…
07-22 15:14:34	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105	91¢	$96	0x73d4e4…
07-22 15:13:30	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,181	98¢	$1,156	0x67c899…
07-22 15:08:36	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	No	BUY	374	96¢	$358	0x173a6e…
07-22 14:47:54	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	812	100¢	$809	0x40bf30…
07-22 12:11:03	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xa69a46…
07-22 12:05:54	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0x5a8748…