Realized P&L
-$6.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.01K
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
19
Trades
4,018
lifetime
Volume
$2.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$656
Open exposure
$69.3K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-10 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-3,440
Other
26% 78% +$5,095
Sports
15% 33% $-11,508
Crypto
7% 60% +$3,118
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 357 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +46,954 $21,969 54¢ $25.1K +$3,151 06-08 03:17
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +19,093 $13,718 76¢ $14.6K +$889 06-10 05:19
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +13,120 $12,428 97¢ $12.8K +$338 06-08 20:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -6,999 $-6,509 88¢ $-6166 +$343 05-29 04:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -5,000 $-4,750 94¢ $-4725 +$25 06-09 22:18
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Yes +1,359 $1,208 93¢ $1.3K +$54 06-08 15:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +1,500 $975 60¢ $908 $-67 06-05 15:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +1,012 $815 80¢ $805 $-10 06-05 15:12
Stripe IPO before 2027? No +657 $578 89¢ $585 +$7 06-01 20:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,000 $-1,600 16¢ $-495 +$1,105 05-28 14:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +500 $435 91¢ $454 +$18 06-05 15:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -1,999 $-860 20¢ $-410 +$450 05-28 17:48
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,000 $650 $400 $-250 05-28 19:26
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +354 $265 78¢ $278 +$12 06-09 06:02
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +200 $180 91¢ $182 +$2 06-10 02:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +106 $98 95¢ $100 +$2 06-09 17:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $80 $26 $-54 05-27 21:12