Fabulous-Online 0x3a8aa3…be7699
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.73M
Unrealized P&L
+$47.7K
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved
1,141
Trades
17,904
lifetime
Volume
$15.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$876
Open exposure
$1.73M
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 11-01 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Other
76% 59% +$1,584,360
Politics
15% 74% +$145,715
Sports
5% 59% -$14,213
Tech
3% 100% +$12,500
Crypto
1% 64% +$5,981
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 542 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +643,512 $519,443 97¢ $623.9K +$104,442 10-30 00:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +179,855 $162,744 95¢ $171.5K +$8,748 10-30 20:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +179,970 $136,466 70¢ $125.1K -$11,387 10-30 14:51
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +111,923 $78,292 82¢ $91.8K +$13,485 10-30 20:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +96,849 $81,556 80¢ $77.0K -$4,561 10-31 23:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +75,000 $68,900 94¢ $70.9K +$1,975 10-29 23:05
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +106,000 $90,160 54¢ $57.2K -$32,920 08-13 12:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +60,000 $55,000 94¢ $56.7K +$1,700 10-25 23:02
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +80,000 $65,000 70¢ $56.4K -$8,600 10-11 12:35
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +54,502 $41,802 98¢ $53.6K +$11,801 07-12 00:23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +55,394 $44,115 92¢ $50.7K +$6,599 10-30 20:28
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +87,019 $94,296 56¢ $48.6K -$45,739 11-01 00:52
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50,000 $42,500 72¢ $36.2K -$6,250 09-30 12:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +43,546 $30,468 70¢ $30.3K -$204 10-31 19:43
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +26,910 $22,850 99¢ $26.6K +$3,710 07-14 12:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +18,544 $17,780 97¢ $18.0K +$264 10-29 17:39
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,700 86¢ $17.2K -$500 09-13 05:16
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 No +17,000 $14,850 95¢ $16.1K +$1,283 07-21 21:13
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +15,451 $14,527 96¢ $14.9K +$352 09-16 20:48
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +13,000 $11,860 97¢ $12.7K +$802 08-11 07:19
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 No +10,512 $9,721 97¢ $10.2K +$449 10-15 23:04
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +11,921 $9,915 84¢ $10.0K +$39 10-01 21:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +9,000 $8,630 97¢ $8.7K +$95 10-23 21:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8,000 $7,485 97¢ $7.8K +$295 05-22 09:35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +8,038 $7,617 95¢ $7.6K +$27 10-25 07:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +7,500 $5,669 78¢ $5.8K +$181 10-27 22:40
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +13,000 $6,370 44¢ $5.7K -$715 05-20 17:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,580 98¢ $4.9K +$332 05-22 08:34
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +5,000 $3,580 96¢ $4.8K +$1,223 07-05 05:25
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,700 $3,711 94¢ $4.4K +$730 05-23 15:02