Realized P&L
-$6.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$25.3K
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
19
Trades
6,027
lifetime
Volume
$3.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$534
Open exposure
$238.5K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 07-20 12:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
43% 0% $-3,440
Other
37% 78% +$5,095
Sports
13% 33% $-11,508
Crypto
6% 60% +$3,118
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 513 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +114,542 $53,650 58¢ $67.0K +$13,357 07-16 03:15
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +63,414 $61,546 100¢ $63.2K +$1,646 07-15 03:34
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +49,416 $37,793 84¢ $41.8K +$3,964 07-12 00:23
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +42,068 $39,337 96¢ $40.5K +$1,153 07-18 15:01
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +6,705 $6,124 94¢ $6.3K +$145 07-08 12:39
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +5,860 $4,937 90¢ $5.3K +$325 07-14 02:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -5,000 $-4,750 98¢ $-4882 $-132 06-09 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -7,990 $-7,051 55¢ $-4355 +$2,696 06-25 11:53
Stripe IPO before 2027? No +1,559 $1,363 95¢ $1.5K +$124 07-04 15:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1,248 $1,111 93¢ $1.2K +$54 06-21 16:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -8,000 $-2,720 14¢ $-1080 +$1,640 06-11 19:35
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,700 $272 44¢ $748 +$476 06-17 13:24
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +377 $283 82¢ $311 +$28 06-15 05:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -5,000 $-500 $-275 +$225 06-11 13:37
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,000 $650 $238 $-412 05-28 19:26
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +3 $1 48¢ $1 +$0 06-17 19:19