Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$772
Trades
31
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$5,963
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-15 12:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $220 | $220 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $1 | $22 | $21 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $5 | $95 | $90 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $12 | — | +$12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | $29 | $29 |
| Below median | 4 | $5 | $5 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $208 | $208 |
| unranked | 5 | $11 | $95 | $84 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd031…b594 | Yes | +150 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 08-12 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +102 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-02 01:49 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +64 | $56 | $326 | 2 | 08-12 20:57 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-31 04:58 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +28 | $2 | $6 | 4 | 08-12 20:57 |
| Easy-Going-Garlic 0x4563…ddd1 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 00:40 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 08-11 08:10 |
| Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-15 12:51 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-11 08:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 12:51:30 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xaaff17… |
| 08-15 12:51:30 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xaaff17… |
| 08-12 20:57:15 | (anonymous) 0xd031…b594 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x3cc0da… |
| 08-12 20:57:15 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3cc0da… |
| 08-12 20:57:15 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3cc0da… |
| 08-12 20:57:15 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 205 | 93¢ | $191 | 0x3cc0da… |
| 08-11 08:10:30 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x25780f… |
| 08-11 08:10:30 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x25780f… |
| 08-11 08:10:30 | (anonymous) 0xd031…b594 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x25780f… |
| 08-04 09:00:41 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | SELL | 23 | 95¢ | $22 | 0x5c7c86… |
| 08-04 09:00:41 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x5c7c86… |
| 08-04 09:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5c7c86… |
| 07-31 04:58:50 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | SELL | 141 | 96¢ | $135 | 0x9ddae4… |
| 07-31 04:58:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9ddae4… |
| 07-31 04:58:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x9ddae4… |
| 07-31 04:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x9ddae4… |
| 07-10 00:40:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd47432… |
| 07-10 00:40:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd47432… |
| 07-10 00:40:34 | Easy-Going-Garlic 0x4563…ddd1 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd47432… |
| 06-15 12:35:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2a1465… |
| 06-15 12:35:51 | Heavy-Consequence 0xc73f…6a31 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x2a1465… |
| 06-15 12:35:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2a1465… |
| 06-15 12:35:51 | (anonymous) 0xf8bb…fb35 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2a1465… |
| 06-02 01:49:35 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | SELL | 156 | 93¢ | $146 | 0x3aaf39… |
| 06-02 01:49:35 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 102 | 93¢ | $95 | 0x3aaf39… |
| 06-02 01:49:35 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3aaf39… |
| 05-27 23:56:21 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x3bc6a4… |
| 05-27 23:56:21 | Feisty-Orientation 0xe9c1…e713 | Yes | SELL | 148 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x3bc6a4… |
| 05-27 23:56:21 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3bc6a4… |
| 05-27 23:56:21 | Heavy-Consequence 0xc73f…6a31 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x3bc6a4… |
| 05-27 23:56:21 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3bc6a4… |