Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f08…7b4652
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$47.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$554
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
6,916
lifetime
Volume
$10.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.53K
Open exposure
$28.2K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-21 11:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$46,528
Politics
41% — —
Sports
3% 100% +$536
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +10,475 $10,240 98¢ $10.2K +$10 07-19 04:50
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +4,981 $4,682 96¢ $4.8K +$75 06-29 21:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3,000 $3,045 99¢ $3.0K $-80 07-21 11:56
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +1,273 $1,211 97¢ $1.2K +$20 07-15 06:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,041 $1,000 98¢ $1.0K +$16 07-10 09:25
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No +1,087 $964 92¢ $995 +$31 07-16 20:38
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1,000 $981 98¢ $980 $-1 07-21 03:57
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +1,000 $940 98¢ $979 +$39 06-27 15:19
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +1,010 $974 97¢ $975 +$1 07-21 05:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1,500 $844 57¢ $855 +$11 07-17 19:18
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No +667 $645 97¢ $649 +$4 07-08 01:42
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No +588 $564 98¢ $576 +$12 07-08 01:44
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No +561 $538 98¢ $553 +$15 07-09 22:59
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? No +282 $271 98¢ $277 +$6 07-04 15:14
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -1,000 $-538 18¢ $-175 +$363 06-10 15:58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +200 $135 82¢ $165 +$30 06-10 16:05
Fed abolished before 2027? No +164 $160 99¢ $162 +$1 07-09 22:15
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$0 06-30 20:47
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$0 07-03 08:53
Will Morgan Stanley fail by end of 2026? No +100 $98 98¢ $98 +$0 07-21 05:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$2 06-12 13:54
Will the Seattle Storm make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +100 $95 94¢ $94 $-1 07-12 03:02
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026? No +94 $93 99¢ $93 +$1 07-21 05:22
Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-27 03:27
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +13 $11 84¢ $11 +$0 07-21 03:59
Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +11 $10 80¢ $9 $-2 06-27 03:27
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +9 $9 88¢ $8 $-1 06-27 03:27
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-29 05:05