Fluid-Deadline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,035

lifetime

Volume

$10.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.51K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-06 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$46,528

Politics

41% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$536

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	451	$1.30M	666,990	666,990	+0	open	—	02-12 04:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1,455	$1.18M	1,233,751	8,866	+1,224,884	open	—	02-24 09:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	109	$865.1K	840,000	30,000	+810,000	open	—	01-28 03:13
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1,068	$846.6K	893,126	0	+893,126	Yes	+$46,515	04-27 15:57
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	121	$799.0K	803,725	0	+803,725	open	—	01-26 20:42
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	56	$755.2K	381,794	382,576	-782	open	—	01-30 20:13
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	145	$635.9K	639,505	0	+639,505	open	—	02-03 23:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	45	$590.8K	297,024	297,024	+0	open	—	01-30 20:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	220	$573.6K	578,959	0	+578,959	open	—	06-17 01:44
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	52	$299.3K	299,972	0	+299,972	open	—	02-03 03:55
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	51	$149.6K	151,705	0	+151,705	open	—	01-24 03:58
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	3	$138.3K	69,243	69,243	-0	open	—	01-26 18:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	105	$135.7K	148,878	0	+148,878	open	—	06-09 14:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	153	$124.0K	95,524	42,396	+53,128	open	—	07-01 18:59
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	72	$108.2K	108,618	0	+108,618	open	—	01-30 00:58
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$102.1K	102,289	0	+102,289	open	—	01-25 04:44
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	22	$93.1K	93,641	0	+93,641	open	—	01-25 02:42
nothing ever happens microstrategy	81	$92.8K	115,216	90,000	+25,216	open	—	03-16 12:00
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	59	$91.3K	91,374	0	+91,374	open	—	02-02 22:54
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?	26	$71.9K	40,141	40,140	+0	open	—	02-24 07:33
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	34	$66.2K	68,665	6,930	+61,735	open	—	01-30 22:45
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$55.3K	55,382	0	+55,382	open	—	01-30 22:45
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$48.7K	52,704	0	+52,704	open	—	04-05 22:45
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	1	$47.0K	47,062	0	+47,062	open	—	02-03 21:30
spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	9	$45.7K	45,770	0	+45,770	open	—	01-23 21:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	12	$44.5K	45,000	0	+45,000	open	—	01-31 19:15
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	89	$42.6K	68,042	0	+68,042	open	—	03-30 00:05
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	5	$36.5K	19,384	19,384	+0	open	—	01-30 20:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$35.8K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	03-23 21:04
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	112	$34.8K	29,541	26,541	+3,000	open	—	01-30 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 08:00:11	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	1,024	65¢	$666	0x9cc838…
08-06 07:59:48	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xfbe541…
08-06 07:59:48	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x4efb94…
08-06 07:59:47	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x54baba…
08-06 07:51:26	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xb8ae05…
08-06 07:51:17	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x92776c…
08-06 07:51:08	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xfb8422…
08-06 07:50:59	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x320fd2…
08-06 07:50:50	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xd3c972…
08-06 07:50:41	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xa99b97…
08-06 07:50:30	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x84d7f4…
08-06 07:50:21	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x419a22…
08-06 07:50:11	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xadcf1a…
08-06 07:50:02	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xb8d89f…
08-06 07:49:50	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x21b7c2…
08-06 07:42:08	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x094c47…
08-06 07:41:59	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x3c0e75…
08-06 07:41:48	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x648cc4…
08-06 07:41:38	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x30f926…
08-06 07:41:27	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x2c4e86…
08-06 07:41:17	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x4f43cf…
08-06 07:41:06	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x076bf5…
08-06 07:40:57	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x49fb11…
08-06 07:40:48	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xca4f6c…
08-06 07:40:38	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xa7c85c…
08-06 07:40:27	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x2ec55f…
08-06 07:40:17	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xc82d09…
08-06 07:40:06	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x253093…
08-06 07:39:56	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xb3f70a…
08-06 07:39:47	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xa58159…
08-06 07:39:38	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xf00da3…
08-06 07:39:29	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x0db16d…
08-06 07:39:18	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x3736d0…
08-06 07:20:18	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	68	85¢	$57	0x8b0aba…
08-06 07:15:47	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	115	86¢	$99	0x05cb2d…
08-06 07:14:54	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	408	88¢	$359	0x84fb88…
08-05 20:44:26	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0xdf2537…
08-05 20:42:17	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x2320fa…
08-05 20:39:05	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x3b2309…
08-05 20:34:03	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xb59e85…
08-05 20:29:32	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	140	90¢	$126	0x60783f…
08-05 19:10:56	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	145	90¢	$130	0x0a4f81…
08-05 19:10:53	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	140	90¢	$126	0xc92e50…
08-05 17:30:38	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	406	91¢	$369	0xf602c9…
08-05 17:29:50	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	133	91¢	$121	0xd65088…
08-05 17:16:35	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0x677a04…
08-05 17:10:53	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	937	96¢	$896	0x7eb166…
08-05 12:51:41	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	5,000	95¢	$4,733	0xff8c35…
08-05 12:47:59	Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,553	85¢	$1,323	0x5e4c47…
08-05 12:45:29	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	588	96¢	$564	0x1c58ae…
08-05 12:44:32	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	9,030	97¢	$8,787	0x43cb02…
08-05 12:14:23	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1000 20260623232159228	Yes	SELL	113	84¢	$95	0x6c6f9f…
08-05 11:09:41	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x44f67e…
08-05 09:31:57	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x997577…
08-05 08:42:17	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x905e6a…
08-05 05:48:45	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1000 20260623232159228	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x874085…
08-05 05:45:18	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe105c5…
08-05 02:41:24	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xeb6f95…
08-05 02:07:29	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc6d834…
08-05 00:15:12	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb5d821…
08-04 21:21:05	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x938f02…
08-04 16:11:33	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6c25e1…
08-04 15:05:27	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9a1d3a…
08-04 10:19:47	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	591	98¢	$578	0x69dbd1…
08-04 10:19:15	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	800	98¢	$783	0x2ef8b6…
08-04 10:16:45	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	SELL	2,171	97¢	$2,100	0x32f3d5…
08-04 10:16:14	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	1,181	95¢	$1,124	0x1b3638…
08-04 10:15:38	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,010	97¢	$980	0xb3d23a…
08-04 10:15:27	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0x18cbef…
08-04 10:15:09	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$973	0xad8d1c…
08-04 10:14:35	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	738	97¢	$719	0x81d5cb…
08-04 10:14:18	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	604	99¢	$600	0xe99d32…
08-04 10:13:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	726	98¢	$713	0x1ab186…
08-04 10:13:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1,087	98¢	$1,061	0x5de740…
08-04 10:12:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	568	96¢	$545	0xeef5a6…
08-04 10:12:39	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0xafab1b…
08-04 10:11:08	Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?	No	SELL	409	97¢	$397	0x8cf3c4…
08-04 10:10:21	Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	242	93¢	$224	0xd192d9…
08-04 10:01:29	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xe77db7…
08-04 10:01:18	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	SELL	164	97¢	$159	0xec7750…
08-04 09:58:53	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	161	91¢	$146	0xf7a2ad…
08-04 09:57:29	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x84f448…
08-04 09:57:18	Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x0f6fb8…
08-04 09:57:03	Will Morgan Stanley fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x285e93…
08-04 09:54:48	Will the Seattle Storm make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x00a9cb…
08-04 09:50:57	Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x6354f7…
08-04 09:50:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x7b9f35…
08-04 09:50:29	Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0x894231…
08-04 09:49:24	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,685	0¢	$6	0x428c81…
08-04 09:49:02	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf2e9aa…
08-04 09:00:53	will puka nacua be on the cover of madden nfl 27	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0xb45887…
08-04 09:00:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x5c7c86…
08-04 08:59:38	Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x7d9d12…
08-04 08:47:08	Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?	Up	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0xe9a49b…
08-04 08:46:42	Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x249d0e…
08-04 08:46:12	Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xc6fa44…
07-30 18:59:00	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xc7960e…
07-30 18:06:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	512	99¢	$507	0x82a45f…
07-30 17:39:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2,832	74¢	$2,096	0x9f7392…
07-30 16:29:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x01fe47…