Realized P&L
+$47.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.30K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
6,313
lifetime
Volume
$10.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.63K
Open exposure
$66.0K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-30 23:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$46,528
Politics
42%
Sports
3% 100% +$536
Tech
2%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +30,692 $30,660 100¢ $30.7K +$2 06-30 04:59
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +14,076 $14,047 100¢ $14.1K +$14 06-24 13:18
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +4,981 $4,682 94¢ $4.7K +$25 06-29 21:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3,319 $-2,600 99¢ $3.3K +$5,896 06-30 13:51
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? No +2,946 $2,940 100¢ $2.9K +$0 06-24 13:17
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +2,000 $1,995 100¢ $2.0K +$3 06-23 14:17
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +1,873 $1,832 98¢ $1.8K +$6 07-01 03:18
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +1,563 $1,561 100¢ $1.6K +$0 06-26 14:08
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +1,000 $940 94¢ $940 +$0 06-27 15:19
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No +1,029 $913 89¢ $916 +$3 06-27 02:27
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +837 $790 97¢ $809 +$19 05-30 09:54
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +500 $498 100¢ $499 +$0 06-27 18:32
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No +501 $478 98¢ $492 +$14 06-05 13:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -1,000 $-538 24¢ $-240 +$298 06-10 15:58
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +199 $194 99¢ $196 +$2 06-27 04:41
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No +178 $171 97¢ $172 +$1 05-29 05:06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +200 $135 76¢ $152 +$17 06-10 16:05
Fed abolished before 2027? No +129 $126 98¢ $126 $-1 06-29 04:19
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? No +100 $98 98¢ $98 $-1 06-30 20:47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$2 06-12 13:54
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$2 06-27 04:40
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026? No +59 $58 99¢ $58 +$0 06-29 16:21
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? No +34 $34 98¢ $34 +$0 06-29 05:06
Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +20 $19 91¢ $18 $-1 06-27 03:27
Will Morgan Stanley fail by end of 2026? No +13 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 06-29 05:07
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 06-17 20:51
Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +11 $10 87¢ $9 $-1 06-27 03:27
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +9 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-27 03:27
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-29 05:05