Realized P&L
+$158.9K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
84.8%
Resolved
577
Trades
9,975
lifetime
Volume
$11.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.19K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 08-06 08:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
52%
80%
+$34,925
Politics
38%
79%
+$51,011
Sports
5%
72%
+$39,826
Tech
4%
90%
+$37,587
Crypto
2%
80%
-$4,419
Pop-Culture
0%
50%
-$12
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 451 | $1.30M | 666,990 | 666,990 | +0 | No | -$12,802 | 02-12 04:22 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 1,455 | $1.18M | 1,233,751 | 8,866 | +1,224,884 | Yes | +$56,978 | 02-24 09:04 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 109 | $865.1K | 840,000 | 30,000 | +810,000 | Yes | +$4,271 | 01-28 03:13 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1,072 | $846.7K | 893,226 | 0 | +893,226 | Yes | +$46,516 | 04-29 14:15 |
| si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128 | 121 | $799.0K | 803,725 | 0 | +803,725 | Yes | +$4,760 | 01-26 20:42 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | 56 | $755.2K | 381,794 | 382,576 | -782 | No | +$8,441 | 01-30 20:13 |
| will the government shutdown last 5 days or more | 145 | $635.9K | 639,505 | 0 | +639,505 | No | +$3,603 | 02-03 23:03 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 45 | $590.8K | 297,024 | 297,024 | +0 | No | +$2,636 | 01-30 20:13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 227 | $585.9K | 591,633 | 0 | +591,633 | No | +$5,737 | 06-17 01:44 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 128 | $457.6K | 460,522 | 0 | +460,522 | No | +$2,957 | 07-23 23:37 |
| will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831 | 52 | $299.3K | 299,972 | 0 | +299,972 | Yes | +$711 | 02-03 03:55 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | 143 | $241.6K | 271,425 | 0 | +271,425 | No | +$29,824 | 06-09 14:13 |
| si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453 | 51 | $149.6K | 151,705 | 0 | +151,705 | Yes | +$2,067 | 01-24 03:58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 156 | $140.7K | 115,524 | 44,937 | +70,587 | No | +$10,965 | 07-01 18:59 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848 | 3 | $138.3K | 69,243 | 69,243 | -0 | No | +$6 | 01-26 18:56 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | 93 | $130.0K | 67,000 | 67,000 | +0 | No | +$1,350 | 08-05 12:20 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026 | 72 | $108.2K | 108,618 | 0 | +108,618 | No | +$467 | 01-30 00:58 |
| us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318 | 2 | $102.1K | 102,289 | 0 | +102,289 | No | +$145 | 01-25 04:44 |
| spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t | 26 | $99.5K | 107,228 | 0 | +107,228 | No | +$7,744 | 06-12 17:08 |
| will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363 | 22 | $93.1K | 93,641 | 0 | +93,641 | No | +$553 | 01-25 02:42 |
| nothing ever happens microstrategy | 81 | $92.8K | 115,216 | 90,000 | +25,216 | No | -$42,587 | 03-16 12:00 |
| spx opens up or down on february 2 2026 | 59 | $91.3K | 91,374 | 0 | +91,374 | Down | +$91 | 02-02 22:54 |
| Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026? | 26 | $71.9K | 40,141 | 40,140 | +0 | Yes | +$7,628 | 02-24 07:33 |
| si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269 | 34 | $66.2K | 68,665 | 6,930 | +61,735 | No | -$1,855 | 01-30 22:45 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 39 | $55.5K | 57,000 | 0 | +57,000 | No | +$1,480 | 07-05 19:46 |
| si hit 150 high jan 2026 | 1 | $55.3K | 55,382 | 0 | +55,382 | No | +$55 | 01-30 22:45 |
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | 261 | $50.0K | 63,143 | 0 | +63,143 | Yes | +$13,131 | 06-23 23:51 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 2 | $48.7K | 52,704 | 0 | +52,704 | No | +$4,046 | 04-05 22:45 |
| will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888 | 1 | $47.0K | 47,062 | 0 | +47,062 | No | +$47 | 02-03 21:30 |
| spx opens up or down on january 23 2026 | 9 | $45.7K | 45,770 | 0 | +45,770 | Down | +$52 | 01-23 21:14 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||