Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$477
Trades
17
Unique wallets
9
Liquidity
$16,457
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 22:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $91 | $91 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $0 | $142 | $142 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | $194 | $194 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uneven-Question 0x42f1…c759 | No | +108 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-10 10:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 21:24 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +24 | $22 | $159 | 5 | 06-12 22:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 22:38:15 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 32 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xaee319… |
| 06-12 22:38:15 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xaee319… |
| 06-12 11:22:34 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2854f5… |
| 06-12 11:22:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x2854f5… |
| 06-10 10:53:55 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 108 | 96¢ | $104 | 0x6a1462… |
| 06-10 10:53:55 | Uneven-Question 0x42f1…c759 | No | BUY | 108 | 96¢ | $104 | 0x6a1462… |
| 06-09 06:49:18 | Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8…d240 | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xb42cd7… |
| 06-09 06:49:18 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xb42cd7… |
| 06-08 07:52:07 | Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8…d240 | No | SELL | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x616628… |
| 06-08 07:52:07 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x616628… |
| 06-05 21:24:10 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x65ba65… |
| 06-05 21:24:10 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x65ba65… |
| 06-05 21:24:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x65ba65… |
| 06-03 01:43:12 | Peaceful-Anteater 0x6130…3b1f | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0xea93f7… |
| 06-03 01:43:12 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0xea93f7… |
| 05-28 01:41:23 | Peaceful-Anteater 0x6130…3b1f | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xd928c2… |
| 05-28 01:41:23 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xd928c2… |