Realized P&L
+$844
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
4,447
Trades
11,530
lifetime
Volume
$20.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$58
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 09-12 07:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Other
89% 63% +$789
Politics
8% 65% +$42
Tech
2% 64% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$2
Sports
0% 83% +$3
Crypto
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 No +16 $3 61¢ $9 +$7 08-14 23:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $17 39¢ $7 -$10 08-11 16:27
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +8 $3 41¢ $3 +$0 08-11 16:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 +$1 08-21 20:42
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 08-20 17:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 79¢ $2 $0 08-07 07:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 08-21 10:30
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +4 $1 49¢ $2 +$1 08-06 21:01
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $2 +$1 07-14 09:12
iran leadership change by november 30 No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $0 08-19 00:32
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $0 08-21 03:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 08-22 15:10
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 07-26 20:28
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-07 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 07-02 19:55
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-07 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:48
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-07 18:09
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 07-07 18:09
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-07 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:48
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 07-07 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:48
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 07-07 18:09
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 07-07 18:09
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +57 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-25 14:37