Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$699
Trades
46
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,228
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-06-03
last 06-17 07:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $20 | $84 | $65 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $58 | $91 | $33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 5 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $14 | $7 | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $30 | $83 | $53 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $17 | $84 | $68 |
| unranked | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +180 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 06-17 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | +77 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-17 07:29 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-03 19:09 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-09 10:49 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +45 | $37 | $132 | 3 | 06-16 21:22 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +35 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 13:55 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 13:55 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-12 10:37 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $21 | 3 | 06-16 23:10 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-16 21:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 07:29:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x18b6cc… |
| 06-17 07:29:55 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x18b6cc… |
| 06-17 03:25:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x79d1f9… |
| 06-17 03:25:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x79d1f9… |
| 06-17 03:25:25 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x79d1f9… |
| 06-16 23:13:46 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x2bb837… |
| 06-16 23:13:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x2bb837… |
| 06-16 23:10:38 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xc5e704… |
| 06-16 23:10:38 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xc5e704… |
| 06-16 21:34:50 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x8fc4e1… |
| 06-16 21:34:50 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 47 | 86¢ | $40 | 0x8fc4e1… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xf62bf0… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 55 | 87¢ | $48 | 0xe6b7ef… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xe6b7ef… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xe6b7ef… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | Watery-Export 0x39a8…7d57 | Yes | SELL | 329 | 14¢ | $45 | 0xe6b7ef… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf62bf0… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xe6b7ef… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 14¢ | $11 | 0xe6b7ef… |
| 06-16 21:22:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xe6b7ef… |
| 06-12 10:37:04 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7969dd… |
| 06-12 10:37:04 | Majestic-Neuropathologist 0x5942…90f3 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x7969dd… |
| 06-12 10:37:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x7969dd… |
| 06-11 08:27:00 | Majestic-Neuropathologist 0x5942…90f3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 16¢ | $6 | 0xe1bfd3… |
| 06-11 08:27:00 | Watery-Export 0x39a8…7d57 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 16¢ | $14 | 0xe1bfd3… |
| 06-11 08:27:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xe1bfd3… |
| 06-09 13:55:07 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xab2992… |
| 06-09 13:55:07 | Watery-Export 0x39a8…7d57 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 19¢ | $13 | 0xab2992… |
| 06-09 13:55:07 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xab2992… |
| 06-09 13:55:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0xab2992… |
| 06-09 10:49:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0xcc46f6… |
| 06-09 10:49:00 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xcc46f6… |
| 06-09 10:49:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xcc46f6… |
| 06-09 10:49:00 | Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | No | SELL | 229 | 85¢ | $194 | 0xcc46f6… |
| 06-09 10:49:00 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xcc46f6… |
| 06-07 21:34:46 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xd7def6… |
| 06-07 21:34:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xd7def6… |
| 06-07 21:34:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xd7def6… |
| 06-06 08:42:22 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xd12f32… |
| 06-06 08:42:22 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 47 | 87¢ | $41 | 0xd12f32… |
| 06-06 08:42:22 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd12f32… |
| 06-03 19:09:06 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xb24dac… |
| 06-03 19:09:06 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xb24dac… |
| 06-03 19:08:09 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xa0c79b… |
| 06-03 19:08:09 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 17¢ | $13 | 0xa0c79b… |
| 06-03 19:08:09 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xa0c79b… |