Squeaky-Polyp 0x7e1d3c…d44d41
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$329
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
689
Trades
3,031
lifetime
Volume
$154.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$582
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Other
47% 59% +$1,757
Tech
18% 55% +$625
Politics
17% 73% +$78
Sports
9% 79% +$115
Crypto
9% 83% +$351
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +426 $87 72¢ $308 +$221 10-20 11:53
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +255 $57 73¢ $186 +$129 10-20 02:57
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +50 $11 82¢ $41 +$30 09-12 16:23
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $87 20¢ $23 -$63 09-13 02:07
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $7 18¢ $9 +$2 10-26 18:26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +30 $14 24¢ $7 -$7 10-16 02:59
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +900 -$13 0¢ $4 +$17 10-13 18:43
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +200 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 10-14 12:55