Squeaky-Polyp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,111

lifetime

Volume

$88.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-20 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

32% 100% +$56

Politics

26% 100% +$48

Tech

15% — —

Crypto

14% 80% +$39

Sports

13% 67% $-295

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-14 19:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	8	$1.9K	1,650	625	+1,025	open	—	04-15 22:07
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	4	$1.7K	885	885	+0	open	—	04-08 20:35
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	17	$1.7K	879	879	+0	open	—	03-31 12:34
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$1.6K	1,720	0	+1,720	open	—	04-01 14:23
will seguro win all of portugals districts	4	$1.5K	766	766	+0	open	—	02-09 08:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-13 08:07
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	5	$1.3K	1,100	460	+640	open	—	06-11 15:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$1.3K	500	1,000	-500	open	—	06-16 11:52
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-13 03:36
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-14 22:48
will iran strike israel on march 6	6	$1.2K	602	602	+0	open	—	03-11 01:29
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	26	$1.1K	588	676	-88	open	—	03-30 16:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-14 22:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-13 05:24
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.1K	570	570	+0	open	—	05-30 02:35
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	4	$1.0K	523	523	+0	open	—	02-26 18:42
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	2	$978	500	500	+0	open	—	06-29 14:32
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	5	$965	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-06 21:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$957	500	500	+0	open	—	06-13 11:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$956	500	500	+0	open	—	06-16 11:11
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5	8	$953	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-01 01:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$920	500	500	+0	open	—	04-08 20:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	5	$890	902	0	+902	open	—	03-02 10:30
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$846	493	493	+0	open	—	03-24 16:59
infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	8	$783	464	464	+0	open	—	01-31 20:12
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	5	$779	787	0	+787	open	—	02-16 21:51
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	3	$774	400	400	+0	open	—	06-30 16:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$762	400	400	+0	open	—	05-26 14:32
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	11	$752	945	200	+745	open	—	06-09 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 14:35:34	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 20 2026 20260709223851528	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x74f94c…
07-20 04:59:42	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 20 2026 20260709223851528	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x453ec0…
07-19 20:59:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0xea9b8d…
07-19 20:29:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xa4737a…
07-19 19:43:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xad326f…
07-19 18:55:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xf2d572…
07-19 11:50:40	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4cba6f…
07-19 10:40:58	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x8b84c2…
07-19 09:55:03	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	No	BUY	215	96¢	$206	0x1b0a19…
07-18 21:06:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0a19cc…
07-18 19:55:39	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	214	18¢	$40	0xb1755a…
07-18 19:55:36	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x9b153c…
07-18 19:52:19	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	36	18¢	$7	0xb19e68…
07-18 15:12:03	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132206211	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xaf4a9f…
07-18 14:11:58	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x19681d…
07-18 13:44:36	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x191bb8…
07-18 12:05:00	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x351bf6…
07-18 10:38:15	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x50105e…
07-18 10:25:18	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132724266	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xc1f779…
07-18 03:26:30	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6b49a4…
07-18 02:20:13	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	No	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x697a18…
07-18 01:48:42	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xeecc3f…
07-18 01:46:31	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x5eb718…
07-18 01:31:55	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132724266	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0607ce…
07-18 00:48:48	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713143905586	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x6fa685…
07-18 00:06:36	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x61f72e…
07-17 23:08:27	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	SELL	250	16¢	$40	0x2588bc…
07-17 23:07:25	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132724266	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xc3fc84…
07-17 23:03:00	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132724266	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x6ac1db…
07-17 23:03:00	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132724266	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x3a9252…
07-17 22:47:40	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x2a6166…
07-17 22:32:28	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	No	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x32b4bf…
07-17 22:22:58	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	No	SELL	34	44¢	$15	0x3c2deb…
07-17 20:44:48	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x300a4c…
07-17 19:44:33	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x6a5c62…
07-17 19:32:28	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xd5c50e…
07-17 17:51:33	will the announcers say bronze during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740624	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xa266e3…
07-17 17:04:46	will the announcers say bronze during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740624	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x812029…
07-17 14:21:09	will the announcers say bronze during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740624	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x1a9239…
07-17 11:50:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals michael olise gte1	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x58ac75…
07-17 10:14:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals michael olise gte1	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xde815e…
07-17 06:47:30	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	No	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0xa1cca2…
07-17 06:47:21	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x9d9fc3…
07-17 02:54:12	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0xa2fd7a…
07-16 23:38:52	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x4349c5…
07-16 23:25:52	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x5e79fa…
07-16 23:11:38	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xda062a…
07-16 22:11:22	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x4a1bcf…
07-16 20:46:08	will the announcers say bronze during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740624	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x53ca81…
07-16 18:04:01	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713143905586	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x3c1a4a…
07-16 17:20:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x9aff0c…
07-16 15:57:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x327a31…
07-16 15:57:44	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xfc3d48…
07-16 14:52:05	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x24c967…
07-16 02:13:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x662cf3…
07-16 02:05:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7e19d2…
07-16 01:42:32	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x318c51…
07-16 00:51:20	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x1c539e…
07-15 22:19:17	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0x173cfa…
07-15 19:43:28	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x2da8e8…
07-15 18:17:28	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2e7995…
07-15 17:20:05	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x52838a…
07-15 14:20:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x8cf90b…
07-15 14:17:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	82	85¢	$70	0x496eb1…
07-15 04:38:08	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	62	19¢	$12	0x854ff6…
07-15 04:24:31	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0xcdfaca…
07-15 03:41:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x75b45b…
07-15 03:04:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x1a3066…
07-15 02:00:26	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x2e34de…
07-14 23:43:32	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x2beb7a…
07-14 23:41:19	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	162	14¢	$23	0x84e956…
07-14 23:10:22	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x2a6a91…
07-14 23:07:05	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xf2136f…
07-14 21:13:04	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x011e76…
07-14 21:12:11	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x77456e…
07-14 21:11:55	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xcdf2a6…
07-14 21:11:10	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x27708b…
07-14 20:14:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x12d57e…
07-14 19:29:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x36e2d0…
07-14 19:19:32	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0xac4108…
07-14 19:00:34	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	SELL	501	99¢	$497	0x134029…
07-14 18:56:55	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	SELL	425	99¢	$422	0x5acb67…
07-14 18:56:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xd8fd81…
07-14 15:18:13	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x851565…
07-13 00:37:34	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x932ce5…
07-12 22:55:23	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x83bf32…
07-12 22:28:35	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xb277e9…
07-12 22:21:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x6f04bb…
07-12 21:49:22	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb551a1…
07-11 15:09:23	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260708011851341	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x2e69e9…
07-11 12:44:49	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260708011851341	No	BUY	258	98¢	$253	0x5802e0…
07-10 20:47:49	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x219750…
07-10 20:47:11	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7a4829…
07-10 20:38:20	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x9ec376…
07-10 20:14:35	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x40d460…
07-10 19:44:59	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xfefdeb…
07-10 19:33:32	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x762f94…
07-10 19:19:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	60	8¢	$4	0x96466a…
07-10 19:03:22	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	No	BUY	123	93¢	$114	0x2244ab…
07-10 18:59:07	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	No	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0xf62222…