Realized P&L
-$152
Unrealized P&L
+$150
Hit rate
85.0%
Resolved
18
Trades
956
lifetime
Volume
$81.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$547
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
30% 100% +$56
Politics
28% 100% +$48
Crypto
15% 80% +$39
Tech
15%
Sports
12% 67% $-295
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +333 $267 98¢ $325 +$59 06-26 17:07
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +120 $18 97¢ $117 +$99 06-11 10:25
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -100 $-79 84¢ $-84 $-5 06-30 18:48
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +21 $19 99¢ $21 +$2 06-23 18:57
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +18 $5 $0 $-4 06-23 19:51