Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,078
lifetime
Volume
$33.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$126
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-19 16:07
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
38%
Other
35%
Tech
26%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +30 $27 90¢ $27 $-0 07-02 11:10
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 07-01 06:26
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 88¢ $18 $-0 07-18 02:55
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 85¢ $17 $-1 07-02 09:13
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 79¢ $16 +$2 06-16 08:52
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +20 $14 62¢ $12 $-1 07-02 11:10
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $12 87¢ $11 $-1 07-16 01:48
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +49 $32 13¢ $6 $-25 07-17 16:02