Realized P&L
+$2.07K
Unrealized P&L
+$164
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
512
Trades
2,398
lifetime
Volume
$66.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$834
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-27 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Other
40% 76% +$1,019
Tech
40% 83% +$356
Politics
19% 83% +$675
Crypto
0% 67% +$15
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +689 $476 96¢ $659 +$184 10-26 13:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +140 $66 56¢ $78 +$12 10-26 13:41
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 08-18 08:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$1 08-29 03:11
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +20 $16 86¢ $17 +$1 10-22 03:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $21 34¢ $17 -$4 10-14 03:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +363 $36 3¢ $12 -$24 10-26 13:42
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +487 $7 1¢ $6 -$1 10-26 13:43
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $5 12¢ $2 -$2 10-26 15:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +20 $4 10¢ $2 -$2 08-26 02:37
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-26 14:13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-05 17:14