Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
open
Total volume
$35,519
$821 in 24h
Trades
413
Unique wallets
166
Liquidity
$5,045
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 06:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $6.2K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $22.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $1 | $9.8K | $9.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $43 | $7.0K | $6.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 33 | $72 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 98 | $76 | $2.9K | $2.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $6.2K | $6.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $36 | $3.3K | $3.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $9 | $3.5K | $3.5K |
| Median | 27 | $11 | $646 | $635 |
| Below median | 18 | $8 | $67 | $60 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $16 | $11 | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $156 | $156 |
| unranked | 81 | $112 | $8.0K | $7.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +8,900 | $46 | $54 | 52 | 07-01 04:53 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +6,152 | $6,129 | $6,129 | 12 | 06-26 09:23 |
| Eager-Cough 0x66ca…8078 | No | +3,036 | $3,033 | $3,033 | 1 | 07-01 06:04 |
| Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | +3,003 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 1 | 07-01 06:04 |
| Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | +1,669 | $1,625 | $5,375 | 4 | 06-26 09:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x34fb…6516 | Yes | +1,193 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-05 10:18 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,138 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-20 22:16 |
| Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | No | +687 | $686 | $712 | 2 | 07-01 04:53 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +626 | $1 | $14 | 11 | 06-20 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +303 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 04:04 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +300 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-11 04:04 |
| Lively-Journal 0xb1ec…183e | No | +214 | $214 | $214 | 1 | 06-29 08:45 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +207 | $2 | $4 | 18 | 06-18 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7961…3579 | No | +206 | $206 | $206 | 1 | 06-29 09:28 |
| Impassioned-Share 0xbfbe…49dc | No | +205 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 06-29 02:54 |
| Liquid-Selling 0xf7d5…f585 | No | +205 | $204 | $204 | 1 | 06-29 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x996f…e66a | No | +201 | $201 | $201 | 1 | 06-29 02:53 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 07-01 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d70…ad56 | No | +183 | $183 | $183 | 1 | 06-29 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8083…3d39 | No | +181 | $181 | $181 | 1 | 06-29 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x011c…7a8d | No | +165 | $165 | $165 | 1 | 06-29 02:53 |
| Infatuated-Bricklaying 0x7432…bbe2 | No | +162 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 06-25 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c4a…77d6 | No | +161 | $161 | $161 | 1 | 06-29 02:53 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +134 | $-1 | $14 | 8 | 06-18 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf764…1919 | Yes | +126 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1231…3e32 | No | +120 | $117 | $117 | 3 | 06-07 13:46 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +101 | $-1 | $8 | 4 | 06-20 22:16 |
| Delicious-Rethinking 0x3ac8…e957 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 06:10 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $-1 | $8 | 3 | 06-20 22:16 |
| Sunny-Course 0x63cc…eec5 | Yes | +90 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-08 01:24 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +81 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-05 13:57 |
| Frequent-Sleuth 0x3ff5…03b1 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 07-01 06:04 |
| Wealthy-Drawer 0x6dee…2cff | No | +56 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-26 06:41 |
| Wee-Mocha 0xa1b1…6a2a | No | +56 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-26 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xda5d…34fd | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 21:03 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 06-26 09:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x684f…38c1 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-02 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-26 15:26 |
| Cheerful-Range 0xdc08…26f3 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a1b…aef4 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x986d…7ab3 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b32…6bde | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2137…3495 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:04 |
| Amused-Working 0x7610…176e | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 06:04:28 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0xd068e5… |
| 07-01 06:04:28 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0xd068e5… |
| 07-01 06:04:28 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | SELL | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x09c5e0… |
| 07-01 06:04:28 | Frequent-Sleuth 0x3ff5…03b1 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x09c5e0… |
| 07-01 06:04:26 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | SELL | 3,036 | 100¢ | $3,033 | 0xb86af0… |
| 07-01 06:04:26 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | SELL | 3,003 | 100¢ | $3,000 | 0xb517a5… |
| 07-01 06:04:26 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | BUY | 3,003 | 100¢ | $3,000 | 0xb517a5… |
| 07-01 06:04:26 | Eager-Cough 0x66ca…8078 | No | BUY | 3,036 | 100¢ | $3,033 | 0xb86af0… |
| 07-01 04:53:17 | Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | No | BUY | 700 | 100¢ | $699 | 0x867271… |
| 07-01 04:53:17 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | SELL | 332 | 100¢ | $331 | 0x867271… |
| 07-01 04:53:17 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 368 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x867271… |
| 07-01 04:03:23 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x37ae3a… |
| 07-01 04:03:23 | Stormy-Authority 0xb673…b674 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x37ae3a… |
| 07-01 04:01:02 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x380d7c… |
| 07-01 04:01:02 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x380d7c… |
| 07-01 04:00:58 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f4e7f… |
| 07-01 04:00:58 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f4e7f… |
| 06-29 10:30:53 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x791ffd… |
| 06-29 10:30:53 | Liquid-Selling 0xf7d5…f585 | No | BUY | 205 | 100¢ | $204 | 0x791ffd… |
| 06-29 09:28:59 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 206 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc1621… |
| 06-29 09:28:59 | (anonymous) 0x7961…3579 | No | BUY | 206 | 100¢ | $206 | 0xdc1621… |
| 06-29 08:45:08 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 214 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fe95a… |
| 06-29 08:45:08 | Lively-Journal 0xb1ec…183e | No | BUY | 214 | 100¢ | $214 | 0x1fe95a… |
| 06-29 02:54:29 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaaa950… |
| 06-29 02:54:29 | Impassioned-Share 0xbfbe…49dc | No | BUY | 205 | 100¢ | $205 | 0xaaa950… |
| 06-29 02:53:58 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3774f9… |
| 06-29 02:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x8083…3d39 | No | BUY | 181 | 100¢ | $181 | 0x3774f9… |
| 06-29 02:53:40 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f905a… |
| 06-29 02:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x3d70…ad56 | No | BUY | 183 | 100¢ | $183 | 0x6f905a… |
| 06-29 02:53:38 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 161 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27bec2… |
| 06-29 02:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x6c4a…77d6 | No | BUY | 161 | 100¢ | $161 | 0x27bec2… |
| 06-29 02:53:37 | (anonymous) 0x996f…e66a | No | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $201 | 0x142dcb… |
| 06-29 02:53:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 165 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b2a7b… |
| 06-29 02:53:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x142dcb… |
| 06-29 02:53:37 | (anonymous) 0x011c…7a8d | No | BUY | 165 | 100¢ | $165 | 0x1b2a7b… |
| 06-29 02:40:44 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf40e0… |
| 06-29 02:40:44 | Near-Surfboard 0xcb9c…e356 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xdf40e0… |
| 06-29 02:40:41 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04af5f… |
| 06-29 02:40:41 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9fb94… |
| 06-29 02:40:41 | Wilted-Drizzle 0xd1d7…dcf9 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xe9fb94… |
| 06-29 02:40:41 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd14fd… |
| 06-29 02:40:41 | International-Provision 0x2b9f…3c5d | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x04af5f… |
| 06-29 02:40:41 | Kaleidoscopic-Chaplain 0xc25d…c41b | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xdd14fd… |
| 06-29 02:40:40 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x184f22… |
| 06-29 02:40:40 | Swift-Breadfruit 0x3e9d…b4ba | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x997cd3… |
| 06-29 02:40:40 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x997cd3… |
| 06-29 02:40:40 | Humongous-Floodplain 0x98d1…0c2d | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x184f22… |
| 06-29 02:40:38 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7bdd6c… |
| 06-29 02:40:38 | Basic-Ophthalmologist 0x6b50…acf2 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x7bdd6c… |
| 06-29 02:40:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6487a… |
| 06-29 02:40:37 | Jubilant-Conception 0xe6b6…9beb | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xd6487a… |
| 06-29 02:40:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c1ba4… |
| 06-29 02:40:37 | Milky-Retailer 0x4be0…7e49 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x3c1ba4… |
| 06-29 02:40:35 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x299641… |
| 06-29 02:40:35 | Enchanted-Inhibitor 0x77dc…b6f4 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x299641… |
| 06-29 02:40:34 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61c075… |
| 06-29 02:40:34 | Good-Waterspout 0x5415…38d6 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xabd5fc… |
| 06-29 02:40:34 | Impassioned-Assembly 0xeeb9…3cb6 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x3be2ef… |
| 06-29 02:40:34 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3be2ef… |
| 06-29 02:40:34 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabd5fc… |
| 06-29 02:40:34 | Haunting-Agent 0x386d…55e1 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x61c075… |
| 06-29 02:40:32 | Colorful-Brewer 0x4dde…0caa | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x321a7b… |
| 06-29 02:40:32 | Worst-Portfolio 0xa027…f5e3 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x93faf4… |
| 06-29 02:40:32 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93faf4… |
| 06-29 02:40:32 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x321a7b… |
| 06-29 02:40:31 | Trusty-Clergyman 0xfbbe…d3fe | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x3213c6… |
| 06-29 02:40:31 | Scratchy-Tick 0x954b…33ba | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x39e7b0… |
| 06-29 02:40:31 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3213c6… |
| 06-29 02:40:31 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39e7b0… |
| 06-26 20:29:04 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fb069… |
| 06-26 20:29:04 | Flustered-Clearing 0x9e72…5a40 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fb069… |
| 06-26 15:26:17 | (anonymous) 0xbcf9…9b13 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd0b525… |
| 06-26 15:26:17 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd0b525… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | SELL | 1,882 | 100¢ | $1,875 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 728 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x0515…a166 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 788 | 100¢ | $784 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 09:23:31 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb428c4… |
| 06-26 06:41:37 | Wealthy-Drawer 0x6dee…2cff | No | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xc43067… |
| 06-26 06:41:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc43067… |
| 06-26 06:41:28 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc341e6… |
| 06-26 06:41:28 | Wee-Mocha 0xa1b1…6a2a | No | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xc341e6… |
| 06-26 06:10:23 | Delicious-Rethinking 0x3ac8…e957 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xf4f6c4… |
| 06-26 06:10:23 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4f6c4… |
| 06-26 00:06:50 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 115 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87059c… |
| 06-26 00:06:50 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x87059c… |
| 06-26 00:06:50 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87059c… |
| 06-26 00:06:50 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87059c… |
| 06-26 00:06:50 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 477 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x87059c… |
| 06-26 00:06:50 | Courageous-Editor 0x825c…18e7 | No | SELL | 716 | 100¢ | $714 | 0x87059c… |
| 06-25 23:49:01 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75988f… |
| 06-25 23:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x3095…7b2d | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x75988f… |
| 06-25 23:48:38 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 189 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8284d7… |
| 06-25 23:48:38 | Courageous-Editor 0x825c…18e7 | No | SELL | 254 | 100¢ | $254 | 0x8284d7… |
| 06-25 23:48:38 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x8284d7… |
| 06-25 18:25:58 | Courageous-Editor 0x825c…18e7 | No | BUY | 970 | 100¢ | $969 | 0x3d0b94… |