Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
open
Total volume
$9,410
$821 in 24h
Trades
222
Unique wallets
93
Liquidity
$5,045
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 14:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $617
vs crowd: 3% YES on $5.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $1 | $854 | $853 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $32 | $3.9K | $3.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $67 | $19 | +$48 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 50 | $75 | $681 | $606 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $617 | $617 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $35 | $20 | +$14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $8 | $358 | $350 |
| Median | 11 | $10 | $8 | +$2 |
| Below median | 12 | $4 | $61 | $57 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $8 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $76 | $76 |
| unranked | 38 | $102 | $4.3K | $4.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | +3,550 | $3,500 | $3,500 | 3 | 06-08 11:41 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +3,400 | $36 | $44 | 13 | 06-11 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x34fb…6516 | Yes | +1,193 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-05 10:18 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +545 | $540 | $540 | 2 | 06-18 14:18 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +338 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-11 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +303 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 04:04 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +300 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-11 04:04 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +271 | $0 | $12 | 10 | 06-11 04:04 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +207 | $2 | $4 | 18 | 06-18 03:25 |
| Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | +133 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | +129 | $123 | $123 | 2 | 06-05 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf764…1919 | Yes | +126 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1231…3e32 | No | +120 | $117 | $117 | 3 | 06-07 13:46 |
| Sunny-Course 0x63cc…eec5 | Yes | +90 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-08 01:24 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +81 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-05 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ab0…c21e | Yes | +77 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 16:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xda5d…34fd | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 21:03 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +39 | $-4 | $17 | 5 | 06-07 08:47 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +34 | $-2 | $14 | 7 | 06-12 17:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x684f…38c1 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-02 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 16:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +24 | $23 | $129 | 5 | 06-18 14:19 |
| Cheerful-Range 0xdc08…26f3 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a1b…aef4 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-18 03:26 |
| Motherly-Original 0x8eba…6c18 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 03:34 |
| Glass-Format 0x6887…13f4 | No | +5 | $4 | $93 | 6 | 06-18 04:54 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x20c6…f035 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b2c…1078 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5056…e750 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| Entire-Commitment 0xe162…1301 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4978…a5b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x057b…038f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 03:25 |
| Greedy-Shoelace 0x1f63…bfe3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $9 | 18 | 06-09 08:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 14:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xac2598… |
| 06-18 14:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xac2598… |
| 06-18 14:18:59 | Greedy-Shoelace 0x1f63…bfe3 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49ac2f… |
| 06-18 14:18:59 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 222 | 99¢ | $220 | 0x205139… |
| 06-18 14:18:59 | Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | SELL | 222 | 99¢ | $220 | 0x205139… |
| 06-18 14:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x5056…e750 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3ca13a… |
| 06-18 14:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49ac2f… |
| 06-18 14:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3ca13a… |
| 06-18 04:54:20 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 49 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x0d2460… |
| 06-18 04:54:20 | Glass-Format 0x6887…13f4 | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x0d2460… |
| 06-18 04:54:20 | (anonymous) 0xf207…9010 | No | SELL | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x0d2460… |
| 06-18 04:54:20 | Nifty-Rhubarb 0x8ef3…ac46 | Yes | SELL | 138 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0d2460… |
| 06-18 04:54:20 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x0d2460… |
| 06-18 03:34:41 | Motherly-Original 0x8eba…6c18 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xdd4d11… |
| 06-18 03:34:41 | Glass-Format 0x6887…13f4 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xdd4d11… |
| 06-18 03:26:26 | Glass-Format 0x6887…13f4 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xfc1e9b… |
| 06-18 03:26:26 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xfc1e9b… |
| 06-18 03:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x7a1b…aef4 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x67ec33… |
| 06-18 03:25:37 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67ec33… |
| 06-18 03:25:29 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8cb425… |
| 06-18 03:25:29 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8cb425… |
| 06-18 03:25:26 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x483571… |
| 06-18 03:25:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b2c…1078 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc7ceeb… |
| 06-18 03:25:26 | (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x483571… |
| 06-18 03:25:26 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc7ceeb… |
| 06-18 03:25:25 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c5458… |
| 06-18 03:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x057b…038f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa1a38d… |
| 06-18 03:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x4978…a5b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6c5458… |
| 06-18 03:25:25 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa1a38d… |
| 06-18 03:25:25 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbcd4b0… |
| 06-18 03:25:25 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bf983… |
| 06-18 03:25:25 | Entire-Commitment 0xe162…1301 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6bf983… |
| 06-18 03:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbcd4b0… |
| 06-18 03:25:23 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 323 | 99¢ | $320 | 0x4cf5e7… |
| 06-18 03:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x1362…89e4 | No | SELL | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x4cf5e7… |
| 06-18 03:25:23 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4cf5e7… |
| 06-18 03:25:23 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4cf5e7… |
| 06-17 16:31:17 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x1a4e06… |
| 06-17 16:31:17 | (anonymous) 0x7ab0…c21e | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1a4e06… |
| 06-17 07:14:20 | Exemplary-Hypothermia 0xa594…95f6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x130aa3… |
| 06-17 07:14:20 | (anonymous) 0x1362…89e4 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x130aa3… |
| 06-14 12:12:16 | (anonymous) 0x6486…cdc4 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdcbc49… |
| 06-14 12:12:16 | Glass-Format 0x6887…13f4 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xdcbc49… |
| 06-12 17:09:13 | (anonymous) 0x56cf…d098 | No | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x07d9d3… |
| 06-12 17:09:13 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x07d9d3… |
| 06-12 17:09:13 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 735 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x07d9d3… |
| 06-12 17:09:13 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 679 | 99¢ | $673 | 0x07d9d3… |
| 06-12 16:12:37 | Thrifty-Motion 0xece7…3673 | No | SELL | 134 | 99¢ | $133 | 0xccbc3e… |
| 06-12 16:12:37 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xccbc3e… |
| 06-12 11:22:15 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b8241… |
| 06-12 11:22:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2b8241… |
| 06-12 11:15:12 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x8cd408… |
| 06-12 11:15:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 45 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8cd408… |
| 06-11 22:15:21 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7cbd4f… |
| 06-11 22:15:21 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x7cbd4f… |
| 06-11 14:19:45 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | SELL | 724 | 99¢ | $717 | 0x4e2266… |
| 06-11 14:19:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 624 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x4e2266… |
| 06-11 14:19:45 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4e2266… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x326a…de74 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x1d3c…1e8d | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | Made-Up-Rediscovery 0x8c07…3644 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x928c…3445 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 303 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0xae59…99e6 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x728b…fd3e | Yes | SELL | 2,892 | 1¢ | $17 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x1bb5…309f | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 228 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x96b3…ce64 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | (anonymous) 0xc8ea…92b8 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 04:04:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xf8f699… |
| 06-11 02:56:15 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x06e1ae… |
| 06-11 02:56:15 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x06e1ae… |
| 06-10 21:03:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xb4f12e… |
| 06-10 21:03:58 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb4f12e… |
| 06-10 21:03:58 | (anonymous) 0xda5d…34fd | Yes | BUY | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb4f12e… |
| 06-10 06:39:51 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1c195a… |
| 06-10 06:39:51 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1c195a… |
| 06-10 06:39:24 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x50df19… |
| 06-10 06:39:24 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x50df19… |
| 06-10 02:33:51 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdc21ee… |
| 06-10 02:33:51 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xdc21ee… |
| 06-10 01:00:09 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf36cc4… |
| 06-10 01:00:09 | Watchful-Traffic 0xf85b…57fc | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf36cc4… |
| 06-09 14:10:09 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0xaaa5a3… |
| 06-09 14:10:09 | (anonymous) 0x306a…a733 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0xaaa5a3… |
| 06-09 08:26:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 141 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x94bf26… |
| 06-09 08:26:55 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 141 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x94bf26… |
| 06-09 08:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x4c34…0717 | No | SELL | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x725fa0… |
| 06-09 08:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x725fa0… |
| 06-08 15:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x1362…89e4 | No | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $47 | 0xd8d97e… |
| 06-08 15:27:46 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd8d97e… |
| 06-08 15:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd8d97e… |
| 06-08 12:31:34 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a7e2a… |
| 06-08 12:31:34 | Profuse-Offset 0x3412…e651 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0a7e2a… |
| 06-08 12:31:34 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a7e2a… |
| 06-08 11:41:40 | Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | BUY | 2,022 | 99¢ | $2,000 | 0xa6667f… |
| 06-08 11:41:40 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 1,309 | 1¢ | $14 | 0xa6667f… |