Worst-Portfolio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

112

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

92% 62% -$6

Politics

6% 100% +$3

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-20 01:39
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-06 15:25
israel closes its airspace by june 12	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-12 12:53
will mrbeasts video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	04-21 08:07
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-03 13:02
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 01:13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 21:58
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 09:24
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-14 15:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 13:43
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 30?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	05-29 15:49
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-29 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 4?	6	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on April 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 26?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 01:40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-03 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-01 23:45
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-26 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 5?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 01:53
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-25 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?	4	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-05 16:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 2?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-02 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 16?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-16 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-12 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on May 6?	3	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-05 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:17:58	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x396d08…
06-29 08:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xdfb80e…
06-29 08:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x55b9a5…
06-29 08:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x411d30…
06-29 08:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd21010…
06-29 02:40:32	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x93faf4…
06-28 19:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xfc19cf…
06-28 18:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x897f90…
06-28 09:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0b31d7…
06-28 04:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f58d1…
06-27 19:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x59fffd…
06-27 19:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xbd9a6b…
06-27 14:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf49d38…
06-26 22:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2587a7…
06-26 21:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x907fd8…
06-26 01:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x83b06f…
06-26 01:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6d677e…
06-26 01:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf258a3…
06-25 12:49:31	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x66fcf2…
06-25 12:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x205f54…
06-24 17:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x893841…
06-24 13:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 25?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc9ac50…
06-24 03:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x35fd11…
06-24 03:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05786b…
06-23 04:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3ed273…
06-23 04:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf59dd8…
06-22 03:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfa7b1e…
06-22 02:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x836514…
06-21 21:58:14	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9e56bb…
06-20 16:14:16	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xd96adb…
06-20 01:39:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2d77cc…
06-19 16:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf39cff…
06-19 16:34:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3be8f3…
06-18 06:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x7a6224…
06-18 06:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x951487…
06-16 12:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x703fea…
06-16 07:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 16?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8d8091…
06-15 13:43:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x21334f…
06-15 07:29:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x09176c…
06-14 18:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x2e8084…
06-14 17:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xda6dea…
06-14 17:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4bec19…
06-14 15:09:33	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x551e5e…
06-14 12:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3a237…
06-13 18:31:39	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x34b4b9…
06-13 14:00:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x54faf3…
06-13 04:17:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ed2c6…
06-12 12:53:24	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x68dae7…
06-12 04:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x2407e1…
06-12 03:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x91aa47…
06-11 06:04:07	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x3130d1…
06-09 17:07:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x96fe43…
06-09 09:26:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa802ae…
06-08 14:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe5565f…
06-08 14:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27793c…
06-08 04:29:15	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x03ebcf…
06-08 00:39:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3ef844…
06-07 23:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x74fcef…
06-07 12:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6a4da3…
06-06 15:25:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa31014…
06-06 14:40:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xd51995…
06-05 22:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x643f71…
06-05 22:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x97f816…
06-05 22:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x678911…
06-05 22:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x29b2de…
06-05 22:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 6?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xec250f…
06-05 05:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x1becad…
06-05 05:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 5?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x5ef39b…
06-04 08:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xeca4ea…
06-04 08:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc3aab2…
06-03 13:02:30	Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x663ad6…
06-02 22:33:11	Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x5a8f09…
06-02 20:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x684951…
06-02 12:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2115ec…
06-01 23:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc14c6c…
06-01 19:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7c6fba…
06-01 10:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x685e1a…
06-01 09:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x600348…
06-01 02:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x07b93a…
05-31 21:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x06d835…
05-31 19:37:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xce17e6…
05-31 08:30:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xea3a5d…
05-31 04:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x319d1c…
05-30 16:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x960952…
05-30 05:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x818559…
05-30 05:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf5e4b2…
05-29 15:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x131106…
05-29 07:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x440502…
05-28 23:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeec9ed…
05-28 15:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc33b22…
05-28 13:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x8f759a…
05-28 12:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe8e321…
05-27 16:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x393ddd…
05-27 13:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4a0a4b…
05-27 12:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x63bbaf…
05-26 20:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2b0bb5…
05-26 18:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1b620a…
05-26 14:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8a1a8e…
05-26 13:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe4b4fd…
05-25 09:24:49	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd0ed78…