Humongous-Floodplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

121

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 05:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

91% 61% -$27

Politics

6% 100% +$4

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	06-01 08:20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-20 18:12
Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-04 20:05
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-13 15:51
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-17 13:15
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 01:30
iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	07-02 08:22
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 05:22
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-23 15:57
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 10:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-22 00:35
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-29 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 19:17
highest temperature in wuhan on april 22 2026 17c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-27 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 13:18
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-30 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 14:45
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-25 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 17?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-17 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 23?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-22 17:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 26?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-25 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	2	$14	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-14 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	2	$14	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	06-25 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 28?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-27 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-28 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-15 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 05:48:07	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3ee6ff…
07-02 08:22:34	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdb83f9…
07-01 01:30:41	Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd35191…
06-29 02:40:40	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x184f22…
06-29 00:40:43	Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x75b4bd…
06-28 08:54:26	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x6bc040…
06-27 22:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xed9ea5…
06-27 22:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9f08b1…
06-27 19:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5688ae…
06-26 17:31:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x82af99…
06-26 15:36:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc66da5…
06-25 12:49:25	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9cb225…
06-25 10:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x488ba7…
06-25 10:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x91316b…
06-24 16:00:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xac1fb9…
06-24 12:20:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xec233c…
06-23 15:57:32	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xec6a5e…
06-23 14:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xf2e1a0…
06-23 13:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 24?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xca29c0…
06-22 18:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x11ff7f…
06-22 17:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd4e905…
06-22 17:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf56fda…
06-22 17:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xac7d2a…
06-22 16:59:53	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa616f9…
06-21 04:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf0f135…
06-21 01:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x47e68e…
06-20 18:12:29	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd96267…
06-20 06:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xfb90bc…
06-20 06:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x310caa…
06-19 07:42:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x31be71…
06-19 07:38:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 19?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2d0818…
06-17 13:15:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x966eb1…
06-17 03:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x692ffd…
06-17 02:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 17?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8a1583…
06-17 01:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 17?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xad1f69…
06-17 01:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc90c3f…
06-17 00:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 17?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf843f4…
06-16 02:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x52d973…
06-15 01:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8aec5b…
06-15 01:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x994ddb…
06-15 00:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2f12d7…
06-14 00:03:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x105f00…
06-13 15:51:54	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4d523c…
06-12 22:08:45	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x11d909…
06-12 20:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8f235e…
06-12 04:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x520aca…
06-12 04:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd5eea8…
06-12 04:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x27c350…
06-12 04:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5985e0…
06-12 03:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1c277a…
06-11 15:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xec4fea…
06-11 15:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc81b0c…
06-11 15:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x22b2a9…
06-11 11:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x38afa7…
06-09 09:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x6385af…
06-09 08:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa2f846…
06-08 10:05:48	Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xfe04eb…
06-08 04:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xeb6a5a…
06-07 17:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x377968…
06-07 07:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3f0a6c…
06-07 07:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeb0873…
06-06 18:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x53f40b…
06-06 15:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c5008…
06-05 19:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x279c1b…
06-05 18:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 6?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x978d0c…
06-05 06:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xa208ce…
06-05 06:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xaf2a59…
06-04 15:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe6708d…
06-04 12:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c2cca…
06-03 08:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x3b70e2…
06-03 05:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x39a58d…
06-02 15:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x718e32…
06-02 15:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x63bae0…
06-02 12:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfaa7ce…
06-02 06:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x82ac88…
06-01 20:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x126418…
06-01 09:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc47eae…
06-01 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd6fbc6…
06-01 08:20:29	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd8d93e…
05-31 14:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb97926…
05-31 14:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x971ed2…
05-31 14:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a5059…
05-31 14:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x948333…
05-31 13:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xeab9b7…
05-31 01:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x85f1ee…
05-31 01:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa2aa03…
05-30 08:48:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x300bf3…
05-30 08:40:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5b39c2…
05-29 11:54:55	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xedd7bc…
05-29 00:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x94b54c…
05-28 23:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9b5f36…
05-28 13:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x0db9da…
05-28 12:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xff2050…
05-28 07:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x92d384…
05-28 01:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa87a22…
05-27 12:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x5af8d5…
05-27 12:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7b7436…
05-27 05:22:31	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd1415d…
05-26 19:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x8aa3fb…
05-26 19:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on May 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x288799…