Flustered-Clearing 0x9e72d6…555a40 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
25.8%
Resolved
169
Trades
246
lifetime
Volume
$532
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$14
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 08-06 17:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Sports
56% 28% -$92
Other
33% 36% +$85
Politics
8% 40% +$5
Tech
2% 14% -$6
Crypto
1% 0% -$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will california experience a 7pt0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026 20260723232901145 Yes +30 $1 13¢ $4 +$3 08-06 17:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +111 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 07-24 16:33
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +50 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 07-24 16:34
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 07-24 16:32
ebola pandemic in 2026 Yes +54 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 07-24 16:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +14 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 07-20 09:08
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +57 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 08-06 17:52
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? Yes +14 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 07-24 16:33
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +21 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 07-24 16:32
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +2 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 04-30 15:30
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-24 16:30