Flashy-Label — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

46,924

lifetime

Volume

$156.4M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.33K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$2,673

Other

33% 100% +$12,237

Crypto

7% 100% +$13

Sports

5% 57% $-1,251

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	641	$7.41M	7,214,907	239,927	+6,974,980	open	—	06-03 21:41
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1,329	$7.17M	7,228,840	0	+7,228,840	open	—	03-18 17:37
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	483	$6.49M	6,500,088	0	+6,500,088	open	—	07-08 16:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1,299	$6.42M	6,478,925	4,121	+6,474,804	open	—	01-28 18:46
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	229	$6.42M	6,436,645	0	+6,436,645	open	—	04-30 19:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	587	$6.38M	6,380,275	16,536	+6,363,739	open	—	04-10 12:16
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	173	$4.71M	4,718,020	0	+4,718,020	open	—	03-25 23:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	763	$4.64M	4,620,975	50,000	+4,570,975	open	—	04-08 00:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	865	$4.23M	4,202,717	55,307	+4,147,409	open	—	03-02 03:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	87	$3.96M	3,961,922	0	+3,961,922	open	—	04-18 00:28
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	241	$3.56M	3,062,868	507,077	+2,555,791	open	—	01-04 21:15
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	923	$3.31M	3,373,991	0	+3,373,991	open	—	03-04 19:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	317	$3.23M	3,234,273	0	+3,234,273	open	—	03-13 17:32
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	253	$2.78M	2,781,206	0	+2,781,206	open	—	01-20 22:11
Trump kiss by May 31?	393	$2.78M	2,778,637	0	+2,778,637	open	—	05-22 19:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	255	$2.63M	2,639,860	5,000	+2,634,860	open	—	02-03 07:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	387	$2.54M	2,548,444	0	+2,548,444	open	—	04-28 06:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	21	$2.50M	2,500,000	0	+2,500,000	Yes	+$2,500	05-09 17:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	89	$2.47M	2,471,546	0	+2,471,546	open	—	04-24 10:52
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	180	$2.44M	1,440,678	1,000,000	+440,678	open	—	06-17 21:53
will the us strike somalia next 656	247	$2.29M	2,294,000	0	+2,294,000	open	—	01-26 13:47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	250	$2.20M	2,140,523	65,751	+2,074,772	open	—	06-01 23:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	368	$2.09M	2,097,127	0	+2,097,127	open	—	06-17 07:58
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	64	$2.00M	2,000,068	0	+2,000,068	open	—	07-23 00:11
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	403	$1.98M	1,639,570	350,000	+1,289,570	open	—	01-03 23:18
will trump say jesus this week march 8	156	$1.84M	1,840,942	0	+1,840,942	open	—	03-11 21:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	2	$1.82M	1,826,624	0	+1,826,624	open	—	06-10 04:56
will iran strike uae again in march	216	$1.81M	1,114,153	700,000	+414,153	open	—	04-08 23:42
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	53	$1.71M	561,038	1,149,328	-588,290	open	—	01-04 21:41
Trump out as President by April 30?	550	$1.52M	718,587	812,704	-94,117	open	—	04-27 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:08:19	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0xacd39a…
08-10 12:12:40	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3fc81d…
08-10 12:12:24	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x1425df…
08-10 12:12:07	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xa30f92…
08-10 12:08:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x944877…
08-10 12:08:33	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe75c72…
08-10 12:08:21	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xab6164…
08-10 12:07:25	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9e2dd5…
08-10 12:07:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x644a89…
08-10 12:06:52	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x65902a…
08-10 12:00:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x964fd5…
08-10 12:00:33	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbbcc54…
08-10 12:00:07	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x14f77b…
08-10 11:56:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6769d1…
08-10 11:56:46	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1d009…
08-10 11:56:43	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6837eb…
08-10 11:56:39	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3a1cb…
08-10 11:56:37	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf4e3ee…
08-10 11:56:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x24e884…
08-10 11:56:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x88f9c9…
08-10 11:55:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x1024b5…
08-10 11:55:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xabfe70…
08-10 11:55:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xbbbfa7…
08-10 11:55:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9f7f1a…
08-10 11:51:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xcdc307…
08-10 11:51:43	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b62b4…
08-10 11:51:37	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04d989…
08-10 11:51:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3824aa…
08-10 11:51:07	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xdc7cbc…
08-10 11:45:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x46221d…
08-10 11:45:24	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x22fabb…
08-10 11:44:57	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xfca9fa…
08-10 11:44:36	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd2cac3…
08-10 11:44:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x796f0a…
08-10 11:44:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14427f…
08-10 11:44:19	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x883a6e…
08-10 11:44:01	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2bf7c4…
08-10 11:39:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	417	99¢	$414	0x1ec04c…
08-10 11:29:22	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2cfee8…
08-10 11:29:04	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x24c9bd…
08-10 11:28:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x63b75a…
08-10 11:28:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x91323d…
08-10 11:27:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8ca1de…
08-10 11:27:34	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf9f38a…
08-10 11:20:25	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x00364b…
08-10 11:20:07	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	494	99¢	$491	0x8f4b31…
08-10 11:20:00	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x5cd96c…
08-10 11:09:57	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1ea83…
08-10 11:09:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x48aa0f…
08-10 11:07:57	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x0cf8ca…
08-10 11:01:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	439	99¢	$436	0xae427a…
08-10 10:59:15	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x531a2b…
08-10 10:58:34	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xa85f25…
08-10 10:57:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	333	47¢	$156	0x59426e…
08-10 10:54:18	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x37cee4…
08-10 10:54:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	276	99¢	$275	0x74218f…
08-10 10:06:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x656b39…
08-10 10:05:55	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	382	99¢	$379	0xdcfd99…
08-10 09:58:12	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x4caf14…
08-10 09:57:34	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0x13e0a3…
08-10 09:35:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0xf397ed…
08-10 09:29:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	47¢	$41	0x0294df…
08-10 09:18:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	480	99¢	$476	0x9469e0…
08-10 09:02:46	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdf1ffc…
08-10 08:47:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x079163…
08-10 08:46:28	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x01a041…
08-10 08:46:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf7f47f…
08-10 08:40:19	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	315	99¢	$312	0xbd2c36…
08-10 08:09:13	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	313	97¢	$304	0x7afd1e…
08-10 08:05:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	441	99¢	$438	0x1b25ec…
08-10 07:36:24	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	481	99¢	$478	0xbfc10c…
08-10 07:34:46	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x407cc2…
08-10 06:58:39	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ead64…
08-10 06:58:33	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc99b70…
08-10 06:58:24	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x730251…
08-10 06:57:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc44cbf…
08-10 06:57:16	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb85530…
08-10 06:56:58	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x548724…
08-10 06:39:28	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	395	99¢	$392	0x4ca19d…
08-10 06:35:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaf4a5b…
08-10 06:35:12	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3dade3…
08-10 06:34:57	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf8df4d…
08-10 06:34:37	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc42697…
08-10 06:33:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x466ba1…
08-10 06:33:42	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	2,520	99¢	$2,502	0x5d0840…
08-10 06:07:21	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x348945…
08-10 06:07:18	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	8,288	99¢	$8,230	0x0d5892…
08-10 05:59:19	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe60fcf…
08-10 05:02:55	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b56e3…
08-10 02:05:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	65	47¢	$31	0xbd6b20…
08-10 02:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb5052e…
08-10 01:35:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x5d3365…
08-10 01:13:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x398562…
08-10 01:13:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe31039…
08-10 01:12:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0e24fe…
08-10 01:08:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0x0f2e03…
08-10 00:27:15	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x122ea9…
08-10 00:10:49	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	610	95¢	$580	0xafa38f…
08-10 00:08:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	972	47¢	$457	0xacec6f…
08-09 23:23:36	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x4960a9…