Realized P&L
+$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.92K
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
27
Trades
35,001
lifetime
Volume
$126.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3.62K
Open exposure
$432.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
57% 100% +$2,673
Other
35% 100% +$12,237
Crypto
8% 100% +$13
Tech
0%
Sports
0% 57% $-1,251
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 994 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30? No +95,835 $94,727 99¢ $95.2K +$485 06-06 18:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +72,029 $70,948 99¢ $71.5K +$541 06-07 18:32
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -44,976 $-44,885 100¢ $-44796 +$89 06-08 01:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +33,598 $28,540 86¢ $29.1K +$522 06-08 14:44
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +30,212 $27,999 94¢ $28.5K +$506 06-07 15:37
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +27,373 $27,075 99¢ $27.2K +$133 06-09 02:58
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +25,910 $25,401 99¢ $25.7K +$263 06-09 12:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +22,784 $21,729 99¢ $22.6K +$838 06-04 00:40
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +14,416 $14,270 99¢ $14.3K +$52 06-05 21:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -12,759 $-12,510 99¢ $-12580 $-70 06-04 01:11
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +10,562 $10,418 99¢ $10.5K +$49 06-10 01:46
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +5,237 $5,142 99¢ $5.2K +$63 06-04 03:50
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No -4,798 $-4,755 99¢ $-4765 $-9 06-04 16:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +3,748 $3,710 99¢ $3.7K +$9 06-07 06:22
Chirayu Rana divorced? No +3,490 $3,452 99¢ $3.5K +$19 06-06 17:49
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +3,345 $3,111 94¢ $3.2K +$50 06-09 22:41
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +3,096 $3,063 99¢ $3.1K +$6 06-09 18:57
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +3,272 $3,010 92¢ $3.0K +$16 06-10 02:50
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -2,862 $-2,881 99¢ $-2829 +$52 06-09 20:48
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +2,500 $2,452 99¢ $2.5K +$30 05-29 16:55
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2,687 $2,163 90¢ $2.4K +$242 06-09 19:17
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +2,375 $2,353 98¢ $2.3K $-28 06-08 14:23
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +2,174 $2,152 99¢ $2.2K +$6 06-10 03:33
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +2,129 $2,107 99¢ $2.1K +$6 06-10 03:32
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +2,000 $1,970 99¢ $2.0K +$14 06-06 11:46
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +1,743 $1,717 98¢ $1.7K $-1 06-08 21:16
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? No +1,711 $1,679 99¢ $1.7K +$18 06-05 21:04
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +1,638 $1,621 99¢ $1.6K +$5 06-05 20:41
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +1,507 $1,493 99¢ $1.5K +$6 06-06 05:28
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1,324 $1,229 94¢ $1.2K +$10 06-09 00:28