Flashy-Label 0xed107a…7dd2e5
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$17.0K
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
27
Trades
41,225
lifetime
Volume
$141.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3.43K
Open exposure
$3.14M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
58% 100% +$2,673
Other
34% 100% +$12,237
Crypto
8% 100% +$13
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 57% $-1,251
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +540,337 $538,327 100¢ $539.8K +$1,470 06-26 16:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +433,507 $432,148 100¢ $433.1K +$926 06-30 20:40
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +326,437 $325,870 100¢ $326.1K +$240 06-30 12:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +313,228 $312,131 100¢ $312.9K +$784 06-30 13:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +195,407 $194,163 100¢ $195.2K +$1,049 06-30 21:11
Trump out as President by June 30? No +164,441 $163,025 100¢ $164.3K +$1,252 06-27 21:08
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +114,503 $114,156 100¢ $114.4K +$233 06-30 17:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No +125,000 $113,600 92¢ $114.4K +$775 06-30 18:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +103,922 $103,540 100¢ $103.8K +$278 06-30 12:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +83,790 $81,224 100¢ $83.7K +$2,482 06-26 18:21
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +81,547 $81,361 100¢ $81.5K +$105 06-29 03:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +64,377 $60,402 96¢ $61.8K +$1,368 06-27 22:16
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +61,695 $61,287 100¢ $61.6K +$346 06-30 16:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +59,421 $57,683 100¢ $59.3K +$1,590 06-29 12:09
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? No +47,281 $46,677 100¢ $47.2K +$556 06-29 13:46
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -44,976 $-44,885 100¢ $-44931 $-46 06-08 01:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -47,654 $-43,462 92¢ $-43604 $-142 06-24 15:53
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? No +42,318 $42,259 100¢ $42.3K +$16 06-29 23:50
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +39,230 $39,074 100¢ $39.2K +$117 06-30 18:05
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +36,317 $36,041 100¢ $36.3K +$240 06-27 07:33
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? No +36,073 $36,016 100¢ $36.0K +$22 06-29 16:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +31,386 $29,325 100¢ $31.2K +$1,919 06-30 17:50
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +30,212 $27,999 94¢ $28.5K +$491 06-07 15:37
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +27,665 $27,137 100¢ $27.6K +$417 06-18 05:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +23,131 $22,917 100¢ $23.1K +$156 06-29 21:21
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +23,070 $22,971 100¢ $23.0K +$75 06-30 11:47
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +18,888 $18,794 100¢ $18.8K +$47 06-30 20:20
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +17,694 $17,522 100¢ $17.7K +$155 06-22 12:30
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +16,504 $16,435 100¢ $16.5K +$53 06-30 05:39
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +15,462 $15,396 100¢ $15.4K +$50 06-22 13:15