Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,199
$26 in 24h
Trades
295
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$34,243
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-27 16:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $3.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $1 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $78 | $82 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $34 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $44 | $129 | $85 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $53 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $18 | $16 |
| Median | 13 | $6 | $199 | $192 |
| Below median | 13 | $5 | $103 | $98 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $15 | $93 | $78 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $131 | $129 |
| unranked | 29 | $75 | $138 | $64 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +1,283 | $1,177 | $1,177 | 22 | 07-01 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | +492 | $42 | $42 | 10 | 07-02 02:07 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +369 | $28 | $28 | 7 | 06-26 20:48 |
| Monstrous-Festival 0x09e4…93aa | No | +369 | $351 | $1,281 | 4 | 07-10 07:21 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +275 | $256 | $256 | 1 | 06-25 21:35 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +229 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 07-16 19:54 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +141 | $131 | $131 | 1 | 07-10 07:21 |
| Competent-Fantasy 0xc8a5…82bd | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 07-02 05:36 |
| Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | +89 | $3 | $61 | 18 | 07-27 16:40 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +85 | $78 | $78 | 6 | 07-02 02:07 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 05:36 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-15 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 15 | 07-01 01:15 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 5 | 06-21 14:10 |
| Personal-Confidentiality 0xf2f3…fda3 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 01:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5c0…158c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 07:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xdaaa…9dd8 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-26 20:48 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 16:27 |
| Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-12 17:35 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-23 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xedbc…6824 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-20 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-09 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-25 05:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b21…6e2f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-20 07:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x540f…f41f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-21 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-07 18:33 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0daf…fa16 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | No | +1 | $1 | $69 | 7 | 06-17 16:56 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $11 | 2 | 06-27 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $4 | 4 | 07-10 07:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 16:40:03 | Lanky-Beef 0x0f33…addc | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x57a48f… |
| 07-27 16:40:03 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x57a48f… |
| 07-22 09:24:36 | Raw-Shawl-Macrofauna 0x8672…62bc | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x00442b… |
| 07-22 09:24:36 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x00442b… |
| 07-22 05:57:21 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6032d8… |
| 07-22 05:57:21 | Nautical-Licensing 0x76d2…6bfc | No | SELL | 21 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x6032d8… |
| 07-17 06:56:55 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe3d749… |
| 07-17 06:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xfbf7…c485 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xe3d749… |
| 07-16 19:54:55 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x04a780… |
| 07-16 19:54:55 | (anonymous) 0xfbf7…c485 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x04a780… |
| 07-13 14:39:55 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc7511a… |
| 07-13 14:39:55 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc7511a… |
| 07-12 17:35:26 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x558b2c… |
| 07-12 17:35:26 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x558b2c… |
| 07-12 17:35:26 | Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x558b2c… |
| 07-10 13:44:10 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9f6902… |
| 07-10 13:44:10 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x9f6902… |
| 07-10 07:21:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 141 | 93¢ | $131 | 0x9f7f17… |
| 07-10 07:21:11 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9f7f17… |
| 07-10 07:21:11 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 204 | 7¢ | $14 | 0x9f7f17… |
| 07-10 07:21:11 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 110 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x9f7f17… |
| 07-10 07:21:11 | Monstrous-Festival 0x09e4…93aa | No | SELL | 500 | 93¢ | $465 | 0x9f7f17… |
| 07-10 07:21:11 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x9f7f17… |
| 07-09 02:47:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbb74df… |
| 07-09 02:47:31 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbb74df… |
| 07-08 08:49:29 | Hearty-Look 0x3f0d…bea7 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xc3b5c1… |
| 07-08 08:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc3b5c1… |
| 07-07 13:27:35 | (anonymous) 0xd078…0090 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x3c2103… |
| 07-07 13:27:35 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3c2103… |
| 07-05 05:01:08 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0xcca1f8… |
| 07-05 05:01:08 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0xcca1f8… |
| 07-02 08:47:43 | Monstrous-Festival 0x09e4…93aa | No | BUY | 850 | 94¢ | $799 | 0x385d0e… |
| 07-02 08:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x385d0e… |
| 07-02 08:47:43 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x385d0e… |
| 07-02 08:47:43 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 809 | 94¢ | $760 | 0x385d0e… |
| 07-02 05:36:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xc1e9ee… |
| 07-02 05:36:05 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc1e9ee… |
| 07-02 05:36:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 37 | 93¢ | $34 | 0xc1e9ee… |
| 07-02 05:36:05 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc1e9ee… |
| 07-02 05:36:05 | Competent-Fantasy 0xc8a5…82bd | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xc1e9ee… |
| 07-02 05:36:05 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xc1e9ee… |
| 07-02 02:07:07 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xa0a7a1… |
| 07-02 02:07:07 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xa0a7a1… |
| 07-02 02:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xa0a7a1… |
| 07-01 06:20:25 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x711e92… |
| 07-01 06:20:25 | Confused-Strip 0x9399…ddbf | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x711e92… |
| 07-01 01:15:40 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x73f816… |
| 07-01 01:15:40 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x73f816… |
| 07-01 01:15:37 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | SELL | 23 | 91¢ | $20 | 0xd57f8e… |
| 07-01 01:15:37 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 23 | 91¢ | $20 | 0xd57f8e… |
| 06-30 08:42:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x841b6d… |
| 06-30 08:42:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x841b6d… |
| 06-28 16:42:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xc96e18… |
| 06-28 16:42:01 | Frosty-Map 0x0f33…29ce | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xc96e18… |
| 06-28 00:50:59 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9c1232… |
| 06-28 00:50:59 | Lanky-Beef 0x0f33…addc | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x9c1232… |
| 06-28 00:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xe41e5b… |
| 06-28 00:50:46 | Frosty-Map 0x0f33…29ce | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x053c6e… |
| 06-28 00:50:46 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xe41e5b… |
| 06-28 00:50:46 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x053c6e… |
| 06-28 00:38:49 | Lanky-Beef 0x0f33…addc | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xb26c17… |
| 06-28 00:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb26c17… |
| 06-28 00:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x61f91a… |
| 06-28 00:38:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x789612… |
| 06-28 00:38:37 | Frosty-Map 0x0f33…29ce | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x61f91a… |
| 06-28 00:38:37 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x789612… |
| 06-28 00:38:34 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x91f018… |
| 06-28 00:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x91f018… |
| 06-28 00:38:34 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x91f018… |
| 06-27 09:02:02 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x4da498… |
| 06-27 09:02:02 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x4da498… |
| 06-26 20:48:41 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x258d6b… |
| 06-26 20:48:41 | (anonymous) 0xdaaa…9dd8 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x258d6b… |
| 06-26 20:48:41 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x7378d1… |
| 06-26 20:48:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x258d6b… |
| 06-26 20:48:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 99 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x7378d1… |
| 06-26 18:15:07 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x179c7c… |
| 06-26 18:15:07 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x179c7c… |
| 06-26 18:15:05 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x3371e7… |
| 06-26 18:15:05 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 71 | 91¢ | $64 | 0x3371e7… |
| 06-25 21:35:47 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 275 | 7¢ | $19 | 0xc603c3… |
| 06-25 21:35:47 | Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | BUY | 275 | 93¢ | $256 | 0xc603c3… |
| 06-25 05:38:58 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc6967c… |
| 06-25 05:38:58 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc6967c… |
| 06-25 05:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xeb816d… |
| 06-25 05:38:58 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xeb816d… |
| 06-25 05:38:53 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 342 | 91¢ | $311 | 0x911374… |
| 06-25 05:38:53 | Angelic-Reasoning 0xb40d…1474 | No | SELL | 345 | 91¢ | $314 | 0x911374… |
| 06-25 05:38:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x911374… |
| 06-24 16:31:22 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbdfb6e… |
| 06-24 16:31:22 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbdfb6e… |
| 06-23 05:47:14 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe5cbb6… |
| 06-23 05:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe5cbb6… |
| 06-23 03:25:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x93586b… |
| 06-23 03:25:41 | (anonymous) 0x1de2…f62e | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x93586b… |
| 06-22 16:22:44 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x4c0113… |
| 06-22 16:22:44 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4c0113… |
| 06-21 19:38:22 | Limp-Limit 0x6491…6ed2 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xf9acfe… |
| 06-21 19:38:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf9acfe… |
| 06-21 14:10:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4d2b5b… |