Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,149
$26 in 24h
Trades
151
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$34,243
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-16 10:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $584
vs crowd: 6% YES on $930)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $1 | $590 | $589 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $33 | $2 | +$30 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $6 | $181 | $175 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $17 | $100 | $83 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $584 | $584 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
| Median | 5 | — | $84 | $84 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $54 | $54 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $14 | $47 | $33 |
| unranked | 17 | $23 | $81 | $58 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +631 | $584 | $584 | 13 | 06-16 10:16 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-07 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | +184 | $16 | $16 | 5 | 06-15 01:20 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +165 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 06-10 22:04 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-07 16:25 |
| Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | +88 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-12 10:23 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +78 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 06-12 17:33 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-15 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | No | +17 | $16 | $54 | 6 | 06-16 10:16 |
| Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-09 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-15 01:20 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 06-09 12:14 |
| Personal-Confidentiality 0xf2f3…fda3 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 01:20 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-10 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 9 | 06-16 10:16 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 16:27 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-09 12:15 |
| Confused-Strip 0x9399…ddbf | No | +2 | $2 | $13 | 5 | 06-15 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-07 18:33 |
| Thoughtful-Visa 0x2df2…9dca | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b21…6e2f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 10:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x0daf…fa16 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 15:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 10:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xe46888… |
| 06-16 10:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xe46888… |
| 06-16 10:16:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b21…6e2f | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xeaef77… |
| 06-16 10:16:36 | (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xeaef77… |
| 06-16 10:16:34 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xb8a202… |
| 06-16 10:16:34 | (anonymous) 0xfd2a…a916 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xb8a202… |
| 06-15 20:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x7a97…971a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x267eec… |
| 06-15 20:17:27 | (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x267eec… |
| 06-15 01:21:03 | Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x47a0ca… |
| 06-15 01:21:03 | (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x47a0ca… |
| 06-15 01:21:00 | Confused-Strip 0x9399…ddbf | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xd1725e… |
| 06-15 01:21:00 | (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xd1725e… |
| 06-15 01:20:34 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x15744e… |
| 06-15 01:20:34 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x15744e… |
| 06-15 01:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd5350e… |
| 06-15 01:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x769330… |
| 06-15 01:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x637880… |
| 06-15 01:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x637880… |
| 06-15 01:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x033887… |
| 06-15 01:20:28 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 120 | 91¢ | $109 | 0x033887… |
| 06-15 01:20:28 | Personal-Confidentiality 0xf2f3…fda3 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xd5350e… |
| 06-15 01:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | No | BUY | 38 | 92¢ | $35 | 0x769330… |
| 06-12 17:33:49 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xb6e560… |
| 06-12 17:33:49 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xb6e560… |
| 06-12 10:23:04 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x451848… |
| 06-12 10:23:04 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x451848… |
| 06-12 10:23:00 | (anonymous) 0x0498…1ccf | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x6fd7cc… |
| 06-12 10:23:00 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x6fd7cc… |
| 06-10 22:04:55 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x34964f… |
| 06-10 22:04:55 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x34964f… |
| 06-10 20:22:03 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xf25279… |
| 06-10 20:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xd10f…154d | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xf25279… |
| 06-10 13:08:03 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x5c16d2… |
| 06-10 13:08:03 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x5c16d2… |
| 06-09 20:54:28 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfb5b9d… |
| 06-09 20:54:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfb5b9d… |
| 06-09 20:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x15c492… |
| 06-09 20:54:28 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 44 | 93¢ | $41 | 0x15c492… |
| 06-09 20:54:28 | Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x15c492… |
| 06-09 20:54:28 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x15c492… |
| 06-09 18:32:19 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xb4f507… |
| 06-09 18:32:19 | Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xb4f507… |
| 06-09 18:31:54 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x90b1fa… |
| 06-09 18:31:54 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x90b1fa… |
| 06-09 18:31:52 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3f151c… |
| 06-09 18:31:52 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3f151c… |
| 06-09 18:31:45 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x9c282d… |
| 06-09 18:31:45 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x9c282d… |
| 06-09 18:31:43 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd89714… |
| 06-09 18:31:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10f…154d | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd89714… |
| 06-09 18:31:42 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x364016… |
| 06-09 18:31:42 | (anonymous) 0xd10f…154d | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x364016… |
| 06-09 18:31:40 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xc556bb… |
| 06-09 18:31:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 38 | 93¢ | $35 | 0xc556bb… |
| 06-09 18:31:40 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xba71bc… |
| 06-09 18:31:40 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xc556bb… |
| 06-09 18:31:40 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0xba71bc… |
| 06-09 18:31:39 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 98 | 93¢ | $91 | 0x431346… |
| 06-09 18:31:39 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x431346… |
| 06-09 12:25:03 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xae1e1c… |
| 06-09 12:25:03 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xae1e1c… |
| 06-09 12:15:09 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x39a5eb… |
| 06-09 12:15:09 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x39a5eb… |
| 06-09 12:14:16 | Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb0bebc… |
| 06-09 12:14:16 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb0bebc… |
| 06-09 12:14:12 | (anonymous) 0xd10f…154d | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb435f3… |
| 06-09 12:14:12 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb435f3… |
| 06-09 12:14:09 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x9b6ae8… |
| 06-09 12:14:09 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x9b6ae8… |
| 06-09 10:13:19 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0a2655… |
| 06-09 10:13:19 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0a2655… |
| 06-09 10:13:18 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x4c8b26… |
| 06-09 10:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x4c8b26… |
| 06-09 10:13:16 | (anonymous) 0xc262…5946 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xf012a0… |
| 06-09 10:13:16 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xf012a0… |
| 06-09 09:43:09 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x92359c… |
| 06-09 09:43:09 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x92359c… |
| 06-09 09:42:42 | Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x21594c… |
| 06-09 09:42:42 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf6e4e8… |
| 06-09 09:42:42 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf6e4e8… |
| 06-09 09:42:42 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x21594c… |
| 06-09 09:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x0498…1ccf | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x3c5e9f… |
| 06-09 09:42:40 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x3c5e9f… |
| 06-09 09:42:40 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x0bfcf0… |
| 06-09 09:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xc262…5946 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x0bfcf0… |
| 06-09 09:42:39 | Confused-Strip 0x9399…ddbf | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x2cde12… |
| 06-09 09:42:39 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x91c779… |
| 06-09 09:42:39 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x2cde12… |
| 06-09 09:42:39 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x91c779… |
| 06-07 18:34:18 | Confused-Strip 0x9399…ddbf | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc46872… |
| 06-07 18:34:18 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc46872… |
| 06-07 18:33:58 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0e4d2c… |
| 06-07 18:33:58 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0e4d2c… |
| 06-07 18:33:54 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8686e8… |
| 06-07 18:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8686e8… |
| 06-07 18:33:54 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x7dcb28… |
| 06-07 18:33:54 | Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xfd7182… |
| 06-07 18:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xfd7182… |
| 06-07 18:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xfd2a…a916 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x02fb79… |
| 06-07 18:33:54 | Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x7dcb28… |