Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,377
$26 in 24h
Trades
551
Unique wallets
123
Liquidity
$34,243
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-19 07:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.8K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $6.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $4 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $85 | $721 | $636 |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $236 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 67 | $47 | $204 | $156 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $59 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $4 | $356 | $352 |
| Median | 17 | $6 | $286 | $280 |
| Below median | 21 | $5 | $224 | $219 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $15 | $141 | $126 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $7 | $259 | $251 |
| unranked | 54 | $275 | $339 | $65 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +1,047 | $874 | $4,642 | 62 | 08-06 08:41 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +369 | $28 | $28 | 7 | 06-26 20:48 |
| Monstrous-Festival 0x09e4…93aa | No | +369 | $351 | $1,281 | 4 | 07-10 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fb8…48f6 | Yes | +353 | $32 | $51 | 11 | 08-01 15:46 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +330 | $317 | $317 | 1 | 08-07 20:14 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +275 | $256 | $256 | 1 | 06-25 21:35 |
| International-Venue 0x7e30…1e50 | No | +222 | $206 | $206 | 3 | 08-01 11:13 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +150 | $5 | $41 | 13 | 08-07 20:14 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +133 | $6 | $9 | 11 | 08-07 20:14 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +80 | $74 | $180 | 4 | 08-07 20:14 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +69 | $64 | $64 | 8 | 08-03 15:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +57 | $53 | $53 | 4 | 08-03 03:50 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-15 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 21 | 08-03 15:50 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | +12 | $11 | $19 | 6 | 08-06 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2854…f0c3 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-03 04:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xdaaa…9dd8 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5c0…158c | No | +9 | $8 | $12 | 2 | 08-06 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x24f3…cf28 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-03 15:51 |
| Personal-Confidentiality 0xf2f3…fda3 | No | +7 | $7 | $13 | 2 | 08-06 08:35 |
| Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-12 17:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | +4 | $4 | $6 | 6 | 08-06 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8aa…2b18 | No | +4 | $4 | $6 | 4 | 08-06 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xedbc…6824 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-20 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0847…73b7 | No | +4 | $4 | $5 | 3 | 08-06 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-09 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +4 | $3 | $5 | 4 | 08-06 08:35 |
| Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | No | +3 | $3 | $8 | 3 | 08-05 21:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7f0…6920 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-06 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x540f…f41f | No | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 08-06 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa552…2e67 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-19 07:24 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | +1 | $1 | $34 | 8 | 08-12 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0daf…fa16 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 15:44 |
| Extra-Large-Pianist 0x0369…3915 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-06 08:35 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $11 | 2 | 06-27 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $4 | 4 | 07-10 07:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 07:24:49 | (anonymous) 0xa552…2e67 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x614dd9… |
| 08-19 07:24:49 | (anonymous) 0xdbec…04d0 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x614dd9… |
| 08-12 22:20:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x11a1a3… |
| 08-12 22:20:01 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x11a1a3… |
| 08-12 21:52:40 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x38bde3… |
| 08-12 21:52:40 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x38bde3… |
| 08-12 21:52:40 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x38bde3… |
| 08-10 18:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x902fd5… |
| 08-10 18:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x5056…e750 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x902fd5… |
| 08-10 09:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x69f9…3c3b | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf3a695… |
| 08-10 09:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf3a695… |
| 08-10 05:00:07 | (anonymous) 0xe541…b524 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x418e3c… |
| 08-10 05:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x418e3c… |
| 08-08 22:11:42 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9332e4… |
| 08-08 22:11:42 | (anonymous) 0x424c…8580 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9332e4… |
| 08-08 17:26:31 | (anonymous) 0xbf72…2a2c | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xc45dc2… |
| 08-08 17:26:31 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc45dc2… |
| 08-08 01:33:39 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x04febb… |
| 08-08 01:33:39 | (anonymous) 0x0942…04ce | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x04febb… |
| 08-08 01:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x50b6…9a31 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3a4d38… |
| 08-08 01:14:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3a4d38… |
| 08-08 01:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4ed144… |
| 08-08 01:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x6d00…605a | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x4ed144… |
| 08-07 20:14:51 | Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | BUY | 330 | 96¢ | $317 | 0xb99fec… |
| 08-07 20:14:51 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb99fec… |
| 08-07 20:14:51 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb99fec… |
| 08-07 20:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb99fec… |
| 08-07 20:14:51 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | SELL | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0xb99fec… |
| 08-07 20:14:51 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xb99fec… |
| 08-07 15:56:49 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4164a4… |
| 08-07 15:56:49 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4164a4… |
| 08-07 15:23:36 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x76dca5… |
| 08-07 15:23:36 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x76dca5… |
| 08-06 08:41:45 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xddf5de… |
| 08-06 08:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xddf5de… |
| 08-06 08:41:36 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x2c9615… |
| 08-06 08:41:36 | (anonymous) 0x6529…0133 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x2c9615… |
| 08-06 08:41:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x4e90aa… |
| 08-06 08:41:35 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x4e90aa… |
| 08-06 08:41:03 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x14f931… |
| 08-06 08:41:03 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x14f931… |
| 08-06 08:40:50 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x4857dd… |
| 08-06 08:40:50 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x4857dd… |
| 08-06 08:36:42 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x8c108e… |
| 08-06 08:36:42 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x8c108e… |
| 08-06 08:36:17 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2ea8fb… |
| 08-06 08:36:17 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2ea8fb… |
| 08-06 08:36:05 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x135d4b… |
| 08-06 08:36:05 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x135d4b… |
| 08-06 08:35:54 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x590a5c… |
| 08-06 08:35:54 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x590a5c… |
| 08-06 08:35:42 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xf26c02… |
| 08-06 08:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xf26c02… |
| 08-06 08:35:32 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x2c7e8d… |
| 08-06 08:35:32 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x2c7e8d… |
| 08-06 08:35:20 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x104ca8… |
| 08-06 08:35:20 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x96f270… |
| 08-06 08:35:20 | (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x96f270… |
| 08-06 08:35:20 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x46201c… |
| 08-06 08:35:20 | (anonymous) 0x3b09…b884 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x46201c… |
| 08-06 08:35:20 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x104ca8… |
| 08-06 08:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x872e…b585 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6569c2… |
| 08-06 08:35:12 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6569c2… |
| 08-06 08:35:11 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x373af9… |
| 08-06 08:35:11 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6d0145… |
| 08-06 08:35:11 | (anonymous) 0x6529…0133 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6d0145… |
| 08-06 08:35:11 | (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x373af9… |
| 08-06 08:35:09 | (anonymous) 0x0847…73b7 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xd4afed… |
| 08-06 08:35:09 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x83e74e… |
| 08-06 08:35:09 | (anonymous) 0xe541…b524 | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xe17bf8… |
| 08-06 08:35:09 | (anonymous) 0x872e…b585 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x83e74e… |
| 08-06 08:35:09 | (anonymous) 0x6529…0133 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xb0b374… |
| 08-06 08:35:09 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xd4afed… |
| 08-06 08:35:09 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xe17bf8… |
| 08-06 08:35:09 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xb0b374… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xe03c5a… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Spanish-Round 0xe43e…011c | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xe5929e… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Wiry-Shoestring 0x3ca2…d5b9 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd9f0d6… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Instructive-Computer 0x6933…e6a6 | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xbb30c0… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xffc29f… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x4f27…1f31 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xee56e0… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3b9c28… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xe03c5a… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | (anonymous) 0xe5c0…158c | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xaeeec4… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x79c0b9… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xbb30c0… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xee56e0… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3b9c28… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x934071… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xaeeec4… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x6529…0133 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xf63891… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | (anonymous) 0xf8aa…2b18 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xbad106… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Personal-Confidentiality 0xf2f3…fda3 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x934071… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x2b929f… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xe5929e… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Definitive-Today 0xbb7b…b248 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x2b929f… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x5056…e750 | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xffc29f… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xf63891… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5a54c4… |
| 08-06 08:35:08 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd9f0d6… |