Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
7.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
607
lifetime
Volume
$487
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$23
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 07-19 06:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
34%
Other
33% 100% +$0
Crypto
28% 33% $-6
Tech
3%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +7 $0 88¢ $6 +$6 06-30 15:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $1 46¢ $3 +$2 06-21 21:04
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +4 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 07-19 01:57
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +4 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 07-08 06:18
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$0 06-27 17:12
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-07 17:18
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-07 17:17
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-19 06:35
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-04 03:45
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:08
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 07-16 12:43
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 07-03 03:10
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-07 14:58