Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
7.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
551
lifetime
Volume
$433
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 07-01 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
33%
Other
32% 100% +$0
Crypto
29% 33% $-6
Tech
4%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +7 $0 72¢ $5 +$5 06-30 15:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-21 21:04
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-01 12:11
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-25 00:40
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 06-04 03:45
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +1 $1 67¢ $1 $-0 06-27 17:12
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 06-21 08:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +17 $2 $0 $-2 06-20 13:38