Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

297

Trades

906

lifetime

Volume

$827

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 09-09 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

52% 67% -$28

Politics

24% 65% -$1

Crypto

16% 46% -$7

Sports

4% 74% -$3

Tech

3% 75% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+7	$1	88¢	$6	+$5	06-21 21:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$0	78¢	$5	+$5	08-12 02:58
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+91	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-19 09:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	88	$84	46	46	+0	No	-$6	05-11 07:27
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$59	35	23	+12	No	+$0	05-11 11:51
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	25	$41	24	17	+7	No	$0	05-11 11:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$22	23	6	+17	No	+$4	06-03 13:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	16	$20	15	5	+10	No	+$0	05-12 15:28
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	18	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	09-09 09:32
Exact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros?	3	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	06-08 12:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	14	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 00:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$9	25	0	+25	No	-$2	07-06 00:38
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	5	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	09-09 09:36
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	8	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-14 02:53
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	7	$7	6	1	+5	No	+$0	05-19 23:15
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	10	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	+$3	06-27 21:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$6	11	11	+0	Yes	+$4	06-19 09:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$6	7	3	+3	Yes	+$1	06-14 21:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	15	$6	11	4	+7	open	—	08-12 02:58
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	8	$6	4	2	+2	Yes	+$0	06-23 15:43
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	06-14 19:06
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	9	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-04 05:25
Trump out as President by June 30?	7	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-04 00:57
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	5	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-19 02:52
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-14 18:00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	11	$5	3	2	+1	No	$0	05-15 14:28
Trump kiss by May 31?	9	$4	14	6	+7	Yes	+$1	05-20 16:00
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$4	8	3	+4	No	-$1	07-01 13:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	6	$4	3	1	+2	No	+$0	06-04 01:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$4	13	1	+12	No	-$1	07-02 16:22
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	09-09 09:35
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$4	17	17	+0	No	+$2	06-11 19:25
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-19 00:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 22:19:30	Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x18c256…
09-09 21:45:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa3a635…
09-09 21:32:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5c10f0…
09-09 09:39:07	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfc4228…
09-09 09:38:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xfb7be7…
09-09 09:38:36	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe19c9e…
09-09 09:38:21	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x81c851…
09-09 09:38:07	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xee381e…
09-09 09:37:49	Will BP be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3e8cdd…
09-09 09:37:36	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeedfdd…
09-09 09:37:22	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2cca20…
09-09 09:37:07	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9005a8…
09-09 09:36:54	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xafd3a6…
09-09 09:36:39	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x24cdee…
09-09 09:36:25	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xa29d4c…
09-09 09:36:10	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3fdd15…
09-09 09:35:57	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x113c75…
09-09 09:35:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8ef277…
09-09 09:35:24	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe1c109…
09-09 09:35:07	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc177cc…
09-09 09:34:52	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xab86c8…
09-09 09:34:39	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x955ce2…
09-09 09:34:24	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xff4de3…
09-09 09:34:06	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2ed7ab…
09-09 09:33:46	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0699fe…
09-09 09:33:30	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa69f3f…
09-09 09:33:10	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8bcec4…
09-09 09:32:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc2a51…
09-09 09:32:40	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x869394…
09-09 09:32:25	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa5b632…
09-09 09:31:15	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39b6d9…
08-12 02:58:00	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc9b1d0…
08-12 02:54:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd31f53…
08-12 02:53:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x13c933…
08-12 00:56:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2b420b…
08-11 02:17:28	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x05496c…
08-10 00:11:01	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x985d28…
08-10 00:09:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x97dbf1…
08-09 23:23:39	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xaa4914…
08-09 23:23:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf81347…
08-09 11:08:43	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf29e93…
08-09 11:08:31	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4ce328…
08-09 10:40:39	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x611604…
08-09 04:36:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf75029…
08-08 21:20:04	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf9dea6…
08-08 19:57:48	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2a8cfd…
08-08 19:42:43	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x15686a…
08-08 19:42:33	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x0edaca…
08-07 15:33:36	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb667ea…
08-06 17:41:50	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x05c01b…
08-06 15:05:57	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x91232e…
08-06 11:40:23	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3590cd…
08-06 08:41:45	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xddf5de…
08-06 08:36:42	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x8c108e…
08-06 08:36:17	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2ea8fb…
08-06 08:36:05	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x135d4b…
08-06 08:35:54	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x590a5c…
08-06 08:35:42	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf26c02…
08-06 08:35:32	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x2c7e8d…
08-06 08:35:20	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x104ca8…
08-06 03:47:18	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa7434c…
08-03 04:15:09	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x092309…
08-03 02:50:14	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf92d74…
08-02 19:16:17	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x63e1bf…
08-02 18:44:20	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0f01d1…
08-02 00:15:08	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd929d1…
08-02 00:11:48	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f34ab…
08-02 00:11:11	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x83a9f5…
08-02 00:10:09	Will BP be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9870d5…
08-01 20:41:09	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf05441…
08-01 17:30:12	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x042d15…
08-01 14:40:21	ufc kyl2 mat13 2026 08 01	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x266fed…
08-01 11:50:32	ufc jan nav 2026 08 01	Navajo Stirling	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xca8af4…
08-01 11:13:32	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc93398…
08-01 10:19:15	ufc mjanic ngugno 2026 08 01	Noah Gugnon	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe56001…
08-01 10:17:44	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4875ef…
08-01 10:13:12	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcf521d…
08-01 10:12:09	ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01	Stephanie Luciano	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x32ef82…
08-01 09:41:05	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce6c76…
08-01 08:02:00	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7922dc…
08-01 07:41:27	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1732e5…
08-01 07:15:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd81b33…
08-01 06:58:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4b1e3…
08-01 06:46:53	ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	Michael Oliveira	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2d7d4a…
08-01 06:40:20	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf71f6a…
08-01 06:38:09	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x19b71d…
08-01 06:25:54	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e890d…
08-01 06:10:53	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb98ec8…
08-01 06:03:54	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd9d3f5…
08-01 00:24:35	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0c21a6…
07-19 06:35:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe3240d…
07-19 02:52:19	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfec339…
07-19 02:51:03	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Dricus Du Plessis	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x87bcad…
07-19 01:57:00	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0cde0d…
07-19 01:22:39	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x050028…
07-19 00:05:18	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc4c9e4…
07-18 12:09:10	ufc cha9 mit4 2026 07 18	Chase Hooper	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xeacd88…
07-18 12:08:07	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xee531d…
07-17 00:47:17	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34fdc5…
07-16 13:38:07	Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f9889…