Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
open
Total volume
$6,880
$7 in 24h
Trades
96
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$12,260
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-20 01:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $4.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | — | $3.7K | $3.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $2 | $12 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $124 | $114 | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $1 | $353 | $352 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Median | 4 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 6 | $0 | $101 | $101 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 22 | $108 | $421 | $313 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +2,159 | $2,007 | $2,007 | 5 | 07-02 20:26 |
| Slimy-Sunrise 0xc2cb…fbf5 | Yes | +1,717 | $103 | $103 | 7 | 06-24 11:08 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +1,645 | $1,546 | $1,546 | 1 | 06-24 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbf7…afa8 | No | +284 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 07-20 01:26 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-20 01:26 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-13 02:02 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3389…666a | No | +59 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 07-20 01:27 |
| Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-17 19:48 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +37 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-16 03:16 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 9 | 07-02 20:34 |
| Milky-Temptation 0xbe70…2e42 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 03:58 |
| Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 07-08 00:29 |
| Illiterate-Verification 0xdcfe…b5bf | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-08 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 07-02 20:26 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +4 | $4 | $19 | 2 | 06-24 11:08 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-04 09:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4dd…d204 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 20:26 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 20:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 01:27:10 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x0c0653… |
| 07-20 01:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x3389…666a | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x0c0653… |
| 07-20 01:26:54 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xe27064… |
| 07-20 01:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x103c…410a | No | SELL | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0xe27064… |
| 07-20 01:26:54 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 141 | 95¢ | $134 | 0xe27064… |
| 07-20 01:26:54 | (anonymous) 0xbbf7…afa8 | No | BUY | 284 | 95¢ | $270 | 0xe27064… |
| 07-20 01:26:54 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xe27064… |
| 07-17 19:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x3389…666a | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x835ab6… |
| 07-17 19:48:13 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x835ab6… |
| 07-14 19:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x3daa…56bd | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x461e37… |
| 07-14 19:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x3389…666a | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x461e37… |
| 07-13 02:02:32 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xd2725d… |
| 07-13 02:02:32 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xd2725d… |
| 07-08 00:29:19 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x92861c… |
| 07-08 00:29:19 | Illiterate-Verification 0xdcfe…b5bf | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x92861c… |
| 07-06 19:27:01 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x4aac2f… |
| 07-06 19:27:01 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4aac2f… |
| 07-06 07:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xd23c2e… |
| 07-06 07:37:55 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd23c2e… |
| 07-04 19:06:20 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x561386… |
| 07-04 19:06:20 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x561386… |
| 07-04 09:57:32 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x3ccaf2… |
| 07-04 09:57:32 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3ccaf2… |
| 07-03 17:56:58 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…660e | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb2b822… |
| 07-03 17:56:58 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb2b822… |
| 07-03 15:44:31 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd48252… |
| 07-03 15:44:31 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xd48252… |
| 07-02 20:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…660e | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x68ad9e… |
| 07-02 20:34:58 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x68ad9e… |
| 07-02 20:26:22 | (anonymous) 0x18ea…e57e | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x685a4d… |
| 07-02 20:26:22 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x685a4d… |
| 07-02 20:26:16 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5c2a33… |
| 07-02 20:26:16 | (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5c2a33… |
| 07-02 20:26:14 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x663977… |
| 07-02 20:26:14 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x663977… |
| 07-02 20:26:13 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf7edce… |
| 07-02 20:26:13 | Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf7edce… |
| 07-02 20:26:13 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x13e5c0… |
| 07-02 20:26:13 | (anonymous) 0xd4dd…d204 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x13e5c0… |
| 07-02 20:26:11 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x6f122b… |
| 07-02 20:26:11 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x6f122b… |
| 06-28 12:24:32 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x307867… |
| 06-28 12:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x4df9…0929 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x307867… |
| 06-27 07:20:44 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…9708 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x2a0e09… |
| 06-27 07:20:44 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x2a0e09… |
| 06-24 14:06:55 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4095bd… |
| 06-24 14:06:55 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4095bd… |
| 06-24 14:06:50 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x157f07… |
| 06-24 14:06:50 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x157f07… |
| 06-24 11:08:28 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf2ae2e… |
| 06-24 11:08:28 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf2ae2e… |
| 06-24 11:08:11 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x79b7b9… |
| 06-24 11:08:11 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 1,645 | 94¢ | $1,546 | 0x79b7b9… |
| 06-24 11:08:11 | Slimy-Sunrise 0xc2cb…fbf5 | Yes | BUY | 1,637 | 6¢ | $98 | 0x79b7b9… |
| 06-23 23:10:35 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6e13ac… |
| 06-23 23:10:35 | Slimy-Sunrise 0xc2cb…fbf5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6e13ac… |
| 06-23 23:10:34 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x66dc11… |
| 06-23 23:10:34 | Slimy-Sunrise 0xc2cb…fbf5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa9e0d7… |
| 06-23 23:10:34 | Slimy-Sunrise 0xc2cb…fbf5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x66dc11… |
| 06-23 23:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xa9e0d7… |
| 06-23 23:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | SELL | 53 | 93¢ | $49 | 0x7e83af… |
| 06-23 23:10:32 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 53 | 93¢ | $49 | 0x7e83af… |
| 06-23 01:02:41 | Slimy-Sunrise 0xc2cb…fbf5 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x915ffd… |
| 06-23 01:02:41 | Slimy-Sunrise 0xc2cb…fbf5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb3a9d5… |
| 06-23 01:02:41 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb3a9d5… |
| 06-23 01:02:41 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x915ffd… |
| 06-23 01:02:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x987a17… |
| 06-23 01:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…9708 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x987a17… |
| 06-23 01:02:40 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 1,986 | 93¢ | $1,847 | 0xf65f66… |
| 06-23 01:02:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2,091 | 93¢ | $1,945 | 0xf65f66… |
| 06-23 01:02:40 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xf65f66… |
| 06-23 01:02:40 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf65f66… |
| 06-20 12:36:41 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…9708 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd63c3c… |
| 06-20 12:36:41 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd63c3c… |
| 06-20 12:36:41 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x34a0fa… |
| 06-20 12:36:41 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x34a0fa… |
| 06-20 12:36:32 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xa6c156… |
| 06-20 12:36:32 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xa6c156… |
| 06-19 10:32:58 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0x4b3d78… |
| 06-19 10:32:58 | Slimy-Sunrise 0xc2cb…fbf5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4b3d78… |
| 06-19 10:32:58 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x4b3d78… |
| 06-16 03:16:09 | (anonymous) 0xf72d…856e | No | SELL | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x51ccce… |
| 06-16 03:16:09 | (anonymous) 0xe480…3349 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x51ccce… |
| 06-16 03:16:09 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 37 | 91¢ | $34 | 0x51ccce… |
| 06-12 11:15:12 | (anonymous) 0x7b98…5cfa | Yes | SELL | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xa8aa55… |
| 06-12 11:15:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 90¢ | $40 | 0xa8aa55… |
| 06-07 09:31:52 | (anonymous) 0x7b98…5cfa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5946ac… |
| 06-07 09:31:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x5946ac… |
| 06-07 09:25:51 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x82d8ca… |
| 06-07 09:25:51 | (anonymous) 0xf72d…856e | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x82d8ca… |
| 06-04 18:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x7b98…5cfa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd3c875… |
| 06-04 18:38:48 | Sweaty-Tulip 0x7b1f…c6c9 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd3c875… |
| 06-04 09:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x7b98…5cfa | Yes | SELL | 405 | 10¢ | $40 | 0x581390… |
| 06-04 09:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x9667…994c | No | SELL | 405 | 90¢ | $364 | 0x581390… |
| 05-30 03:58:41 | Milky-Temptation 0xbe70…2e42 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb29979… |
| 05-30 03:58:41 | (anonymous) 0x7b98…5cfa | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb29979… |