(anonymous) 0x1946e9…9a6367
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$508
Unrealized P&L
+$4.51K
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
2,312
Trades
14,542
lifetime
Volume
$151.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$28.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-29
last 10-26 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
68% 77% -$508
Politics
24% 83% +$3
Sports
4% 76% +$30
Tech
3% 43% -$25
Crypto
2% 75% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 83% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 645 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +5,108 $3,578 98¢ $5.0K +$1,448 10-26 01:48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +4,438 $3,214 98¢ $4.3K +$1,136 10-25 23:52
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +2,617 $1,824 80¢ $2.1K +$282 10-26 06:03
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +1,850 $1,206 98¢ $1.8K +$598 10-07 22:38
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2,088 $1,662 82¢ $1.7K +$51 10-26 08:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,606 $1,282 88¢ $1.4K +$140 10-26 01:33
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +1,206 $993 90¢ $1.1K +$86 10-25 15:24
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1,028 $988 97¢ $992 +$4 10-26 01:19
Discord IPO before 2027? No +819 $747 94¢ $772 +$24 10-08 08:57
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +763 $604 82¢ $622 +$19 10-26 09:16
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +856 $493 68¢ $578 +$85 10-26 19:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +597 $439 94¢ $558 +$119 10-26 11:30
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +594 $441 94¢ $558 +$117 10-25 22:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +554 $534 97¢ $538 +$4 10-25 07:55
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +665 $540 76¢ $503 -$37 10-26 17:21
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +888 $516 55¢ $488 -$28 07-30 22:49
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +505 $407 93¢ $470 +$63 10-22 19:18
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +2,404 $449 20¢ $469 +$19 10-26 09:16
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +508 $437 92¢ $468 +$31 10-26 16:46
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +680 $400 68¢ $466 +$66 10-19 16:02
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +495 $411 93¢ $462 +$51 10-21 12:58
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +496 $450 93¢ $459 +$10 10-18 17:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +448 $349 93¢ $416 +$68 10-26 15:38
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +888 $363 46¢ $404 +$41 07-30 22:49
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +2,240 $676 18¢ $403 -$273 10-26 06:03
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +634 $227 55¢ $351 +$124 10-26 20:05
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +621 $81 55¢ $343 +$261 10-22 15:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +500 $215 66¢ $328 +$112 07-02 20:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +328 $304 92¢ $303 -$1 10-25 23:25
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +633 $397 45¢ $284 -$114 10-26 20:05