Bewitched-Merchant 0xb2539c…c42d38
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$71
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
354
lifetime
Volume
$4.01K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 07-01 14:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
85% 100% +$2
Crypto
8% 50% $-1
Politics
4% 50% $-4
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +467 $381 84¢ $390 +$9 07-01 12:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +449 $271 62¢ $276 +$5 07-01 10:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +172 $111 72¢ $123 +$12 06-28 17:43
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +136 $110 80¢ $109 $-1 07-01 12:41
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +110 $100 95¢ $105 +$5 06-28 18:57
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +110 $100 92¢ $101 +$1 06-28 20:35
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +125 $100 80¢ $99 $-1 07-01 10:40
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -156 $-138 62¢ $-98 +$40 06-26 15:53
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -80 $-76 95¢ $-76 +$0 06-26 15:54
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +104 $71 72¢ $75 +$4 07-02 13:02
Trump out as President before 2027? No +65 $60 92¢ $61 +$1 07-01 10:15
New pandemic in 2026? No +56 $51 92¢ $51 +$0 06-28 20:27
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +46 $40 87¢ $40 +$0 07-01 14:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +39 $30 86¢ $34 +$4 06-08 09:47
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +36 $27 75¢ $27 +$0 07-01 12:51
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026? No +42 $35 57¢ $24 $-11 06-26 15:56
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? No +25 $20 85¢ $22 +$2 07-01 10:08
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +32 $20 65¢ $21 +$1 06-08 09:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 06-02 12:32
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +25 $20 78¢ $20 $-0 07-01 12:49
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +26 $20 76¢ $20 $-0 07-01 12:51
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +13 $12 94¢ $12 +$0 06-08 09:47
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +13 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-27 01:06
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 06-30 23:41
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 07-01 12:49
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-26 16:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 07-01 10:16
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 06-30 23:41
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 $-0 07-01 10:16
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +12 $10 80¢ $10 $-0 07-01 12:49