Bewitched-Merchant 0xb2539c…c42d38
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$444
Unrealized P&L
+$351
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
311
Trades
736
lifetime
Volume
$8.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 09-24 20:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
75% 76% +$21
Tech
7% 78% +$18
Crypto
6% 57% -$141
Sports
6% 56% -$284
Politics
6% 78% -$58
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +697 $443 92¢ $638 +$195 08-10 10:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +657 $549 96¢ $627 +$78 07-30 13:44
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +211 $168 84¢ $178 +$10 08-10 10:31
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +188 $148 80¢ $149 +$1 09-22 22:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +122 $110 94¢ $114 +$4 09-22 22:38
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +113 $103 98¢ $111 +$8 06-28 18:57
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +111 $101 97¢ $108 +$7 06-28 20:35
New pandemic in 2026? No +86 $77 98¢ $84 +$7 06-28 20:27
Trump out as President before 2027? No +77 $71 97¢ $75 +$4 07-04 10:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +72 $56 82¢ $60 +$4 07-30 13:36
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +36 $30 98¢ $35 +$5 05-13 00:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +36 $27 97¢ $35 +$8 07-01 12:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +33 $28 88¢ $29 +$1 06-27 01:21
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +102 $50 25¢ $26 -$24 05-13 20:01
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +22 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 05-04 11:23
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +27 $10 77¢ $21 +$11 07-04 10:27
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +25 $10 82¢ $20 +$10 06-03 00:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +19 $17 94¢ $18 +$1 07-01 10:16
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +20 $16 92¢ $18 +$2 05-09 15:51
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +18 $14 95¢ $17 +$3 07-01 12:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +17 $15 96¢ $16 +$1 06-08 09:47
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 06-26 16:00
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No +14 $10 90¢ $13 +$3 07-04 10:10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +13 $10 98¢ $13 +$3 06-27 01:06
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +12 $10 92¢ $12 +$2 07-01 12:49
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $11 +$0 05-06 08:44
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-01 11:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 05-06 00:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-27 01:18
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +9 $5 94¢ $9 +$4 07-30 13:38