Bewitched-Merchant 0xb2539c…c42d38
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$99
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
400
lifetime
Volume
$5.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 07-05 23:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
79% 100% +$2
Sports
9% — —
Crypto
6% 50% $-1
Politics
3% 50% $-4
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +512 $421 88¢ $454 +$33 07-04 10:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +449 $271 66¢ $299 +$28 07-01 10:42
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +136 $110 80¢ $109 $-1 07-01 12:41
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -156 $-138 70¢ $-109 +$28 06-26 15:53
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +119 $100 91¢ $108 +$8 07-05 12:30
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +110 $100 96¢ $106 +$6 06-28 18:57
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +110 $100 96¢ $105 +$5 06-28 20:35
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +162 $112 62¢ $101 $-11 07-05 12:30
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +125 $100 76¢ $95 $-5 07-01 10:40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -80 $-76 97¢ $-77 $-1 06-26 15:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No +76 $70 92¢ $70 +$0 07-04 10:28
New pandemic in 2026? No +56 $51 94¢ $52 +$1 06-28 20:27
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026? No +64 $51 55¢ $35 $-16 07-04 10:12
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +48 $31 70¢ $34 +$3 07-03 17:15
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +36 $27 80¢ $29 +$2 07-01 12:51
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +25 $20 84¢ $21 +$1 07-01 12:49
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? No +25 $20 82¢ $21 +$1 07-01 10:08
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? No +23 $20 82¢ $19 $-1 07-03 17:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -18 $-30 99¢ $-18 +$12 07-03 00:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 70¢ $17 $-3 06-02 12:32
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +13 $12 93¢ $12 +$0 06-08 09:47
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +27 $10 42¢ $11 +$1 07-04 10:27
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +12 $10 95¢ $11 +$1 06-30 23:41
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 07-01 12:49
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 06-27 01:06
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +12 $10 93¢ $11 +$1 07-01 10:16
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 07-01 10:19
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +13 $10 82¢ $10 +$0 07-01 12:49
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 06-30 23:41
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 07-01 10:16