Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
open
Total volume
$54,490
$2,608 in 24h
Trades
667
Unique wallets
199
Liquidity
$14,286
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-03-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-12 15:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+80.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 19% YES on $32.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $2.7K | $2.7K | +$77 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $1.1K | $5.7K | $4.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 35 | $891 | $3.4K | $2.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 126 | $1.4K | $14.1K | $12.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $1.5K | — | +$1.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $1.2K | $1.8K | $660 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $18 | $59 | $41 |
| Median | 15 | $15 | $830 | $815 |
| Below median | 18 | $20 | $483 | $464 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $177 | $105 | +$72 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $951 | $3.1K | $2.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $494 | $1.2K | $703 |
| unranked | 111 | $1.8K | $18.2K | $16.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulky-Antler 0x7447…a16d | Yes | +4,758 | $761 | $761 | 2 | 06-30 03:28 |
| Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | +1,666 | $1,401 | $1,401 | 9 | 07-08 09:02 |
| Academic-Consistency 0x2283…d633 | Yes | +1,655 | $215 | $215 | 4 | 07-08 02:40 |
| Gleaming-Knock 0x08bb…0385 | Yes | +1,453 | $218 | $218 | 4 | 07-07 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2db…f400 | Yes | +1,258 | $189 | $189 | 4 | 07-07 12:54 |
| Playful-Circulation 0x92e5…efee | Yes | +1,111 | $178 | $178 | 6 | 06-05 14:28 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +1,068 | $185 | $613 | 54 | 07-09 19:06 |
| Elegant-Cloister 0x0cb1…a76c | Yes | +1,000 | $160 | $160 | 3 | 06-07 01:10 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +864 | $726 | $821 | 12 | 07-11 05:39 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +780 | $617 | $1,328 | 17 | 07-12 09:52 |
| Free-Style 0x60ad…23c5 | No | +561 | $460 | $460 | 6 | 05-31 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8712…9067 | No | +485 | $422 | $422 | 1 | 07-08 02:40 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +458 | $394 | $394 | 3 | 07-05 21:06 |
| Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | +455 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-16 15:33 |
| Impish-Chamber 0x5eb4…d2a5 | No | +438 | $381 | $381 | 1 | 07-08 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x011a…651d | No | +422 | $359 | $359 | 1 | 07-07 03:51 |
| Bustling-Wash 0x0884…076c | No | +410 | $354 | $354 | 1 | 07-07 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd5a…4d23 | No | +408 | $350 | $350 | 2 | 07-12 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c86…19b0 | No | +386 | $336 | $336 | 1 | 07-08 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x41ca…6cd3 | No | +385 | $327 | $480 | 3 | 07-07 03:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9e9…b4d8 | No | +379 | $322 | $322 | 1 | 07-07 12:54 |
| Cultivated-Dollar 0x48e0…0e89 | No | +346 | $301 | $301 | 1 | 07-08 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x81d2…1c88 | No | +333 | $283 | $283 | 1 | 07-07 03:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3a0…adb8 | No | +313 | $266 | $266 | 1 | 07-07 03:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x7064…4378 | No | +307 | $261 | $261 | 1 | 07-07 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x42cb…bd07 | No | +304 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 07-07 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ab4…9e85 | No | +268 | $228 | $228 | 1 | 07-07 12:53 |
| Powerless-Deal 0x18b9…a226 | No | +228 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-23 07:28 |
| Outrageous-Agriculture 0x3329…2f5c | Yes | +147 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-01 20:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4620…f5b0 | No | +138 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 07-11 20:33 |
| Prize-Minimum 0xfb26…06f7 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 07-08 05:20 |
| Flamboyant-Barometer 0x83c5…e193 | Yes | +100 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-05 19:00 |
| Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | +79 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 07-11 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x25ba…cf77 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x581b…088f | No | +58 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-21 20:15 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +56 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-12 15:40 |
| Frugal-Styling 0xaaeb…4da6 | Yes | +51 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 19:57 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-09 09:47 |
| Alarming-Leg 0xcaf5…41ab | Yes | +47 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 01:11 |
| Ashamed-Hatchet 0x3f20…2615 | No | +46 | $39 | $41 | 3 | 07-01 07:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +41 | $1 | $177 | 10 | 07-01 07:50 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 07-03 22:10 |
| Angelic-Reasoning 0xb40d…1474 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 04:34 |
| Somber-Eyelashes 0x9ce3…50cb | Yes | +31 | $6 | $14 | 3 | 05-29 21:14 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +31 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 07-07 02:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | +30 | $25 | $75 | 3 | 06-10 23:00 |
| Cultured-Infection 0x7714…0720 | Yes | +22 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 17:14 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 11:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-15 08:19 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +17 | $2 | $14 | 6 | 07-01 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xeab8…db33 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 07-01 07:28 |
| Low-Poverty 0x36bf…7d9e | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 15:26 |
| Idle-Twist 0xa5d9…8177 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 05:08 |
| Flawless-Turn 0xa937…4152 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 01:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 15:40:17 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | BUY | 56 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xfe050c… |
| 07-12 15:40:17 | (anonymous) 0xdd5a…4d23 | No | BUY | 56 | 89¢ | $50 | 0xfe050c… |
| 07-12 09:52:38 | (anonymous) 0x6573…7571 | Yes | SELL | 267 | 10¢ | $27 | 0x6de635… |
| 07-12 09:52:38 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 267 | 90¢ | $241 | 0x6de635… |
| 07-12 09:51:53 | (anonymous) 0xa23b…f656 | No | SELL | 167 | 89¢ | $148 | 0x9dd8f6… |
| 07-12 09:51:53 | (anonymous) 0x5ffe…160e | No | SELL | 580 | 89¢ | $516 | 0x9dd8f6… |
| 07-12 09:51:53 | (anonymous) 0x6573…7571 | Yes | SELL | 747 | 11¢ | $82 | 0x9dd8f6… |
| 07-12 09:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xa23b…f656 | No | SELL | 267 | 89¢ | $238 | 0xa4ad9b… |
| 07-12 09:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x2468…814c | Yes | SELL | 267 | 11¢ | $29 | 0xa4ad9b… |
| 07-12 09:51:25 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…2709 | No | SELL | 530 | 89¢ | $472 | 0xb4ffef… |
| 07-12 09:51:25 | (anonymous) 0x2468…814c | Yes | SELL | 747 | 11¢ | $82 | 0xb4ffef… |
| 07-12 09:51:25 | (anonymous) 0xb460…af6f | No | SELL | 217 | 89¢ | $193 | 0xb4ffef… |
| 07-12 09:51:22 | (anonymous) 0xb460…af6f | No | SELL | 267 | 89¢ | $238 | 0x1e8a7c… |
| 07-12 09:51:22 | (anonymous) 0xa6e8…56c1 | Yes | SELL | 267 | 11¢ | $29 | 0x1e8a7c… |
| 07-12 09:49:53 | (anonymous) 0xa6e8…56c1 | Yes | SELL | 743 | 11¢ | $82 | 0xe81e5b… |
| 07-12 09:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x8ceb…e292 | No | SELL | 554 | 89¢ | $493 | 0xe81e5b… |
| 07-12 09:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x7c79…f911 | No | SELL | 189 | 89¢ | $168 | 0xe81e5b… |
| 07-12 09:49:50 | (anonymous) 0x7c79…f911 | No | SELL | 267 | 89¢ | $238 | 0x1b3b36… |
| 07-12 09:49:50 | (anonymous) 0x725b…ee35 | Yes | SELL | 267 | 11¢ | $29 | 0x1b3b36… |
| 07-12 09:49:35 | (anonymous) 0x725b…ee35 | Yes | SELL | 743 | 11¢ | $82 | 0x6139fc… |
| 07-12 09:49:35 | (anonymous) 0xaa52…2824 | No | SELL | 76 | 89¢ | $67 | 0x6139fc… |
| 07-12 09:49:35 | (anonymous) 0x63b0…f613 | No | SELL | 667 | 89¢ | $594 | 0x6139fc… |
| 07-12 09:49:26 | (anonymous) 0xaa52…2824 | No | SELL | 267 | 89¢ | $238 | 0x75c40d… |
| 07-12 09:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x1092…f074 | Yes | SELL | 267 | 11¢ | $29 | 0x75c40d… |
| 07-12 09:46:28 | (anonymous) 0x1ded…890a | No | SELL | 494 | 89¢ | $440 | 0x35e5f6… |
| 07-12 09:46:28 | (anonymous) 0xdb8e…431a | No | SELL | 209 | 89¢ | $186 | 0x35e5f6… |
| 07-12 09:46:28 | (anonymous) 0x1092…f074 | Yes | SELL | 703 | 11¢ | $77 | 0x35e5f6… |
| 07-12 09:46:23 | (anonymous) 0xdb8e…431a | No | SELL | 267 | 89¢ | $238 | 0x6d3f71… |
| 07-12 09:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x735d…51be | Yes | SELL | 267 | 11¢ | $29 | 0x6d3f71… |
| 07-12 09:45:44 | (anonymous) 0x735d…51be | Yes | SELL | 703 | 11¢ | $77 | 0xa82afd… |
| 07-12 09:45:44 | (anonymous) 0xbfb7…2714 | No | SELL | 156 | 89¢ | $139 | 0xa82afd… |
| 07-12 09:45:44 | (anonymous) 0x79d1…8698 | No | SELL | 547 | 89¢ | $487 | 0xa82afd… |
| 07-12 09:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xbfb7…2714 | No | SELL | 267 | 89¢ | $238 | 0x25127b… |
| 07-12 09:45:38 | (anonymous) 0x2895…2f21 | Yes | SELL | 219 | 11¢ | $24 | 0x25127b… |
| 07-12 09:45:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 48 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x25127b… |
| 07-12 09:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x2895…2f21 | Yes | SELL | 746 | 11¢ | $82 | 0xa1c8b8… |
| 07-12 09:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xf7cf…54c0 | No | SELL | 315 | 89¢ | $280 | 0xa1c8b8… |
| 07-12 09:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x0aa7…5430 | No | SELL | 431 | 89¢ | $384 | 0xa1c8b8… |
| 07-12 09:44:20 | (anonymous) 0xed03…f4ca | Yes | SELL | 219 | 11¢ | $24 | 0xdb6d71… |
| 07-12 09:44:20 | (anonymous) 0xf7cf…54c0 | No | SELL | 219 | 89¢ | $195 | 0xdb6d71… |
| 07-12 09:44:07 | (anonymous) 0x426a…2165 | No | SELL | 168 | 89¢ | $150 | 0x9c972f… |
| 07-12 09:44:07 | (anonymous) 0x7391…5925 | No | SELL | 578 | 89¢ | $514 | 0x9c972f… |
| 07-12 09:44:07 | (anonymous) 0xed03…f4ca | Yes | SELL | 746 | 11¢ | $82 | 0x9c972f… |
| 07-12 09:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x426a…2165 | No | SELL | 219 | 89¢ | $195 | 0x7fb5d4… |
| 07-12 09:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x806d…69a4 | Yes | SELL | 219 | 11¢ | $24 | 0x7fb5d4… |
| 07-12 09:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x59b0…0ce9 | No | SELL | 182 | 89¢ | $162 | 0xd8f09b… |
| 07-12 09:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x422d…514b | No | SELL | 567 | 89¢ | $505 | 0xd8f09b… |
| 07-12 09:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x806d…69a4 | Yes | SELL | 749 | 11¢ | $82 | 0xd8f09b… |
| 07-12 09:41:40 | (anonymous) 0xfa96…97e4 | Yes | SELL | 219 | 11¢ | $24 | 0x264ee8… |
| 07-12 09:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x59b0…0ce9 | No | SELL | 219 | 89¢ | $195 | 0x264ee8… |
| 07-12 09:41:16 | (anonymous) 0x6106…f10a | No | SELL | 238 | 89¢ | $212 | 0x57bcb3… |
| 07-12 09:41:16 | (anonymous) 0x0de1…0a90 | No | SELL | 511 | 89¢ | $455 | 0x57bcb3… |
| 07-12 09:41:16 | (anonymous) 0xfa96…97e4 | Yes | SELL | 749 | 11¢ | $82 | 0x57bcb3… |
| 07-12 09:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x6106…f10a | No | SELL | 219 | 89¢ | $195 | 0x45dbc6… |
| 07-12 09:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x45dbc6… |
| 07-12 09:14:11 | (anonymous) 0xa23b…f656 | No | BUY | 434 | 89¢ | $386 | 0xa33066… |
| 07-12 09:14:11 | (anonymous) 0x2468…814c | Yes | BUY | 434 | 11¢ | $48 | 0xa33066… |
| 07-12 09:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x5ffe…160e | No | BUY | 580 | 89¢ | $516 | 0x6e59e1… |
| 07-12 09:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x2468…814c | Yes | BUY | 580 | 11¢ | $64 | 0x6e59e1… |
| 07-12 09:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…2709 | No | BUY | 530 | 89¢ | $472 | 0xf69605… |
| 07-12 09:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x6573…7571 | Yes | BUY | 530 | 11¢ | $58 | 0xf69605… |
| 07-12 09:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x6573…7571 | Yes | BUY | 484 | 11¢ | $53 | 0x0118fc… |
| 07-12 09:14:01 | (anonymous) 0xb460…af6f | No | BUY | 484 | 89¢ | $431 | 0x0118fc… |
| 07-12 09:08:52 | (anonymous) 0x7c79…f911 | No | BUY | 456 | 89¢ | $406 | 0x69c710… |
| 07-12 09:08:52 | (anonymous) 0x725b…ee35 | Yes | BUY | 456 | 11¢ | $50 | 0x69c710… |
| 07-12 09:08:50 | (anonymous) 0x8ceb…e292 | No | BUY | 554 | 89¢ | $493 | 0xbe8b0b… |
| 07-12 09:08:50 | (anonymous) 0x725b…ee35 | Yes | BUY | 554 | 11¢ | $61 | 0xbe8b0b… |
| 07-12 09:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x63b0…f613 | No | BUY | 667 | 89¢ | $594 | 0x55498c… |
| 07-12 09:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xa6e8…56c1 | Yes | BUY | 667 | 11¢ | $73 | 0x55498c… |
| 07-12 09:08:38 | (anonymous) 0xaa52…2824 | No | BUY | 343 | 89¢ | $305 | 0x3a0ca5… |
| 07-12 09:08:38 | (anonymous) 0xa6e8…56c1 | Yes | BUY | 343 | 11¢ | $38 | 0x3a0ca5… |
| 07-12 09:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x1ded…890a | No | BUY | 494 | 89¢ | $440 | 0x28e974… |
| 07-12 09:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x735d…51be | Yes | BUY | 494 | 11¢ | $54 | 0x28e974… |
| 07-12 09:03:31 | (anonymous) 0x735d…51be | Yes | BUY | 476 | 11¢ | $52 | 0x171a1b… |
| 07-12 09:03:31 | (anonymous) 0xdb8e…431a | No | BUY | 476 | 89¢ | $424 | 0x171a1b… |
| 07-12 09:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x1092…f074 | Yes | BUY | 547 | 11¢ | $60 | 0x03dca6… |
| 07-12 09:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x79d1…8698 | No | BUY | 547 | 89¢ | $487 | 0x03dca6… |
| 07-12 09:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x1092…f074 | Yes | BUY | 423 | 11¢ | $47 | 0xf60ddf… |
| 07-12 09:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xbfb7…2714 | No | BUY | 423 | 89¢ | $376 | 0xf60ddf… |
| 07-12 08:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xf7cf…54c0 | No | BUY | 534 | 89¢ | $475 | 0x48430b… |
| 07-12 08:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xed03…f4ca | Yes | BUY | 534 | 11¢ | $59 | 0x48430b… |
| 07-12 08:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x0aa7…5430 | No | BUY | 431 | 89¢ | $384 | 0xa3bc4f… |
| 07-12 08:59:02 | (anonymous) 0xed03…f4ca | Yes | BUY | 431 | 11¢ | $47 | 0xa3bc4f… |
| 07-12 08:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x2895…2f21 | Yes | BUY | 578 | 11¢ | $64 | 0x515cd4… |
| 07-12 08:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x7391…5925 | No | BUY | 578 | 89¢ | $514 | 0x515cd4… |
| 07-12 08:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x2895…2f21 | Yes | BUY | 387 | 11¢ | $43 | 0x5b0316… |
| 07-12 08:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x426a…2165 | No | BUY | 387 | 89¢ | $344 | 0x5b0316… |
| 07-12 08:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xfa96…97e4 | Yes | BUY | 567 | 11¢ | $62 | 0x33a684… |
| 07-12 08:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x422d…514b | No | BUY | 567 | 89¢ | $505 | 0x33a684… |
| 07-12 08:53:47 | (anonymous) 0x59b0…0ce9 | No | BUY | 401 | 89¢ | $357 | 0xbaeaf7… |
| 07-12 08:53:47 | (anonymous) 0xfa96…97e4 | Yes | BUY | 401 | 11¢ | $44 | 0xbaeaf7… |
| 07-12 08:53:34 | (anonymous) 0x806d…69a4 | Yes | BUY | 511 | 11¢ | $56 | 0xa0dc08… |
| 07-12 08:53:34 | (anonymous) 0x0de1…0a90 | No | BUY | 511 | 89¢ | $455 | 0xa0dc08… |
| 07-12 08:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x806d…69a4 | Yes | BUY | 457 | 11¢ | $50 | 0xe4b925… |
| 07-12 08:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x6106…f10a | No | BUY | 457 | 89¢ | $407 | 0xe4b925… |
| 07-12 08:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x1f6a25… |
| 07-12 08:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x1f6a25… |
| 07-11 20:33:05 | (anonymous) 0x4620…f5b0 | No | BUY | 138 | 90¢ | $124 | 0xce930a… |
| 07-11 20:33:05 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 128 | 90¢ | $115 | 0xce930a… |
| 07-11 20:33:05 | Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xce930a… |