Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
open
Total volume
$20,734
$2,608 in 24h
Trades
363
Unique wallets
111
Liquidity
$14,286
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-03-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-21 20:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+75.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 25% YES on $13.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $1.7K | $2.2K | $514 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $1.0K | $4.4K | $3.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $455 | $2.8K | $2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 59 | $93 | $561 | $468 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $1.3K | — | +$1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $1.1K | $1.5K | $413 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $13 | $32 | $19 |
| Median | 13 | $13 | $136 | $123 |
| Below median | 11 | $20 | $211 | $191 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $176 | $17 | +$159 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $46 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $494 | $927 | $433 |
| unranked | 43 | $63 | $4.6K | $4.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | +2,086 | $295 | $2,049 | 27 | 06-15 08:18 |
| Threadbare-Chops 0x43cf…88fa | No | +1,937 | $1,584 | $1,696 | 11 | 06-21 20:15 |
| Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | +1,500 | $1,255 | $1,255 | 8 | 06-05 14:28 |
| Playful-Circulation 0x92e5…efee | Yes | +1,111 | $178 | $178 | 6 | 06-05 14:28 |
| Elegant-Cloister 0x0cb1…a76c | Yes | +1,000 | $160 | $160 | 3 | 06-07 01:10 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | Yes | +1,000 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-15 08:18 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +937 | $169 | $573 | 30 | 06-20 18:07 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +925 | $765 | $765 | 14 | 06-14 13:51 |
| Free-Style 0x60ad…23c5 | No | +561 | $460 | $460 | 6 | 05-31 21:08 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +556 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 06-15 08:18 |
| Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | +455 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-16 15:33 |
| Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | +445 | $375 | $375 | 3 | 06-15 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7752…4df4 | No | +252 | $211 | $211 | 1 | 06-10 05:42 |
| Outrageous-Agriculture 0x3329…2f5c | Yes | +147 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-01 20:55 |
| Flamboyant-Barometer 0x83c5…e193 | Yes | +100 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-05 19:00 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +92 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 06-21 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x25ba…cf77 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x581b…088f | No | +58 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-21 20:15 |
| Frugal-Styling 0xaaeb…4da6 | Yes | +51 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 19:57 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-09 09:47 |
| Alarming-Leg 0xcaf5…41ab | Yes | +47 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 01:11 |
| Angelic-Reasoning 0xb40d…1474 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 04:34 |
| Somber-Eyelashes 0x9ce3…50cb | Yes | +31 | $6 | $14 | 3 | 05-29 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | +30 | $25 | $75 | 3 | 06-10 23:00 |
| Indelible-Improvement 0x90f4…98e2 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-09 17:00 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 11:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-15 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-05 14:34 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-16 15:33 |
| Low-Poverty 0x36bf…7d9e | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 15:26 |
| Idle-Twist 0xa5d9…8177 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 05:08 |
| Ashamed-Hatchet 0x3f20…2615 | No | +10 | $9 | $11 | 2 | 06-15 05:27 |
| Flawless-Turn 0xa937…4152 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf575…b41f | No | +10 | $8 | $75 | 2 | 06-15 08:18 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +9 | $8 | $24 | 4 | 06-15 18:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ced…8192 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 04:50 |
| Emotional-Pard 0x09ef…5003 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 06:20 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +4 | $-1 | $128 | 29 | 06-19 18:05 |
| Those-Impression 0xdcde…7960 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $8 | 8 | 06-15 08:18 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7800…3fe1 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb66…e44d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 18:27 |
| Fearless-Vagrant 0x50e9…1ea5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 02:39 |
| Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 05:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 20:15:29 | (anonymous) 0x581b…088f | No | BUY | 58 | 88¢ | $51 | 0xe06d09… |
| 06-21 20:15:29 | Threadbare-Chops 0x43cf…88fa | No | SELL | 58 | 88¢ | $51 | 0xe06d09… |
| 06-21 20:05:56 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xaabbee… |
| 06-21 20:05:56 | (anonymous) 0x3d0d…a6fe | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xaabbee… |
| 06-21 04:50:14 | Threadbare-Chops 0x43cf…88fa | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7bef93… |
| 06-21 04:50:14 | (anonymous) 0x0ced…8192 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7bef93… |
| 06-20 18:07:07 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xb3eb43… |
| 06-20 18:07:07 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 90 | 86¢ | $77 | 0xb3eb43… |
| 06-20 18:07:07 | Dreary-Bafflement 0xde4b…93ff | No | SELL | 127 | 86¢ | $109 | 0xb3eb43… |
| 06-19 18:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x7a7d…7e77 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xef55b7… |
| 06-19 18:05:20 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xef55b7… |
| 06-19 14:57:16 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x08016b… |
| 06-19 14:57:16 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | SELL | 1,178 | 86¢ | $1,013 | 0x08016b… |
| 06-19 14:57:16 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 130 | 86¢ | $112 | 0x08016b… |
| 06-19 14:57:16 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x08016b… |
| 06-18 17:04:14 | Tired-Mayor 0x055b…d0e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xa0f9bd… |
| 06-18 17:04:14 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xa0f9bd… |
| 06-18 10:07:32 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xb342a3… |
| 06-18 10:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x3d0d…a6fe | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xb342a3… |
| 06-18 07:39:52 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xeddfc5… |
| 06-18 07:39:52 | Right-Cocktail 0x467d…38b4 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xeddfc5… |
| 06-17 17:55:17 | Proud-Dibble 0x2b69…321c | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc2a5bc… |
| 06-17 17:55:17 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc2a5bc… |
| 06-17 16:32:28 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xfc0097… |
| 06-17 16:32:28 | Gentle-Jumper 0x5d40…e7db | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xfc0097… |
| 06-17 16:17:14 | Mysterious-Switching 0x4f87…037e | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x685863… |
| 06-17 16:17:14 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x685863… |
| 06-17 13:31:23 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x045357… |
| 06-17 13:31:23 | Fitting-Barracks-Surname 0x6b90…4eea | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x045357… |
| 06-17 08:58:53 | (anonymous) 0x7800…3fe1 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x750751… |
| 06-17 08:58:53 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x750751… |
| 06-17 04:34:58 | Angelic-Reasoning 0xb40d…1474 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x06287c… |
| 06-17 04:34:58 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 36 | 86¢ | $31 | 0x06287c… |
| 06-16 22:31:58 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | SELL | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x573fc6… |
| 06-16 22:31:58 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | Yes | SELL | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x573fc6… |
| 06-16 19:53:40 | Positive-Chop 0x2d4c…d6f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x13e55d… |
| 06-16 19:53:40 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x13e55d… |
| 06-16 15:33:11 | Waterlogged-Misnomer 0x63c1…70d7 | No | BUY | 455 | 88¢ | $400 | 0x313ef1… |
| 06-16 15:33:11 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | SELL | 434 | 88¢ | $382 | 0x313ef1… |
| 06-16 15:33:11 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x313ef1… |
| 06-16 15:33:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 16 | 87¢ | $14 | 0x313ef1… |
| 06-16 00:42:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x35d27a… |
| 06-16 00:42:28 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x35d27a… |
| 06-15 18:27:58 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x4c6f72… |
| 06-15 18:27:58 | (anonymous) 0xdb66…e44d | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x4c6f72… |
| 06-15 15:37:51 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | BUY | 25 | 86¢ | $21 | 0x10e17c… |
| 06-15 15:37:51 | truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | No | SELL | 25 | 86¢ | $21 | 0x10e17c… |
| 06-15 14:25:10 | Rich-Carotene 0xeb75…27a3 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x867038… |
| 06-15 14:25:10 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x867038… |
| 06-15 13:15:04 | truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | No | SELL | 25 | 86¢ | $22 | 0x4f7195… |
| 06-15 13:15:04 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | SELL | 700 | 14¢ | $98 | 0x4f7195… |
| 06-15 13:15:04 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x4f7195… |
| 06-15 10:28:34 | (anonymous) 0x7710…26e2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x00ea07… |
| 06-15 10:28:34 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x00ea07… |
| 06-15 09:11:39 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x8d49f9… |
| 06-15 09:11:39 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8d49f9… |
| 06-15 08:19:21 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7fe684… |
| 06-15 08:19:21 | Similar-Exasperation 0x4c68…7fab | Yes | SELL | 3 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7fe684… |
| 06-15 08:18:51 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0x6580ab… |
| 06-15 08:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x9902…34b3 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x6580ab… |
| 06-15 08:18:49 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xbd8529… |
| 06-15 08:18:49 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x1335dd… |
| 06-15 08:18:49 | Those-Impression 0xdcde…7960 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xbd8529… |
| 06-15 08:18:49 | Infamous-Risk 0xd501…1814 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x1335dd… |
| 06-15 08:18:48 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0xdf6017… |
| 06-15 08:18:48 | truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0xdf6017… |
| 06-15 08:18:48 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xdf6017… |
| 06-15 08:18:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0xdf6017… |
| 06-15 08:18:48 | Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | SELL | 2,254 | 15¢ | $338 | 0xdf6017… |
| 06-15 08:18:48 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xdf6017… |
| 06-15 08:18:48 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xdf6017… |
| 06-15 08:18:48 | Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 15¢ | $150 | 0xdf6017… |
| 06-15 08:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x9902…34b3 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xbb9403… |
| 06-15 08:18:42 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 18 | 85¢ | $15 | 0xbb9403… |
| 06-15 08:18:42 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x154789… |
| 06-15 08:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x65fb…6d6f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x154789… |
| 06-15 08:18:40 | Infamous-Risk 0xd501…1814 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xe0f0a0… |
| 06-15 08:18:40 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe0f0a0… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 24 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 556 | 16¢ | $89 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | SELL | 2,261 | 16¢ | $370 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xf575…b41f | No | SELL | 40 | 84¢ | $34 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 1,063 | 16¢ | $170 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xea1e4a… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x9e46ce… |
| 06-15 08:18:39 | Those-Impression 0xdcde…7960 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x9e46ce… |
| 06-15 05:27:31 | Ashamed-Hatchet 0x3f20…2615 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xcb6e79… |
| 06-15 05:27:31 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xcb6e79… |
| 06-15 01:28:34 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xb7d64a… |
| 06-15 01:28:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xb7d64a… |
| 06-14 19:57:34 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | BUY | 33 | 80¢ | $27 | 0x7417f6… |
| 06-14 19:57:34 | Frugal-Styling 0xaaeb…4da6 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x7417f6… |
| 06-14 19:57:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x7417f6… |
| 06-14 17:08:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xffcf14… |
| 06-14 17:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x2070…cf31 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xffcf14… |
| 06-14 13:51:58 | Abandoned-Operator 0x643c…3fc2 | No | SELL | 36 | 80¢ | $29 | 0xa08d31… |
| 06-14 13:51:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xa08d31… |