Stained-Blinker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$178

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-11 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 40% $-6

Politics

41% 100% +$184

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 330 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	4	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	7	$135	216	0	+216	open	—	04-30 09:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$56	400	200	+200	Yes	+$184	05-06 07:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$51	10,020	0	+10,020	open	—	03-25 22:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$40	91	0	+91	open	—	03-14 09:08
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	9	$40	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 18:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$34	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 08:46
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	4	$30	187	0	+187	open	—	03-11 15:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$27	87	87	+0	open	—	03-25 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	10	$23	27	22	+6	open	—	04-30 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	13	$23	32	11	+21	open	—	04-30 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$22	61	0	+61	open	—	04-30 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	11	$19	22	9	+13	open	—	04-30 13:04
will india join the board of peace	22	$18	236	236	+0	open	—	03-28 17:33
us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	6	$18	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$17	48	0	+48	open	—	04-30 17:06
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	5	$17	77	0	+77	open	—	03-29 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	16	$16	66	0	+66	open	—	04-30 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$15	17	16	+0	open	—	04-30 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$14	27	4	+23	open	—	04-30 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	10	$14	271	0	+271	open	—	05-02 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	10	$14	48	5	+42	open	—	04-30 12:04
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	6	$12	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	10	$12	61	3	+58	open	—	04-30 12:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	03-08 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$11	29	0	+29	open	—	04-30 15:34
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$11	50	50	+0	open	—	03-28 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	11	$11	38	0	+38	open	—	04-30 12:09
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	1	$10	64	0	+64	open	—	03-12 14:47
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	04-29 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 18:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x462f18…
05-11 17:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5cba8a…
05-11 17:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x176e34…
05-11 17:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa31908…
05-11 17:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc84187…
05-11 17:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x669356…
05-11 17:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x32f304…
05-11 17:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7bca4e…
05-09 09:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x961c96…
05-09 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7200a2…
05-09 07:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x68e247…
05-09 07:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7df0a5…
05-09 07:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x91ac5c…
05-09 07:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x08b3ce…
05-09 07:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa48430…
05-09 07:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x019829…
05-09 07:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc39d31…
05-09 06:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf38163…
05-09 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0098f4…
05-09 06:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x51ba03…
05-09 06:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf48d9a…
05-09 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x420dfc…
05-09 06:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x947132…
05-09 06:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf4bb8d…
05-09 06:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x229633…
05-06 07:23:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x3e655c…
05-05 13:35:54	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$2	0xa7b3ab…
05-05 13:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcab95a…
05-05 13:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x17c52d…
05-05 13:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa275f1…
05-05 06:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc07616…
05-05 06:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xb1ef9d…
05-05 06:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x356d31…
05-05 06:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xacc8a1…
05-05 06:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x63d935…
05-05 06:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x01ab89…
05-04 18:48:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x3ca6bc…
05-04 17:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xaa8a9a…
05-04 17:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	132	1¢	$1	0x8e6dc8…
05-04 17:33:52	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xc8b8cd…
05-04 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x186389…
05-04 17:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfaa351…
05-04 17:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x50c224…
05-04 17:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5e6c0c…
05-04 17:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf95f38…
05-04 17:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6b6b77…
05-04 17:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x29fd56…
05-04 17:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x12fbaf…
05-04 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa0a12d…
05-04 16:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x445e49…
05-04 16:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb90be9…
05-04 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x292667…
05-04 16:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x269da6…
05-04 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x43f687…
05-04 16:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb1c7e8…
05-04 16:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x281845…
05-04 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbd31b2…
05-04 16:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd77b62…
05-04 16:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xefd95f…
05-04 16:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9f99ed…
05-04 16:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9f9565…
05-04 16:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdbd489…
05-04 16:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc4f871…
05-04 16:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1ece51…
05-04 16:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6a6e1e…
05-04 16:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x670e32…
05-04 16:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4751ca…
05-04 16:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa47bd2…
05-04 15:24:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x28517e…
05-04 14:42:16	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfebd85…
05-04 10:08:30	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x9f595b…
05-04 09:24:08	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1653cf…
05-04 09:14:06	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x62d87a…
05-04 08:46:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xb03e12…
05-04 08:45:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x6bfcbb…
05-02 14:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3e87f6…
05-02 14:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xad099e…
05-02 14:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf5aa10…
05-02 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x23b30e…
05-02 13:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9ce4d9…
05-02 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x284478…
05-02 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc6a9c9…
05-02 12:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbcb0e5…
05-02 12:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x112476…
05-02 12:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x32b480…
05-02 12:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x631370…
05-02 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7782de…
05-02 12:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdf74d4…
05-02 12:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x01d534…
05-02 12:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x685963…
05-02 12:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xe3e330…
05-02 12:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7c1f81…
05-02 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xee1d56…
05-02 12:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x765c26…
05-02 12:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa764a8…
05-02 10:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x16db7f…
05-02 10:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xd002c5…
05-02 10:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfe9b9f…
05-02 10:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcfa11a…
05-02 10:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6e68e3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	130	$92.7K	4,013	06-01 01:08
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	128	$44.4K	12,424	05-11 18:04
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	128	$41.7K	6,359	05-11 18:04
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	128	$40.7K	11,184	05-11 18:04
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	128	$37.3K	5,615	05-11 18:04
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	128	$12.1K	3,670	05-11 18:04
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	127	$306.7K	11,412	05-11 18:04
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	127	$102.9K	14,123	05-11 18:04