Realized P&L
+$343
Unrealized P&L
-$121
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
16
Trades
8,015
lifetime
Volume
$136.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$772
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
47% 60% +$2
Other
30% 62% +$198
Sports
16% 100% +$138
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$4
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -122 $-108 94¢ $-114 $-5 06-06 16:24
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +80 $76 80¢ $64 $-12 06-01 22:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +300 $93 20¢ $58 $-34 06-04 18:34
Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +60 $56 96¢ $57 +$2 05-31 17:15
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes +57 $43 86¢ $48 +$5 05-31 17:25
Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +45 $43 96¢ $43 +$0 05-31 16:18
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +41 $39 98¢ $40 +$1 06-01 20:13
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No -40 $-35 92¢ $-37 $-2 06-06 15:01
Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +35 $33 94¢ $33 $-0 05-31 17:12
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +29 $28 99¢ $29 +$1 06-01 05:09
Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +26 $24 98¢ $25 +$1 05-31 20:32
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +40 $36 52¢ $21 $-15 05-31 16:51
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 05-31 17:07
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +40 $37 46¢ $19 $-18 06-01 15:35
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +174 $42 10¢ $17 $-24 06-09 10:44
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? No +39 $23 44¢ $17 $-5 06-04 18:31
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? No +52 $32 32¢ $17 $-15 06-04 18:25
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +100 $17 16¢ $16 $-0 06-05 19:00
AWS service disrupted by June 30? No -20 $-17 82¢ $-16 +$0 06-06 16:33
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes +20 $17 80¢ $16 $-1 06-04 17:22
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -61 $-17 23¢ $-14 +$3 06-04 17:24
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 05-31 17:10
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 05-31 17:13
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 $-0 05-31 17:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $11 $9 $-2 06-05 12:14
Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +8 $7 94¢ $8 +$0 06-04 08:36
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes +7 $4 66¢ $4 +$0 05-31 17:23