Realized P&L
+$343
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
16
Trades
9,249
lifetime
Volume
$164.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$874
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
44% 60% +$2
Other
29% 62% +$198
Sports
21% 100% +$138
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$4
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +462 $448 99¢ $456 +$8 07-13 20:48
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes +161 $107 65¢ $105 $-3 07-19 11:46
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes -129 $-102 80¢ $-104 $-2 07-17 20:33
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -215 $-54 34¢ $-74 $-20 07-17 17:43
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes +70 $54 64¢ $45 $-9 07-13 18:39
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No -40 $-35 88¢ $-35 $-1 06-06 15:01
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? No +34 $20 40¢ $14 $-7 07-16 04:39
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? No +52 $32 26¢ $13 $-18 06-04 18:25
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -61 $-17 16¢ $-9 +$8 06-04 17:24
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +100 $17 $8 $-9 06-05 19:00
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +10 $9 50¢ $5 $-4 06-12 21:42
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? No -18 $-4 20¢ $-4 +$0 07-17 01:13
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -2 $-2 84¢ $-2 +$0 07-19 20:31