Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
open
Total volume
$784
$50 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$12,499
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 03:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+68.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $46
vs crowd: 32% YES on $546)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $97 | $32 | +$64 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $52 | $247 | $194 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $25 | $79 | $54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $46 | — | +$46 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $9 | $213 | $204 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Median | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $84 | $28 | +$56 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $11 | $32 | $21 |
| unranked | 8 | $25 | $72 | $47 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | +265 | $206 | $206 | 1 | 06-06 05:14 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +181 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 06-08 04:09 |
| Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | +108 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-20 02:16 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +101 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-28 04:35 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +79 | $17 | $31 | 5 | 06-11 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | +73 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-20 01:47 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-19 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3492…e5c8 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 07:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x619d…e06b | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 10:42 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-01 21:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-20 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-20 03:17 |
| Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 03:59 |
| Acidic-Architecture 0xf8dd…ab18 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 10:42 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 01:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 03:49 |
| Glamorous-Regulator 0xaee7…05e9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-05 08:13 |
| Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 20:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 03:53:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x870059… |
| 06-20 03:53:25 | (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x870059… |
| 06-20 03:17:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9f2e44… |
| 06-20 03:17:08 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | No | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x9f2e44… |
| 06-20 02:16:28 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xedec80… |
| 06-20 02:16:28 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0xedec80… |
| 06-20 02:16:28 | Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 18¢ | $20 | 0xedec80… |
| 06-20 01:52:29 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xac2b56… |
| 06-20 01:52:29 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xac2b56… |
| 06-20 01:52:29 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xac2b56… |
| 06-20 01:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x3ddd80… |
| 06-20 01:47:19 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0x3ddd80… |
| 06-20 01:47:19 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x3ddd80… |
| 06-20 01:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | BUY | 73 | 82¢ | $60 | 0x3ddd80… |
| 06-19 11:34:29 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | SELL | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x9cb10c… |
| 06-19 11:34:29 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x9cb10c… |
| 06-16 03:59:36 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x272956… |
| 06-16 03:59:36 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x272956… |
| 06-13 07:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x3492…e5c8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x1bd0e0… |
| 06-13 07:13:54 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 10 | 65¢ | $6 | 0x1bd0e0… |
| 06-13 07:13:54 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x1bd0e0… |
| 06-11 22:14:27 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x1cbee5… |
| 06-11 22:14:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x1cbee5… |
| 06-11 10:42:45 | (anonymous) 0x619d…e06b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x12c7c1… |
| 06-11 10:42:45 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x12c7c1… |
| 06-11 10:42:45 | Acidic-Architecture 0xf8dd…ab18 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x12c7c1… |
| 06-08 04:09:28 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 21¢ | $19 | 0xdc3cd6… |
| 06-08 04:09:28 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 89 | 21¢ | $19 | 0xdc3cd6… |
| 06-08 01:33:36 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x5aa3ab… |
| 06-08 01:33:36 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x5aa3ab… |
| 06-07 23:07:22 | Damp-Endorsement 0xb85d…4ac4 | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x6da766… |
| 06-07 23:07:22 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x6da766… |
| 06-07 08:58:46 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x286a6c… |
| 06-07 08:58:46 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x286a6c… |
| 06-07 08:58:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x7540aa… |
| 06-07 08:58:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x7540aa… |
| 06-06 08:32:19 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0xc43d3e… |
| 06-06 08:32:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xc43d3e… |
| 06-06 08:32:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xc43d3e… |
| 06-06 05:14:18 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 89 | 78¢ | $69 | 0x183d9c… |
| 06-06 05:14:18 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 101 | 22¢ | $22 | 0x183d9c… |
| 06-06 05:14:18 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | BUY | 265 | 78¢ | $206 | 0x183d9c… |
| 06-06 05:14:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x183d9c… |
| 06-06 05:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x183d9c… |
| 06-05 11:36:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x3aeee6… |
| 06-05 11:36:48 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x3aeee6… |
| 06-05 08:13:31 | Glamorous-Regulator 0xaee7…05e9 | No | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x613033… |
| 06-05 08:13:31 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x613033… |
| 06-04 15:20:22 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xc34ca0… |
| 06-04 15:20:22 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xc34ca0… |
| 06-03 01:34:08 | Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | No | SELL | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x7d5dc7… |
| 06-03 01:34:08 | Glamorous-Regulator 0xaee7…05e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x7d5dc7… |
| 06-01 21:24:46 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x469746… |
| 06-01 21:24:46 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x469746… |
| 06-01 21:24:46 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | BUY | 40 | 71¢ | $28 | 0x469746… |
| 06-01 03:49:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x8fa65a… |
| 06-01 03:49:10 | Necessary-Den 0x2ce4…d707 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x8fa65a… |
| 05-30 05:00:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 53 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x90fa49… |
| 05-30 05:00:13 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x90fa49… |
| 05-28 20:06:03 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x7379ab… |
| 05-28 20:06:03 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x7379ab… |
| 05-28 04:35:17 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0xe24cbd… |
| 05-28 04:35:17 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0xe24cbd… |
| 05-28 04:35:17 | Glittering-Fraud 0x80ea…f25f | Yes | SELL | 109 | 23¢ | $25 | 0xe24cbd… |
| 05-27 21:39:48 | Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x740c29… |
| 05-27 21:39:48 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x740c29… |