Realized P&L
+$86
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
38
Trades
845
lifetime
Volume
$20.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$593
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-17 13:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
77% 65% +$75
Politics
17% 75% $-1
Crypto
3% 100% +$2
Sports
2% 50% +$11
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +404 $127 46¢ $188 +$61 07-17 13:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +53 $50 97¢ $51 +$1 06-01 13:17
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -50 $-44 98¢ $-49 $-4 05-28 13:09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -50 $-41 91¢ $-45 $-4 07-17 13:50
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -23 $-21 92¢ $-21 $-0 05-28 13:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -22 $-20 96¢ $-21 $-1 05-28 13:10
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -21 $-20 95¢ $-20 $-0 06-04 13:43
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -23 $-20 86¢ $-20 +$0 05-28 13:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -33 $-21 58¢ $-19 +$2 07-17 13:51
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -20 $-17 96¢ $-19 $-2 06-04 13:43
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 +$0 07-14 13:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +23 $20 72¢ $17 $-3 06-01 13:17
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -20 $-17 84¢ $-17 $-0 07-17 13:51
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No -20 $-17 82¢ $-16 +$1 07-17 13:50
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -20 $-11 76¢ $-15 $-4 06-04 13:42
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -20 $-12 69¢ $-14 $-2 06-04 13:42
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -20 $-12 60¢ $-12 $-0 07-17 13:51
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 13:42
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 07-14 13:41
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? No -25 $-20 32¢ $-8 +$12 06-06 13:16