US x China Military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$9,732
$735 in 24h
Trades
254
Unique wallets
106
Liquidity
$16,105
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-16 13:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.1¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $926
vs crowd: 7% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $45 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $212 | $222 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $11 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 70 | $67 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $187 | $739 | $552 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $10 | $735 | $725 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $17 | $137 | $120 |
| Median | 20 | $2 | $95 | $93 |
| Below median | 11 | $58 | $244 | $187 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $28 | $805 | $777 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $32 | $164 | $132 |
| unranked | 48 | $2 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +870 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-16 00:21 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +777 | $715 | $715 | 8 | 06-15 00:50 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +666 | $606 | $606 | 4 | 06-15 00:50 |
| Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | +538 | $54 | $54 | 5 | 06-15 05:19 |
| Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | +399 | $374 | $374 | 3 | 06-15 01:29 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +299 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | +215 | $202 | $202 | 1 | 06-03 14:56 |
| Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | +150 | $136 | $136 | 3 | 06-15 00:50 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +148 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 06-15 05:24 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +120 | $11 | $17 | 5 | 06-15 05:24 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +119 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 06-16 02:09 |
| Luxurious-Cost 0xb3bb…f5db | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-15 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b71…917c | No | +109 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-16 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +106 | $88 | $88 | 3 | 06-15 05:19 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 02:12 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +70 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 06-14 12:28 |
| Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | +55 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-15 03:29 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +47 | $3 | $4 | 2 | 06-16 00:21 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +36 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-15 02:51 |
| Growing-Ketchup 0x4da5…5f27 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-15 02:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x14fe…910c | No | +33 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-09 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x30ec…08b7 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-15 03:47 |
| Slight-Colonial 0xf1d0…94e7 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-15 08:10 |
| Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | +31 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 06-16 07:48 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +31 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-15 05:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x07af…ee5f | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-12 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-16 10:30 |
| Cluttered-Offset 0x2093…04e7 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 09:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x180c…9747 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-30 10:45 |
| Tame-Smelting 0x7660…3e09 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 03:47 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-12 16:50 |
| Attached-Prejudice 0xdc76…a092 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd916…526f | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 18:19 |
| Tan-Zoologist 0xac29…d6bd | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-16 02:44 |
| Showy-Diabetes 0xc42f…7ce3 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 10:11 |
| Jittery-Mean 0x2001…77bd | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 04:13 |
| Cylindrical-Commuter 0x877a…8f44 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 01:03 |
| Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | +9 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-15 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $3 | 3 | 06-15 11:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 13:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x8b71…917c | No | BUY | 109 | 92¢ | $100 | 0x12d54b… |
| 06-16 13:29:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 109 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x12d54b… |
| 06-16 10:30:54 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0x4e95a1… |
| 06-16 10:30:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x4e95a1… |
| 06-16 07:48:01 | (anonymous) 0x8d8b…ce95 | No | SELL | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x2dc302… |
| 06-16 07:48:01 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2dc302… |
| 06-16 05:25:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x61e23b… |
| 06-16 05:25:21 | Nautical-Hair 0x5255…c8cf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x61e23b… |
| 06-16 04:00:22 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8f2bab… |
| 06-16 04:00:22 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x8f2bab… |
| 06-16 03:57:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x623236… |
| 06-16 03:57:45 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x623236… |
| 06-16 02:44:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x212ab5… |
| 06-16 02:44:06 | Tan-Zoologist 0xac29…d6bd | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x212ab5… |
| 06-16 02:43:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x25cf31… |
| 06-16 02:43:09 | Tan-Zoologist 0xac29…d6bd | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x25cf31… |
| 06-16 02:09:31 | Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | BUY | 109 | 92¢ | $100 | 0x183b36… |
| 06-16 02:09:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 109 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x183b36… |
| 06-16 01:55:07 | Worse-Mushroom 0xcac0…c5ac | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x227ad7… |
| 06-16 01:55:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x227ad7… |
| 06-16 01:48:51 | (anonymous) 0x1a00…fb0d | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xbec553… |
| 06-16 01:48:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbec553… |
| 06-16 00:33:27 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xbf529d… |
| 06-16 00:33:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xbf529d… |
| 06-16 00:23:13 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xb10841… |
| 06-16 00:23:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb10841… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 52 | 92¢ | $47 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | BUY | 299 | 8¢ | $24 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 145 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | BUY | 870 | 92¢ | $800 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-16 00:21:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0x369b05… |
| 06-15 18:19:24 | (anonymous) 0xd916…526f | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xbf3a44… |
| 06-15 18:19:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xbf3a44… |
| 06-15 11:25:28 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x272ee9… |
| 06-15 11:25:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x272ee9… |
| 06-15 11:03:31 | (anonymous) 0xbefb…09fe | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x3ce9e2… |
| 06-15 11:03:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x3ce9e2… |
| 06-15 08:10:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x680c89… |
| 06-15 08:10:46 | Slight-Colonial 0xf1d0…94e7 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x680c89… |
| 06-15 08:08:45 | Roasted-Landing 0xacb6…706c | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x72246a… |
| 06-15 08:08:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x72246a… |
| 06-15 05:27:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xfdd086… |
| 06-15 05:27:13 | Thoughtful-Visa 0x2df2…9dca | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xfdd086… |
| 06-15 05:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6884b8… |
| 06-15 05:24:37 | Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | BUY | 148 | 90¢ | $133 | 0x6884b8… |
| 06-15 05:24:37 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6884b8… |
| 06-15 05:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6884b8… |
| 06-15 05:24:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 10¢ | $12 | 0x6884b8… |
| 06-15 05:19:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xa74fcf… |
| 06-15 05:19:16 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xa74fcf… |
| 06-15 05:19:16 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xa74fcf… |
| 06-15 05:19:16 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xa74fcf… |
| 06-15 05:19:16 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa74fcf… |
| 06-15 05:19:16 | Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 16¢ | $12 | 0xa74fcf… |
| 06-15 05:17:16 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x43b6d5… |
| 06-15 05:17:16 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x43b6d5… |
| 06-15 05:17:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x43b6d5… |
| 06-15 05:17:16 | Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x43b6d5… |
| 06-15 05:17:16 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 31 | 83¢ | $26 | 0x43b6d5… |
| 06-15 05:17:16 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x43b6d5… |
| 06-15 05:06:31 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1e88a1… |
| 06-15 05:06:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1e88a1… |
| 06-15 05:04:00 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x2a37b5… |
| 06-15 05:04:00 | Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x2a37b5… |
| 06-15 03:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x30ec…08b7 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x2954ce… |
| 06-15 03:47:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x2954ce… |
| 06-15 03:29:00 | Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x2c32d4… |
| 06-15 03:29:00 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x2c32d4… |
| 06-15 03:18:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 110 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x727ca2… |
| 06-15 03:18:27 | Luxurious-Cost 0xb3bb…f5db | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x727ca2… |
| 06-15 03:15:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5623d5… |
| 06-15 03:15:37 | Attached-Prejudice 0xdc76…a092 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x5623d5… |
| 06-15 02:51:37 | Growing-Ketchup 0x4da5…5f27 | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x48f9a7… |
| 06-15 02:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x48f9a7… |
| 06-15 02:51:37 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x48f9a7… |
| 06-15 02:44:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x088999… |
| 06-15 02:44:25 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x088999… |
| 06-15 02:44:25 | Blond-Grace 0x97b1…1a63 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x088999… |
| 06-15 02:44:25 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x088999… |
| 06-15 02:12:58 | (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x7f1519… |
| 06-15 02:12:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7f1519… |
| 06-15 02:12:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x2c969b… |
| 06-15 02:12:28 | (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | Yes | SELL | 293 | 10¢ | $29 | 0x2c969b… |
| 06-15 02:12:28 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x2c969b… |
| 06-15 02:12:28 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x2c969b… |
| 06-15 02:12:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 75 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x2c969b… |
| 06-15 01:29:15 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x51c30b… |
| 06-15 01:29:15 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x51c30b… |
| 06-15 00:51:12 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0xa6c355… |
| 06-15 00:51:12 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xa6c355… |
| 06-15 00:51:12 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xa6c355… |
| 06-15 00:50:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbe6024… |
| 06-15 00:50:49 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbe6024… |
| 06-15 00:50:49 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 34 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xbe6024… |
| 06-15 00:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x8d8b…ce95 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x2e86e8… |
| 06-15 00:50:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2e86e8… |