US x China Military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$78,982
$735 in 24h
Trades
1,004
Unique wallets
350
Liquidity
$16,105
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-19 14:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+29.6¢
(top1%: 34% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $44.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $386 | $15.3K | $14.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $525 | $1.6K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 38 | $32 | $3.5K | $3.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 272 | $1.0K | $22.3K | $21.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $381 | $739 | $358 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $38 | $14.8K | $14.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $100 | $754 | $654 |
| Median | 37 | $78 | $790 | $713 |
| Below median | 25 | $156 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | $10 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $29 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $45 | $503 | $459 |
| unranked | 239 | $1.2K | $22.6K | $21.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +8,932 | $8,512 | $8,512 | 8 | 08-13 01:47 |
| Defiant-Competence-Initiative 0x7bc1…8db4 | Yes | +6,164 | $308 | $308 | 1 | 07-20 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xda73…4d41 | Yes | +2,943 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 07-20 14:11 |
| Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | +1,507 | $100 | $100 | 10 | 08-07 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf35c…f6e9 | Yes | +1,445 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 08-18 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f56…075d | No | +1,095 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 1 | 07-05 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05f…34b6 | No | +1,042 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-12 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | Yes | +1,005 | $45 | $102 | 7 | 07-19 16:42 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +870 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-16 00:21 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +666 | $606 | $606 | 4 | 06-15 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a19…c0b2 | No | +543 | $516 | $516 | 1 | 07-03 15:22 |
| Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | +448 | $432 | $3,408 | 18 | 08-19 14:18 |
| Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf8…b8ea | No | +438 | $431 | $1,487 | 3 | 08-01 13:22 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +433 | $4 | $705 | 105 | 08-19 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c0d…9d95 | No | +400 | $376 | $376 | 5 | 07-03 20:26 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +316 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-04 17:28 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +288 | $9 | $44 | 9 | 07-03 15:22 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +235 | $223 | $223 | 4 | 08-01 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd50f…4ecb | No | +209 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-22 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +197 | $187 | $384 | 4 | 08-02 17:51 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +197 | $14 | $20 | 6 | 07-16 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +181 | $172 | $172 | 2 | 07-22 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1cd…07bc | No | +170 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 08-08 11:02 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +149 | $139 | $139 | 3 | 06-21 18:14 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +148 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 06-15 05:24 |
| Unknown-Tritone 0x58c8…4fb0 | No | +123 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 08-09 01:44 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +119 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 06-16 02:09 |
| Luxurious-Cost 0xb3bb…f5db | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-15 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0cd…fd72 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-24 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +106 | $88 | $88 | 3 | 06-15 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5ab…59b1 | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-19 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x562c…4151 | No | +100 | $95 | $230 | 8 | 08-07 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e7…8e1d | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-20 16:18 |
| Impressive-Bed 0x3f08…9f4c | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-20 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xec23…90eb | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-23 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb62b…dfc4 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 4 | 07-16 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb3b…8b91 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-16 05:01 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +88 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 07-27 17:08 |
| Scratchy-Sidewalk 0xee25…7cd3 | Yes | +42 | $2 | $3 | 5 | 08-09 04:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +36 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-15 02:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 14:51:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x79831a… |
| 08-19 14:51:21 | Jumpy-Blank 0x1693…5d20 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x79831a… |
| 08-19 14:18:22 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 95 | 96¢ | $91 | 0x4e5762… |
| 08-19 14:18:22 | (anonymous) 0xe5ab…59b1 | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x4e5762… |
| 08-19 14:18:22 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x4e5762… |
| 08-19 02:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x143f…d9e3 | No | BUY | 84 | 96¢ | $81 | 0xeba94e… |
| 08-19 02:58:12 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 84 | 96¢ | $81 | 0xeba94e… |
| 08-18 17:20:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1,375 | 4¢ | $62 | 0x7513fd… |
| 08-18 17:20:28 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7513fd… |
| 08-18 17:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xf35c…f6e9 | Yes | BUY | 1,445 | 4¢ | $65 | 0x7513fd… |
| 08-18 17:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xd4c8…cd02 | No | BUY | 41 | 95¢ | $39 | 0x7513fd… |
| 08-18 17:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7513fd… |
| 08-18 07:00:22 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5abb92… |
| 08-18 07:00:22 | Handsome-Jicama 0x950a…6790 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x5abb92… |
| 08-17 07:53:48 | Crisp-Eyestrain 0x2446…0b83 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x58a267… |
| 08-17 07:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x58a267… |
| 08-17 07:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xd4c8…cd02 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x58a267… |
| 08-15 01:13:28 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x2234e5… |
| 08-15 01:13:28 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2234e5… |
| 08-14 10:12:57 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x24662e… |
| 08-14 10:12:57 | (anonymous) 0x9674…04cf | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x24662e… |
| 08-14 07:36:01 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb67cb0… |
| 08-14 07:36:01 | (anonymous) 0xc58e…6fe6 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb67cb0… |
| 08-14 07:25:36 | Tough-Dinner 0xe044…56f3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc2d37c… |
| 08-14 07:25:36 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc2d37c… |
| 08-14 06:04:42 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4a866b… |
| 08-14 06:04:42 | Each-Acetate 0x60b8…945f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4a866b… |
| 08-14 05:07:01 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x396b72… |
| 08-14 05:07:01 | Handsome-Jicama 0x950a…6790 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x396b72… |
| 08-13 16:01:46 | (anonymous) 0x4b41…652d | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xbd3761… |
| 08-13 16:01:46 | (anonymous) 0x7059…17bd | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbd3761… |
| 08-13 16:01:46 | (anonymous) 0x0e4e…bbba | No | SELL | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0xbd3761… |
| 08-13 13:37:57 | (anonymous) 0x7059…17bd | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x7e4423… |
| 08-13 13:37:57 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7e4423… |
| 08-13 13:37:57 | (anonymous) 0x4656…41d7 | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x7e4423… |
| 08-13 13:37:57 | (anonymous) 0xc945…73f5 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x7e4423… |
| 08-13 11:53:31 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x19e642… |
| 08-13 11:53:31 | Quarterly-Proportion 0xd7b4…6f14 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x19e642… |
| 08-13 11:53:31 | (anonymous) 0x4656…41d7 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x19e642… |
| 08-13 01:47:58 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | SELL | 3,842 | 96¢ | $3,677 | 0xb34cb7… |
| 08-13 01:47:58 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 3,862 | 96¢ | $3,696 | 0xb34cb7… |
| 08-13 01:47:58 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb34cb7… |
| 08-12 05:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x5eee…e9e1 | Yes | SELL | 515 | 4¢ | $23 | 0x807baf… |
| 08-12 05:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x9ac1…f492 | No | SELL | 515 | 96¢ | $492 | 0x807baf… |
| 08-12 05:20:18 | (anonymous) 0xa780…52d3 | No | SELL | 434 | 96¢ | $415 | 0xbd770e… |
| 08-12 05:20:18 | (anonymous) 0x5eee…e9e1 | Yes | SELL | 434 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xbd770e… |
| 08-12 05:19:03 | (anonymous) 0xb60a…2234 | No | SELL | 585 | 96¢ | $559 | 0x8b5506… |
| 08-12 05:19:03 | (anonymous) 0x1f29…01b0 | Yes | SELL | 949 | 4¢ | $42 | 0x8b5506… |
| 08-12 05:19:03 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…67c7 | No | SELL | 364 | 96¢ | $348 | 0x8b5506… |
| 08-12 05:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x3bd7…e154 | No | SELL | 390 | 96¢ | $373 | 0x1b787b… |
| 08-12 05:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x4bf9…9b10 | Yes | SELL | 390 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x1b787b… |
| 08-12 05:15:30 | (anonymous) 0x0f14…9d3d | No | SELL | 559 | 96¢ | $534 | 0x6e6b6c… |
| 08-12 05:15:30 | (anonymous) 0x4bf9…9b10 | Yes | SELL | 559 | 4¢ | $25 | 0x6e6b6c… |
| 08-12 05:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | SELL | 949 | 4¢ | $42 | 0x041ed5… |
| 08-12 05:13:55 | (anonymous) 0xf1b8…25aa | No | SELL | 501 | 96¢ | $479 | 0x041ed5… |
| 08-12 05:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x30c8…bc09 | No | SELL | 448 | 96¢ | $428 | 0x041ed5… |
| 08-12 05:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x46ac…a60a | Yes | SELL | 888 | 4¢ | $39 | 0xf44bbb… |
| 08-12 05:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x64f7…f1ee | No | SELL | 450 | 96¢ | $430 | 0xf44bbb… |
| 08-12 05:07:40 | (anonymous) 0xaea9…79ee | No | SELL | 438 | 96¢ | $419 | 0xf44bbb… |
| 08-12 05:06:36 | (anonymous) 0x72ae…f907 | No | SELL | 520 | 96¢ | $497 | 0x4a2406… |
| 08-12 05:06:36 | (anonymous) 0xb8bf…9c82 | No | SELL | 368 | 96¢ | $352 | 0x4a2406… |
| 08-12 05:06:36 | (anonymous) 0x735e…03ba | Yes | SELL | 888 | 4¢ | $39 | 0x4a2406… |
| 08-12 05:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x31cf…dd69 | Yes | SELL | 888 | 4¢ | $39 | 0xf6dbca… |
| 08-12 05:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x0269…d1a2 | No | SELL | 428 | 96¢ | $409 | 0xf6dbca… |
| 08-12 05:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x1b0f…6c35 | No | SELL | 460 | 96¢ | $440 | 0xf6dbca… |
| 08-12 05:02:51 | (anonymous) 0xf476…6872 | No | SELL | 410 | 96¢ | $392 | 0xeeb611… |
| 08-12 05:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x95b3…f2c1 | No | SELL | 478 | 96¢ | $457 | 0xeeb611… |
| 08-12 05:02:51 | (anonymous) 0xaa93…9a6a | Yes | SELL | 888 | 4¢ | $39 | 0xeeb611… |
| 08-12 04:58:54 | (anonymous) 0xa555…b9ac | No | SELL | 488 | 96¢ | $467 | 0x3136f6… |
| 08-12 04:58:54 | (anonymous) 0xa830…da36 | No | SELL | 400 | 96¢ | $382 | 0x3136f6… |
| 08-12 04:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x4b74…bd87 | Yes | SELL | 888 | 4¢ | $39 | 0x3136f6… |
| 08-12 04:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x9548…52a1 | Yes | SELL | 888 | 4¢ | $39 | 0x5d9114… |
| 08-12 04:58:09 | (anonymous) 0xdef2…038d | No | SELL | 418 | 96¢ | $400 | 0x5d9114… |
| 08-12 04:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x8d06…531c | No | SELL | 470 | 96¢ | $449 | 0x5d9114… |
| 08-12 04:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | BUY | 364 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x0898e9… |
| 08-12 04:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…67c7 | No | BUY | 364 | 96¢ | $348 | 0x0898e9… |
| 08-12 04:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xb60a…2234 | No | BUY | 585 | 96¢ | $560 | 0xb82e51… |
| 08-12 04:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | BUY | 585 | 4¢ | $25 | 0xb82e51… |
| 08-12 04:27:03 | (anonymous) 0x5eee…e9e1 | Yes | BUY | 559 | 4¢ | $24 | 0x5b767e… |
| 08-12 04:27:03 | (anonymous) 0x0f14…9d3d | No | BUY | 559 | 96¢ | $535 | 0x5b767e… |
| 08-12 04:27:01 | (anonymous) 0x3bd7…e154 | No | BUY | 390 | 96¢ | $373 | 0xb5920c… |
| 08-12 04:27:01 | (anonymous) 0x5eee…e9e1 | Yes | BUY | 390 | 4¢ | $17 | 0xb5920c… |
| 08-12 04:22:18 | (anonymous) 0x4bf9…9b10 | Yes | BUY | 434 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xdc88d1… |
| 08-12 04:22:18 | (anonymous) 0xa780…52d3 | No | BUY | 434 | 96¢ | $415 | 0xdc88d1… |
| 08-12 04:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x9ac1…f492 | No | BUY | 515 | 96¢ | $493 | 0xab1df0… |
| 08-12 04:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x4bf9…9b10 | Yes | BUY | 515 | 4¢ | $22 | 0xab1df0… |
| 08-12 04:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x1f29…01b0 | Yes | BUY | 501 | 4¢ | $22 | 0xcf8085… |
| 08-12 04:21:18 | (anonymous) 0xf1b8…25aa | No | BUY | 501 | 96¢ | $479 | 0xcf8085… |
| 08-12 04:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x30c8…bc09 | No | BUY | 448 | 96¢ | $429 | 0xbd4adf… |
| 08-12 04:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x1f29…01b0 | Yes | BUY | 448 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xbd4adf… |
| 08-12 04:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x46ac…a60a | Yes | BUY | 460 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x8bc535… |
| 08-12 04:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x1b0f…6c35 | No | BUY | 460 | 96¢ | $440 | 0x8bc535… |
| 08-12 04:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x0269…d1a2 | No | BUY | 428 | 96¢ | $410 | 0xca0d3e… |
| 08-12 04:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x46ac…a60a | Yes | BUY | 428 | 4¢ | $18 | 0xca0d3e… |
| 08-12 04:18:04 | (anonymous) 0xaa93…9a6a | Yes | BUY | 368 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x9343ce… |
| 08-12 04:18:04 | (anonymous) 0xb8bf…9c82 | No | BUY | 368 | 96¢ | $352 | 0x9343ce… |
| 08-12 04:18:03 | (anonymous) 0xaa93…9a6a | Yes | BUY | 520 | 4¢ | $22 | 0x3dbee1… |
| 08-12 04:18:03 | (anonymous) 0x72ae…f907 | No | BUY | 520 | 96¢ | $498 | 0x3dbee1… |
| 08-12 04:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xa830…da36 | No | BUY | 400 | 96¢ | $383 | 0xd89551… |
| 08-12 04:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xa555…b9ac | No | BUY | 488 | 96¢ | $467 | 0x64cd8e… |