US x China Military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$48,947
$735 in 24h
Trades
827
Unique wallets
290
Liquidity
$16,105
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-29 20:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+28.9¢
(top1%: 34% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $29.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $380 | $11.2K | $10.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $531 | $516 | +$15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 32 | $26 | $3.2K | $3.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 221 | $574 | $13.1K | $12.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $381 | $739 | $358 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $38 | $10.1K | $10.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $173 | $735 | $562 |
| Median | 36 | $4 | $669 | $665 |
| Below median | 26 | $154 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $56 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $17 | $503 | $486 |
| unranked | 183 | $687 | $12.9K | $12.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defiant-Competence-Initiative 0x7bc1…8db4 | Yes | +6,164 | $308 | $308 | 1 | 07-20 16:18 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +5,070 | $4,816 | $4,816 | 7 | 07-20 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xda73…4d41 | Yes | +2,943 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 07-20 14:11 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,848 | $67 | $641 | 103 | 07-20 16:18 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +1,842 | $1,750 | $1,750 | 9 | 07-12 05:29 |
| Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | +1,632 | $1,567 | $2,273 | 10 | 07-29 09:40 |
| Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | +1,369 | $94 | $94 | 9 | 07-27 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f56…075d | No | +1,095 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 1 | 07-05 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05f…34b6 | No | +1,042 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-12 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | Yes | +1,005 | $45 | $102 | 7 | 07-19 16:42 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +870 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-16 00:21 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +666 | $606 | $606 | 4 | 06-15 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a19…c0b2 | No | +543 | $516 | $516 | 1 | 07-03 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c0d…9d95 | No | +400 | $376 | $376 | 5 | 07-03 20:26 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +316 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-04 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +300 | $285 | $285 | 1 | 07-20 16:18 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +288 | $9 | $44 | 9 | 07-03 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd50f…4ecb | No | +209 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-22 14:18 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +197 | $14 | $20 | 6 | 07-16 14:23 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +186 | $175 | $175 | 3 | 07-04 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +181 | $172 | $172 | 2 | 07-22 14:10 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +149 | $139 | $139 | 3 | 06-21 18:14 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +148 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 06-15 05:24 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +119 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 06-16 02:09 |
| Luxurious-Cost 0xb3bb…f5db | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-15 03:18 |
| Important-Fledgling 0x84ba…9438 | No | +108 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0cd…fd72 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-24 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +106 | $88 | $88 | 3 | 06-15 05:19 |
| Impressive-Bed 0x3f08…9f4c | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-20 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb62b…dfc4 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 4 | 07-16 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e7…8e1d | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-20 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb3b…8b91 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-16 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xec23…90eb | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-23 05:48 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +88 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 07-27 17:08 |
| Colorless-Egghead 0x06c7…3553 | No | +73 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-29 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +70 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 06-14 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf09…b687 | No | +69 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 07-20 14:11 |
| Scratchy-Sidewalk 0xee25…7cd3 | Yes | +52 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 07-12 05:18 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +36 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-15 02:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +29 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-29 20:10 |
| Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 19:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 20:10:29 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe580ff… |
| 07-29 20:10:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe580ff… |
| 07-29 09:40:54 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 73 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x3d2e35… |
| 07-29 09:40:54 | Colorless-Egghead 0x06c7…3553 | No | BUY | 73 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x3d2e35… |
| 07-28 08:10:04 | Scratchy-Mincemeat 0x47b5…fd84 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x458185… |
| 07-28 08:10:04 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x458185… |
| 07-28 07:35:33 | (anonymous) 0xa0ba…f183 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xfa039a… |
| 07-28 07:35:33 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xfa039a… |
| 07-28 06:58:52 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0a08ca… |
| 07-28 06:58:52 | (anonymous) 0x2455…00ee | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0a08ca… |
| 07-28 06:20:04 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7c7726… |
| 07-28 06:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7c7726… |
| 07-28 04:04:58 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x65ff96… |
| 07-28 04:04:58 | Crisp-Eyestrain 0x2446…0b83 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x65ff96… |
| 07-27 17:08:01 | Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x391122… |
| 07-27 17:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x900d…a480 | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x391122… |
| 07-27 17:08:01 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x391122… |
| 07-26 10:09:31 | Gentle-Chairman 0x9eba…c12e | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x76396c… |
| 07-26 10:09:31 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x76396c… |
| 07-24 17:46:58 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xec66df… |
| 07-24 17:46:58 | (anonymous) 0x2973…700d | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xec66df… |
| 07-22 14:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xd50f…4ecb | No | BUY | 209 | 96¢ | $200 | 0x772602… |
| 07-22 14:18:39 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | SELL | 209 | 96¢ | $200 | 0x772602… |
| 07-22 14:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x5aa1…37eb | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe31a07… |
| 07-22 14:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe31a07… |
| 07-22 13:15:00 | Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xb842a5… |
| 07-22 13:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 180 | 95¢ | $171 | 0xb842a5… |
| 07-22 13:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb842a5… |
| 07-21 19:00:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xc8ca5a… |
| 07-21 19:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x4656…41d7 | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xc8ca5a… |
| 07-21 19:00:45 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0xc8ca5a… |
| 07-21 19:00:45 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc8ca5a… |
| 07-21 11:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x44e1…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x80d0cd… |
| 07-21 11:18:55 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x80d0cd… |
| 07-20 19:02:10 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1375db… |
| 07-20 19:02:10 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1375db… |
| 07-20 19:02:10 | (anonymous) 0x9543…6d79 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1375db… |
| 07-20 19:02:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1375db… |
| 07-20 16:19:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1e390d… |
| 07-20 16:19:57 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x1e390d… |
| 07-20 16:18:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbdce36… |
| 07-20 16:18:40 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbdce36… |
| 07-20 16:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x61e7…8e1d | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x17f965… |
| 07-20 16:18:18 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 95¢ | $4,750 | 0x17f965… |
| 07-20 16:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | BUY | 300 | 95¢ | $285 | 0x17f965… |
| 07-20 16:18:18 | Defiant-Competence-Initiative 0x7bc1…8db4 | Yes | BUY | 6,164 | 5¢ | $308 | 0x17f965… |
| 07-20 16:18:18 | Unfolded-Appearance 0xb9ae…0335 | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x17f965… |
| 07-20 16:18:18 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x17f965… |
| 07-20 16:18:18 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 698 | 5¢ | $35 | 0x17f965… |
| 07-20 14:11:12 | Growing-Meme 0x2e48…95c7 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 96¢ | $1,920 | 0xa5897d… |
| 07-20 14:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xda73…4d41 | Yes | BUY | 2,943 | 4¢ | $118 | 0xa5897d… |
| 07-20 14:11:12 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa5897d… |
| 07-20 14:11:12 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | SELL | 769 | 4¢ | $31 | 0xa5897d… |
| 07-20 14:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xdf09…b687 | No | BUY | 69 | 96¢ | $66 | 0xa5897d… |
| 07-20 14:11:12 | Impressive-Bed 0x3f08…9f4c | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xa5897d… |
| 07-19 21:19:33 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb7d68a… |
| 07-19 21:19:33 | (anonymous) 0xd916…526f | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xb7d68a… |
| 07-19 16:42:49 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xca82d6… |
| 07-19 16:42:49 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 88 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xca82d6… |
| 07-19 16:42:49 | (anonymous) 0x06a3…edf7 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $38 | 0xca82d6… |
| 07-19 16:42:49 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | SELL | 276 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xca82d6… |
| 07-19 16:42:49 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | SELL | 107 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xca82d6… |
| 07-19 16:42:49 | (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | Yes | BUY | 544 | 4¢ | $21 | 0xca82d6… |
| 07-19 16:42:49 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xca82d6… |
| 07-19 09:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x06a3…edf7 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x97415a… |
| 07-19 09:59:16 | Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x97415a… |
| 07-18 03:42:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfca72b… |
| 07-18 03:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xf86f…1660 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfca72b… |
| 07-17 02:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6fdf27… |
| 07-17 02:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x2c73…e31e | No | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x6fdf27… |
| 07-17 02:26:27 | Homely-Runaway 0x1a32…04ed | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4efdfb… |
| 07-17 02:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4efdfb… |
| 07-17 02:02:07 | Fumbling-Sustainment 0xf817…6317 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x188883… |
| 07-17 02:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x188883… |
| 07-17 01:58:04 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6996c6… |
| 07-17 01:58:04 | Scaly-Antler 0xe4c6…9e2b | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x6996c6… |
| 07-17 01:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xec3f16… |
| 07-17 01:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x2abc…e368 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xec3f16… |
| 07-17 01:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf7311f… |
| 07-17 01:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf7311f… |
| 07-17 01:49:58 | (anonymous) 0xfe1c…adee | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xf7311f… |
| 07-16 18:56:22 | Bitter-Typhoon 0xc078…fd4c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x335feb… |
| 07-16 18:56:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x335feb… |
| 07-16 15:47:01 | Mealy-Auction 0xb74a…171c | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4ac90d… |
| 07-16 15:47:01 | (anonymous) 0x3b8f…8cf8 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4ac90d… |
| 07-16 15:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x3b8f…8cf8 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb12c72… |
| 07-16 15:39:38 | Faint-Sponsor 0x391e…ae23 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb12c72… |
| 07-16 15:29:02 | Keen-Detainee 0xb8fc…fbea | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf06a7d… |
| 07-16 15:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x3b8f…8cf8 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf06a7d… |
| 07-16 15:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1a9e98… |
| 07-16 15:24:02 | Granular-Pantsuit 0x15b8…495b | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x1a9e98… |
| 07-16 15:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x3b8f…8cf8 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1a9e98… |
| 07-16 15:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd0d3af… |
| 07-16 15:09:31 | Gullible-Shower 0x5703…6091 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd0d3af… |
| 07-16 15:01:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5aa535… |
| 07-16 15:01:47 | Concerned-Preference 0xcf07…77c4 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5aa535… |
| 07-16 14:49:01 | Meek-Beancurd 0x2719…2a89 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x77d906… |
| 07-16 14:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x77d906… |
| 07-16 14:23:32 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x1fc517… |
| 07-16 14:23:32 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x1fc517… |