US x China Military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$25,679
$735 in 24h
Trades
544
Unique wallets
197
Liquidity
$16,105
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-08 07:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+26.8¢
(top1%: 32% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $13.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $69 | $4.3K | $4.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $355 | $231 | +$124 |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $20 | $3.2K | $3.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 146 | $308 | $5.5K | $5.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $352 | $739 | $387 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $11 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $99 | $734 | $636 |
| Median | 28 | $55 | $555 | $500 |
| Below median | 20 | $118 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $24 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $45 | $164 | $119 |
| unranked | 113 | $48 | $5.2K | $5.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +1,819 | $1,728 | $1,728 | 7 | 07-08 07:58 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,818 | $73 | $577 | 96 | 07-05 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f56…075d | No | +1,095 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 1 | 07-05 06:12 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +947 | $863 | $2,339 | 12 | 07-05 06:12 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +870 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-16 00:21 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +666 | $606 | $606 | 4 | 06-15 00:50 |
| Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | +663 | $64 | $64 | 6 | 06-25 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a19…c0b2 | No | +543 | $516 | $516 | 1 | 07-03 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | Yes | +462 | $24 | $82 | 6 | 07-04 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c0d…9d95 | No | +400 | $376 | $376 | 5 | 07-03 20:26 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +316 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-04 17:28 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +299 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 00:21 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +288 | $9 | $44 | 9 | 07-03 15:22 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +186 | $175 | $175 | 3 | 07-04 23:03 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +149 | $139 | $139 | 3 | 06-21 18:14 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +148 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 06-15 05:24 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +120 | $11 | $17 | 5 | 06-15 05:24 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +119 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 06-16 02:09 |
| Luxurious-Cost 0xb3bb…f5db | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-15 03:18 |
| Important-Fledgling 0x84ba…9438 | No | +108 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0cd…fd72 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-24 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +106 | $88 | $88 | 3 | 06-15 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xec23…90eb | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-23 05:48 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 6 | 07-05 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +70 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 06-14 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x562c…4151 | No | +70 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 07-04 05:04 |
| Showy-Purity 0x255c…a296 | No | +59 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-22 08:06 |
| Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | +55 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-15 03:29 |
| Athletic-Sage 0xc1b9…ec73 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 01:57 |
| Powerless-Randomization 0x5c29…1c24 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fb2…7a7a | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 07-04 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf8c…ccbb | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-04 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x50fe…88fd | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-04 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d30…cde3 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-04 01:34 |
| Wonderful-Safari 0xe44e…830b | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-02 03:34 |
| Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | +41 | $33 | $240 | 12 | 07-08 07:59 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +36 | $6 | $14 | 2 | 07-03 20:26 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +36 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-15 02:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 07:59:23 | Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa1206a… |
| 07-08 07:59:23 | Sardonic-Emotion 0x2dbc…bdfc | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa1206a… |
| 07-08 07:58:16 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 262 | 95¢ | $249 | 0x95243b… |
| 07-08 07:58:16 | Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf8…b8ea | No | SELL | 262 | 95¢ | $249 | 0x95243b… |
| 07-08 07:05:25 | Handsome-Jicama 0x950a…6790 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x0418de… |
| 07-08 07:05:25 | Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x0418de… |
| 07-07 10:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x6476…2844 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x8c8e85… |
| 07-07 10:35:26 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x8c8e85… |
| 07-07 09:12:02 | Sardonic-Emotion 0x2dbc…bdfc | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5e376a… |
| 07-07 09:12:02 | Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5e376a… |
| 07-07 09:12:01 | Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xc2839e… |
| 07-07 09:12:01 | Sardonic-Emotion 0x2dbc…bdfc | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xc2839e… |
| 07-07 09:08:13 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 344 | 95¢ | $326 | 0xa3b8fd… |
| 07-07 09:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x16ec…e5d4 | No | SELL | 344 | 95¢ | $326 | 0xa3b8fd… |
| 07-07 09:07:31 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 506 | 95¢ | $481 | 0x58fc54… |
| 07-07 09:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x14e5…59c0 | No | SELL | 506 | 95¢ | $481 | 0x58fc54… |
| 07-07 09:06:52 | Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe08192… |
| 07-07 09:06:52 | Sardonic-Emotion 0x2dbc…bdfc | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe08192… |
| 07-07 09:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x7b16…f522 | No | SELL | 356 | 95¢ | $339 | 0x47b0b2… |
| 07-07 09:06:22 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 356 | 95¢ | $339 | 0x47b0b2… |
| 07-07 05:16:08 | Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd59daa… |
| 07-07 05:16:08 | Sardonic-Emotion 0x2dbc…bdfc | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd59daa… |
| 07-07 05:14:04 | (anonymous) 0x8367…d9ec | No | SELL | 336 | 95¢ | $320 | 0x1a3f15… |
| 07-07 05:14:04 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 336 | 95¢ | $320 | 0x1a3f15… |
| 07-07 03:05:58 | Infinite-Skylight 0x3dba…ec65 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x14fe74… |
| 07-07 03:05:58 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x14fe74… |
| 07-07 03:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x14fe74… |
| 07-06 02:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x3683…aee8 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x388d33… |
| 07-06 02:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x388d33… |
| 07-05 19:37:11 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 272 | 5¢ | $14 | 0x91d242… |
| 07-05 19:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x57d0…85b0 | Yes | SELL | 277 | 5¢ | $14 | 0x91d242… |
| 07-05 19:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x91d242… |
| 07-05 09:06:22 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x7f8e16… |
| 07-05 09:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x7f8e16… |
| 07-05 06:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 24 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x2498f6… |
| 07-05 06:18:28 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 24 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x2498f6… |
| 07-05 06:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x6f56…075d | No | BUY | 1,095 | 95¢ | $1,040 | 0x10d37f… |
| 07-05 06:12:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 426 | 5¢ | $21 | 0x10d37f… |
| 07-05 06:12:41 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 668 | 95¢ | $635 | 0x10d37f… |
| 07-04 23:03:50 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x327c63… |
| 07-04 23:03:50 | (anonymous) 0x95e8…81ef | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x327c63… |
| 07-04 23:03:49 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc8f460… |
| 07-04 23:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x91ad…b29e | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc8f460… |
| 07-04 23:03:44 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xacb9d6… |
| 07-04 23:03:44 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xacb9d6… |
| 07-04 23:03:38 | Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | SELL | 34 | 95¢ | $32 | 0xd8c5fc… |
| 07-04 23:03:38 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 109 | 95¢ | $103 | 0xd8c5fc… |
| 07-04 23:03:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 142 | 95¢ | $135 | 0xd8c5fc… |
| 07-04 20:41:04 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x4e17fc… |
| 07-04 20:41:04 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4e17fc… |
| 07-04 20:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x4fb2…7a7a | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x4e17fc… |
| 07-04 20:41:04 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x4e17fc… |
| 07-04 20:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x8b71…917c | No | SELL | 109 | 94¢ | $102 | 0x4e17fc… |
| 07-04 20:41:04 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4e17fc… |
| 07-04 17:28:46 | Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | SELL | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x9e9f87… |
| 07-04 17:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | SELL | 215 | 95¢ | $204 | 0x9e9f87… |
| 07-04 17:28:46 | Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | BUY | 316 | 95¢ | $300 | 0x9e9f87… |
| 07-04 17:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x3869…2046 | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x9e9f87… |
| 07-04 17:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x569e…f662 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x9e9f87… |
| 07-04 17:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x2cce…5a68 | No | SELL | 51 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x9e9f87… |
| 07-04 09:31:23 | (anonymous) 0x3869…2046 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xbbd43f… |
| 07-04 09:31:23 | (anonymous) 0xc58e…6fe6 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xbbd43f… |
| 07-04 08:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x3869…2046 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x85b936… |
| 07-04 08:55:58 | Jumbo-Purchase 0x9a8f…276c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x85b936… |
| 07-04 08:31:58 | Starry-Committee 0x17e1…c397 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x90724a… |
| 07-04 08:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x3869…2046 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x90724a… |
| 07-04 08:30:19 | Starry-Committee 0x17e1…c397 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x78bfef… |
| 07-04 08:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x4fb2…7a7a | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x78bfef… |
| 07-04 07:16:47 | Dutiful-Washtub 0xfd4f…8380 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf0a5c1… |
| 07-04 07:16:47 | (anonymous) 0x3869…2046 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf0a5c1… |
| 07-04 05:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x562c…4151 | No | BUY | 70 | 95¢ | $67 | 0xe5a1d1… |
| 07-04 05:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x3869…2046 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xe5a1d1… |
| 07-04 05:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x7675…dad7 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xe5a1d1… |
| 07-04 01:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x6d30…cde3 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x1b5978… |
| 07-04 01:34:50 | (anonymous) 0xdf8c…ccbb | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x1b5978… |
| 07-04 01:34:50 | (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x1b5978… |
| 07-04 01:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x4fb2…7a7a | No | BUY | 41 | 94¢ | $39 | 0x1b5978… |
| 07-04 01:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x50fe…88fd | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x1b5978… |
| 07-03 20:26:07 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0ff0b4… |
| 07-03 20:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x8c0d…9d95 | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x0ff0b4… |
| 07-03 20:26:07 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0ff0b4… |
| 07-03 20:26:07 | (anonymous) 0xcbff…f748 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x0ff0b4… |
| 07-03 20:26:07 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x0ff0b4… |
| 07-03 15:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x1a19…c0b2 | No | BUY | 543 | 95¢ | $516 | 0x660e90… |
| 07-03 15:22:26 | Entire-Dynamite 0x73bc…eaaf | No | SELL | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0x660e90… |
| 07-03 15:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x8f64…9aa0 | No | SELL | 46 | 95¢ | $44 | 0x660e90… |
| 07-03 15:22:26 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 459 | 5¢ | $23 | 0x660e90… |
| 07-03 07:50:20 | (anonymous) 0x8c0d…9d95 | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x831fc3… |
| 07-03 07:50:20 | (anonymous) 0x728d…7ebb | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x831fc3… |
| 07-03 05:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x2b0b…bb6b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7d7e11… |
| 07-03 05:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x8c0d…9d95 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7d7e11… |
| 07-03 02:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x461e…4f0f | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xbc9372… |
| 07-03 02:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x8c0d…9d95 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xbc9372… |
| 07-02 14:41:26 | (anonymous) 0x8c0d…9d95 | No | BUY | 273 | 94¢ | $257 | 0x1d1aef… |
| 07-02 14:41:26 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1d1aef… |
| 07-02 14:41:26 | (anonymous) 0xc030…fc04 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x1d1aef… |
| 07-02 14:41:26 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x1d1aef… |
| 07-02 14:41:26 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1d1aef… |
| 07-02 14:41:26 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | SELL | 399 | 94¢ | $375 | 0x1d1aef… |
| 07-02 03:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x35dd…d372 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xa5ba9e… |