Realized P&L
+$245
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
74.5%
Resolved
1,514
Trades
53,663
lifetime
Volume
$25.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$9
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 09-18 09:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Other
50% 49% +$51
Sports
24% 58% +$110
Politics
22% 57% +$78
Tech
3% 56% +$6
Crypto
1% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 692 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +40 $3 6¢ $2 $0 09-14 19:01
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 09-14 03:50
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-17 06:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 09-18 02:09
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 07-31 08:16
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +20 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 09-14 13:35
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +14 $1 4¢ $1 $0 09-08 14:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-17 11:48
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +20 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-30 10:12
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 07-07 13:01
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +20 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-18 23:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +20 $0 1¢ $0 $0 09-16 21:23
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-16 18:07
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +40 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-25 12:21
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-13 21:16
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-24 14:39
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20 -$6 0¢ $0 +$6 09-16 23:57
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-22 14:51
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-23 17:44
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-13 00:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-18 08:55
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +19 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-17 19:59
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +14 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-10 16:06
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-15 19:05
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-30 18:59
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +0 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 07-08 08:35