Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$82,058
$294 in 24h
Trades
6,006
Unique wallets
1,071
Liquidity
$62,747
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-29 17:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.9¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $4.1K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $42.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 43 | $27 | $11.6K | $11.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 42 | $265 | $7.4K | $7.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 398 | $38 | $14.9K | $14.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 588 | $74 | $8.4K | $8.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 42 | $115 | $4.0K | $3.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 26 | $63 | $3.9K | $3.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 231 | $6 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| Median | 281 | $13 | $6.4K | $6.4K |
| Below median | 418 | $23 | $15.0K | $14.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $29 | $9.7K | $9.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $24 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $124 | $37 | +$87 |
| unranked | 28 | $6 | $401 | $395 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +10,650 | $19 | $19 | 259 | 09-16 12:22 |
| Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | +8,615 | $18 | $44 | 288 | 10-29 17:03 |
| Bitter-Hypochondria 0xfd66…fb6d | Yes | +3,036 | $14 | $14 | 36 | 08-08 21:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 09-29 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5f9…3ffa | Yes | +2,088 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-23 23:41 |
| Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | +2,000 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-24 08:00 |
| Well-Lit-Hyena 0xdbb4…afe9 | Yes | +1,670 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | +1,667 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | +1,585 | $2 | $8 | 4 | 10-24 11:32 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +1,184 | $1,177 | $1,177 | 4 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Virtuous-Credibility 0x0527…20b1 | Yes | +1,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 15:34 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +671 | $669 | $669 | 15 | 10-17 15:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +618 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 09-05 21:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-15 16:58 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +464 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 10:04 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +400 | $399 | $399 | 2 | 08-03 06:11 |
| Authorized-Apron 0xade3…3b44 | Yes | +333 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-28 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cc6…746c | Yes | +333 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +333 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd765…4b8c | Yes | +333 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 06:22 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +255 | $254 | $254 | 7 | 07-19 18:43 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +250 | $249 | $249 | 9 | 10-05 23:35 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +222 | $221 | $221 | 5 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 08-03 06:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +196 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 10-21 22:59 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +159 | $159 | $159 | 4 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +150 | $149 | $149 | 3 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +146 | $146 | $146 | 2 | 08-03 06:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x733f…4e20 | Yes | +124 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 13:25 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +106 | $106 | $106 | 8 | 10-21 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 09-22 07:11 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +79 | -$1 | $4 | 24 | 10-29 17:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | +75 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-22 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 07-19 18:44 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-14 23:04 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 07-06 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-25 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-17 15:31 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-19 18:44 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-25 12:21 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-14 23:59 |
| Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-25 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-30 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-02 06:07 |
| Blissful-Inspection 0xf2db…e14a | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-22 05:11 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-10 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-29 10:23 |
| Clueless-Arrest 0xb0d6…7475 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 23:04 |
| Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-23 10:22 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Sour-Pinafore 0xd562…6912 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-17 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x81ad…36a2 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-25 16:11 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +1 | -$1 | $2 | 3 | 10-06 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 20 | 07-30 00:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:03:40 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x7384a9… |
| 10-29 17:03:40 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7384a9… |
| 10-29 17:03:11 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3bf56… |
| 10-29 17:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xf3bf56… |
| 10-29 15:32:40 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bdba3… |
| 10-29 15:32:40 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6bdba3… |
| 10-29 15:31:37 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf75abd… |
| 10-29 15:31:37 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf75abd… |
| 10-29 14:34:43 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x89f28a… |
| 10-29 14:34:43 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89f28a… |
| 10-29 14:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xeda39c… |
| 10-29 14:34:22 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeda39c… |
| 10-29 14:17:17 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8922ec… |
| 10-29 14:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8922ec… |
| 10-29 14:16:35 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5786e… |
| 10-29 14:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd5786e… |
| 10-29 12:39:59 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa9ef1b… |
| 10-29 12:39:59 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9ef1b… |
| 10-29 12:39:43 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdc9eba… |
| 10-29 12:39:43 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc9eba… |
| 10-29 12:36:53 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9cead3… |
| 10-29 12:36:53 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9cead3… |
| 10-29 12:36:35 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x123d67… |
| 10-29 12:36:35 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x123d67… |
| 10-28 23:56:43 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12c867… |
| 10-28 23:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xaeb8…5d8c | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x12c867… |
| 10-28 23:33:22 | (anonymous) 0xaeb8…5d8c | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x4297ab… |
| 10-28 23:33:22 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4297ab… |
| 10-28 23:18:11 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4904d9… |
| 10-28 23:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x08fc…5488 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4904d9… |
| 10-28 23:17:58 | (anonymous) 0x08fc…5488 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xce060a… |
| 10-28 23:17:58 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce060a… |
| 10-28 23:13:08 | (anonymous) 0xaeb8…5d8c | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xfd9033… |
| 10-28 23:13:08 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd9033… |
| 10-28 22:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe85716… |
| 10-28 22:50:25 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe85716… |
| 10-28 22:49:44 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x8800de… |
| 10-28 22:49:44 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8800de… |
| 10-28 22:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x08fc…5488 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc9ef5b… |
| 10-28 22:05:55 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc9ef5b… |
| 10-28 22:05:32 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d9e5f… |
| 10-28 22:05:32 | (anonymous) 0x08fc…5488 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9d9e5f… |
| 10-28 21:25:05 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f5cca… |
| 10-28 21:25:05 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7f5cca… |
| 10-28 21:24:32 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8623fa… |
| 10-28 21:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x8623fa… |
| 10-28 19:45:44 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x450378… |
| 10-28 19:45:44 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x450378… |
| 10-28 19:45:11 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x88352f… |
| 10-28 19:45:11 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88352f… |
| 10-28 12:23:07 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xe05c22… |
| 10-28 12:23:07 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe05c22… |
| 10-28 12:22:16 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeca9c1… |
| 10-28 12:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xeca9c1… |
| 10-28 11:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…9755 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0a9bc0… |
| 10-28 11:09:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a9bc0… |
| 10-28 11:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…9755 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe95571… |
| 10-28 11:09:04 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe95571… |
| 10-28 09:14:59 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3b6118… |
| 10-28 09:14:59 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b6118… |
| 10-28 09:14:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b6118… |
| 10-28 09:14:05 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf42e6e… |
| 10-28 09:14:05 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf42e6e… |
| 10-28 07:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x186907… |
| 10-28 07:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x186907… |
| 10-28 07:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x186907… |
| 10-28 07:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x85e661… |
| 10-28 07:02:38 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85e661… |
| 10-28 06:46:13 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x2bbc91… |
| 10-28 06:46:13 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bbc91… |
| 10-28 06:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa61cb4… |
| 10-28 06:45:35 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa61cb4… |
| 10-28 06:28:17 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe769e2… |
| 10-28 06:28:17 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xe769e2… |
| 10-28 06:27:23 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xacbfd8… |
| 10-28 06:27:23 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xacbfd8… |
| 10-28 06:10:44 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38bbd3… |
| 10-28 06:10:44 | Harsh-Harpsichord 0x5d2d…f9c0 | No | SELL | 74 | 100¢ | $74 | 0x38bbd3… |
| 10-28 06:01:29 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23c62c… |
| 10-28 06:01:29 | Harsh-Harpsichord 0x5d2d…f9c0 | No | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x23c62c… |
| 10-28 05:44:26 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfeb36d… |
| 10-28 05:44:26 | Harsh-Harpsichord 0x5d2d…f9c0 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xfeb36d… |
| 10-28 05:20:22 | Harsh-Harpsichord 0x5d2d…f9c0 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb653ec… |
| 10-28 05:20:22 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb653ec… |
| 10-28 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x701825… |
| 10-28 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x701825… |
| 10-28 03:51:35 | (anonymous) 0xc9dd…09e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9bbc25… |
| 10-28 03:51:35 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bbc25… |
| 10-27 21:09:39 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 326 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac776e… |
| 10-27 21:09:39 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac776e… |
| 10-27 21:09:39 | (anonymous) 0xcba1…b4e2 | Yes | SELL | 338 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac776e… |
| 10-26 08:51:53 | Ornery-Soup 0xd4e7…db2b | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xc09485… |
| 10-26 08:51:53 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc09485… |
| 10-26 08:42:48 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf05fac… |
| 10-26 08:42:48 | Ornery-Soup 0xd4e7…db2b | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xf05fac… |
| 10-26 08:16:30 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79c8c5… |
| 10-26 08:16:30 | Ornery-Soup 0xd4e7…db2b | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x79c8c5… |
| 10-25 22:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda108c… |
| 10-25 22:02:54 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda108c… |
| 10-25 22:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda108c… |