Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$81,136
Trades
5,918
Unique wallets
1,064
Liquidity
$53,649
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-27 21:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.8¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $4.1K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $42.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 43 | $27 | $11.6K | $11.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 42 | $265 | $7.4K | $7.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 393 | $38 | $14.5K | $14.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 586 | $74 | $8.3K | $8.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 43 | $115 | $4.0K | $3.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 24 | $62 | $3.8K | $3.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 201 | $7 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Median | 309 | $13 | $6.4K | $6.4K |
| Below median | 412 | $23 | $14.2K | $14.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $29 | $10.0K | $10.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $24 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $124 | $37 | +$87 |
| unranked | 27 | $6 | $381 | $375 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +10,650 | $19 | $19 | 259 | 09-16 12:22 |
| Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | +8,154 | $18 | $44 | 266 | 10-27 21:09 |
| Bitter-Hypochondria 0xfd66…fb6d | Yes | +3,036 | $14 | $14 | 36 | 08-08 21:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 09-29 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5f9…3ffa | Yes | +2,088 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-23 23:41 |
| Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | +2,000 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-24 08:00 |
| Well-Lit-Hyena 0xdbb4…afe9 | Yes | +1,670 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | +1,667 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | +1,585 | $2 | $8 | 4 | 10-24 11:32 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +1,184 | $1,177 | $1,177 | 4 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Virtuous-Credibility 0x0527…20b1 | Yes | +1,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 15:34 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +671 | $669 | $669 | 15 | 10-17 15:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +618 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 09-05 21:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-15 16:58 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +464 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 10:04 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +400 | $399 | $399 | 2 | 08-03 06:11 |
| Authorized-Apron 0xade3…3b44 | Yes | +333 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-28 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cc6…746c | Yes | +333 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +333 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd765…4b8c | Yes | +333 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 06:22 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +326 | -$1 | $4 | 10 | 10-27 21:09 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +255 | $254 | $254 | 7 | 07-19 18:43 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +250 | $249 | $249 | 9 | 10-05 23:35 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +222 | $221 | $221 | 5 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 08-03 06:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +196 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 10-21 22:59 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +159 | $159 | $159 | 4 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +150 | $149 | $149 | 3 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +146 | $146 | $146 | 2 | 08-03 06:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x733f…4e20 | Yes | +124 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 13:25 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +106 | $106 | $106 | 8 | 10-21 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 09-22 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | +75 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-22 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 07-19 18:44 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-14 23:04 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 07-06 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-25 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-17 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | +34 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-25 22:02 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-19 18:44 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-25 12:21 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-14 23:59 |
| Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-25 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-30 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-02 06:07 |
| Blissful-Inspection 0xf2db…e14a | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-22 05:11 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-10 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-29 10:23 |
| Clueless-Arrest 0xb0d6…7475 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 23:04 |
| Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-23 10:22 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Sour-Pinafore 0xd562…6912 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-17 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x81ad…36a2 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-25 16:11 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +1 | -$1 | $2 | 3 | 10-06 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 20 | 07-30 00:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 21:09:39 | (anonymous) 0xcba1…b4e2 | Yes | SELL | 338 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac776e… |
| 10-27 21:09:39 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 326 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac776e… |
| 10-27 21:09:39 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac776e… |
| 10-26 08:51:53 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc09485… |
| 10-26 08:51:53 | Ornery-Soup 0xd4e7…db2b | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xc09485… |
| 10-26 08:42:48 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf05fac… |
| 10-26 08:42:48 | Ornery-Soup 0xd4e7…db2b | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xf05fac… |
| 10-26 08:16:30 | Ornery-Soup 0xd4e7…db2b | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x79c8c5… |
| 10-26 08:16:30 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79c8c5… |
| 10-25 22:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda108c… |
| 10-25 22:02:54 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda108c… |
| 10-25 22:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda108c… |
| 10-25 22:01:51 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e7816… |
| 10-25 22:01:51 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e7816… |
| 10-24 11:32:38 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdfafe7… |
| 10-24 11:32:38 | (anonymous) 0x0d02…4eb8 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xdfafe7… |
| 10-24 10:35:00 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18561f… |
| 10-24 10:35:00 | Burdensome-Problem 0x32dd…4f52 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x18561f… |
| 10-24 10:15:57 | Burdensome-Problem 0x32dd…4f52 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x060ac2… |
| 10-24 10:15:57 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x060ac2… |
| 10-23 23:41:59 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | SELL | 329 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd4794a… |
| 10-23 23:41:59 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | SELL | 905 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xd4794a… |
| 10-23 23:41:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4794a… |
| 10-23 23:41:59 | (anonymous) 0xc5f9…3ffa | Yes | BUY | 1,333 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xd4794a… |
| 10-23 10:22:20 | Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x1a8d30… |
| 10-23 10:22:20 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a8d30… |
| 10-23 01:58:24 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda26c3… |
| 10-23 01:58:24 | (anonymous) 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda26c3… |
| 10-22 08:27:54 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x323d29… |
| 10-22 08:27:54 | Excellent-Assist 0xe0a6…c07d | No | SELL | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x323d29… |
| 10-22 08:00:53 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdfbbe4… |
| 10-22 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xc664…bb8b | No | SELL | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xdfbbe4… |
| 10-22 07:59:38 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c79b1… |
| 10-22 07:59:38 | (anonymous) 0xc664…bb8b | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0c79b1… |
| 10-22 07:59:11 | (anonymous) 0xc664…bb8b | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x7b716f… |
| 10-22 07:59:11 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b716f… |
| 10-22 07:59:11 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b716f… |
| 10-22 05:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x757bc0… |
| 10-22 05:11:44 | Blissful-Inspection 0xf2db…e14a | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x757bc0… |
| 10-22 04:53:05 | Excellent-Assist 0xe0a6…c07d | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x5f64bc… |
| 10-22 04:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f64bc… |
| 10-22 04:28:26 | Excellent-Assist 0xe0a6…c07d | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x8e322e… |
| 10-22 04:28:26 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e322e… |
| 10-21 22:59:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdbfba8… |
| 10-21 22:59:47 | (anonymous) 0xc5f9…3ffa | Yes | BUY | 755 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xdbfba8… |
| 10-21 22:59:47 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | SELL | 490 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdbfba8… |
| 10-21 22:59:47 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdbfba8… |
| 10-21 20:19:51 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc211b1… |
| 10-21 20:19:51 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc211b1… |
| 10-21 20:19:41 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a94ee… |
| 10-21 20:19:41 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a94ee… |
| 10-21 17:41:42 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54483b… |
| 10-21 17:41:42 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54483b… |
| 10-21 17:40:12 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9e2ad… |
| 10-21 17:40:12 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9e2ad… |
| 10-21 17:40:02 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x509c2d… |
| 10-21 17:40:02 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x509c2d… |
| 10-21 17:35:30 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64b694… |
| 10-21 17:35:30 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64b694… |
| 10-21 16:50:21 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe78b73… |
| 10-21 16:50:21 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe78b73… |
| 10-21 16:45:53 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1079e1… |
| 10-21 16:45:53 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1079e1… |
| 10-21 16:39:50 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5bbfa6… |
| 10-21 16:39:50 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5bbfa6… |
| 10-21 16:30:36 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85e823… |
| 10-21 16:30:36 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85e823… |
| 10-21 16:20:44 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85811c… |
| 10-21 16:20:44 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85811c… |
| 10-21 16:15:41 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x246196… |
| 10-21 16:15:41 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x246196… |
| 10-21 16:07:38 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf60aea… |
| 10-21 16:07:38 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf60aea… |
| 10-21 16:07:26 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67a362… |
| 10-21 16:07:26 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67a362… |
| 10-21 15:37:06 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ba0a4… |
| 10-21 15:37:06 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ba0a4… |
| 10-21 15:29:57 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x704a59… |
| 10-21 15:29:57 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x704a59… |
| 10-21 15:22:06 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6573c9… |
| 10-21 15:22:06 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6573c9… |
| 10-21 15:11:48 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9f0671… |
| 10-21 15:11:48 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f0671… |
| 10-21 15:11:09 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8132a8… |
| 10-21 15:11:09 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8132a8… |
| 10-21 15:10:48 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x267f1d… |
| 10-21 15:10:48 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x267f1d… |
| 10-21 15:07:35 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe514b7… |
| 10-21 15:07:35 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe514b7… |
| 10-21 15:07:21 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd2122… |
| 10-21 15:07:21 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd2122… |
| 10-21 13:57:44 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x265bec… |
| 10-21 13:57:44 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x265bec… |
| 10-20 21:02:08 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51fcf5… |
| 10-20 21:02:08 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51fcf5… |
| 10-20 18:33:23 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc901… |
| 10-20 18:33:23 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc901… |
| 10-20 14:23:44 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d02cf… |
| 10-20 14:23:44 | (anonymous) 0x0d02…4eb8 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1d02cf… |
| 10-20 14:23:41 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7a86ec… |