Realized P&L
+$7.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.19K
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
56,738
lifetime
Volume
$18.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$334
Open exposure
$23.2K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 00:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
85% 75% +$7,869
Other
13% 100% +$113
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 1453 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6,138 $4,609 82¢ $5.1K +$454 06-11 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,000 $4,108 86¢ $4.3K +$217 06-10 11:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -8,256 $-4,969 36¢ $-3014 +$1,955 06-11 17:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,000 $1,680 90¢ $1.8K +$130 06-10 22:33
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1,637 $1,571 100¢ $1.6K +$64 06-06 08:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,200 $858 64¢ $1.4K +$539 05-28 14:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +8,135 $3,691 16¢ $1.3K $-2,349 06-30 00:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,077 $618 100¢ $1.1K +$454 06-07 21:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6,317 $-394 14¢ $853 +$1,247 06-08 20:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,071 $1,753 20¢ $794 $-959 06-13 08:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +665 $634 100¢ $664 +$30 06-14 12:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3,688 $689 18¢ $645 $-44 06-26 10:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +3,200 $180 10¢ $304 +$124 06-10 22:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +262 $169 100¢ $261 +$92 06-16 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -9,258 $-3,878 $-46 +$3,832 06-09 16:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -10,674 $-288 $-11 +$278 05-28 03:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,016 $-142 $-8 +$133 06-14 22:53
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -1,123 $3,003 $-4 $-3,008 06-23 06:45