Personal-Bake 0x12d6cc…2cf2a8
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$39.5K
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
55,188
lifetime
Volume
$17.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$318
Open exposure
$117.2K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 22:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
84% 75% +$7,869
Other
14% 100% +$113
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 1453 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +87,271 $55,000 68¢ $58.9K +$3,908 06-09 00:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +14,864 $12,118 84¢ $12.4K +$294 06-09 16:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9,934 $8,154 82¢ $8.2K +$42 06-09 18:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +23,446 $-7,351 32¢ $7.6K +$14,971 06-09 14:23
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +7,555 $3,422 100¢ $7.5K +$4,125 06-07 22:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +14,980 $4,034 29¢ $4.3K +$235 06-08 16:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -17,553 $-8,058 16¢ $-2896 +$5,162 06-09 14:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -8,273 $-4,973 30¢ $-2523 +$2,449 05-29 18:59
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1,637 $1,571 96¢ $1.6K $-5 06-06 08:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,170 $1,792 38¢ $1.6K $-229 05-31 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,200 $858 70¢ $1.5K +$671 05-28 14:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1,574 $1,401 90¢ $1.4K +$8 06-08 15:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +11,079 $1,440 12¢ $1.4K $-55 05-31 15:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6,317 $-394 18¢ $1.1K +$1,499 06-08 20:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -9,258 $-3,878 10¢ $-879 +$2,999 06-09 16:15
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,077 $618 76¢ $818 +$200 06-07 21:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $810 76¢ $765 $-45 05-28 14:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -3,422 $-1,758 20¢ $-702 +$1,057 05-28 19:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1,901 $2,189 24¢ $456 $-1,733 06-09 16:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -1,449 $-630 24¢ $-341 +$289 06-08 11:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +10,200 $224 2¢ $250 +$25 06-08 14:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -10,674 $-288 1¢ $-101 +$187 05-28 03:41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No -4,200 $-3,404 0¢ $-4 +$3,400 06-04 15:33