Realized P&L
+$7.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.57K
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
56,757
lifetime
Volume
$19.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$334
Open exposure
$17.0K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 10:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
85% 75% +$7,869
Other
14% 100% +$113
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 902 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,000 $4,108 74¢ $3.7K $-433 06-10 11:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6,138 $4,609 55¢ $3.3K $-1,264 06-11 17:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3,050 $1,640 98¢ $3.0K +$1,363 07-10 21:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +11,089 $4,044 24¢ $2.6K $-1,438 07-19 08:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3,688 $689 46¢ $1.7K +$989 06-26 10:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6,317 $-394 26¢ $1.7K +$2,068 06-08 20:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,071 $1,753 14¢ $550 $-1,203 06-13 08:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +3,200 $180 11¢ $336 +$156 06-10 22:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -8,273 $-5,463 $-128 +$5,334 07-10 21:40