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whale hot
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$16.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$72.1K
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved (7d)
57
Trades (7d)
2,525
86,955 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.20M
$32.4M lifetime
Avg / trade
$372
Open exposure
$734.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 02:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Politics
78% 77% +$388,506
Other
20% 80% +$66,595
Crypto
1% 64% +$3,152
Sports
0% 86% +$1,622
Tech
0% 83% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 1607 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +152,360 $117,375 100¢ $152.2K +$34,833 11-04 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +49,395 $41,615 96¢ $47.2K +$5,557 11-05 21:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +57,058 $39,670 78¢ $44.2K +$4,550 11-05 21:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -45,517 -$39,497 91¢ $-41216 -$1,718 11-06 02:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +37,305 $36,000 100¢ $37.2K +$1,175 11-05 22:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +31,458 $25,383 100¢ $31.4K +$6,043 11-03 12:32
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? Yes +28,577 $26,322 99¢ $28.4K +$2,083 11-05 22:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +43,637 $24,107 59¢ $25.7K +$1,574 11-04 17:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +27,628 $23,283 92¢ $25.3K +$1,997 11-02 22:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +21,208 $17,276 98¢ $20.9K +$3,593 11-05 22:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +25,750 $17,053 78¢ $20.2K +$3,161 11-05 11:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +43,637 $17,908 41¢ $18.0K +$49 11-05 09:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +25,512 $14,517 68¢ $17.5K +$2,959 11-05 22:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +19,952 $17,285 88¢ $17.5K +$173 11-05 17:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +31,531 $16,845 55¢ $17.2K +$339 11-05 21:06
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? Yes +29,013 $16,828 58¢ $17.0K +$144 11-05 16:54
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? No +22,697 $15,510 72¢ $16.2K +$719 11-05 16:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +21,531 $18,050 73¢ $15.7K -$2,386 09-17 12:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +41,409 $16,798 38¢ $15.5K -$1,270 11-05 22:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 5 Yes +15,258 $13,055 100¢ $15.2K +$2,142 11-05 18:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +31,733 $12,750 46¢ $14.4K +$1,688 11-05 12:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +12,891 $12,084 98¢ $12.7K +$582 10-31 22:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +54,318 $15,120 22¢ $12.2K -$2,899 11-04 14:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +18,967 $9,671 62¢ $11.9K +$2,183 11-04 20:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +12,399 $10,374 92¢ $11.3K +$971 11-03 08:44
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +12,390 $9,301 82¢ $10.2K +$920 11-03 21:07
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10,501 $9,947 97¢ $10.2K +$213 11-05 05:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +10,016 $8,441 100¢ $10.0K +$1,539 11-05 22:52
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes +9,723 $8,962 96¢ $9.3K +$323 11-05 22:55
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? No +21,657 $8,085 42¢ $9.0K +$903 11-05 20:47