Personal-Bake 0x12d6cc…2cf2a8 Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
3Unusual bets: 3 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$112.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$48.5K
Hit rate
81.2%
Resolved (90d)
193
Trades (90d)
24,387
88,233 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$12.0M
$32.8M lifetime
Avg / trade
$372
Open exposure
$1.25M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 20:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Politics
76% 77% +$412,058
Other
22% 79% +$67,905
Crypto
1% 64% +$3,152
Sports
0% 86% +$1,622
Tech
0% 83% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 1607 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +187,185 $186,668 100¢ $186.5K -$138 11-13 19:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +186,939 $185,775 99¢ $185.8K +$43 11-13 19:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +143,760 $137,193 98¢ $140.2K +$2,973 11-13 16:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +149,369 $137,482 90¢ $135.0K -$2,526 11-13 18:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +95,020 $70,497 95¢ $90.6K +$20,057 11-13 20:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -53,081 -$46,577 94¢ $-49684 -$3,107 11-08 03:04
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +47,904 $44,191 99¢ $47.2K +$3,019 11-13 17:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +51,191 $34,848 88¢ $45.3K +$10,456 11-13 19:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +45,976 $28,992 84¢ $38.8K +$9,858 11-12 22:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +46,820 $22,498 72¢ $33.9K +$11,446 11-13 16:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +43,637 $24,008 76¢ $33.1K +$9,135 11-09 21:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +97,204 $53,037 34¢ $32.6K -$20,474 11-13 18:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +27,628 $23,283 96¢ $26.4K +$3,102 11-02 22:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +38,596 $15,833 66¢ $25.7K +$9,833 11-07 00:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +24,177 $16,221 92¢ $22.4K +$6,142 11-12 21:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13? Yes +22,236 $21,482 100¢ $22.2K +$697 11-13 13:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +17,114 $15,302 88¢ $15.0K -$327 11-13 18:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +119,563 $11,432 12¢ $14.9K +$3,514 11-13 18:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +55,346 $21,284 24¢ $13.3K -$7,973 11-13 12:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14,420 $11,087 92¢ $13.2K +$2,108 11-12 22:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +12,399 $10,374 94¢ $11.6K +$1,219 11-03 08:44
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +12,390 $9,301 92¢ $11.3K +$2,035 11-09 21:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +19,455 $1,666 55¢ $10.7K +$9,035 09-17 01:24
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +21,531 $18,050 46¢ $9.9K -$8,189 09-17 12:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +57,497 $20,169 16¢ $8.9K -$11,257 11-13 20:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6,165 -$5,112 97¢ $-6008 -$896 09-16 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6,307 $1,610 94¢ $6.0K +$4,350 11-09 20:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? Yes +4,800 $4,406 94¢ $4.5K +$113 11-12 19:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +15,423 $7,521 28¢ $4.2K -$3,280 11-09 13:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +36,395 $6,603 12¢ $4.2K -$2,418 11-12 20:27