Personal-Bake 0x12d6cc…2cf2a8 Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
3Unusual bets: 3 positions →
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$69.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$26.8K
Hit rate
76.1%
Resolved (30d)
109
Trades (30d)
13,018
88,796 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.96M
$33.7M lifetime
Avg / trade
$379
Open exposure
$583.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 10:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Politics
78% 77% +$412,058
Other
20% 80% +$67,099
Crypto
1% 64% +$3,152
Sports
0% 86% +$1,622
Tech
0% 83% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 1607 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +77,751 $55,266 96¢ $74.9K +$19,647 11-10 14:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +55,096 $50,957 96¢ $53.2K +$2,211 11-10 19:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -53,081 -$46,577 94¢ $-49684 -$3,107 11-08 03:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +43,266 $28,372 90¢ $38.7K +$10,351 11-11 17:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +40,530 $24,670 86¢ $34.7K +$9,984 11-11 22:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +43,637 $24,008 67¢ $29.0K +$5,033 11-09 21:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +88,852 $50,218 32¢ $28.0K -$22,230 11-12 11:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +30,820 $29,104 90¢ $27.8K -$1,351 11-11 11:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +38,596 $15,833 68¢ $26.4K +$10,605 11-07 00:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +27,628 $23,283 96¢ $26.4K +$3,102 11-02 22:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +32,487 $12,100 76¢ $24.7K +$12,590 11-11 11:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +22,631 $22,528 100¢ $22.6K +$24 11-10 15:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +20,750 $13,103 90¢ $18.8K +$5,676 11-06 10:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +44,077 $18,055 33¢ $14.7K -$3,311 11-11 17:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,185 $14,134 100¢ $14.1K +$15 11-10 19:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +12,399 $10,374 94¢ $11.6K +$1,219 11-03 08:44
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +19,455 $1,666 57¢ $11.1K +$9,424 09-17 01:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +12,390 $9,301 89¢ $11.0K +$1,726 11-09 21:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +10,639 $8,897 86¢ $9.2K +$306 11-10 20:31
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +21,531 $18,050 43¢ $9.2K -$8,889 09-17 12:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +52,751 $19,487 15¢ $7.6K -$11,839 11-11 17:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7,200 $4,597 92¢ $6.7K +$2,063 11-10 21:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6,165 -$5,112 97¢ $-5996 -$884 09-16 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6,307 $1,610 92¢ $5.8K +$4,224 11-09 20:14
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027? Yes +6,077 $4,908 84¢ $5.1K +$196 11-12 11:06
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +4,125 $4,034 98¢ $4.0K -$4 11-04 22:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +15,423 $7,521 24¢ $3.7K -$3,820 11-09 13:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +29,018 $5,463 11¢ $3.0K -$2,416 11-10 20:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,861 $2,161 79¢ $3.0K +$878 10-27 17:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +76,771 $17,448 4¢ $2.8K -$14,645 11-10 16:46