Authorized-Apron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

Trades

888

lifetime

Volume

$6.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-08 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 17% $-8

Politics

33% 17% $-15

Other

30% 0% $-5

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	+182	$5	2¢	$4	$-0	06-07 20:05
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	+49	$3	5¢	$2	$-1	06-07 20:05
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+65	$5	3¢	$2	$-3	06-07 20:05
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	+20	$1	4¢	$1	$-0	06-02 22:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 8	6	$339	975	906	+69	open	—	04-07 23:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	27	$323	9,332	246	+9,086	open	—	04-22 00:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	14	$278	482	470	+12	open	—	04-09 23:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$234	396	385	+11	open	—	04-10 15:48
bitcoin above 66k on march 28	6	$214	489	487	+2	open	—	03-27 11:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$207	325	325	+0	open	—	04-07 22:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	10	$187	2,664	2,509	+155	open	—	04-07 22:37
will ilhan omar resign by march 31	30	$174	2,477	2,415	+62	open	—	02-13 19:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	9	$169	565	554	+11	open	—	04-07 21:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	4	$152	273	265	+8	open	—	04-23 00:50
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	12	$126	1,042	742	+299	open	—	01-24 03:26
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	12	$124	3,846	95	+3,751	open	—	02-08 17:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	8	$110	224	220	+4	open	—	04-07 21:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 8	32	$97	4,750	1,323	+3,427	open	—	04-08 10:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$92	117	116	+1	open	—	04-09 13:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 00:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$87	332	320	+12	open	—	04-23 00:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$86	239	182	+57	open	—	01-29 18:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	10	$86	2,570	1,197	+1,373	open	—	05-15 00:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$85	268	268	+0	open	—	02-03 14:58
bitcoin above 66k on march 29	4	$84	148	147	+1	open	—	03-27 11:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 29	3	$83	96	95	+1	open	—	03-28 16:52
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$82	73	73	+0	open	—	03-14 13:28
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	26	$80	264	264	+0	open	—	05-29 15:28
iran closes its airspace by june 8	5	$80	1,592	0	+1,592	open	—	06-07 22:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	9	$75	137	137	+0	open	—	02-06 19:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$72	331	331	+0	open	—	05-13 13:44
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	9	$70	189	189	+0	open	—	02-06 03:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$66	412	412	+0	open	—	01-26 01:47
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$66	156	156	+0	open	—	03-24 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 01:29:58	ethereum above 1400 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	160	5¢	$8	0x555bd0…
06-08 01:19:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x567db0…
06-07 22:44:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	485	5¢	$26	0xa29e88…
06-07 22:39:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0xbd2887…
06-07 22:38:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	127	7¢	$8	0xeb93b4…
06-07 22:38:42	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$3	0x731bb7…
06-07 22:38:15	trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by june 30	Yes	SELL	260	1¢	$4	0x512a40…
06-07 22:37:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	416	4¢	$18	0x5fb2d7…
06-07 22:36:43	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	447	3¢	$15	0x03d9f4…
06-07 22:33:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	518	5¢	$25	0x4c0599…
06-07 20:05:58	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x7a265d…
06-07 20:05:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xa98dec…
06-07 20:05:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x8374b6…
06-07 20:05:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xa319ff…
06-07 14:01:30	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	66	6¢	$4	0x1f725a…
06-07 13:59:54	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xc5653e…
06-04 19:24:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$2	0xec322f…
06-04 16:34:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x822a5d…
06-04 15:46:19	solana above 70 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xd1c9b5…
06-04 12:33:10	solana above 70 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xcebec4…
06-04 12:29:13	solana above 70 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x673e67…
06-04 10:26:55	solana above 70 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x308808…
06-04 03:18:54	solana above 60 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0xd98e60…
06-04 03:18:07	solana above 70 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x938e32…
06-03 14:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x76d420…
06-03 14:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x89d413…
06-03 14:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x15ee2e…
06-03 14:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18117d…
06-03 14:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x5f89fa…
06-03 14:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x785c77…
06-03 14:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7da9ef…
06-03 14:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd81e81…
06-03 14:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x661fec…
06-03 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x74243c…
06-03 14:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x913310…
06-03 14:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd0134a…
06-03 14:35:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xcf13d3…
06-03 13:57:16	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xe81236…
06-03 13:45:01	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0x32d0f3…
06-03 01:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x20b028…
06-03 01:04:13	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xb3c8eb…
06-03 00:23:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x1bb7d8…
06-03 00:22:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x6b2d95…
06-03 00:12:32	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	141	0¢	$0	0xb3f1e4…
06-02 22:23:37	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1a3d21…
06-02 22:19:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xb07736…
06-02 22:18:06	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x1c79bd…
06-02 21:42:42	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xac7856…
06-02 21:32:24	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe9fd9e…
06-02 21:10:14	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4e2688…
06-02 20:51:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xe4320f…
06-02 20:12:59	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x3e9763…
06-02 19:51:48	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x87cef4…
06-02 19:50:31	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd18f05…
06-02 19:23:03	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf81ced…
06-02 18:53:42	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	69	0¢	$0	0x721118…
06-02 18:52:45	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2f1c0f…
06-02 18:51:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 3?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xcb144c…
06-02 18:17:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xeb4b52…
06-02 18:13:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,495	1¢	$10	0xc42708…
06-02 17:15:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1dd436…
06-02 17:13:01	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1e1502…
06-02 17:11:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9e8cd7…
06-02 17:10:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1b861a…
06-02 16:44:07	solana above 60 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0xde2762…
06-02 16:01:27	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc38806…
06-02 15:56:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 4?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x43b01c…
06-02 15:56:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	233	0¢	$1	0x2cd7d2…
06-02 15:55:51	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2?	No	BUY	172	1¢	$1	0x4c9b35…
06-02 15:55:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9399a…
06-02 15:55:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd08edf…
06-02 15:53:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xae85ca…
06-02 15:53:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 3?	No	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x59037a…
06-02 14:50:10	solana above 60 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0fa26…
06-02 14:50:10	solana above 60 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7b10fd…
06-02 14:48:53	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?	No	BUY	401	0¢	$2	0x40d718…
06-02 14:48:07	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3?	No	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0xa712ae…
06-02 14:48:00	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 3?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x98951d…
06-02 14:44:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x82d3d5…
06-02 14:26:18	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9f69c4…
06-02 14:24:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	95	45¢	$43	0xc88d7b…
06-01 18:48:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,990	0¢	$3	0x443bf5…
06-01 18:47:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xc55453…
06-01 17:03:00	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x7f3ae6…
06-01 17:02:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4b6aa3…
06-01 17:01:06	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x514e31…
06-01 17:00:17	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	111	7¢	$7	0x434da4…
06-01 17:00:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x7344a5…
06-01 16:09:38	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x103ef4…
06-01 16:08:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x70ab23…
06-01 16:03:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xdbed6b…
06-01 15:03:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x94ec34…
06-01 13:40:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$10	0x46c92f…
06-01 13:39:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	154	1¢	$2	0x4782ba…
05-31 21:45:28	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5d2f5c…
05-31 21:41:25	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	Yes	BUY	28	31¢	$8	0x5a7831…
05-31 18:08:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	159	3¢	$5	0x0c90f7…
05-29 21:50:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	168	3¢	$5	0xbdd3cf…
05-29 15:51:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xadb32c…
05-29 15:50:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x12ad31…