Realized P&L
-$1.17K
Unrealized P&L
-$100
Hit rate
34.0%
Resolved
489
Trades
1,461
lifetime
Volume
$8.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$125
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-10 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
33% 15% -$231
Politics
32% 21% -$299
Crypto
30% 13% -$626
Sports
5% 13% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +517 $34 6¢ $28 -$6 09-28 16:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +162 $25 11¢ $17 -$8 09-28 16:08
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +200 $12 8¢ $17 +$5 09-28 15:53
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +60 $10 15¢ $9 -$1 09-20 21:53
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 9¢ $9 -$1 09-28 15:55
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +344 $5 2¢ $8 +$3 09-28 16:12
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,850 $13 0¢ $6 -$8 09-28 16:10
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +976 $11 0¢ $5 -$6 09-28 16:12
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +617 $7 1¢ $3 -$4 07-17 01:08
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +961 $6 0¢ $3 -$2 09-28 16:11
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +500 $25 1¢ $3 -$22 09-20 21:48
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +999 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 09-28 16:11
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +41 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 09-28 20:21
will wti reach 140 in october 2026 Yes +600 $20 0¢ $2 -$19 09-28 16:04
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-28 16:10
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-28 16:10
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +828 $1 0¢ $1 +$1 09-28 16:10
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +369 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 07-17 01:07
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +500 $2 0¢ $1 -$2 09-28 16:10
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-28 16:11
will wti reach 150 in october 2026 Yes +417 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 09-28 16:03
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +368 $9 0¢ $1 -$8 09-28 15:54
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 -$1 06-28 00:30
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-28 00:30
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +333 $1 0¢ $0 $0 05-22 23:41
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +299 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-22 23:41
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +177 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-22 23:40
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +60 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-29 15:36