Realized P&L (90d)
-$88
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
22.7%
Resolved (90d)
11
Trades (90d)
50
1,466 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$282
$8.57K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$83
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-04 01:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
33% 14% -$281
Politics
32% 21% -$332
Crypto
30% 13% -$626
Sports
5% 13% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 22¢ $22 +$12 09-28 15:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +162 $25 8¢ $12 -$13 09-28 16:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +517 $34 2¢ $11 -$23 09-28 16:08
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,850 $13 1¢ $11 -$2 09-28 16:10
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +344 $5 2¢ $7 +$2 09-28 16:12
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +200 $12 2¢ $5 -$7 09-28 15:53
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +60 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 09-20 21:53
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +976 $11 0¢ $2 -$8 09-28 16:12
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +999 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 09-28 16:11
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +961 $6 0¢ $1 -$4 09-28 16:11
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +617 $7 0¢ $1 -$6 07-17 01:08
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +41 $3 2¢ $1 -$3 09-28 20:21
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $1 -$2 09-28 16:10
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +369 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 07-17 01:07
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 -$1 06-28 00:30
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-28 00:30
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $0 $0 05-22 23:41
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 09-20 21:57
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +60 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-29 15:36