Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$496,635
$1,782 in 24h
Trades
4,159
Unique wallets
540
Liquidity
$69,274
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-04-29
last 11-05 17:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.7¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $7.7K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $250.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 65 | $193 | $169.5K | $169.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 37 | $3.9K | $39.4K | $35.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 162 | $224 | $33.9K | $33.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 276 | $188 | $3.5K | $3.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 58 | $348 | $7.4K | $7.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 25 | $232 | $1.9K | $1.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $19 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Median | 189 | $13 | $55.4K | $55.4K |
| Below median | 196 | $116 | $126.1K | $126.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 28 | $3.7K | $52.2K | $48.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $98 | $38 | +$60 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 19 | $49 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| unranked | 3 | — | $223 | $223 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | +7,511 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 08-07 02:00 |
| Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | +5,772 | $43 | $46 | 47 | 11-05 17:16 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +5,203 | $17 | $17 | 86 | 10-23 01:58 |
| Valuable-Caboose-Breadfruit 0x9b61…606f | Yes | +3,846 | $31 | $40 | 25 | 09-28 16:52 |
| Threadbare-Pumpernickel 0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | +3,580 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 08-07 12:59 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +2,086 | $2,049 | $2,049 | 13 | 11-04 17:42 |
| Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | +1,760 | $2 | $53 | 165 | 11-04 14:01 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | +1,450 | $17 | $17 | 50 | 08-02 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +1,346 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-14 10:24 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +1,279 | $4 | $7 | 7 | 07-22 08:42 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +1,189 | $17 | $67 | 61 | 09-09 18:48 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +1,058 | -$2 | $49 | 7 | 08-07 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | +1,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 21:44 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +974 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 08-14 22:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x18b8…1a4c | Yes | +921 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 07-06 04:26 |
| Lawful-Serial 0xf058…e173 | Yes | +903 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 08-04 23:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +707 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 10-26 08:05 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +671 | $667 | $667 | 15 | 10-17 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | +628 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-08 20:20 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +618 | $6 | $10 | 11 | 10-27 14:15 |
| Authorized-Apron 0xade3…3b44 | Yes | +617 | $7 | $16 | 6 | 07-17 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e2e…a7b3 | Yes | +556 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +552 | $548 | $548 | 9 | 11-04 19:26 |
| Virtuous-Credibility 0x0527…20b1 | Yes | +500 | $4 | $4 | 16 | 07-09 16:08 |
| Giddy-Candy-Skylight 0x33ae…b13e | Yes | +500 | $1 | $10 | 6 | 07-19 06:43 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +500 | $497 | $497 | 3 | 08-03 06:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7841…7db6 | Yes | +496 | $11 | $11 | 7 | 05-05 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x530d…1a75 | Yes | +408 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-17 09:43 |
| Chilly-Scooter 0x133d…69ff | Yes | +356 | $10 | $14 | 11 | 08-09 03:17 |
| Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | +350 | $4 | $21 | 32 | 11-03 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd765…4b8c | Yes | +315 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 00:57 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +255 | $251 | $251 | 5 | 08-10 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | +253 | $1 | $1 | 16 | 11-04 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +228 | $0 | $87 | 374 | 11-04 06:22 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +227 | $226 | $226 | 6 | 10-21 15:11 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +227 | $225 | $225 | 6 | 08-02 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +215 | $214 | $214 | 6 | 11-04 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x44b4…05ca | Yes | +213 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-28 22:30 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 08-03 06:11 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +159 | $154 | $154 | 4 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +153 | $152 | $152 | 8 | 11-04 10:06 |
| Messy-Goggles 0xa040…b13b | No | +151 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 08-29 11:13 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +150 | $147 | $147 | 3 | 08-10 19:36 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +124 | $122 | $2,721 | 44 | 09-02 20:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe531…1808 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-30 00:52 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +90 | $86 | $86 | 6 | 07-19 18:43 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 07-10 01:06 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +64 | $63 | $63 | 5 | 11-04 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +63 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 11-04 10:06 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 11-04 18:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +48 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 07-06 21:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 17:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x95e8…80cc | Yes | SELL | 230 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d42ed… |
| 11-05 17:16:04 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 230 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d42ed… |
| 11-05 09:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca8984… |
| 11-05 09:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xa169…1b73 | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xca8984… |
| 11-05 04:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x49a730… |
| 11-05 04:06:19 | Remorseful-Sweat 0x7a2f…9845 | No | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x49a730… |
| 11-05 03:35:49 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3124bb… |
| 11-05 03:35:49 | Remorseful-Sweat 0x7a2f…9845 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x3124bb… |
| 11-05 03:26:33 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe22566… |
| 11-05 03:26:33 | Remorseful-Sweat 0x7a2f…9845 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xe22566… |
| 11-04 19:26:06 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x175e25… |
| 11-04 19:26:06 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73bd63… |
| 11-04 19:26:06 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x175e25… |
| 11-04 19:26:06 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x73bd63… |
| 11-04 18:31:21 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf45016… |
| 11-04 18:31:21 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a2cb3… |
| 11-04 18:31:21 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf45016… |
| 11-04 18:31:21 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x0a2cb3… |
| 11-04 17:42:24 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0xae646f… |
| 11-04 17:42:24 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9349ef… |
| 11-04 17:42:24 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x9349ef… |
| 11-04 17:42:24 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 75 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae646f… |
| 11-04 16:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 766 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x62bbc4… |
| 11-04 16:46:04 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 766 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x62bbc4… |
| 11-04 15:34:10 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x256525… |
| 11-04 15:34:10 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x256525… |
| 11-04 14:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xe065e8… |
| 11-04 14:14:33 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf8b8bb… |
| 11-04 14:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $299 | 0xf8b8bb… |
| 11-04 14:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x591d71… |
| 11-04 14:14:33 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x591d71… |
| 11-04 14:14:33 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 70 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe065e8… |
| 11-04 14:14:03 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x0b66c0… |
| 11-04 14:14:03 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x456853… |
| 11-04 14:14:03 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b66c0… |
| 11-04 14:14:03 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x456853… |
| 11-04 14:14:03 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x456853… |
| 11-04 14:14:03 | (anonymous) 0x57be…e140 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x456853… |
| 11-04 14:01:52 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e3c4e… |
| 11-04 14:01:52 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e3c4e… |
| 11-04 13:40:15 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbbd3ac… |
| 11-04 13:40:15 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x522b5b… |
| 11-04 13:40:15 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x23b883… |
| 11-04 13:40:15 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb0172… |
| 11-04 13:40:15 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbbd3ac… |
| 11-04 13:40:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x522b5b… |
| 11-04 13:40:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xeb0172… |
| 11-04 13:40:15 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23b883… |
| 11-04 10:06:25 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xda8e8b… |
| 11-04 10:06:25 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda8e8b… |
| 11-04 10:06:25 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa0fdc0… |
| 11-04 10:06:25 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x1fbaa8… |
| 11-04 10:06:25 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fbaa8… |
| 11-04 10:06:25 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xa0fdc0… |
| 11-04 10:06:25 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda8e8b… |
| 11-04 06:25:55 | Violent-Cascade 0x843c…cdd6 | No | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xf1c04f… |
| 11-04 06:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1c04f… |
| 11-04 06:22:10 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98ac74… |
| 11-04 06:22:10 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x98ac74… |
| 11-04 05:32:33 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1faf02… |
| 11-04 05:32:33 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1faf02… |
| 11-04 05:32:33 | Violent-Cascade 0x843c…cdd6 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x1faf02… |
| 11-04 04:13:01 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x665c23… |
| 11-04 04:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x665c23… |
| 11-04 04:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x52afb4… |
| 11-04 04:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52afb4… |
| 11-04 04:07:45 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52afb4… |
| 11-04 04:07:15 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ec3eb… |
| 11-04 04:07:15 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4ec3eb… |
| 11-04 04:07:00 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9ba290… |
| 11-04 04:07:00 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9ba290… |
| 11-04 04:03:01 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe19f98… |
| 11-04 04:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xe19f98… |
| 11-04 03:09:57 | (anonymous) 0xa169…1b73 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xb35679… |
| 11-04 03:09:57 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb35679… |
| 11-04 03:09:57 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb35679… |
| 11-03 22:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x57be…e140 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91cd80… |
| 11-03 22:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x9204…5c05 | Yes | SELL | 1,010 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x91cd80… |
| 11-03 22:04:46 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91cd80… |
| 11-03 22:04:46 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | BUY | 350 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x91cd80… |
| 11-03 22:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 81 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91cd80… |
| 11-03 22:04:46 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x91cd80… |
| 11-03 22:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91cd80… |
| 11-02 21:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x95e8…80cc | Yes | BUY | 230 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x196dd4… |
| 11-02 21:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x196dd4… |
| 11-02 21:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x196dd4… |
| 11-02 21:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x196dd4… |
| 11-01 17:45:21 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4c0824… |
| 11-01 17:45:21 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x4c0824… |
| 11-01 17:45:21 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4c0824… |
| 10-31 08:50:57 | Intent-Trunk 0x24d8…5403 | No | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x085480… |
| 10-31 08:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x085480… |
| 10-28 22:30:05 | Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b | Yes | SELL | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33698e… |
| 10-28 22:30:05 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x33698e… |
| 10-28 22:30:05 | Proud-Infusion 0x7d24…a93f | Yes | SELL | 68 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x33698e… |
| 10-28 22:30:05 | (anonymous) 0x44b4…05ca | Yes | BUY | 213 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x33698e… |
| 10-27 14:15:45 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | SELL | 131 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x06b259… |
| 10-27 14:15:45 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x06b259… |
| 10-26 08:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf08b85… |
| 10-26 08:05:35 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf08b85… |