Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$523
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
63
Trades
83,295
lifetime
Volume
$467.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$7.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-22 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
53% 57% +$59
Other
37% 41% $-73
Tech
6%
Crypto
2% 33% $-8
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1619 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +977 $738 78¢ $758 +$19 07-20 12:06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +802 $346 80¢ $646 +$300 07-17 20:16
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +727 $530 68¢ $490 $-39 07-22 04:48
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +566 $269 64¢ $362 +$94 07-20 23:17
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes +406 $192 88¢ $357 +$165 07-21 15:45
Discord IPO before 2027? No +418 $226 68¢ $283 +$57 07-21 14:17
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +317 $209 82¢ $260 +$51 07-08 05:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,072 $245 22¢ $241 $-4 07-21 16:41
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +359 $206 67¢ $241 +$35 07-21 03:40
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +718 $190 32¢ $233 +$44 07-21 06:27
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +263 $190 80¢ $209 +$19 07-04 10:32
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +257 $187 81¢ $208 +$22 07-19 02:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +382 $226 54¢ $205 $-22 07-19 08:21
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +269 $187 74¢ $200 +$13 07-17 12:47
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +546 $283 36¢ $197 $-86 07-17 16:43
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +210 $179 92¢ $194 +$15 07-14 12:31
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +261 $142 73¢ $190 +$48 07-20 18:42
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +263 $135 70¢ $186 +$51 07-16 13:00
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +216 $160 85¢ $184 +$24 07-20 07:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +382 $155 46¢ $178 +$23 07-19 08:17
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +227 $164 76¢ $174 +$10 07-18 23:36
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +834 $468 20¢ $163 $-305 07-12 12:24
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +179 $138 90¢ $161 +$23 07-16 16:20
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +173 $138 92¢ $159 +$21 06-19 14:33
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +190 $135 78¢ $148 +$14 07-19 04:15
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +416 $186 32¢ $135 $-51 07-22 02:42
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +395 $167 33¢ $130 $-36 07-15 03:03
WHOOP IPO before 2027? No +137 $111 82¢ $113 +$2 07-11 15:36
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +150 $90 74¢ $112 +$22 07-14 00:46
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +221 $115 50¢ $111 $-4 06-24 08:36