Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc276…918c9a
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$4.78K
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
63
Trades
79,705
lifetime
Volume
$443.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$16.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-01 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
53% 57% +$59
Other
38% 41% $-73
Tech
5% — —
Crypto
2% 33% $-8
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2975 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +4,807 $2,581 100¢ $4.8K +$2,217 06-19 13:00
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +2,492 $1,157 100¢ $2.5K +$1,332 06-29 17:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1,185 $999 100¢ $1.2K +$183 06-11 21:17
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +921 $533 100¢ $918 +$386 06-29 13:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +791 $591 90¢ $716 +$125 06-28 17:34
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +588 $417 100¢ $586 +$169 06-29 21:50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +769 $320 74¢ $573 +$253 06-28 16:44
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +491 $445 100¢ $489 +$44 06-29 21:50
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +536 $403 78¢ $415 +$12 06-23 23:37
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +384 $313 99¢ $378 +$65 06-26 18:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +345 $292 100¢ $344 +$52 06-17 07:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +301 $204 99¢ $299 +$94 06-26 04:27
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +302 $276 93¢ $282 +$6 07-01 02:43
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +235 $205 96¢ $225 +$20 06-30 02:15
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +801 $460 26¢ $204 $-256 06-28 00:20
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +199 $169 92¢ $184 +$15 06-20 08:48
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +325 $143 55¢ $179 +$35 06-28 04:15
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +178 $159 99¢ $177 +$18 06-30 04:30
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +285 $185 60¢ $172 $-12 06-25 20:04
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +236 $170 72¢ $171 +$1 06-29 02:41
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +170 $147 99¢ $169 +$22 06-15 16:06
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +282 $158 57¢ $162 +$5 06-30 22:49
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +196 $142 80¢ $156 +$13 06-29 18:27
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +173 $138 82¢ $143 +$5 06-19 14:33
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +310 $169 45¢ $140 $-30 06-28 17:12
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +316 $136 43¢ $134 $-2 06-30 23:13
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +527 $125 22¢ $119 $-6 06-24 20:01
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +221 $115 51¢ $113 $-3 06-24 08:36
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +146 $101 76¢ $110 +$9 06-30 23:13
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +221 $101 49¢ $108 +$7 06-24 02:26