Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,201
$5 in 24h
Trades
522
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$1,570
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-09 15:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-22.0¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $54
vs crowd: 23% YES on $4.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $300 | $534 | $234 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 29 | $400 | $1.6K | $1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $49 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $269 | $129 | +$140 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | $53 | $53 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $63 | $239 | $175 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $35 | $90 | $55 |
| Median | 13 | $213 | $275 | $62 |
| Below median | 10 | $171 | $183 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $15 | $162 | $147 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $273 | $371 | $98 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $198 | $338 | $140 |
| unranked | 19 | $49 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +256 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-31 15:38 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +240 | $54 | $54 | 8 | 06-19 13:07 |
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | +198 | $34 | $34 | 10 | 06-28 03:03 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +178 | $48 | $48 | 8 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +173 | $138 | $138 | 9 | 06-19 14:33 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +171 | $159 | $257 | 6 | 07-28 23:05 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +167 | $23 | $44 | 6 | 08-04 04:48 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +150 | $17 | $63 | 5 | 07-29 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +150 | $136 | $228 | 2 | 07-18 19:25 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +145 | $121 | $121 | 6 | 06-28 03:03 |
| Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | +118 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-28 04:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +112 | $14 | $14 | 8 | 08-04 04:48 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 07-28 23:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +78 | $68 | $68 | 5 | 07-23 05:40 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $13 | $44 | 18 | 07-23 16:22 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-20 01:06 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-17 20:02 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +41 | $4 | $15 | 6 | 08-05 16:58 |
| Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-31 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +25 | $21 | $33 | 5 | 06-12 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Junior-Mister 0x69ac…7b99 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-19 13:20 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +10 | $0 | $70 | 11 | 06-25 12:55 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc796…3e82 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 00:31 |
| Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-14 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9204…26f7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdf7…973d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 00:33 |
| Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 21:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 15:32:04 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x10512d… |
| 08-09 15:32:04 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x10512d… |
| 08-09 06:03:18 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd5d860… |
| 08-09 06:03:18 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xd5d860… |
| 08-09 06:03:18 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd5d860… |
| 08-08 07:20:06 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x981e76… |
| 08-08 07:20:06 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x981e76… |
| 08-08 07:20:06 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x981e76… |
| 08-07 13:47:42 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc331a7… |
| 08-07 13:47:42 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc331a7… |
| 08-05 17:25:57 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9aca0e… |
| 08-05 17:25:57 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9aca0e… |
| 08-05 17:01:30 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x266029… |
| 08-05 17:01:30 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x266029… |
| 08-05 17:01:30 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x266029… |
| 08-05 16:58:03 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1e13c7… |
| 08-05 16:58:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1e13c7… |
| 08-05 16:58:03 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1e13c7… |
| 08-04 10:20:38 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x8b0e57… |
| 08-04 10:20:38 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x8b0e57… |
| 08-04 04:48:27 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x107f89… |
| 08-04 04:48:27 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x107f89… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 10¢ | $12 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 47 | 90¢ | $42 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 08-04 04:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | SELL | 367 | 10¢ | $37 | 0x3a6ac3… |
| 07-29 17:29:24 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x27a40c… |
| 07-29 17:29:24 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x27a40c… |
| 07-29 17:21:17 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xf61e06… |
| 07-29 17:21:17 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xf61e06… |
| 07-28 23:05:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 47 | 89¢ | $42 | 0xc06711… |
| 07-28 23:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 67 | 89¢ | $60 | 0xc06711… |
| 07-28 23:05:46 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc06711… |
| 07-28 23:05:41 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xd354f6… |
| 07-28 23:05:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 126 | 90¢ | $113 | 0xd354f6… |
| 07-28 23:05:41 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd354f6… |
| 07-28 23:05:41 | Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xd354f6… |
| 07-28 23:05:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xd354f6… |
| 07-28 23:05:41 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd354f6… |
| 07-28 23:05:41 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | BUY | 67 | 90¢ | $60 | 0xd354f6… |
| 07-28 23:05:41 | (anonymous) 0x83fc…2bed | No | SELL | 450 | 90¢ | $405 | 0xd354f6… |
| 07-23 16:22:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7d7792… |
| 07-23 16:22:48 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x7d7792… |
| 07-23 16:22:48 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 38 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x7d7792… |
| 07-23 09:16:12 | Unlucky-Jaguar 0x21a6…c753 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x87d065… |
| 07-23 09:16:12 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x87d065… |
| 07-23 09:01:54 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xa33d12… |
| 07-23 09:01:54 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xa33d12… |
| 07-23 08:03:03 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x202a31… |
| 07-23 08:03:03 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x202a31… |
| 07-23 08:03:03 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x202a31… |
| 07-23 05:40:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 86 | 91¢ | $78 | 0x178cab… |
| 07-23 05:40:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 86 | 91¢ | $78 | 0x178cab… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 86 | 91¢ | $78 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x0f2b…665a | No | SELL | 500 | 91¢ | $455 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | Unlucky-Jaguar 0x21a6…c753 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 136 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-23 05:40:09 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x19a091… |
| 07-21 16:55:51 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xebd9e5… |
| 07-21 16:55:51 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xebd9e5… |
| 07-20 14:32:34 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x11a76b… |
| 07-20 14:32:34 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x11a76b… |
| 07-20 14:32:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x11a76b… |
| 07-20 14:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x11a76b… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | BUY | 161 | 9¢ | $15 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 62 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-18 19:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x5b02d4… |
| 07-18 19:25:54 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5b02d4… |
| 07-18 08:38:24 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x540c92… |
| 07-18 08:38:24 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x540c92… |
| 07-18 05:26:48 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x92456e… |
| 07-18 05:26:48 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x92456e… |
| 07-17 10:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | BUY | 206 | 9¢ | $19 | 0x58a812… |
| 07-17 10:59:43 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 178 | 9¢ | $16 | 0x58a812… |
| 07-17 10:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x58a812… |
| 07-17 10:59:43 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x58a812… |
| 07-17 08:56:12 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfdb212… |
| 07-17 08:56:12 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xfdb212… |
| 07-16 20:46:07 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0x4443f3… |
| 07-16 20:46:07 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x4443f3… |
| 07-16 20:46:07 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x4443f3… |
| 07-16 00:33:08 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb53f41… |
| 07-16 00:33:08 | (anonymous) 0xfdf7…973d | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xb53f41… |
| 07-15 16:20:16 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xecf9da… |
| 07-15 16:20:16 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xecf9da… |
| 07-15 14:26:38 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7497c5… |