Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,257
$5 in 24h
Trades
284
Unique wallets
52
Liquidity
$1,570
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-29 08:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-27.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $54
vs crowd: 29% YES on $2.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $225 | $301 | $76 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $282 | $828 | $546 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $226 | $226 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $92 | $142 | $50 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | $53 | $53 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $46 | $239 | $193 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| Median | 9 | $89 | $275 | $187 |
| Below median | 6 | $41 | $67 | $27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | $162 | $156 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $233 | $335 | $102 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $132 | $105 | +$27 |
| unranked | 12 | $18 | $260 | $242 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +256 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-31 15:38 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +240 | $54 | $54 | 8 | 06-19 13:07 |
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | +198 | $34 | $34 | 10 | 06-28 03:03 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +178 | $48 | $48 | 8 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +173 | $138 | $138 | 9 | 06-19 14:33 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +145 | $121 | $121 | 6 | 06-28 03:03 |
| Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | +118 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-28 04:57 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-20 01:06 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-17 20:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +38 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 06-20 01:06 |
| Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-31 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +25 | $21 | $33 | 5 | 06-12 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-28 15:51 |
| Junior-Mister 0x69ac…7b99 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-19 13:20 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +10 | $0 | $70 | 11 | 06-25 12:55 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 15:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-28 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc796…3e82 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 00:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9204…26f7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6622…0f4b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 06:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 08:27:23 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 0 | 82¢ | $0 | 0x032225… |
| 06-29 08:27:23 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x032225… |
| 06-29 08:26:59 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xb5ca93… |
| 06-29 08:26:59 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb5ca93… |
| 06-29 00:40:08 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 0 | 82¢ | $0 | 0xa14f07… |
| 06-29 00:40:08 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 0 | 82¢ | $0 | 0xa14f07… |
| 06-28 15:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x304a57… |
| 06-28 15:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x6622…0f4b | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x304a57… |
| 06-28 15:51:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x304a57… |
| 06-28 07:29:52 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xd21623… |
| 06-28 07:29:52 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $9 | 0xd21623… |
| 06-28 07:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd21623… |
| 06-28 07:29:52 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xd21623… |
| 06-28 04:57:17 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x743d20… |
| 06-28 04:57:17 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x743d20… |
| 06-28 04:57:17 | Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | BUY | 63 | 83¢ | $52 | 0x743d20… |
| 06-28 03:03:40 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xf3b10f… |
| 06-28 03:03:40 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xf3b10f… |
| 06-28 03:03:40 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf3b10f… |
| 06-28 03:03:37 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x2ab08d… |
| 06-28 03:03:37 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x2ab08d… |
| 06-28 03:03:37 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 43 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x2ab08d… |
| 06-28 03:00:23 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x80e016… |
| 06-28 03:00:23 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x80e016… |
| 06-28 02:22:50 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9e3594… |
| 06-28 02:22:50 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x9e3594… |
| 06-27 19:34:19 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x22154f… |
| 06-27 19:34:19 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x22154f… |
| 06-27 19:32:34 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x03f4ce… |
| 06-27 19:32:34 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x03f4ce… |
| 06-25 12:55:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xa2ab28… |
| 06-25 12:55:41 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 43 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xa2ab28… |
| 06-24 06:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xbbc816… |
| 06-24 06:33:31 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xbbc816… |
| 06-23 23:15:37 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 55 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x827a00… |
| 06-23 23:15:37 | Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | BUY | 55 | 83¢ | $46 | 0x827a00… |
| 06-22 23:10:44 | (anonymous) 0x80b1…751a | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xc4e9ac… |
| 06-22 23:10:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xc4e9ac… |
| 06-21 19:34:37 | Apprehensive-Teacher 0x1fe4…514d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc7bf1c… |
| 06-21 19:34:37 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc7bf1c… |
| 06-20 13:54:05 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xf684bc… |
| 06-20 13:54:05 | (anonymous) 0x80b1…751a | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xf684bc… |
| 06-20 01:06:46 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 120 | 82¢ | $98 | 0x5a9260… |
| 06-20 01:06:46 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x5a9260… |
| 06-20 01:06:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x5a9260… |
| 06-20 01:06:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x5a9260… |
| 06-20 01:06:46 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 55 | 81¢ | $45 | 0x5a9260… |
| 06-19 18:55:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x1065fa… |
| 06-19 18:55:43 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x1065fa… |
| 06-19 14:33:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd8b647… |
| 06-19 14:33:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xd8b647… |
| 06-19 14:33:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xd8b647… |
| 06-19 14:33:14 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 31 | 84¢ | $26 | 0xd8b647… |
| 06-19 14:02:40 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x4060f3… |
| 06-19 14:02:40 | Brave-Framework 0xd0c6…d465 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x4060f3… |
| 06-19 13:39:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x78c680… |
| 06-19 13:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x78c680… |
| 06-19 13:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x615f60… |
| 06-19 13:29:08 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x615f60… |
| 06-19 13:29:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x615f60… |
| 06-19 13:27:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x8686ab… |
| 06-19 13:27:55 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x8686ab… |
| 06-19 13:22:10 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x775f9b… |
| 06-19 13:22:10 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x775f9b… |
| 06-19 13:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x989da0… |
| 06-19 13:22:07 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x989da0… |
| 06-19 13:21:14 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 65 | 17¢ | $11 | 0x54a885… |
| 06-19 13:21:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x54a885… |
| 06-19 13:21:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x54a885… |
| 06-19 13:20:55 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x4b0182… |
| 06-19 13:20:55 | Junior-Mister 0x69ac…7b99 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x4b0182… |
| 06-19 13:19:13 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 36 | 82¢ | $30 | 0x977d2c… |
| 06-19 13:19:13 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 36 | 18¢ | $6 | 0x977d2c… |
| 06-19 13:17:29 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xc093b7… |
| 06-19 13:17:29 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xc093b7… |
| 06-19 13:15:41 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xb92e2f… |
| 06-19 13:15:41 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xb92e2f… |
| 06-19 13:10:05 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x626d19… |
| 06-19 13:10:05 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x626d19… |
| 06-19 13:08:59 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0x734cc6… |
| 06-19 13:08:59 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x734cc6… |
| 06-19 13:08:59 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 72 | 18¢ | $13 | 0x734cc6… |
| 06-19 13:08:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x1b61d6… |
| 06-19 13:08:19 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x1b61d6… |
| 06-19 13:07:55 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x5de1c0… |
| 06-19 13:07:55 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x5de1c0… |
| 06-19 13:05:49 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x091484… |
| 06-19 13:05:49 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x091484… |
| 06-19 13:05:40 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x911894… |
| 06-19 13:05:40 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x911894… |
| 06-19 13:04:55 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xc4f72a… |
| 06-19 13:04:55 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xc4f72a… |
| 06-19 13:04:50 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xed6afa… |
| 06-19 13:04:50 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xed6afa… |
| 06-19 13:03:02 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xdfe979… |
| 06-19 13:03:02 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xdfe979… |
| 06-19 13:02:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 361 | 78¢ | $281 | 0xe717b1… |
| 06-19 13:02:37 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 391 | 22¢ | $86 | 0xe717b1… |
| 06-19 13:02:37 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xe717b1… |
| 06-19 13:02:17 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x1b98a8… |