Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
open
Total volume
$6,225
$5 in 24h
Trades
452
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$1,570
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-20 14:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.7¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $54
vs crowd: 26% YES on $3.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $288 | $301 | $14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $385 | $1.3K | $934 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $53 | $960 | $907 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $226 | $129 | +$97 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | $53 | $53 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $63 | $239 | $175 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| Median | 13 | $190 | $275 | $85 |
| Below median | 9 | $148 | $68 | +$80 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $11 | $162 | $151 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $271 | $353 | $82 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $186 | $105 | +$80 |
| unranked | 18 | $47 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0f2b…665a | No | +500 | $438 | $438 | 1 | 07-06 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x83fc…2bed | No | +450 | $374 | $374 | 1 | 07-03 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | +367 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 07-20 09:48 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +256 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-31 15:38 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +240 | $54 | $54 | 8 | 06-19 13:07 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +218 | $29 | $29 | 14 | 07-07 15:19 |
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | +198 | $34 | $34 | 10 | 06-28 03:03 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +195 | $22 | $57 | 3 | 07-06 13:58 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +178 | $48 | $48 | 8 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +173 | $138 | $138 | 9 | 06-19 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +150 | $136 | $228 | 2 | 07-18 19:25 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +145 | $121 | $121 | 6 | 06-28 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +136 | $17 | $18 | 8 | 07-20 14:32 |
| Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | +118 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-28 04:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +92 | $12 | $12 | 7 | 07-07 15:19 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +83 | $14 | $28 | 3 | 07-03 20:38 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-20 01:06 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +58 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 07-20 14:32 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-17 20:02 |
| Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 14:44 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $12 | 13 | 07-20 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-31 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +25 | $21 | $33 | 5 | 06-12 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Junior-Mister 0x69ac…7b99 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-19 13:20 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +10 | $0 | $70 | 11 | 06-25 12:55 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc796…3e82 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 00:31 |
| Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-14 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9204…26f7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 06:33 |
| Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 21:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdf7…973d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 00:33 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $31 | 17 | 07-06 14:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 14:32:34 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x11a76b… |
| 07-20 14:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x11a76b… |
| 07-20 14:32:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x11a76b… |
| 07-20 14:32:34 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x11a76b… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | BUY | 161 | 9¢ | $15 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 62 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-20 09:48:39 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xac3b6a… |
| 07-18 19:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x5b02d4… |
| 07-18 19:25:54 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5b02d4… |
| 07-18 08:38:24 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x540c92… |
| 07-18 08:38:24 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x540c92… |
| 07-18 05:26:48 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x92456e… |
| 07-18 05:26:48 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x92456e… |
| 07-17 10:59:43 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 178 | 9¢ | $16 | 0x58a812… |
| 07-17 10:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | BUY | 206 | 9¢ | $19 | 0x58a812… |
| 07-17 10:59:43 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x58a812… |
| 07-17 10:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x58a812… |
| 07-17 08:56:12 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfdb212… |
| 07-17 08:56:12 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xfdb212… |
| 07-16 20:46:07 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x4443f3… |
| 07-16 20:46:07 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0x4443f3… |
| 07-16 20:46:07 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x4443f3… |
| 07-16 00:33:08 | (anonymous) 0xfdf7…973d | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xb53f41… |
| 07-16 00:33:08 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb53f41… |
| 07-15 16:20:16 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xecf9da… |
| 07-15 16:20:16 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xecf9da… |
| 07-15 14:26:38 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7497c5… |
| 07-15 14:26:38 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7497c5… |
| 07-14 23:06:07 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x04b286… |
| 07-14 23:06:07 | Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x04b286… |
| 07-14 21:49:34 | Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5771b2… |
| 07-14 21:49:34 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5771b2… |
| 07-12 15:06:35 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe5a635… |
| 07-12 15:06:35 | (anonymous) 0x6622…0f4b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe5a635… |
| 07-11 06:42:23 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4c9da7… |
| 07-11 06:42:23 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4c9da7… |
| 07-09 01:11:32 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x3d7a55… |
| 07-09 01:11:32 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x3d7a55… |
| 07-07 15:19:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4ecf5e… |
| 07-07 15:19:58 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x4ecf5e… |
| 07-07 15:19:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4ecf5e… |
| 07-07 15:19:58 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x4ecf5e… |
| 07-07 15:19:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4ecf5e… |
| 07-07 11:22:19 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x738988… |
| 07-07 11:22:19 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x738988… |
| 07-06 21:21:49 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7b4d49… |
| 07-06 21:21:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7b4d49… |
| 07-06 21:21:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7b4d49… |
| 07-06 21:21:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7b4d49… |
| 07-06 21:21:49 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | SELL | 142 | 10¢ | $14 | 0x7b4d49… |
| 07-06 21:21:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7b4d49… |
| 07-06 21:03:46 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x397bb4… |
| 07-06 21:03:46 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x397bb4… |
| 07-06 21:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x397bb4… |
| 07-06 21:03:35 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x9c6df8… |
| 07-06 21:03:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9c6df8… |
| 07-06 21:03:35 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x9c6df8… |
| 07-06 21:03:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9c6df8… |
| 07-06 14:02:29 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x4cd7f5… |
| 07-06 14:02:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x4cd7f5… |
| 07-06 14:01:53 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x8b544b… |
| 07-06 14:01:53 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x8b544b… |
| 07-06 14:01:53 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x8b544b… |
| 07-06 13:59:16 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xb75562… |
| 07-06 13:59:16 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb75562… |
| 07-06 13:58:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7010ca… |
| 07-06 13:58:52 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7010ca… |
| 07-06 13:58:35 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x104d59… |
| 07-06 13:58:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x104d59… |
| 07-06 13:58:32 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x7e8274… |
| 07-06 13:58:32 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x7e8274… |
| 07-06 13:58:32 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7e8274… |
| 07-06 13:58:04 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc9c476… |
| 07-06 13:58:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc9c476… |
| 07-06 13:58:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc9c476… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 195 | 12¢ | $23 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | (anonymous) 0x0f2b…665a | No | BUY | 500 | 88¢ | $438 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 13:58:01 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xdea296… |
| 07-06 07:19:01 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x69cef2… |
| 07-06 07:19:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x69cef2… |
| 07-06 07:19:01 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x69cef2… |
| 07-05 09:15:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x3d2bab… |
| 07-05 09:15:40 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x3d2bab… |
| 07-05 09:15:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x23abe3… |
| 07-05 09:15:38 | Unaware-Sturgeon 0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 14¢ | $11 | 0x23abe3… |
| 07-05 09:15:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x23abe3… |
| 07-05 09:15:38 | Fond-Dream 0x2e67…b536 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x23abe3… |
| 07-05 09:15:38 | Brief-Gram 0xc83f…b7a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x23abe3… |
| 07-04 23:27:26 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x048cc6… |