Realized P&L
+$32.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.32K
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
15,695
Trades
111,511
lifetime
Volume
$2.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$12.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 10:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 232 days
Categories
Other
74% 49% +$37,379
Sports
17% 49% -$11,632
Politics
8% 46% +$7,997
Crypto
1% 45% -$1,300
Pop-Culture
0% 29% -$386
Tech
0% 50% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2054 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,079 $1,865 92¢ $1.9K +$48 10-27 07:54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,873 $1,539 72¢ $1.3K -$200 10-25 13:31
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,430 $1,113 76¢ $1.1K -$24 10-17 23:09
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +800 $497 100¢ $798 +$300 05-04 06:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,950 $864 37¢ $717 -$147 10-27 04:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,873 $403 29¢ $534 +$131 09-13 21:08
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +650 $548 75¢ $487 -$60 09-20 20:24
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +550 $185 83¢ $456 +$270 09-26 18:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +600 $420 76¢ $453 +$34 10-26 21:55
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +450 $208 97¢ $437 +$229 10-27 01:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,430 $305 24¢ $341 +$37 09-13 21:11
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +534 $288 62¢ $329 +$40 10-26 21:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +381 $297 84¢ $320 +$23 08-14 07:39
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +422 $120 72¢ $302 +$181 10-24 23:46
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +393 $138 74¢ $293 +$155 10-24 20:23
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +300 $218 97¢ $291 +$73 10-24 03:24
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +617 $274 41¢ $253 -$21 10-26 04:32
Blue wave in 2026? No +1,638 $249 15¢ $238 -$11 10-16 17:34
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +188 $155 98¢ $184 +$29 10-26 06:14
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +217 $141 82¢ $177 +$36 09-21 16:29
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +757 $144 22¢ $170 +$27 09-08 22:12
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +171 $130 100¢ $170 +$40 06-28 13:07
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +165 $114 98¢ $162 +$48 09-06 23:40
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +852 $63 17¢ $146 +$83 09-26 16:00
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +130 $83 93¢ $121 +$37 04-29 04:21
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +190 $101 62¢ $117 +$16 10-26 20:54
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -118 -$103 98¢ $-116 -$13 05-11 05:26
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +130 $103 88¢ $115 +$11 10-25 23:09
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No — +200 $108 55¢ $109 +$2 10-25 13:41
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +393 $153 26¢ $100 -$52 09-07 01:07