Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$195
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$182
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 23:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88%
Other
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? Yes -250 $-130 44¢ $-109 +$21 05-05 03:14
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30? No -50 $-30 57¢ $-29 +$1 05-05 19:51
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k? Yes +63 $6 32¢ $20 +$14 05-05 22:40
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? Yes +54 $11 20¢ $11 $-0 05-05 23:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes +268 $9 $7 $-1 05-04 23:59
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? Yes -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 +$0 05-04 23:50
Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09? Yes +16 $1 $1 +$0 05-04 20:59
Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1? Yes +3 $0 $0 $-0 05-05 20:24
Will Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04? No -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-05 22:49
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09? No +30 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 02:20
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 06:55