Will Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04?
Yes won
Total volume
$2,082
Trades
138
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-03-20
last 04-27 06:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.6¢
(top1%: 98% YES on $186
vs crowd: 89% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $513 | $85 | +$428 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $555 | $16 | +$540 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $90 | $44 | +$46 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $66 | $12 | +$54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $182 | $3 | +$179 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $110 | $81 | +$30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $112 | $7 | +$105 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $47 | $46 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $516 | $8 | +$508 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $300 | $6 | +$294 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +200 | $181 | $181 | 3 | 04-26 19:25 |
| Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | +174 | $12 | $36 | 4 | 04-27 06:23 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +122 | $107 | $125 | 9 | 04-20 01:48 |
| oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | +119 | $71 | $71 | 4 | 03-20 20:28 |
| FrankyFourFingers 0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | +97 | $23 | $84 | 6 | 03-21 01:22 |
| Candid-Encirclement 0x1653…384b | Yes | +70 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 04-25 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x1da1…5d8c | No | +68 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-23 16:09 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +60 | $55 | $87 | 4 | 04-26 19:21 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | +58 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-25 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f50…fc3f | Yes | +53 | $41 | $41 | 4 | 04-06 15:20 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +52 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 04-18 02:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 04-25 15:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +35 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 04-24 18:36 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +33 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-27 06:23 |
| Stylish-Coliseum 0xda66…3f38 | Yes | +27 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 04-22 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x53cf…0479 | No | +25 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 03-20 20:42 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +23 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 04-06 15:20 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +23 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 04-18 02:34 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-25 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | +13 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 04-17 17:56 |
| Lasting-Integral 0xb94f…04d8 | No | +7 | $-0 | $2 | 3 | 04-18 02:34 |
| White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb | No | +4 | $-1 | $3 | 3 | 03-24 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6d7…4399 | No | +2 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 04-23 16:34 |
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | +2 | $2 | $7 | 13 | 04-20 08:35 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-07 11:01 |
| Hateful-Malnutrition 0x8ef8…fb10 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 03-22 08:57 |
| Worst-Title 0xceed…d61b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 03-24 08:18 |
| Spiffy-Patty 0x6b23…04a3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-18 02:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc96f…6c67 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-18 17:59 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +1 | $3 | $59 | 5 | 04-06 08:10 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $147 | 8 | 04-26 19:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 06:23:32 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf2880d… |
| 04-27 06:23:32 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 83 | 9¢ | $8 | 0xf2880d… |
| 04-26 19:26:02 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7cd12e… |
| 04-26 19:26:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x7cd12e… |
| 04-26 19:25:54 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 91¢ | $22 | 0x9c2edf… |
| 04-26 19:25:54 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 91¢ | $22 | 0x9c2edf… |
| 04-26 19:21:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xb47a13… |
| 04-26 19:21:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xb47a13… |
| 04-26 19:21:16 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xabed78… |
| 04-26 19:21:16 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xabed78… |
| 04-26 19:21:08 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x95e6cc… |
| 04-26 19:21:08 | Shady-Workhorse 0x1d69…7a63 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x95e6cc… |
| 04-26 19:21:04 | Shady-Workhorse 0x1d69…7a63 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x90e5a9… |
| 04-26 19:21:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x90e5a9… |
| 04-26 19:21:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x90e5a9… |
| 04-26 19:21:00 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xb7bd57… |
| 04-26 19:21:00 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 91¢ | $155 | 0xb7bd57… |
| 04-26 19:21:00 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 91¢ | $183 | 0xb7bd57… |
| 04-25 15:18:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 90¢ | $16 | 0x26f6b9… |
| 04-25 15:18:36 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x26f6b9… |
| 04-25 15:18:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x26f6b9… |
| 04-25 12:56:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x8bc77b… |
| 04-25 12:56:40 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x8bc77b… |
| 04-25 12:49:26 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 90¢ | $68 | 0xc00a71… |
| 04-25 12:49:26 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 76 | 90¢ | $68 | 0xc00a71… |
| 04-25 12:06:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf4f921… |
| 04-25 12:06:34 | Candid-Encirclement 0x1653…384b | Yes | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0xf4f921… |
| 04-25 12:06:34 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 58 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xf4f921… |
| 04-24 18:50:48 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xb15afc… |
| 04-24 18:50:48 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb15afc… |
| 04-24 18:36:36 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0xfd4a82… |
| 04-24 18:36:36 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 92¢ | $83 | 0xfd4a82… |
| 04-24 18:36:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xfd4a82… |
| 04-24 18:36:36 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | BUY | 300 | 8¢ | $24 | 0xfd4a82… |
| 04-24 16:02:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0x7e3071… |
| 04-24 16:02:00 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0x7e3071… |
| 04-24 16:01:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x3f5349… |
| 04-24 16:01:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x3f5349… |
| 04-23 19:06:48 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x9ca76e… |
| 04-23 19:06:48 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9ca76e… |
| 04-23 16:34:16 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x48d8d6… |
| 04-23 16:34:16 | (anonymous) 0xc6d7…4399 | No | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x48d8d6… |
| 04-23 16:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 26 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x61649c… |
| 04-23 16:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x1da1…5d8c | No | BUY | 68 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x61649c… |
| 04-23 16:09:14 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x61649c… |
| 04-23 16:09:14 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 92¢ | $38 | 0x61649c… |
| 04-22 07:06:08 | (anonymous) 0xc6d7…4399 | No | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x398c44… |
| 04-22 07:06:08 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | No | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x398c44… |
| 04-22 04:29:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8b2ba6… |
| 04-22 04:29:34 | Stylish-Coliseum 0xda66…3f38 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x8b2ba6… |
| 04-20 21:47:20 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaec3e9… |
| 04-20 21:47:20 | Stylish-Coliseum 0xda66…3f38 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xaec3e9… |
| 04-20 08:35:00 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdda0db… |
| 04-20 08:35:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdda0db… |
| 04-20 01:48:12 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7da8dd… |
| 04-20 01:48:12 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7da8dd… |
| 04-20 01:40:52 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x90f6c9… |
| 04-20 01:40:52 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x90f6c9… |
| 04-20 01:38:28 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x85dbc8… |
| 04-20 01:38:28 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x85dbc8… |
| 04-20 01:34:50 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x659657… |
| 04-20 01:34:50 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x659657… |
| 04-18 17:59:42 | (anonymous) 0xc96f…6c67 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x57e55e… |
| 04-18 17:59:42 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x57e55e… |
| 04-18 02:34:30 | Spiffy-Patty 0x6b23…04a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xc3bcea… |
| 04-18 02:34:30 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc3bcea… |
| 04-18 02:34:28 | Lasting-Integral 0xb94f…04d8 | No | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6948cf… |
| 04-18 02:34:28 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6948cf… |
| 04-18 02:34:28 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x6948cf… |
| 04-17 22:51:58 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x69d58c… |
| 04-17 22:51:58 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x69d58c… |
| 04-17 22:45:44 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x95570e… |
| 04-17 22:45:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x95570e… |
| 04-17 18:27:50 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 49 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x4e763e… |
| 04-17 18:27:50 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x4e763e… |
| 04-17 18:27:50 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x4e763e… |
| 04-17 18:27:38 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xbbdc01… |
| 04-17 18:27:38 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xbbdc01… |
| 04-17 17:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x6daaf0… |
| 04-17 17:56:10 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 88¢ | $29 | 0x6daaf0… |
| 04-17 17:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6daaf0… |
| 04-17 17:56:10 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x6daaf0… |
| 04-17 17:55:34 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2173ac… |
| 04-17 17:55:34 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $17 | 0x2173ac… |
| 04-17 17:41:26 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9d0703… |
| 04-17 17:41:26 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0x45e303… |
| 04-17 17:41:26 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x9d0703… |
| 04-17 17:41:26 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | No | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x45e303… |
| 04-07 13:23:57 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xa6e645… |
| 04-07 13:23:57 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xa6e645… |
| 04-07 13:08:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x066456… |
| 04-07 13:08:35 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x066456… |
| 04-07 11:25:39 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x729dd5… |
| 04-07 11:25:39 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x729dd5… |
| 04-07 11:01:55 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | No | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xe6f5fc… |
| 04-07 11:01:55 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xe6f5fc… |
| 04-06 15:20:39 | (anonymous) 0x9f50…fc3f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x23880d… |
| 04-06 15:20:39 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x23880d… |
| 04-06 08:10:57 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 77¢ | $22 | 0xf8e1e8… |
| 04-06 08:10:57 | (anonymous) 0x9f50…fc3f | Yes | BUY | 29 | 77¢ | $22 | 0xf8e1e8… |