Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

511

lifetime

Volume

$733

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-10 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

57% 26% $-13

Politics

23% 29% $-13

Sports

14% 33% $-2

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	10	$45	37	44	-8	open	—	04-09 18:25
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$33	50	0	+50	open	—	03-26 21:10
bitboy convicted	9	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	03-27 06:13
Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?	4	$14	40	40	+0	open	—	04-26 05:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$14	54	54	+0	open	—	04-24 11:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	4	$12	69	44	+25	open	—	05-01 05:29
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	1	$12	0	24	-24	open	—	07-10 08:39
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 12:44
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	12	$10	45	43	+2	open	—	04-28 22:39
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	7	$10	48	48	+0	open	—	04-26 07:51
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	5	$9	40	40	+0	open	—	04-24 17:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$9	77	77	+0	open	—	05-13 11:46
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	3	$9	15	0	+15	No	$-9	04-14 10:37
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	6	$8	35	35	+0	Yes	$-0	04-26 22:34
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	4	$8	39	39	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 15:45
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	4	$8	40	40	+0	open	—	04-25 12:23
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$7	31	31	+0	open	—	04-24 19:32
Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	4	$7	67	0	+67	open	—	05-02 09:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$6	23	23	+0	No	+$2	04-30 04:02
Chirayu Rana sued?	3	$6	24	24	+0	open	—	05-03 10:59
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	4	$6	35	33	+2	open	—	04-23 00:16
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$6	24	23	+1	Yes	+$1	05-03 12:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$6	0	107	-107	open	—	07-10 08:38
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	07-10 08:38
Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$6	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	05-01 00:08
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	2	$6	19	17	+2	Yes	+$2	04-26 05:20
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	3	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	04-14 11:26
Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	6	$6	33	10	+23	open	—	04-26 15:51
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	2	$6	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 12:53
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	9	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 08:43:32	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xef2938…
07-10 08:43:22	Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xa81c49…
07-10 08:42:49	Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x001591…
07-10 08:42:43	Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x341235…
07-10 08:42:35	100kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xb684c8…
07-10 08:42:28	Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x65ff74…
07-10 08:42:22	Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xb1cedf…
07-10 08:41:37	H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x586b60…
07-10 08:41:04	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x38bb2d…
07-10 08:40:58	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x41bbd5…
07-10 08:40:43	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$2	0xba244d…
07-10 08:40:28	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x5688fa…
07-10 08:40:11	Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	3¢	$2	0x4efb20…
07-10 08:40:02	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	79	4¢	$3	0x0061e9…
07-10 08:39:41	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x4cbba2…
07-10 08:38:46	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xc21153…
07-10 08:38:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	107	5¢	$6	0x1a5523…
06-17 19:27:50	Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xfd8a7f…
06-03 10:44:17	Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x89bd03…
06-03 10:37:24	Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0x546859…
06-02 06:03:46	Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x2befbb…
06-02 04:02:31	Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xb3ad43…
06-02 02:01:09	Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc0e8c6…
06-01 21:09:08	Vanta IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	14¢	$5	0x8ebc93…
05-29 00:12:14	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xc45a33…
05-28 19:07:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x5611cb…
05-24 22:22:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xa1ab21…
05-24 21:21:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x16cbba…
05-23 13:01:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x21799b…
05-23 12:15:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xe33723…
05-22 16:30:27	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9441fc…
05-22 15:58:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x54d7ad…
05-22 13:51:29	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb3369f…
05-22 13:08:25	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5b05bf…
05-22 12:03:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e9a14…
05-21 16:30:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x225eac…
05-21 15:56:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7d8951…
05-20 14:46:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x9fd770…
05-19 13:05:41	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $2.0B?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x783bcf…
05-18 18:19:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7aed17…
05-18 12:28:37	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x123a66…
05-17 12:36:48	Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squire	Henri Squire	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9568a9…
05-17 06:41:14	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x5b5ead…
05-16 10:25:41	Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xe4113a…
05-14 02:41:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x0b33e8…
05-14 02:01:30	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9ec80a…
05-14 01:55:03	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb5485a…
05-13 11:46:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xcc4a2a…
05-12 16:17:34	Will SK Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x4be477…
05-12 14:15:53	Will SK Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x775ee9…
05-12 12:14:12	Will SK Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3e3195…
05-12 10:10:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xf5fe42…
05-11 18:37:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x5d5fd1…
05-11 12:59:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xe67665…
05-06 16:55:39	Will FEARX qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x5fedde…
05-05 11:04:30	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xdd0394…
05-05 08:27:24	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x679121…
05-04 19:12:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x1986ec…
05-03 12:26:36	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x158c46…
05-03 10:59:22	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x3a1858…
05-02 16:28:54	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x063574…
05-02 15:20:30	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xdc9809…
05-02 10:34:06	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 255m?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x666e80…
05-02 09:58:42	Will FEARX qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xf24fbc…
05-02 09:40:50	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x3eb0ee…
05-02 09:35:16	Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x551b94…
05-02 06:32:40	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xb6384f…
05-02 06:00:16	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x93307c…
05-01 13:47:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xb3a4d6…
05-01 13:14:32	Will CTBC Flying Oyster qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xf921f0…
05-01 12:50:22	Will CTBC Flying Oyster qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xd45e7a…
05-01 09:25:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x105546…
05-01 05:29:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x0a7429…
05-01 04:14:14	Will CTBC Flying Oyster qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x86dee8…
05-01 00:08:54	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x6c28e3…
04-30 23:09:20	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xa32d20…
04-30 05:11:14	Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0xb85734…
04-30 05:08:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0xbd1e13…
04-30 04:02:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x9fa035…
04-29 21:22:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x893ac5…
04-29 21:20:10	Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xe9a9c9…
04-29 18:50:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x19e443…
04-29 18:27:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x4c89b3…
04-29 17:34:00	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x36e4d6…
04-29 16:30:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x6e42c8…
04-29 16:24:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xa6a9fc…
04-29 16:13:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x8eb19f…
04-29 14:18:14	Mauthausen: Tomas Barrios vs Lukas Neumayer	Tomas Barrios	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x582cd9…
04-29 14:15:56	Mauthausen: Tomas Barrios vs Lukas Neumayer	Tomas Barrios	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xf44ab2…
04-29 14:13:30	Will Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xb6f8a9…
04-29 14:11:40	Will Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x404fe4…
04-29 00:02:36	Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x43a0a7…
04-29 00:00:52	Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xb22b94…
04-28 22:39:52	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd8e600…
04-28 22:38:14	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x80ded2…
04-28 22:36:34	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x5a5b08…
04-28 22:34:52	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x22ae4d…
04-28 22:32:44	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x031ebe…
04-28 22:31:02	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xe18191…
04-28 01:58:10	Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x25b843…