Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
42.5%
Resolved
33
Trades
511
lifetime
Volume
$733
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$51
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 07-10 08:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
57% 26% $-13
Politics
23% 29% $-13
Sports
14% 33% $-2
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes -24 $-12 50¢ $-12 $-0 07-10 08:39
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -6 $-6 92¢ $-6 +$0 07-10 08:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -107 $-6 $-5 +$0 07-10 08:38
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -37 $-5 10¢ $-4 +$2 06-01 21:09
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? Yes -78 $-2 $-3 $-1 07-10 08:40
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -79 $-3 $-3 $-0 07-10 08:40
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -18 $-3 16¢ $-3 $-0 07-10 08:40
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes -7 $-2 30¢ $-2 $-0 07-10 08:41
Revolut IPO before 2027? Yes -39 $-5 $-2 +$3 06-03 10:44
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No -51 $-2 $-2 +$1 07-10 08:40
100kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -22 $-1 $-1 $-1 07-10 08:42
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-10 08:41
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? Yes -10 $-1 11¢ $-1 $-0 07-10 08:42
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-10 08:42
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -23 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-10 08:42
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 07-10 08:43
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-10 08:42
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes -66 $-2 $-1 +$1 07-10 08:40
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -28 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-10 08:43