Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$872
Trades
90
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$13,682
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-10 08:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+64.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $90
vs crowd: 36% YES on $468)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $131 | $59 | +$71 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $23 | $241 | $219 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $90 | — | +$90 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $42 | $42 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | $150 | $150 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $34 | $8 | +$26 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| unranked | 19 | $34 | $98 | $64 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,735 | $72 | $100 | 21 | 07-10 08:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +267 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 10:09 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +261 | $-1 | $15 | 7 | 07-07 10:09 |
| Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | +140 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-14 05:37 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbad…d55b | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-07 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9347…7048 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-07 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x453c…efe1 | No | +44 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 07-07 20:13 |
| Offensive-Ultimatum 0x2fa2…d5ed | No | +28 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-07 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4da4…8563 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0403…8f97 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-27 09:10 |
| Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-04 17:37 |
| Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-27 03:38 |
| Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 06-14 11:06 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 19:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9bae…87b3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 06:45 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a3f…83f6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 09:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 06:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 08:42:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x001591… |
| 07-10 08:42:49 | (anonymous) 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x001591… |
| 07-07 20:13:38 | (anonymous) 0x453c…efe1 | No | BUY | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xba9076… |
| 07-07 20:13:38 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xba9076… |
| 07-07 10:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x9347…7048 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xd8518d… |
| 07-07 10:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 267 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xd8518d… |
| 07-07 10:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xfbad…d55b | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xd8518d… |
| 07-07 10:09:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xd8518d… |
| 07-07 10:09:59 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xd8518d… |
| 07-05 12:30:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 210 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x909466… |
| 07-05 12:30:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 210 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x909466… |
| 07-05 12:29:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x437c9a… |
| 07-05 12:29:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x437c9a… |
| 07-05 12:29:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 106 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x8f9332… |
| 07-05 12:29:47 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 190 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x8f9332… |
| 07-05 12:29:47 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 316 | 4¢ | $12 | 0x8f9332… |
| 07-05 12:29:47 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8f9332… |
| 06-30 14:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x6e84ef… |
| 06-30 14:09:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6e84ef… |
| 06-30 13:09:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf82741… |
| 06-30 13:09:05 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xf82741… |
| 06-30 11:41:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbf23fc… |
| 06-30 11:41:11 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xbf23fc… |
| 06-30 11:33:23 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x52f32b… |
| 06-30 11:33:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x52f32b… |
| 06-27 09:10:50 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe3ad84… |
| 06-27 09:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x8a3f…83f6 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe3ad84… |
| 06-27 03:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbf9170… |
| 06-27 03:38:59 | Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xbf9170… |
| 06-24 06:37:25 | (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x72473a… |
| 06-24 06:37:25 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x72473a… |
| 06-22 15:20:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x84d0a7… |
| 06-22 15:20:52 | (anonymous) 0x984f…ba69 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x84d0a7… |
| 06-21 23:06:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xd66ba1… |
| 06-21 23:06:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 129 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xd66ba1… |
| 06-21 05:09:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x25b7c1… |
| 06-21 05:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x984f…ba69 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x25b7c1… |
| 06-19 19:53:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xce6e95… |
| 06-19 19:53:49 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xce6e95… |
| 06-18 20:03:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8ecf6d… |
| 06-18 20:03:08 | (anonymous) 0x4da4…8563 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8ecf6d… |
| 06-17 22:52:14 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x032f5d… |
| 06-17 22:52:14 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 222 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x032f5d… |
| 06-17 22:52:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 463 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x032f5d… |
| 06-17 22:52:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 325 | 4¢ | $13 | 0x032f5d… |
| 06-17 22:52:14 | (anonymous) 0x310e…5050 | Yes | SELL | 1,449 | 3¢ | $43 | 0x032f5d… |
| 06-17 05:16:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xaac674… |
| 06-17 05:16:56 | Qualified-Conspiracy-Brocolli 0xf8ef…b63d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xaac674… |
| 06-17 05:16:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x284c00… |
| 06-17 05:16:35 | Qualified-Conspiracy-Brocolli 0xf8ef…b63d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x284c00… |
| 06-16 10:02:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4dcae1… |
| 06-16 10:02:25 | Annual-Exercise 0xcf0f…d8b6 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4dcae1… |
| 06-15 07:06:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 127 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xe05653… |
| 06-15 07:06:45 | (anonymous) 0x7a96…3d0d | No | SELL | 127 | 95¢ | $120 | 0xe05653… |
| 06-14 11:06:21 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xaf963e… |
| 06-14 11:06:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xaf963e… |
| 06-14 05:37:36 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x938b93… |
| 06-14 05:37:36 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x938b93… |
| 06-14 05:37:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 131 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x938b93… |
| 06-12 06:16:27 | Qualified-Conspiracy-Brocolli 0xf8ef…b63d | Yes | SELL | 32 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa60143… |
| 06-12 06:16:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 32 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa60143… |
| 06-12 06:14:42 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x98140b… |
| 06-12 06:14:42 | Qualified-Conspiracy-Brocolli 0xf8ef…b63d | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x98140b… |
| 06-08 18:50:55 | Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | Yes | SELL | 239 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x5a4875… |
| 06-08 18:50:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 239 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x5a4875… |
| 06-07 16:18:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0b1c8d… |
| 06-07 16:18:48 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0b1c8d… |
| 06-07 16:18:45 | Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | Yes | BUY | 198 | 5¢ | $9 | 0x960df4… |
| 06-07 16:18:45 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 198 | 5¢ | $9 | 0x960df4… |
| 06-07 16:17:57 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $13 | 0x43a30e… |
| 06-07 16:17:57 | Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x43a30e… |
| 06-07 16:17:57 | Quarterly-Proportion 0xd7b4…6f14 | Yes | SELL | 890 | 5¢ | $46 | 0x43a30e… |
| 06-07 16:17:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 325 | 5¢ | $15 | 0x43a30e… |
| 06-07 16:17:57 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x43a30e… |
| 06-07 16:17:57 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x43a30e… |
| 06-07 16:17:57 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x43a30e… |
| 06-07 13:50:06 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x627b20… |
| 06-07 13:50:06 | Offensive-Ultimatum 0x2fa2…d5ed | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x627b20… |
| 06-07 13:50:06 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x627b20… |
| 06-04 17:37:40 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x14e7d9… |
| 06-04 17:37:40 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x14e7d9… |
| 05-31 06:45:16 | (anonymous) 0x9bae…87b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xfa0ecc… |
| 05-31 06:45:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xfa0ecc… |
| 05-30 09:39:01 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x9f03e6… |
| 05-30 09:39:01 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x9f03e6… |
| 05-30 09:39:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x002cfb… |
| 05-30 09:39:00 | (anonymous) 0x0403…8f97 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x002cfb… |
| 05-30 09:39:00 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x002cfb… |
| 05-29 20:14:56 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x138647… |
| 05-29 20:14:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x138647… |