Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
44.7%
Resolved
42
Trades
73
lifetime
Volume
$217
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$44
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-27
last 10-23 03:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
80% 71% -$14
Politics
14% 88% +$0
Tech
3% 60% -$1
Sports
2% 75% $0
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 09-15 04:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $0 10-04 13:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-08 05:54
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-08 05:45
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 $0 09-15 04:42
China coup attempt before 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-27 09:07
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 09-24 06:37
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3 $2 56¢ $2 $0 07-26 14:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-27 08:56
will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191456650 Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 07-25 18:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 09-23 03:51
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-10 06:33
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-27 08:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-08 05:43
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-27 08:46
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-27 09:00
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-27 08:47
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-27 15:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1 $1 46¢ $1 $0 07-26 13:44