Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
open
Total volume
$49,347
Trades
367
Unique wallets
132
Liquidity
$14,023
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-07 10:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $2 | $283 | $281 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $23 | $780 | $757 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $18 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 104 | $1.3K | $21.6K | $20.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | $49 | $43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $49 | $957 | $908 |
| Median | 12 | $1 | $119 | $118 |
| Below median | 8 | $64 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $15 | $13 | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $687 | $687 |
| unranked | 93 | $1.2K | $20.8K | $19.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +770 | $741 | $741 | 7 | 07-05 16:34 |
| Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | +616 | $593 | $593 | 8 | 07-01 16:13 |
| Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | Yes | +144 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 11:31 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +141 | $7 | $8 | 4 | 07-01 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +136 | $5 | $9 | 4 | 07-01 07:26 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +115 | $2 | $7 | 7 | 07-05 16:34 |
| Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 11:31 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +86 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4caf…b74a | Yes | +70 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 06-30 22:04 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +64 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 07-02 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8dc…7416 | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 19:24 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $3 | 4 | 07-06 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $3 | 5 | 07-05 16:34 |
| Cumbersome-Bestseller 0x738f…88c4 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 21:17 |
| Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-22 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x589f…4046 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 19:13 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-07 10:07 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-30 22:58 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-26 19:24 |
| Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-05 16:34 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-05 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bdf…42de | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x8021…6189 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 20:35 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:27 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a3f…83f6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 08:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 10:07:04 | (anonymous) 0xf2e8…e187 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe79149… |
| 07-07 10:07:04 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe79149… |
| 07-06 11:31:11 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x079fad… |
| 07-06 11:31:11 | Carefree-Beard 0xae52…405c | Yes | SELL | 350 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x079fad… |
| 07-06 11:31:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x079fad… |
| 07-06 11:31:11 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x079fad… |
| 07-06 11:31:11 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x079fad… |
| 07-05 16:34:14 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9cc502… |
| 07-05 16:34:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9cc502… |
| 07-05 16:34:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x0a17c5… |
| 07-05 16:34:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0a17c5… |
| 07-05 16:34:10 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a17c5… |
| 07-05 16:34:10 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a17c5… |
| 07-05 16:34:10 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a17c5… |
| 07-05 16:34:10 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0a17c5… |
| 07-05 16:34:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x0a17c5… |
| 07-05 16:34:10 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 139 | 98¢ | $136 | 0x0a17c5… |
| 07-04 21:17:07 | Cumbersome-Bestseller 0x738f…88c4 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa1e5ef… |
| 07-04 21:17:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xa1e5ef… |
| 07-03 22:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe30fc1… |
| 07-03 22:54:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xe30fc1… |
| 07-03 22:54:44 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xe30fc1… |
| 07-03 05:57:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x70c947… |
| 07-03 05:57:08 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x70c947… |
| 07-03 05:57:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x70c947… |
| 07-02 20:04:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x27687d… |
| 07-02 20:04:11 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x27687d… |
| 07-02 20:03:49 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x6d6451… |
| 07-02 20:03:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x6d6451… |
| 07-02 20:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x76235d… |
| 07-02 20:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x76235d… |
| 07-02 20:03:32 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x76235d… |
| 07-02 20:03:32 | Carefree-Beard 0xae52…405c | Yes | BUY | 350 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x76235d… |
| 07-02 20:03:32 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 64 | 96¢ | $62 | 0x76235d… |
| 07-02 20:03:32 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x76235d… |
| 07-02 20:03:32 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x76235d… |
| 07-02 20:03:32 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 121 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x76235d… |
| 07-01 16:13:11 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x47fe62… |
| 07-01 16:13:11 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x47fe62… |
| 07-01 12:36:26 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | SELL | 57 | 97¢ | $55 | 0x6bc656… |
| 07-01 12:36:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6bc656… |
| 07-01 12:36:26 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | BUY | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0x6bc656… |
| 07-01 10:28:23 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | BUY | 150 | 97¢ | $145 | 0x3be6fd… |
| 07-01 10:28:23 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 150 | 97¢ | $145 | 0x3be6fd… |
| 07-01 08:26:50 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x41af32… |
| 07-01 08:26:50 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x41af32… |
| 07-01 07:26:40 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | BUY | 121 | 96¢ | $116 | 0x233689… |
| 07-01 07:26:40 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 121 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x233689… |
| 07-01 07:26:25 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | BUY | 118 | 96¢ | $113 | 0xe57a0e… |
| 07-01 07:26:25 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xe57a0e… |
| 07-01 07:26:11 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x628442… |
| 07-01 07:26:11 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | BUY | 95 | 96¢ | $91 | 0x628442… |
| 07-01 07:26:11 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x628442… |
| 07-01 07:25:58 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xb8f7c2… |
| 07-01 07:25:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb8f7c2… |
| 07-01 07:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb16e67… |
| 07-01 07:25:43 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xb16e67… |
| 07-01 07:25:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb16e67… |
| 07-01 06:48:07 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7bee87… |
| 07-01 06:48:07 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7bee87… |
| 07-01 06:48:07 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x7bee87… |
| 07-01 06:48:07 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7bee87… |
| 07-01 06:48:07 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7bee87… |
| 07-01 06:48:07 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 150 | 95¢ | $143 | 0x7bee87… |
| 07-01 06:45:40 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Colorlessness 0x035b…a918 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x5618d6… |
| 07-01 06:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x5618d6… |
| 07-01 06:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x305b9c… |
| 07-01 06:42:01 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Colorlessness 0x035b…a918 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x305b9c… |
| 07-01 06:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x01c3…6da6 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x305b9c… |
| 07-01 05:50:43 | Expensive-Broom 0x1c1a…2b53 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x904aff… |
| 07-01 05:50:43 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x904aff… |
| 07-01 05:50:43 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x904aff… |
| 06-30 22:58:32 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2fc268… |
| 06-30 22:58:32 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x2fc268… |
| 06-30 22:58:32 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x2fc268… |
| 06-30 22:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x4caf…b74a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa7a529… |
| 06-30 22:04:37 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xa7a529… |
| 06-30 21:03:50 | (anonymous) 0x4caf…b74a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd505c1… |
| 06-30 21:03:50 | (anonymous) 0x01c3…6da6 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xd505c1… |
| 06-30 20:35:05 | (anonymous) 0x8021…6189 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x679c85… |
| 06-30 20:35:05 | (anonymous) 0x4caf…b74a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x679c85… |
| 06-30 20:13:20 | (anonymous) 0x4caf…b74a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe22ec9… |
| 06-30 20:13:20 | Expensive-Broom 0x1c1a…2b53 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xe22ec9… |
| 06-30 14:05:14 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x6bfb14… |
| 06-30 14:05:14 | (anonymous) 0x4caf…b74a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6bfb14… |
| 06-30 12:47:05 | (anonymous) 0xf2e8…e187 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5e54d2… |
| 06-30 12:47:05 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5e54d2… |
| 06-30 08:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xf4449a… |
| 06-30 08:57:37 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf4449a… |
| 06-30 08:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x4caf…b74a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf4449a… |
| 06-30 08:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x9cae…54a7 | No | SELL | 338 | 94¢ | $319 | 0xe6cc89… |
| 06-30 08:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x35c3…47c5 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xe6cc89… |
| 06-30 08:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x9d12…7e0d | No | SELL | 343 | 94¢ | $324 | 0xe6cc89… |
| 06-30 08:10:55 | (anonymous) 0xab9e…d5f2 | Yes | SELL | 684 | 5¢ | $38 | 0xe6cc89… |
| 06-30 08:10:53 | (anonymous) 0x594b…67a6 | No | SELL | 341 | 94¢ | $322 | 0x02e471… |
| 06-30 08:10:53 | (anonymous) 0x6225…da79 | Yes | SELL | 684 | 5¢ | $38 | 0x02e471… |
| 06-30 08:10:53 | (anonymous) 0x35c3…47c5 | No | SELL | 343 | 94¢ | $324 | 0x02e471… |
| 06-30 08:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x3037…7b07 | No | SELL | 337 | 94¢ | $318 | 0x64a39e… |
| 06-30 08:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x5692…689d | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x64a39e… |
| 06-30 08:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x1ad4…8ef1 | Yes | SELL | 684 | 5¢ | $38 | 0x64a39e… |