Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
open
Total volume
$50,171
Trades
465
Unique wallets
160
Liquidity
$14,023
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-09 22:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $2 | $283 | $281 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $23 | $792 | $769 |
| 🐟 Fish | 45 | $21 | $11.5K | $11.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 95 | $1.3K | $11.4K | $10.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $6 | $49 | $43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $51 | $994 | $943 |
| Median | 15 | $1 | $175 | $174 |
| Below median | 6 | $63 | $373 | $310 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $5 | $768 | $763 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $15 | $13 | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $687 | $687 |
| unranked | 111 | $1.2K | $20.9K | $19.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | +616 | $593 | $593 | 8 | 07-01 16:13 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +385 | $361 | $1,121 | 8 | 07-16 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xafcf…9964 | Yes | +283 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 22:55 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +115 | $2 | $7 | 7 | 07-05 16:34 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +69 | $-1 | $4 | 20 | 08-07 12:14 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +64 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 07-02 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a69…81a8 | Yes | +57 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 19:01 |
| Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | Yes | +46 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 07-08 15:11 |
| Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | +42 | $-0 | $2 | 5 | 07-19 04:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9f2…f982 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 04:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8dc…7416 | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 19:24 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 07-30 05:51 |
| Cumbersome-Bestseller 0x738f…88c4 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 21:17 |
| Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-22 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x589f…4046 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 19:13 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-26 19:24 |
| Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-09 22:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xeafd…1fe3 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-04 11:26 |
| Strident-Vine 0xb3f5…395c | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-05 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7291…811a | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-04 15:56 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-05 16:34 |
| Crooked-Fiber 0x6aaf…2730 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-05 02:14 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $0 | 2 | 07-25 23:33 |
| Hollow-Rumor 0xc9d5…d1bb | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-02 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9562…c9c4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8021…6189 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 20:35 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a3f…83f6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 08:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 22:49:04 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x406d61… |
| 08-09 22:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x406d61… |
| 08-07 15:37:19 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa8818f… |
| 08-07 15:37:19 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa8818f… |
| 08-07 12:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x5872…2b14 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x91e203… |
| 08-07 12:14:12 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x91e203… |
| 08-07 12:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x5872…2b14 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xaf7a45… |
| 08-07 12:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xaf7a45… |
| 08-07 06:43:12 | (anonymous) 0xa91f…c096 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xda4fd5… |
| 08-07 06:43:12 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xda4fd5… |
| 08-06 12:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x6d08…39cc | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x5c191f… |
| 08-06 12:50:59 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5c191f… |
| 08-05 13:11:14 | Strident-Vine 0xb3f5…395c | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x5e271d… |
| 08-05 13:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x5e271d… |
| 08-05 06:20:47 | (anonymous) 0x9562…c9c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf92f82… |
| 08-05 06:20:47 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf92f82… |
| 08-05 06:15:48 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9d5f47… |
| 08-05 06:15:48 | (anonymous) 0x49ba…ebec | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9d5f47… |
| 08-05 03:02:56 | (anonymous) 0xd57d…faaf | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb5d7d8… |
| 08-05 03:02:56 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb5d7d8… |
| 08-05 02:14:26 | Crooked-Fiber 0x6aaf…2730 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x12af4c… |
| 08-05 02:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x12af4c… |
| 08-05 02:11:14 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x54fe80… |
| 08-05 02:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x3c7e…8ce3 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x54fe80… |
| 08-04 15:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xf4127b… |
| 08-04 15:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x7291…811a | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xf4127b… |
| 08-04 11:31:44 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8fe3b5… |
| 08-04 11:31:44 | (anonymous) 0xbea2…334d | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8fe3b5… |
| 08-04 11:26:08 | (anonymous) 0xeafd…1fe3 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x4ca708… |
| 08-04 11:26:08 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x4ca708… |
| 08-04 05:25:06 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x96c6c9… |
| 08-04 05:25:06 | Skeletal-Faithful 0x3724…02df | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x96c6c9… |
| 08-02 17:51:29 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb92f4d… |
| 08-02 17:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | SELL | 57 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb92f4d… |
| 08-02 17:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb92f4d… |
| 08-02 17:51:29 | Hollow-Rumor 0xc9d5…d1bb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb92f4d… |
| 07-30 05:51:26 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x034e40… |
| 07-30 05:51:26 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x034e40… |
| 07-30 05:51:26 | (anonymous) 0x4caf…b74a | Yes | SELL | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x034e40… |
| 07-30 05:51:26 | (anonymous) 0x7b14…f682 | No | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x034e40… |
| 07-27 03:48:36 | (anonymous) 0x5bdf…42de | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x4de04b… |
| 07-27 03:48:36 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4de04b… |
| 07-27 01:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x6d08…39cc | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x70e4e2… |
| 07-27 01:45:36 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x70e4e2… |
| 07-26 12:37:00 | (anonymous) 0xbea2…334d | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x65eaca… |
| 07-26 12:37:00 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x65eaca… |
| 07-26 07:19:42 | (anonymous) 0x49ba…ebec | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x360e5c… |
| 07-26 07:19:42 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x360e5c… |
| 07-25 23:33:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7c410b… |
| 07-25 23:33:42 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | SELL | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x7c410b… |
| 07-25 23:33:42 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x7c410b… |
| 07-25 23:33:42 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c410b… |
| 07-25 05:40:03 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdbc60b… |
| 07-25 05:40:03 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdbc60b… |
| 07-24 06:38:58 | (anonymous) 0xd57d…faaf | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x12fffb… |
| 07-24 06:38:58 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x12fffb… |
| 07-24 05:26:22 | (anonymous) 0x3c7e…8ce3 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xbb2065… |
| 07-24 05:26:22 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb2065… |
| 07-24 01:58:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e6e44… |
| 07-24 01:58:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e6e44… |
| 07-23 14:41:42 | Skeletal-Faithful 0x3724…02df | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5766a0… |
| 07-23 14:41:42 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5766a0… |
| 07-23 06:07:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7741e7… |
| 07-23 06:07:52 | (anonymous) 0xa91f…c096 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7741e7… |
| 07-19 19:03:00 | Joyous-Freckle 0x4e5a…5995 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdced19… |
| 07-19 19:03:00 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdced19… |
| 07-19 19:03:00 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdced19… |
| 07-19 04:13:54 | (anonymous) 0xe9f2…f982 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7560d6… |
| 07-19 04:13:54 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7560d6… |
| 07-18 19:01:58 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5fe382… |
| 07-18 19:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x5a69…81a8 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5fe382… |
| 07-18 19:01:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5fe382… |
| 07-18 19:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5fe382… |
| 07-16 21:14:29 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | SELL | 385 | 99¢ | $380 | 0x29c3d5… |
| 07-16 21:14:29 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x29c3d5… |
| 07-16 21:14:29 | (anonymous) 0x7b14…f682 | No | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x29c3d5… |
| 07-16 21:14:29 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | SELL | 37 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x29c3d5… |
| 07-16 21:14:29 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x29c3d5… |
| 07-16 21:14:29 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x29c3d5… |
| 07-16 21:14:29 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 141 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x29c3d5… |
| 07-15 16:32:43 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x81bea7… |
| 07-15 16:32:43 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81bea7… |
| 07-13 09:28:59 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x259ae3… |
| 07-13 09:28:59 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x259ae3… |
| 07-12 22:04:40 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf14b46… |
| 07-12 22:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x6978…eb8c | Yes | SELL | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf14b46… |
| 07-08 22:55:37 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 98 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xec0b29… |
| 07-08 22:55:37 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec0b29… |
| 07-08 22:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xafcf…9964 | Yes | BUY | 283 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xec0b29… |
| 07-08 22:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 169 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xec0b29… |
| 07-08 22:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec0b29… |
| 07-08 19:21:50 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x9bdd64… |
| 07-08 19:21:50 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bdd64… |
| 07-08 15:11:28 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5bfa18… |
| 07-08 15:11:28 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | Yes | SELL | 98 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5bfa18… |
| 07-08 10:22:20 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41a152… |
| 07-08 10:22:20 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x41a152… |
| 07-08 10:22:20 | (anonymous) 0x6978…eb8c | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x41a152… |
| 07-07 10:07:04 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe79149… |
| 07-07 10:07:04 | (anonymous) 0xf2e8…e187 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe79149… |