Realized P&L
+$920
Unrealized P&L
+$130
Hit rate
96.2%
Resolved
778
Trades
2,694
lifetime
Volume
$327.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$5.00K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
56% 97% +$87
Politics
35% 96% +$799
Sports
7% 96% +$12
Crypto
1% 100% +$23
Tech
1% 89% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +800 $773 97¢ $780 +$7 10-27 15:10
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +700 $627 95¢ $666 +$38 10-02 20:24
China coup attempt before 2027? No +600 $572 97¢ $582 +$11 10-25 07:02
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +500 $475 97¢ $486 +$10 10-28 07:22
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +480 $449 97¢ $467 +$19 10-27 15:06
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +400 $382 99¢ $395 +$13 08-19 08:11
Will Alberta join the US? No +400 $389 98¢ $394 +$5 10-25 07:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +403 $346 94¢ $377 +$30 05-19 14:17
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? Yes +300 $297 99¢ $297 +$0 10-27 15:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +160 $147 92¢ $148 +$1 10-11 12:30
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 10-19 17:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -100 -$89 96¢ $-96 -$7 05-04 05:04
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +100 $92 92¢ $93 +$1 10-17 22:40
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 10-25 07:43
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 $0 10-25 07:43
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-11 21:28
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 06-21 06:45