Amusing-Good 0x8f0b29…0e8be2
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
337
lifetime
Volume
$58.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$174
Open exposure
$8.81K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-17 00:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62% — —
Politics
38% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,287 $1,110 88¢ $1.1K +$28 07-01 21:56
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +799 $757 97¢ $773 +$17 06-30 23:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +905 $738 82¢ $738 $-0 07-03 22:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +957 $824 72¢ $684 $-140 07-01 22:04
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +677 $582 88¢ $599 +$17 06-17 11:08
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +664 $550 84¢ $558 +$8 07-05 21:06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +560 $515 90¢ $507 $-8 07-02 02:02
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +501 $474 97¢ $485 +$11 07-01 22:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -471 $-448 96¢ $-450 $-2 07-03 22:46
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +458 $394 92¢ $419 +$25 07-05 21:06
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +385 $361 99¢ $380 +$18 07-16 21:14
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +325 $309 93¢ $302 $-7 07-17 00:17
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +318 $272 92¢ $294 +$22 06-03 18:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +253 $220 92¢ $231 +$11 06-29 17:58
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +216 $203 88¢ $190 $-13 07-05 16:29
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +192 $179 93¢ $179 $-0 06-17 11:04
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +162 $141 88¢ $143 +$2 07-05 16:32
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +151 $140 92¢ $139 $-1 07-01 21:55
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +148 $114 76¢ $113 $-1 06-23 14:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +128 $100 88¢ $112 +$12 05-29 19:16
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +110 $98 90¢ $100 +$2 07-01 21:53
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +84 $78 94¢ $79 +$1 06-05 15:18
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +90 $68 83¢ $75 +$6 06-16 18:30
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +64 $60 94¢ $60 +$1 06-03 19:31
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -39 $-39 97¢ $-38 +$1 07-08 13:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-23 16:14