Amusing-Good 0x8f0b29…0e8be2
cold 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$984
Hit rate
78.9%
Resolved
61
Trades
549
lifetime
Volume
$79.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$14.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-23 13:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
60% 86% +$66
Politics
40% 54% -$2,718
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +3,419 $2,956 100¢ $3.4K +$458 10-23 12:57
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +2,234 $1,957 92¢ $2.1K +$110 10-08 22:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,482 $2,097 82¢ $2.0K -$50 10-05 12:28
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $927 90¢ $995 +$68 10-08 22:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,135 $918 84¢ $959 +$41 10-05 12:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -884 -$847 97¢ $-861 -$14 09-17 02:51
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +554 $520 92¢ $507 -$13 10-05 20:35
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +423 $380 96¢ $404 +$24 10-23 12:52
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -410 -$418 97¢ $-397 +$20 10-23 12:52
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +404 $371 92¢ $374 +$3 10-05 12:27
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +388 $369 96¢ $372 +$3 10-23 12:53
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +263 $240 96¢ $253 +$13 07-01 21:55
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +260 $235 92¢ $240 +$5 10-05 12:31
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +231 $213 94¢ $217 +$4 10-23 12:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +204 $180 91¢ $185 +$5 09-27 14:58
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +160 $112 96¢ $155 +$43 10-23 12:54
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +150 $120 98¢ $146 +$26 10-23 12:54
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +148 $137 95¢ $140 +$3 10-23 12:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -136 -$151 98¢ $-134 +$17 09-28 11:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +115 $66 97¢ $112 +$46 10-23 12:55
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -115 -$113 95¢ $-109 +$4 10-23 12:55
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +110 $98 96¢ $105 +$7 07-01 21:53
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +106 $100 98¢ $104 +$4 05-29 19:06
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +99 $90 96¢ $95 +$5 09-13 22:10
Russia coup attempt in 2026? No +92 $67 97¢ $89 +$21 10-23 12:35
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +90 $68 94¢ $85 +$17 06-16 18:30
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +86 $63 90¢ $78 +$15 09-28 11:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +82 -$21 94¢ $77 +$98 09-28 11:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -47 -$47 98¢ $-46 +$1 10-23 12:55
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -41 -$40 99¢ $-40 $0 09-11 16:50