Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$88
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
178
lifetime
Volume
$37.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$208
Open exposure
$7.73K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-10 01:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
59%
Politics
41%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +1,336 $1,176 92¢ $1.2K +$60 06-05 15:02
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +945 $898 92¢ $870 $-29 06-10 01:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +653 $567 92¢ $597 +$30 06-04 08:20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +653 $558 86¢ $558 +$0 06-04 06:59
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +600 $516 84¢ $507 $-9 06-05 14:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +501 $488 99¢ $495 +$7 06-03 18:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +516 $465 94¢ $482 +$17 06-04 06:56
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? No +443 $428 97¢ $429 +$2 06-05 14:58
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +369 $354 96¢ $352 $-2 06-04 06:57
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +440 $353 80¢ $350 $-3 06-05 14:36
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +318 $272 86¢ $275 +$3 06-03 18:53
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +262 $250 96¢ $251 +$1 06-05 15:01
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +263 $253 95¢ $250 $-3 06-04 06:55
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -207 $-206 99¢ $-205 +$0 06-10 00:49
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +200 $197 99¢ $198 +$2 06-03 18:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +217 $181 82¢ $179 $-2 06-04 07:01
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +119 $112 98¢ $117 +$5 06-05 15:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +132 $100 80¢ $105 +$5 05-29 19:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +128 $100 80¢ $103 +$3 05-29 19:16
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +84 $78 94¢ $79 +$0 06-05 15:18
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +64 $60 92¢ $59 $-0 06-03 19:31
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No -27 $-27 99¢ $-27 $-0 06-10 00:38
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-05 14:52