Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$286
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
270
lifetime
Volume
$48.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$178
Open exposure
$6.19K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-30 23:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
38%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +934 $777 99¢ $926 +$150 06-25 19:17
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,007 $864 87¢ $876 +$12 06-23 14:07
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +799 $757 97¢ $775 +$18 06-30 23:56
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +599 $575 98¢ $586 +$11 06-30 14:05
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +677 $582 86¢ $585 +$3 06-17 11:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +613 $494 86¢ $530 +$36 06-29 18:01
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +491 $400 84¢ $410 +$10 06-15 17:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +318 $272 90¢ $287 +$15 06-03 18:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +264 $221 86¢ $228 +$7 06-29 18:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +253 $220 86¢ $219 $-1 06-29 17:58
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +192 $179 94¢ $180 +$1 06-17 11:04
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +148 $114 80¢ $118 +$4 06-23 14:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +132 $100 82¢ $108 +$8 05-29 19:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +128 $100 84¢ $107 +$7 05-29 19:16
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +84 $78 94¢ $79 +$1 06-05 15:18
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +90 $68 80¢ $72 +$4 06-16 18:30
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +64 $60 94¢ $60 +$1 06-03 19:31
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No -27 $-27 100¢ $-27 $-0 06-10 00:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-23 16:14