Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$29,377
$26 in 24h
Trades
812
Unique wallets
211
Liquidity
$31,603
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-03-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-17 14:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.6¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $1.9K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $17.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $73 | $6.0K | $6.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $694 | $7.8K | $7.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $449 | $720 | $271 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 127 | $144 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $79 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $583 | $2.3K | $1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | — | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| Median | 29 | $353 | $631 | $278 |
| Below median | 20 | $20 | $274 | $254 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $6 | $162 | $156 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $17 | $406 | $389 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $79 | $2.1K | $2.0K |
| unranked | 110 | $224 | $6.8K | $6.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +4,816 | $302 | $847 | 98 | 07-22 09:24 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +4,642 | $4,425 | $4,425 | 12 | 08-12 15:39 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +2,000 | $1,850 | $1,850 | 21 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | +1,762 | $1,625 | $1,625 | 25 | 06-27 16:03 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +1,200 | $58 | $58 | 11 | 08-17 06:52 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +750 | $705 | $705 | 1 | 06-07 13:52 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +606 | $25 | $74 | 12 | 07-05 05:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbe3…5b92 | Yes | +500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-22 21:35 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +426 | $401 | $401 | 5 | 07-28 03:04 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +379 | $356 | $3,642 | 4 | 08-16 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x55cc…8c91 | Yes | +324 | $37 | $132 | 13 | 06-05 10:30 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-08 23:44 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +162 | $-0 | $111 | 94 | 08-17 06:52 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +122 | $114 | $114 | 12 | 07-02 17:36 |
| Evergreen-Crystallography 0xdcd9…35d4 | Yes | +116 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-07 02:20 |
| Silky-Trapezium 0xc10b…e3e0 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 19:53 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +90 | $6 | $6 | 10 | 07-09 20:55 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +84 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-05 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0975…080a | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 07:28 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +80 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | +75 | $4 | $21 | 9 | 08-15 03:00 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +69 | $65 | $65 | 6 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb0a…2087 | Yes | +60 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-12 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd23f…6064 | No | +60 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 07-19 18:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b13…1e16 | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 08-08 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x67cd…b645 | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 5 | 08-08 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8527…07d4 | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 08-08 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9a6…d898 | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 08-07 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc84…0459 | No | +38 | $36 | $63 | 7 | 08-16 21:19 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-08 11:44 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca3…c515 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-25 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x035f…ca05 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-15 03:00 |
| Well-Documented-Soundness 0xbd31…8004 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-04 15:07 |
| Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-22 15:44 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 06-21 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x72b3…360c | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 15 | 06-25 02:58 |
| Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1942…9a54 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 20:52 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +14 | $13 | $30 | 3 | 07-18 14:27 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-05 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5c0…158c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 14:10 |
| Academic-Ball 0x3ece…af79 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-06 01:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d76…e8b9 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-09 20:55 |
| Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:44 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 04:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 14:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x77ff…0a9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf5795c… |
| 08-17 14:11:15 | Svelte-Ketchup 0x234a…7e6a | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf5795c… |
| 08-17 06:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x7c69…af3c | No | SELL | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x6be6ba… |
| 08-17 06:53:49 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6be6ba… |
| 08-17 06:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x7c69…af3c | No | BUY | 105 | 96¢ | $101 | 0x3109f9… |
| 08-17 06:52:45 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 95 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x3109f9… |
| 08-17 06:52:45 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3109f9… |
| 08-17 05:02:04 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x16dfdd… |
| 08-17 05:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x78e0…b279 | No | SELL | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x16dfdd… |
| 08-17 05:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x78e0…b279 | No | BUY | 105 | 96¢ | $101 | 0xb0a96c… |
| 08-17 05:01:31 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 105 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xb0a96c… |
| 08-16 21:19:34 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 400 | 97¢ | $388 | 0x289bf6… |
| 08-16 21:19:34 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x289bf6… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 4¢ | $16 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x1863…712c | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x681f…e1f3 | No | SELL | 61 | 96¢ | $59 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x6a7d…95c8 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0xb115…04df | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x1202…10ab | No | SELL | 58 | 96¢ | $56 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0xab60…8301 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 1,589 | 96¢ | $1,525 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | Slight-Beard 0x76df…de4f | No | SELL | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x4a75…ebf5 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | (anonymous) 0xbc84…0459 | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-16 21:19:13 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | SELL | 307 | 96¢ | $295 | 0xd1c358… |
| 08-15 03:00:42 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xed85b5… |
| 08-15 03:00:42 | (anonymous) 0x035f…ca05 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xed85b5… |
| 08-12 15:39:48 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x286fd9… |
| 08-12 15:39:48 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x286fd9… |
| 08-12 15:39:48 | (anonymous) 0xcb0a…2087 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x286fd9… |
| 08-09 05:33:06 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x95e7fd… |
| 08-09 05:33:06 | Lumbering-Eleventh 0xe42a…09c2 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x95e7fd… |
| 08-09 03:11:34 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x2a4321… |
| 08-09 03:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xcf8f…1f25 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x2a4321… |
| 08-09 00:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xeecc…807e | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x8ceb4f… |
| 08-09 00:56:07 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x8ceb4f… |
| 08-08 23:31:00 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x9296db… |
| 08-08 23:31:00 | Roasted-Rap 0x8d90…9c08 | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x9296db… |
| 08-08 22:08:01 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 119 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xbcfd1b… |
| 08-08 22:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x4b13…1e16 | No | BUY | 43 | 95¢ | $41 | 0xbcfd1b… |
| 08-08 22:08:01 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 948 | 95¢ | $901 | 0xbcfd1b… |
| 08-08 22:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x8527…07d4 | No | BUY | 52 | 95¢ | $49 | 0xbcfd1b… |
| 08-08 22:08:01 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 1,730 | 95¢ | $1,643 | 0xbcfd1b… |
| 08-08 14:44:00 | Wilted-Prow 0x0048…066e | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x47b887… |
| 08-08 14:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x4b13…1e16 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x47b887… |
| 08-08 12:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x4b13…1e16 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x13629c… |
| 08-08 12:41:24 | (anonymous) 0xec49…3998 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x13629c… |
| 08-08 12:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x67cd…b645 | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x13629c… |
| 08-08 11:40:49 | (anonymous) 0x67cd…b645 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x3c9634… |
| 08-08 11:40:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c3f…af65 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x3c9634… |
| 08-08 09:39:01 | (anonymous) 0x1e65…354c | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x67d708… |
| 08-08 09:39:01 | (anonymous) 0x67cd…b645 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x67d708… |
| 08-08 02:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x9851…e877 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x3c4f33… |
| 08-08 02:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x67cd…b645 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x3c4f33… |
| 08-07 02:20:10 | (anonymous) 0xbc84…0459 | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x053ab9… |
| 08-07 02:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x67cd…b645 | No | BUY | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0x053ab9… |
| 08-07 02:20:10 | (anonymous) 0xe9a6…d898 | No | BUY | 52 | 95¢ | $49 | 0x053ab9… |
| 08-07 02:20:10 | Evergreen-Crystallography 0xdcd9…35d4 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x053ab9… |
| 08-07 00:37:12 | (anonymous) 0xbc84…0459 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x51eb9e… |
| 08-07 00:37:12 | (anonymous) 0x526e…17c9 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x51eb9e… |
| 08-06 16:47:42 | (anonymous) 0xbc84…0459 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xc0e5e5… |
| 08-06 16:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x21e2…c442 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xc0e5e5… |
| 08-06 09:09:41 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9910dc… |
| 08-06 09:09:41 | (anonymous) 0x570e…1eed | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9910dc… |
| 08-06 05:34:23 | (anonymous) 0xbc84…0459 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x79d770… |
| 08-06 05:34:23 | (anonymous) 0xc822…bc27 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x79d770… |
| 08-06 01:32:12 | Academic-Ball 0x3ece…af79 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x6eaa4a… |
| 08-06 01:32:12 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x6eaa4a… |
| 08-05 14:22:51 | (anonymous) 0xb951…ad5f | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x269963… |
| 08-05 14:22:51 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x269963… |
| 08-05 13:55:45 | (anonymous) 0xbc84…0459 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x9e0968… |
| 08-05 13:55:45 | Scarce-Regulator 0x17c1…1a05 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x9e0968… |
| 08-05 13:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x93dc…d9d2 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7c19ee… |
| 08-05 13:12:47 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7c19ee… |
| 08-05 11:50:26 | (anonymous) 0x2503…9be5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd1a808… |
| 08-05 11:50:26 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xd1a808… |
| 08-05 10:20:57 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x41a4f8… |
| 08-05 10:20:57 | (anonymous) 0x4750…8dbc | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x41a4f8… |
| 08-05 06:53:29 | (anonymous) 0xbc84…0459 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x03fe17… |
| 08-05 06:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x4a75…ebf5 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x03fe17… |
| 08-05 06:53:29 | (anonymous) 0xfa3d…4c3f | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x03fe17… |
| 08-05 05:24:59 | (anonymous) 0x4a75…ebf5 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x36228d… |
| 08-05 05:24:59 | (anonymous) 0x6789…7597 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x36228d… |
| 08-05 04:34:53 | Limp-Cappuccino 0x6b34…e0b1 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x34c55b… |
| 08-05 04:34:53 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x34c55b… |
| 08-05 03:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x9259…fed7 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xeddd76… |
| 08-05 03:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x4a75…ebf5 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xeddd76… |
| 08-04 16:54:48 | (anonymous) 0x8554…eb1e | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xc05325… |
| 08-04 16:54:48 | (anonymous) 0x4a75…ebf5 | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xc05325… |
| 08-04 16:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x4a75…ebf5 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xd8245a… |
| 08-04 16:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x8554…eb1e | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xd8245a… |
| 08-04 16:03:44 | (anonymous) 0xf5c3…e6dd | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x68de36… |
| 08-04 16:03:44 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x68de36… |
| 08-04 15:25:53 | (anonymous) 0xc5fc…e108 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbae487… |
| 08-04 15:25:53 | (anonymous) 0x4a75…ebf5 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbae487… |
| 08-04 02:56:14 | (anonymous) 0x6a7d…95c8 | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x23d827… |