Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$16,201
$26 in 24h
Trades
563
Unique wallets
136
Liquidity
$31,603
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-03-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-07 06:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.6¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $1.9K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $9.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $73 | $4.0K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $586 | $3.1K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $384 | $706 | $322 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 66 | $113 | $494 | $381 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $49 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $527 | $1.7K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | — | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| Median | 15 | $353 | $448 | $95 |
| Below median | 17 | $13 | $269 | $256 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $6 | $162 | $156 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $17 | $406 | $389 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $52 | $583 | $531 |
| unranked | 56 | $139 | $1.1K | $975 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +3,728 | $247 | $792 | 93 | 07-02 17:36 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +2,000 | $1,850 | $1,850 | 21 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | +1,762 | $1,625 | $1,625 | 25 | 06-27 16:03 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +750 | $705 | $705 | 1 | 06-07 13:52 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +606 | $25 | $74 | 12 | 07-05 05:00 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +521 | $474 | $474 | 2 | 06-04 15:07 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +409 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 07-07 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x55cc…8c91 | Yes | +324 | $37 | $132 | 13 | 06-05 10:30 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +307 | $286 | $286 | 8 | 06-09 08:34 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-08 23:44 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +205 | $192 | $192 | 2 | 06-27 16:03 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +122 | $114 | $114 | 12 | 07-02 17:36 |
| United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | +112 | $7 | $14 | 9 | 07-07 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x083c…a6ed | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-27 04:02 |
| Silky-Trapezium 0xc10b…e3e0 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 19:53 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-17 10:00 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +84 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-05 15:18 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +80 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 06-27 04:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +80 | $6 | $6 | 9 | 06-25 02:58 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +69 | $65 | $65 | 6 | 06-27 04:02 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-05 19:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-04 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e08…7193 | No | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-27 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x103a…ab6f | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x909b…bca9 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-29 15:00 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-08 11:44 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 16:49 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 07-02 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 06:40 |
| Well-Documented-Soundness 0xbd31…8004 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-04 15:07 |
| Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-22 15:44 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 06-21 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x72b3…360c | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 15 | 06-25 02:58 |
| Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-27 04:02 |
| Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1942…9a54 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 20:52 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-05 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5c0…158c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 14:10 |
| Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:44 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 04:37 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 01:55 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 14:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 06:14:56 | (anonymous) 0x69f9…3c3b | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xb1527f… |
| 07-07 06:14:56 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb1527f… |
| 07-07 04:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x72b3…360c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1e661d… |
| 07-07 04:53:05 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1e661d… |
| 07-05 23:21:55 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xab7c7d… |
| 07-05 23:21:55 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xab7c7d… |
| 07-05 19:53:02 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4ea5a5… |
| 07-05 19:53:02 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4ea5a5… |
| 07-05 19:53:02 | Silky-Trapezium 0xc10b…e3e0 | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x4ea5a5… |
| 07-05 05:00:44 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 179 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xb696a6… |
| 07-05 05:00:44 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb696a6… |
| 07-05 05:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xd682…3f90 | Yes | SELL | 204 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xb696a6… |
| 07-04 19:06:20 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf13dcc… |
| 07-04 19:06:20 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc4ea0f… |
| 07-04 19:06:20 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc4ea0f… |
| 07-04 19:06:20 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf13dcc… |
| 07-04 19:06:19 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7d3ccc… |
| 07-04 19:06:19 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7d3ccc… |
| 07-04 16:11:41 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd63805… |
| 07-04 16:11:41 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xd63805… |
| 07-04 07:50:44 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf2f8ca… |
| 07-04 07:50:44 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf2f8ca… |
| 07-03 12:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x0863…66f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x37d598… |
| 07-03 12:29:52 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x37d598… |
| 07-03 12:29:07 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa2015a… |
| 07-03 12:29:07 | (anonymous) 0x0863…66f0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa2015a… |
| 07-02 18:01:22 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x23402c… |
| 07-02 18:01:22 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x23402c… |
| 07-02 17:36:10 | United-Latex 0x68c0…4991 | Yes | BUY | 171 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x05e59a… |
| 07-02 17:36:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x05e59a… |
| 07-02 17:36:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 134 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x05e59a… |
| 07-02 17:36:10 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x05e59a… |
| 07-02 17:36:10 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x05e59a… |
| 07-02 10:47:56 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x10b621… |
| 07-02 10:47:56 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x10b621… |
| 07-02 10:47:56 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 134 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x10b621… |
| 07-02 10:47:56 | (anonymous) 0x497d…944c | Yes | SELL | 159 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x10b621… |
| 06-30 03:00:31 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xce56ba… |
| 06-30 03:00:31 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xce56ba… |
| 06-29 20:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x1942…9a54 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbdb99a… |
| 06-29 20:52:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbdb99a… |
| 06-29 15:00:34 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x10abe9… |
| 06-29 15:00:34 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0x10abe9… |
| 06-29 15:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x909b…bca9 | No | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0x10abe9… |
| 06-29 14:33:44 | (anonymous) 0x909b…bca9 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xd68a78… |
| 06-29 14:33:44 | Striped-Date 0x2acc…cfed | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xd68a78… |
| 06-27 19:07:04 | (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x211bb6… |
| 06-27 19:07:04 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x211bb6… |
| 06-27 19:07:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x211bb6… |
| 06-27 16:03:37 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 641 | 94¢ | $603 | 0xbcf197… |
| 06-27 16:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0xbcf197… |
| 06-27 16:03:37 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 49 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xbcf197… |
| 06-27 16:03:37 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0xbcf197… |
| 06-27 16:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x7e08…7193 | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0xbcf197… |
| 06-27 16:03:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xbcf197… |
| 06-27 09:46:01 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x63b9c9… |
| 06-27 09:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x63b9c9… |
| 06-27 05:16:46 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x17e278… |
| 06-27 05:16:46 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x17e278… |
| 06-27 05:16:14 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1c40ef… |
| 06-27 05:16:14 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1c40ef… |
| 06-27 05:04:50 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4dcb6b… |
| 06-27 05:04:50 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x4dcb6b… |
| 06-27 05:04:50 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x4dcb6b… |
| 06-27 05:04:50 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x4dcb6b… |
| 06-27 05:04:50 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 513 | 7¢ | $35 | 0x4dcb6b… |
| 06-27 05:04:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 320 | 7¢ | $22 | 0x4dcb6b… |
| 06-27 05:04:50 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 108 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x4dcb6b… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | BUY | 49 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | SELL | 3,834 | 6¢ | $243 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 676 | 6¢ | $41 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Charming-Crossstitch 0xacad…9470 | No | SELL | 43 | 95¢ | $41 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 108 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 320 | 6¢ | $19 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Euphoric-Flan 0x529d…6381 | No | SELL | 278 | 94¢ | $261 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 659 | 5¢ | $33 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 05:02:41 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x3aeff0… |
| 06-27 04:15:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x4ec259… |
| 06-27 04:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x4ec259… |
| 06-27 04:03:02 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x0d7d5c… |
| 06-27 04:03:02 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x0d7d5c… |
| 06-27 04:02:37 | Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x20cb07… |
| 06-27 04:02:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 111 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x20cb07… |
| 06-27 04:02:37 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | SELL | 56 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x20cb07… |
| 06-27 04:02:37 | Striped-Date 0x2acc…cfed | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x20cb07… |
| 06-27 04:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x103a…ab6f | No | BUY | 38 | 92¢ | $35 | 0x20cb07… |
| 06-27 04:02:37 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x20cb07… |
| 06-27 04:02:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 85 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x6931f3… |
| 06-27 04:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x083c…a6ed | No | BUY | 85 | 94¢ | $80 | 0x6931f3… |
| 06-27 04:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x234a…c382 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1de2c1… |
| 06-27 04:02:07 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1de2c1… |
| 06-27 04:02:05 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x6ccdb5… |
| 06-27 04:02:05 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6ccdb5… |
| 06-27 04:02:05 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | BUY | 80 | 92¢ | $74 | 0x6ccdb5… |