Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,793
$26 in 24h
Trades
320
Unique wallets
90
Liquidity
$31,603
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-03-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-15 13:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $5.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $20 | $2.5K | $2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $25 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $342 | $539 | $197 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $98 | $209 | $112 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $15 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $332 | $786 | $454 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| Median | 8 | $8 | $301 | $293 |
| Below median | 13 | $7 | $147 | $140 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $161 | $161 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $15 | $372 | $357 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $14 | $490 | $476 |
| unranked | 32 | $93 | $544 | $451 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +3,264 | $250 | $402 | 58 | 06-09 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | +1,400 | $1,286 | $1,286 | 21 | 06-14 04:57 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +1,324 | $1,229 | $1,229 | 8 | 06-09 00:28 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +750 | $705 | $705 | 1 | 06-07 13:52 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +521 | $474 | $474 | 2 | 06-04 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x55cc…8c91 | Yes | +324 | $37 | $132 | 13 | 06-05 10:30 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +307 | $286 | $286 | 8 | 06-09 08:34 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-08 23:44 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +84 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-05 15:18 |
| Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | +66 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 04:57 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +62 | $58 | $58 | 5 | 06-09 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-04 08:16 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +57 | $54 | $54 | 4 | 06-09 00:27 |
| Charming-Crossstitch 0xacad…9470 | No | +43 | $39 | $61 | 3 | 06-07 01:56 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-04 08:16 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-07 01:55 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-08 11:44 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 16:49 |
| Well-Documented-Soundness 0xbd31…8004 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-04 15:07 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 06-09 00:28 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-08 11:44 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-04 02:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c53…0109 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 12:42 |
| Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-08 11:44 |
| Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:44 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 04:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 8 | 06-09 00:28 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 01:55 |
| Trusting-Tensor 0xd136…24ce | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 02:09 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 01:55 |
| Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 11:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 15:07 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-14 04:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0f6…3e65 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-07 12:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd2a…a916 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-08 11:44 |
| Confused-Strip 0x9399…ddbf | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-07 04:37 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 14:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 13:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x492e…d5ba | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x949734… |
| 06-15 13:01:13 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x949734… |
| 06-14 13:30:49 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x988748… |
| 06-14 13:30:49 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x988748… |
| 06-14 04:57:57 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xc5a910… |
| 06-14 04:57:57 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 61 | 93¢ | $57 | 0xc5a910… |
| 06-14 04:57:57 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xc5a910… |
| 06-13 14:28:07 | Careless-Preservation 0xd099…3a44 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb52079… |
| 06-13 14:28:07 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb52079… |
| 06-13 09:02:09 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8c9cd5… |
| 06-13 09:02:09 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 38 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x8c9cd5… |
| 06-13 01:18:04 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xd21008… |
| 06-13 01:18:04 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | No | SELL | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xd21008… |
| 06-12 12:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xd26f02… |
| 06-12 12:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xe152…9976 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xd26f02… |
| 06-12 11:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x75d936… |
| 06-12 11:21:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x75d936… |
| 06-12 10:23:00 | (anonymous) 0x0498…1ccf | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xda3179… |
| 06-12 10:23:00 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xda3179… |
| 06-12 02:10:46 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x517af1… |
| 06-12 02:10:46 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x517af1… |
| 06-12 01:55:37 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x01d603… |
| 06-12 01:55:37 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x01d603… |
| 06-12 01:40:28 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd04f8f… |
| 06-12 01:40:28 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd04f8f… |
| 06-12 01:25:16 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfe7bcb… |
| 06-12 01:25:16 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfe7bcb… |
| 06-12 01:09:54 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf40342… |
| 06-12 01:09:54 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf40342… |
| 06-10 10:51:18 | (anonymous) 0xb06b…fb28 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6c3982… |
| 06-10 10:51:18 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x6c3982… |
| 06-09 15:49:10 | Striped-Date 0x2acc…cfed | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x5db2d9… |
| 06-09 15:49:10 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x5db2d9… |
| 06-09 14:52:22 | (anonymous) 0xb06b…fb28 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xce0ed8… |
| 06-09 14:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0xce0ed8… |
| 06-09 13:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x980d1d… |
| 06-09 13:03:10 | Impartial-Eyeliner 0x8d23…4896 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x980d1d… |
| 06-09 10:12:06 | (anonymous) 0xc262…5946 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x075e29… |
| 06-09 10:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x075e29… |
| 06-09 08:34:13 | Brilliant-Last 0xb7e7…11a3 | No | SELL | 103 | 93¢ | $96 | 0x99a74f… |
| 06-09 08:34:13 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 65 | 93¢ | $60 | 0x99a74f… |
| 06-09 08:34:13 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 39 | 93¢ | $36 | 0x99a74f… |
| 06-09 06:58:09 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x324732… |
| 06-09 06:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x4c0b…316a | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x324732… |
| 06-09 02:29:09 | Grouchy-Polenta 0x913c…3fb4 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbb1b69… |
| 06-09 02:29:09 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbb1b69… |
| 06-09 00:28:28 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x74f312… |
| 06-09 00:28:28 | Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x74f312… |
| 06-09 00:28:19 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x37f1d0… |
| 06-09 00:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x37f1d0… |
| 06-09 00:28:18 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x65ec99… |
| 06-09 00:28:18 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x65ec99… |
| 06-09 00:28:18 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1c2832… |
| 06-09 00:28:18 | (anonymous) 0xc262…5946 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x1c2832… |
| 06-09 00:28:16 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 19 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x07ddb8… |
| 06-09 00:28:16 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 19 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x07ddb8… |
| 06-09 00:27:49 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 1,517 | 93¢ | $1,411 | 0x825c5a… |
| 06-09 00:27:49 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1,088 | 7¢ | $76 | 0x825c5a… |
| 06-09 00:27:49 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x825c5a… |
| 06-09 00:27:49 | (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0x825c5a… |
| 06-09 00:27:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x825c5a… |
| 06-09 00:27:49 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x825c5a… |
| 06-09 00:27:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x825c5a… |
| 06-09 00:27:49 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 44 | 93¢ | $41 | 0x825c5a… |
| 06-08 23:44:57 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xa21bf7… |
| 06-08 23:44:57 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 166 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xa21bf7… |
| 06-08 23:44:57 | Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | BUY | 300 | 94¢ | $282 | 0xa21bf7… |
| 06-08 11:44:40 | Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x8e8970… |
| 06-08 11:44:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8e8970… |
| 06-08 11:44:22 | (anonymous) 0xfd2a…a916 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe3c6f5… |
| 06-08 11:44:22 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe3c6f5… |
| 06-08 11:44:21 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8b14f9… |
| 06-08 11:44:21 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8b14f9… |
| 06-08 11:44:19 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd4b892… |
| 06-08 11:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x0498…1ccf | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xd4b892… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x42047d… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 95 | 93¢ | $88 | 0x42047d… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 305 | 92¢ | $281 | 0x0e5c6d… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x42047d… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 44 | 93¢ | $41 | 0x42047d… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x42047d… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x42047d… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Striped-Date 0x2acc…cfed | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x42047d… |
| 06-08 11:44:18 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 305 | 92¢ | $281 | 0x0e5c6d… |
| 06-08 11:43:58 | Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xa3e72f… |
| 06-08 11:43:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa3e72f… |
| 06-08 11:43:40 | (anonymous) 0xfd2a…a916 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x927641… |
| 06-08 11:43:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2ad604… |
| 06-08 11:43:40 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x2ad604… |
| 06-08 11:43:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x927641… |
| 06-08 11:43:39 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7c5bd9… |
| 06-08 11:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x0498…1ccf | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x7c5bd9… |
| 06-08 11:43:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x30bfe7… |
| 06-08 11:43:37 | (anonymous) 0xa0f6…3e65 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xa824ad… |
| 06-08 11:43:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa824ad… |
| 06-08 11:43:37 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 1,198 | 93¢ | $1,114 | 0x30bfe7… |
| 06-08 11:43:37 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 431 | 93¢ | $401 | 0x30bfe7… |
| 06-08 11:43:37 | Striped-Date 0x2acc…cfed | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x30bfe7… |
| 06-08 11:43:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 400 | 93¢ | $372 | 0x30bfe7… |
| 06-08 11:43:37 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 44 | 93¢ | $41 | 0x30bfe7… |