Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$22,927
$26 in 24h
Trades
692
Unique wallets
182
Liquidity
$31,603
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-03-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-28 12:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.3¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $1.9K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $14.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $73 | $4.5K | $4.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $661 | $6.3K | $5.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 34 | $440 | $715 | $275 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 101 | $133 | $1.1K | $951 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $79 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $582 | $2.3K | $1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | — | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| Median | 24 | $353 | $621 | $268 |
| Below median | 18 | $14 | $269 | $255 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $6 | $162 | $156 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $17 | $406 | $389 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $71 | $583 | $513 |
| unranked | 88 | $186 | $4.8K | $4.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +4,816 | $302 | $847 | 98 | 07-22 09:24 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +3,142 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 5 | 07-21 16:37 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +2,000 | $1,850 | $1,850 | 21 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | +1,762 | $1,625 | $1,625 | 25 | 06-27 16:03 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +800 | $42 | $42 | 8 | 07-23 22:13 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +750 | $705 | $705 | 1 | 06-07 13:52 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +606 | $25 | $74 | 12 | 07-05 05:00 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +521 | $474 | $474 | 2 | 06-04 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbe3…5b92 | Yes | +500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-22 21:35 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +426 | $401 | $401 | 5 | 07-28 03:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x55cc…8c91 | Yes | +324 | $37 | $132 | 13 | 06-05 10:30 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +307 | $286 | $286 | 8 | 06-09 08:34 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-08 23:44 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +194 | $3 | $90 | 81 | 07-23 22:13 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +122 | $114 | $114 | 12 | 07-02 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x083c…a6ed | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-27 04:02 |
| Silky-Trapezium 0xc10b…e3e0 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 19:53 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-17 10:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | +95 | $5 | $20 | 8 | 07-23 22:13 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +90 | $6 | $6 | 10 | 07-09 20:55 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +84 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-05 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0975…080a | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 07:28 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +80 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 06-27 04:02 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +79 | $5 | $5 | 8 | 07-28 12:00 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +69 | $65 | $65 | 6 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x681f…e1f3 | No | +61 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 07-13 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd23f…6064 | No | +60 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 07-19 18:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1202…10ab | No | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-22 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1863…712c | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-22 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb115…04df | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 07-22 21:35 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-08 11:44 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca3…c515 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-25 20:19 |
| Well-Documented-Soundness 0xbd31…8004 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-04 15:07 |
| Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-22 15:44 |
| Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 06-21 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x72b3…360c | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 15 | 06-25 02:58 |
| Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-27 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1942…9a54 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 20:52 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +14 | $13 | $30 | 3 | 07-18 14:27 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-05 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa3d…4c3f | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-27 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5c0…158c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 14:10 |
| Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 12:00:47 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x194ae6… |
| 07-28 12:00:47 | (anonymous) 0xc822…bc27 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x194ae6… |
| 07-28 10:48:20 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd6925e… |
| 07-28 10:48:20 | (anonymous) 0xc5fc…e108 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd6925e… |
| 07-28 09:50:04 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x06284e… |
| 07-28 09:50:04 | Costly-Airbag 0xf94e…aee0 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x06284e… |
| 07-28 03:04:36 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x751bee… |
| 07-28 03:04:36 | Svelte-Ketchup 0x234a…7e6a | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x751bee… |
| 07-28 02:28:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x867818… |
| 07-28 02:28:37 | Scarce-Regulator 0x17c1…1a05 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x867818… |
| 07-27 04:35:28 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xab930d… |
| 07-27 04:35:28 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xab930d… |
| 07-27 04:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xfa3d…4c3f | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xab930d… |
| 07-26 09:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x6789…7597 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x5537cc… |
| 07-26 09:25:00 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x5537cc… |
| 07-25 20:19:39 | (anonymous) 0xeca3…c515 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7eb69e… |
| 07-25 20:19:39 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x7eb69e… |
| 07-25 04:59:22 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x220a0c… |
| 07-25 04:59:22 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x220a0c… |
| 07-24 07:03:25 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x68f4fe… |
| 07-24 07:03:25 | (anonymous) 0x9259…fed7 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x68f4fe… |
| 07-23 22:13:25 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 546 | 95¢ | $519 | 0x53686e… |
| 07-23 22:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x40c8…9011 | No | SELL | 28 | 95¢ | $26 | 0x53686e… |
| 07-23 22:13:25 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x53686e… |
| 07-23 22:13:25 | (anonymous) 0xffb1…e33e | No | SELL | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0x53686e… |
| 07-23 22:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x53686e… |
| 07-23 22:13:25 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x53686e… |
| 07-23 10:17:27 | (anonymous) 0xec49…3998 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xfde553… |
| 07-23 10:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x40c8…9011 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xfde553… |
| 07-23 07:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x40c8…9011 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6d842a… |
| 07-23 07:35:31 | Wilted-Prow 0x0048…066e | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6d842a… |
| 07-23 02:06:57 | (anonymous) 0xeecc…807e | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xc58591… |
| 07-23 02:06:57 | (anonymous) 0x40c8…9011 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xc58591… |
| 07-22 21:35:16 | (anonymous) 0x1863…712c | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x0d9405… |
| 07-22 21:35:16 | (anonymous) 0x1202…10ab | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x0d9405… |
| 07-22 21:35:16 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x0d9405… |
| 07-22 21:35:16 | (anonymous) 0xb115…04df | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0x0d9405… |
| 07-22 21:35:16 | (anonymous) 0xbbe3…5b92 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 6¢ | $30 | 0x0d9405… |
| 07-22 21:35:16 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0x0d9405… |
| 07-22 09:24:57 | Roasted-Rap 0x8d90…9c08 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xace255… |
| 07-22 09:24:57 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xace255… |
| 07-22 09:24:57 | (anonymous) 0x40c8…9011 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xace255… |
| 07-22 06:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x526e…17c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0b44c2… |
| 07-22 06:23:15 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0b44c2… |
| 07-22 03:48:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf3e671… |
| 07-22 03:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x8556…4afa | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf3e671… |
| 07-22 02:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xcf8f…1f25 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd877f1… |
| 07-22 02:28:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd877f1… |
| 07-21 16:37:09 | (anonymous) 0x51bc…8946 | No | SELL | 43 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x39300e… |
| 07-21 16:37:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1,064 | 5¢ | $53 | 0x39300e… |
| 07-21 16:37:09 | (anonymous) 0x5408…df65 | No | SELL | 51 | 95¢ | $49 | 0x39300e… |
| 07-21 16:37:09 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 1,158 | 95¢ | $1,100 | 0x39300e… |
| 07-21 15:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x5408…df65 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x34d9e0… |
| 07-21 15:39:25 | Lumbering-Eleventh 0xe42a…09c2 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x34d9e0… |
| 07-20 15:45:18 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xb849c1… |
| 07-20 15:45:18 | (anonymous) 0xb115…04df | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xb849c1… |
| 07-20 13:28:09 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x490347… |
| 07-20 13:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x0059…1626 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x490347… |
| 07-20 12:31:39 | (anonymous) 0x4c3f…af65 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x716b5a… |
| 07-20 12:31:39 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x716b5a… |
| 07-20 11:23:46 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x6cc2ba… |
| 07-20 11:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x1e65…354c | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x6cc2ba… |
| 07-20 07:28:12 | (anonymous) 0x51bc…8946 | No | BUY | 36 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x1489eb… |
| 07-20 07:28:12 | (anonymous) 0xb115…04df | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1489eb… |
| 07-20 07:28:12 | (anonymous) 0x40c8…9011 | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x1489eb… |
| 07-20 07:28:12 | (anonymous) 0x0975…080a | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x1489eb… |
| 07-20 01:52:12 | (anonymous) 0x51bc…8946 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0a3523… |
| 07-20 01:52:12 | (anonymous) 0xacc4…9022 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0a3523… |
| 07-19 18:26:09 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x2a274d… |
| 07-19 18:26:09 | (anonymous) 0xd23f…6064 | No | BUY | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0x2a274d… |
| 07-19 15:25:04 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x009a48… |
| 07-19 15:25:04 | (anonymous) 0xf800…05af | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x009a48… |
| 07-19 09:48:54 | (anonymous) 0x51bc…8946 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x197b46… |
| 07-19 09:48:54 | (anonymous) 0xf800…05af | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x197b46… |
| 07-19 09:48:54 | (anonymous) 0xffb1…e33e | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x197b46… |
| 07-19 03:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x5637…949e | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb230a1… |
| 07-19 03:00:00 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0xb230a1… |
| 07-19 02:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x5637…949e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1e2079… |
| 07-19 02:57:45 | (anonymous) 0xffb1…e33e | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x1e2079… |
| 07-18 14:28:01 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 417 | 96¢ | $400 | 0xdb3771… |
| 07-18 14:28:01 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 417 | 96¢ | $400 | 0xdb3771… |
| 07-18 14:27:52 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 521 | 96¢ | $500 | 0x50294f… |
| 07-18 14:27:52 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 521 | 96¢ | $500 | 0x50294f… |
| 07-18 14:27:48 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 521 | 96¢ | $500 | 0xb9d742… |
| 07-18 14:27:48 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 521 | 96¢ | $500 | 0xb9d742… |
| 07-18 14:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x346d…aa71 | No | SELL | 59 | 95¢ | $56 | 0x1af46c… |
| 07-18 14:27:46 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | BUY | 526 | 95¢ | $500 | 0x1af46c… |
| 07-18 14:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1af46c… |
| 07-18 14:27:46 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 58 | 96¢ | $56 | 0x1af46c… |
| 07-18 14:27:46 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x1af46c… |
| 07-18 14:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x909b…bca9 | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x1af46c… |
| 07-18 14:27:46 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 191 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x1af46c… |
| 07-18 14:27:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1af46c… |
| 07-18 04:16:01 | (anonymous) 0xacc4…9022 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x048de4… |
| 07-18 04:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x909b…bca9 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x048de4… |
| 07-16 07:13:52 | (anonymous) 0x69f9…3c3b | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xa6b478… |
| 07-16 07:13:52 | (anonymous) 0xffb1…e33e | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xa6b478… |
| 07-15 23:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x5408…df65 | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0xb26e91… |
| 07-15 23:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x0059…1626 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xb26e91… |
| 07-15 23:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x346d…aa71 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0xb26e91… |