Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
17
Trades
239
lifetime
Volume
$836
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$142
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 06-11 11:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Sports
34% 67% +$19
Other
32% 100% +$0
Crypto
18%
Politics
16%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 06-09 12:53
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 $-0 06-09 00:28
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +15 $14 88¢ $13 $-1 06-08 15:06
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +14 $13 92¢ $13 $-0 06-11 04:57
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +12 $12 92¢ $11 $-0 06-09 12:14
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-06 22:46
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-07 01:51
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-06 22:25
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-07 15:44
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 06-07 06:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-6 90¢ $-6 +$0 06-11 02:29
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-02 06:30
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-07 16:28
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-04 16:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 00:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 01:10
Trump out as President by June 30? No -0 $-0 99¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 00:57
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 05:25