Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
17
Trades
319
lifetime
Volume
$1.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$174
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-21 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
41% 100% +$0
Sports
26% 67% +$19
Politics
18%
Crypto
15%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +50 $25 50¢ $25 +$0 07-06 03:55
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-09 12:53
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 07-02 20:08
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +19 $18 94¢ $18 +$0 06-21 14:10
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 93¢ $15 $-0 06-21 14:10
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$1 06-08 15:06
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-07 01:51
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 06-07 15:44
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -11 $-10 89¢ $-10 +$0 07-16 12:43
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 07-07 14:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-11 02:29
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-07 16:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 07-11 20:05
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +7 $4 50¢ $4 +$0 07-17 03:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5 $3 50¢ $2 $-0 07-17 07:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +3 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 07-21 02:56
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-21 16:01
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:26