Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
17
Trades
285
lifetime
Volume
$1.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$170
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-02 21:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
42% 100% +$0
Sports
27% 67% +$19
Politics
16%
Crypto
14%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 07-01 14:12
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-09 12:53
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 07-02 20:08
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +19 $18 94¢ $18 +$0 06-21 14:10
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +16 $15 97¢ $16 +$1 06-12 16:59
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 93¢ $15 $-0 06-21 14:10
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 06-08 15:06
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-07 01:51
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $-0 06-07 15:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 +$0 06-11 02:29
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:28
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -5 $-5 89¢ $-5 +$0 06-21 08:29
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-25 12:17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 07-01 02:08
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-21 16:01
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:26